Inkontileka yesikhathi esizayo isetshenziselwa ukwenza imisebenzi yokuthengwa nokudayiswa kwempahla noma impahla esikhathini esizayo esihleliwe ngentengo engashintshi. Lesi sibopho siwukuthi lesi sibambiso sihluka kanjani entweni enikeza ilungelo lokuthenga noma lokuthengisa, kodwa elingaphoqwanga ukwenza kanjalo. Ikusasa libophezela bobabili abathintekayo emsebenzini ukuthi bafeze izibopho zabo. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukushintshaniswa kwezinto ezibonakalayo ngesikhathi sokuhweba okunjalo akwenziwa.
- Liyini ikusasa nokuthi kungani lisetshenziswa emakethe yokutshala imali
- Umehluko phakathi kwekusasa nezinketho
- Umehluko phakathi kwezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo nezangaphambili
- Amasu okuhweba amakusasa
- Izinzuzo nobubi bokuhweba kwekusasa
- Izinhlobo zezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo
- Intengo yenkontileka ye-Futures – contango kanye nokubuyisela emuva
- Umshwalense
- Amadethi okuphelelwa yisikhathi
Liyini ikusasa nokuthi kungani lisetshenziswa emakethe yokutshala imali
Izinkontileka zekusasa zisetshenziselwa ukusungula intengo yemakethe yangempela yethuluzi elithile. Banevelu ethile esetshenzisiwe kubatshalizimali:
- Okwenziwayo okuqagelayo , okuvumela ukukhipha izinzuzo zezinto ezibonakalayo.
- Umshuwalense wengozi ngokusebenzisa i-hedging , okuthakazelisayo kubahlinzeki nabathengi bezimpahla.
Amakusasa asetshenziswa ezimakethe zezimpahla nezimpahla, abonakala ngemingcele esemqoka:
- Isikhathi sokwenza, okuyidethi okuhlelwa ngayo umsebenzi.
- Isihloko somsebenzi, ikakhulukazi, izinto zokusetshenziswa, izibambiso noma izimpahla, uhlobo lwemali.
- Ukushintshana lapho okwenziwa khona umsebenzi.
- Quote amayunithi.
- Usayizi wemajini.
- Ukugcina ibhalansi yezinhlangothi zombili zenkontileka.
- Ukugcwaliswa kwebhalansi A kanye nokuncipha kwebhalansi B.
- Ukugcwaliswa kabusha kwebhalansi ka-B ngokumelene nesizinda sokuncipha kwebhalansi ka-A.
Uma kukhona ukugcwaliswa kwe-akhawunti yomthengi ngokumelene nesizinda sokwehliswa kwe-akhawunti yomthengisi, inani lethuluzi liyakhuphuka. Okusho ukuthi, umtshali-zimali A uzokwazi ukuthenga umkhiqizo ngentengo ephansi futhi awuthengise futhi ngentengo ephezulu, ngaleyo ndlela akhiphe inzuzo yezinto ezibonakalayo. Eqinisweni, ukushintshaniswa kusindisa abahlanganyeli bemakethe ekwenzeni imisebenzi edingekayo, izindawo zokuhlala, ngokushesha ukunikeza iqembu lokuthengiselana umehluko wemali yangempela. Uma intengo ingashintshile, khona-ke ibhalansi ihlala ifana. Isimo sesithathu sibonakala uma intengo yezimpahla iwa, okwakuyinzuzo ekuqaleni kumthengisi. Manje usungathengisa izimpahla ngemibandela evumayo, intengo yamanje yemakethe engaphansi kwaleyo ebhaliswe koxhumene naye. Uma besikhuluma ngomkhiqizo wangempela, khona-ke umdayisi angawuthenga ngenani lemakethe futhi awuthengise ngentengo eshiwo esikhathini esizayo. Exchange, kulesi simo, ikhulula izinhlangothi esidingweni sokuthutha izimpahla zangempela, kodwa imane yenza izibalo ezidingekayo futhi igcwalise i-akhawunti yomthengisi ngenani elithile, okuwumehluko phakathi kwenani lemakethe kanye nenani elishiwo kunkontileka. Uma omunye wamaqembu enqaba ikusasa ngaphambi komzuzu wokukhishwa kwayo, khona-ke ngemva kokuphelelwa yisikhathi kwemigomo ebekwe kunkontileka, inani elikhonjiswe kudokhumenti kanye nentengo yemakethe yezimpahla kuqhathaniswa. