Ikhandlela laseJapan elithi “Hammer” ekuhlaziyeni lobuchwepheshe ekuhwebeni

Ikhandlela laseJapan elithi “Hammer” – ukwakhiwa, incazelo eshadini kanye nesicelo ekuhwebeni. Isando yiphethini eyodwa yokuguqula ikhandlela emise okwesando esilenga odongeni. Isici – uthi lwekhandlela linomthunzi omude, odlula umzimba okungenani kabili. Ukubukeka kwaleli phethini kutshela umhwebi ukuthi alungiselele ukuguqulwa kwemakethe.
 

Izici zesikhombi sesando

Isando sivela kuphela phansi emakethe, ngemva kokunyakaza okude kwehle. Uma umhwebi ebona isando phezulu emakethe, akufanele asibheke njengesignali yokuthenga. Isando esiphezulu emakethe sibizwa ngokuthi “indoda elengayo” futhi sikhuluma ngokwehla kwentengo okuseduze.

Isando singaba nomzimba obomvu noma omhlophe, akunandaba. Isando se-bullish siyathandeka, ungangena kwezohwebo ngokuzethemba okwengeziwe, kodwa akuniki inzuzo enkulu ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi esimaphakathi (esikhathini esingaphezu kwesosuku). Isando sibonakala ngezici ezilandelayo:

• umzimba omncane, ocishe ufane nesikwele;
• isithunzi sidlula umzimba izikhathi ezingaphezu kwezingu-2;
• cishe asikho isithunzi sesibili;
• isithunzi singaba ngezansi nangaphezulu (khona-ke iphethini ibizwa ngokuthi isando esihlanekezelwe);
• kwakheka ku-downtrend;
• ukuguquguquka okuphezulu – isando kufanele sibe nebanga elibalulekile phakathi kobuncane nobukhulu, amakhandlela angomakhelwane angaphezu kwama-2-3

Iphethini ibangelwa yi-psychology, ngesikhathi esithile umthengi oqinile wabonakala, ekwazi ukuxosha ukuhlasela okunamandla kwabathengisi. Ngakho-ke, kunethuba elikhulu lokuthi izinkunzi zizoba namandla anele okuthuthukisa i-uptrend (isikhathi esifushane noma eside). Amandla esignali ayanda uma yakheka ezingeni elibalulekile lokusekela, kungaba ileveli yomlando, ileveli ye-Fibonacci noma umugqa wethrendi. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/fibonacci-channel.htm Isando esihlanekezelwe asihlukile kwesakudala, isibambo siyafana ubude, yisibalo kuphela esibheke phansi. I-psychology iyafana – amabhere abusa kakhulu emakethe futhi kuvela umthengi oqinile ongaphakamisa izingcaphuno kakhulu. Umzamo wokuqala uyaxoshwa, kodwa izinkunzi ziqoqe amandla okuhlasela okusha futhi zahlehlisa ukuthambekela. Isando (isando esihlanekezelwe) singase sivele phezulu kuthrendi.
Ungabheki amasignali ngaphansi kosekelo, noma phakathi nethrendi. Futhi kubalulekile ukunaka ukuguquguquka kwephethini. Umthengi kufanele agqame ukuze ahlehlise ukuthrenda.

Amandla ephethini

Akuzona zonke izando ezisebenza ngendlela esingathanda ngayo – ukungena kwethu kusekuqaleni komnyakazo wethrendi. Kunezibonakaliso ezimbalwa lapho umdayisi angabonakalisa amandla ephethini:

• umzimba omhlophe – ekuhwebeni kwe-intraday kunezela ukuzethemba ekwenziweni. Izinkunzi zinamandla kakhulu, kodwa amabhere awanawo amandla anele okulawula ikhandlela;
• isando sakhiwe ngamavolumu aqondile;
• izikhala – ukuvulwa kwekhandlela lesignali kwenzeka ngegebe, izinkunzi, ngemva kokuphumula okufushane, zathatha isinyathelo futhi zacindezela intengo ngokuqinile;
• iphethini yakhiwe ezingeni eliqinile lokusekela, kuyilapho intengo ingalungisi ephansi;
• isikhathi esibekelwe – iphethini ingatholakala kunoma yisiphi isikhathi, uma isikhathi siphezulu, iphethini ithembeke kakhulu. Iphesenti eliphakeme kakhulu lezimayini likusando eshadini lamasonto onke;
• emva kwesando, kwakhiwa isibani sekhandlela esiqinile;
• kunezibonakaliso ezengeziwe ezivela ezinkomba, ukungena okuhle kuzotholakala uma isando sakhiwe kanyekanye nokuhlukana kwe -RSI noma i-AO inkomba. Kuyafaneleka ukunaka amasiginali esikhathini esingaphezu kwehora elingu-1.

Ikhandlela lesando ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe: https://youtu.be/Dt2ItrqNGn0

Indlela yokuhweba ikhandlela – iphethini yesando ekuhwebeni ngokusebenza

Abahwebi bahlangabezana nephethini yekhandlela yesando nesando ehlanekezelwe kuzo zonke izimakethe, kungaba amasheya noma uwoyela