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11873” align = “aligncenter” wide = “613”] khona-ke ngemva kokuphelelwa yisikhathi kwemigomo eshiwo kwinkontileka, ukuqhathaniswa kwenani elikhonjiswe kudokhumenti kanye nentengo yemakethe yezimpahla kwenzeka. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11873” align = “aligncenter” wide = “613”] khona-ke ngemva kokuphelelwa yisikhathi kwemigomo eshiwo kwinkontileka, ukuqhathaniswa kwenani elikhonjiswe kudokhumenti kanye nentengo yemakethe yezimpahla kwenzeka. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11873” align = “aligncenter” wide = “613”]
Umehluko phakathi kwekusasa nezinketho
Izinkontileka zekusasa nezinketho ziyehluka ezibophweni zamaqembu. Lokhu kuzibonakalisa ngesikhathi sokuphelelwa yisikhathi. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11885” align = “aligncenter” wide = “391”]
Umehluko phakathi kwezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo nezangaphambili
Kuphinde kube nomehluko phakathi kwezinkontileka zangaphambili nezakusasa abatshalizimali abangena kuzo. Ukudlulisela phambili umsebenzi wesikhathi esisodwa owenziwe ngaphandle kokuhwebelana futhi kucatshangwa ukuthi ukuthengwa kwempahla, izibambiso noma uhlobo lwemali kuzokwenzeka esikhathini esizayo. Amaqembu axoxa ngezimo eziyinhloko kusenesikhathi:
- intengo;
- imigomo;
- izimo ezengeziwe.
Kulokhu, ukuthengiselana kwenziwa ngezimpahla zangempela, hhayi njengekusasa, lapho singakhulumi ngokudluliswa kwezimpahla.
Okuya phambili kuklanyelwe ukuvikela ababambiqhaza ekuhwebeni ngokumelene nokuguquguquka kwentengo okungenzeka kwenzeke ngokuzayo. Azikho izindinganiso eziqinile lapho uphetha inkontileka, ngakho-ke, ukuthengiselana okunjalo akukwazi ukwenziwa ekuhwebeni.
[i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11877″ align=”aligncenter” width=”653″]
- imigomo – oya phambili uzophothulwa ngokudayiswa noma ukuthengwa kwezimpahla zangempela, okusho ukucatshangelwa kwazo zonke izimo ezizuzisa izinhlangothi zombili. Esimeni sesibili, izinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo zivikela izikhundla zazo noma ziyazuza ekwehlukeni kwamanani. Ikusasa kuphela ku-5% wamacala aholela abathintekayo ekuhwebeni kwezimpahla zangempela noma amathuluzi ezezimali;
- umthamo wempahla – lapho uphetha inkontileka yangaphambili, abahlanganyeli ekwenziweni babala ngokuzimela umthamo odingekayo, becabangela izidingo zabo. Endabeni yekusasa, amanani anqunywa ukushintshaniswa, futhi abahlanganyeli bemakethe banelungelo lokuqalisa inombolo ethile yezinkontileka;
- ikhwalithi yezinsimbi – phambili kunikeza ithuba lokusebenzisa izimpahla zanoma iyiphi ikhwalithi, kuye ngokuthi yiziphi izicelo ezivela kumthengi. Uma kuziwa esikhathini esizayo, ikhwalithi yamathuluzi inqunywa ukucaciswa kokushintshisana;
- ukulethwa kwezimpahla – lapho kusayinwa phambili, izimpahla zilethwa njalo, futhi lapho kuphetha ukulethwa kwekusasa kwenziwa ngendlela esungulwe ukushintshana, kodwa ezimweni eziningi akufiki kulokhu nhlobo;
- imigomo – imigomo yokulethwa lapho usayinda ukudlulisela phambili inqunywa amaqembu okwenziwayo. Imigomo yezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo inqunywa ukushintshaniswa;
- i- liquidity – inkontileka eya phambili ibonakala nge-liquidity elinganiselwe, njengoba imigomo yesiphetho sayo yamukelekile kumbuthano othile wamaphathi okwaphothulwa phakathi kwawo. Amakusasa angamathuluzi awuketshezi kakhulu, nokho, izinga lale nkomba lincike kwikhwalithi yempahla eyisisekelo.
[i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11876” align = “aligncenter” wide = “456”]
Amasu okuhweba amakusasa
Ukuze bahwebe ngekusasa, abahwebi basebenzisa amasu amaningana adumile:
- ishejuli yokushintshisana yenkontileka iqhathaniswa nenyanga ezayo lapho ukulethwa kuhlelelwe khona kanye nesikhathi sokubika esisilandelayo;
- ukuqhathanisa kwenziwa phakathi kwentengo yendawo yesheya nenkontileka yesikhathi esizayo, uma inani layo liphakeme, khona-ke sikhuluma nge- contango , ebhekwa njengeprimiyamu ehlobene nenani lempahla. Uma isimo sihlehliswa emakethe, khona-ke kuthiwa ukubuyisela emuva , okubhekwa njengesaphulelo ngokuphathelene nezindleko eziyisisekelo. Kumehluko wezinga lokushintshisana ovela kulesi simo lapho abahwebi abahola khona;
- ukutadisha ishadi lesikhathi esizayo kusetshenziswa ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, izinkomba, izici ezibalulekile ezingathinta intengo yenkontileka.
Ukuhweba ngamaleveli okusekela:
- okwesikhashana;
- indawo;
- ikhalenda.
[i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11884″ align=”aligncenter” width=”820″]
Izinzuzo nobubi bokuhweba kwekusasa
Kunezinzuzo ezimbalwa zokuhweba kwesikhathi esizayo:
- azikho izindleko ezengeziwe kanye nezimali ezifihliwe;
- kukhona ukufinyelela echibini lekusasa eliphelelwa yisikhathi unyaka;
- izinga eliphezulu lemali yempahla, ukuntengantenga kanye nokuhweba okuguquguqukayo.
Ububi bezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo zokuhweba:
- akufanelekile ukuhweba isikhathi eside, njengoba kusebenza isikhathi esithile;
- lapho kuphelelwa yisikhathi, amadili avalwa ngokuzenzakalelayo, kucatshangelwa intengo yemakethe yamanje kanye nama-oda alindile ayasuswa;
- awukwazi ukudlulisela ukuhweba okuvulekile kwinkontileka ephelelwa yisikhathi ngenyanga ezayo.
Kala zonke izinzuzo nezingozi ngaphambi kokuhweba ngalawa mathuluzi ayingozi kakhulu.
Izinhlobo zezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo
Kunezinhlobo ezimbili zezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo:
- Ukulethwa.
- Settlement – ngaphandle ukudiliva.
Ikusasa elilethwayo libophezela umthengi nomthengisi ukuthi empeleni badayise izimpahla futhi bazikhokhele ngaphakathi kwemigomo eshiwo kunkontileka. Ukuxazululwa phakathi kwabo kwenziwa ngentengo eyamiswa ngosuku lokugcina lokuhweba. Uma, ngosuku olunqunyiwe, umdayisi akakwazanga ukuhlinzeka umthengi ngezimpahla, khona-ke ukushintshaniswa kubeka izinhlawulo kuye.
Kulinganiselweikusasa alihlangene nhlobo nokunikezwa kwangempela kwemikhiqizo. Kucatshangwa ukuthi enye yezinhlangano izokhokhela enye ingxenye kumsebenzi umehluko phakathi kwevelu yempahla ngesikhathi sokuthenga kanye nenani langempela lomkhiqizo ngesikhathi sokuphela kwenkontileka. Ukuxazulula phakathi kwama-counterparties kwenziwa ngemali, futhi ukulethwa kwempahla ngokomzimba akuhlinzekiwe. Ukuthengiselana okunjalo kwenzelwa ukubiyela noma ukukhohlisa okuqagelayo. I-Hedging ikuvumela ukuthi ulinganise ukulahlekelwa okungenzeka okutholiwe lapho uphetha inkontileka kwenye imakethe.
Intengo yenkontileka ye-Futures – contango kanye nokubuyisela emuva
Inkontileka yesikhathi esizayo ihlukaniswa njengempahla yokushintshisana eyodwa, enenani elihlukile kunentengo yempahla. Le nkomba ingase ithintwe izibikezelo nobungozi obubangelwa ushintsho okungenzeka lube khona esihlokweni sezivumelwano okufinyelelwe kuzo ngaphambilini. Intengo yempahla emakethe kanye nentengo yesikhathi esizayo yale mpahla ingaba nesilinganiso esibi noma esihle.
Uma inkontileka ibiza kakhulu kunempahla, lesi sifundazwe sibizwa nge-contango. Esimeni lapho isimo sihlehliswa, sikhuluma ngokuhlehla.
Kulesi simo, iningi labatshalizimali lithemba ukuthi intengo yempahla ekuhwebeni izokwehla kakhulu maduze. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11886” align = “aligncenter” wide = “800”]
Umshwalense
Ukuhweba kwenziwa ngaphansi kokuhlinzekwa kokuthengiselana, ngediphozithi, inani layo elingu-2 – 10% yenani lentengo yempahla yenkontileka. Lona umshwalense odingwa ukushintshaniswa kwezinhlangothi zombili ezingena kwinkontileka. Inani elibekiwe livinjiwe kuma-akhawunti, okwenza uhlobo lwesibambiso. Uma intengo yekusasa ikhuphuka, khona-ke umkhawulo womdayisi uyakhula, futhi uma wehla, uyancipha. Le ndlela ikuvumela ukuthi ugweme inqubo yokukhokha lapho uphetha inkontileka. Uma ikusasa libanjwa lize livalwe, abathintekayo bafeza izibopho zabo ngokuletha izimpahla noma ukudlulisa ukheshi. Lapho omunye wabahlanganyeli engafuni ukufeza izibopho zakhe, ukushintshaniswa kuyamenzela, azishiye inani elithile kusukela kusiqinisekiso. Lolu hlelo lusebenza kuphela ezinkontilekeni ezihlinzekela ukulethwa kwempahla.
Amadethi okuphelelwa yisikhathi
Kunezinsuku ezimbalwa zokuphela kwenkontileka. Isibonelo, kunkomba yedola, amasheya, amathuluzi ezezimali, idethi yokuphelelwa yisikhathi injalo ngekota ngoLwesihlanu lwesithathu lwenyanga yokugcina yekota. Kukhona ikusasa eliphuma nyanga zonke, ikakhulukazi i-CME Crude Oil. Ezinye izinhlobo zezinkontileka zingaphela ngezinye izinsuku. Ukuze uhwebe ngekusasa ngendlela ekhiqizayo, kufanele ukhumbule usuku lokuphelelwa yisikhathi kwenkontileka. Uma kukhona ukwehla okungalindelekile kwevolumu ngemva kokuphela kosuku olulandelayo lokuhweba, khona-ke isikhathi silungile, futhi abadayisi abaningi baqala ukuvala ukuthengiselana ngaphambi kokuqedwa kwenkontileka. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_11871” align = “aligncenter” wide = “498”]
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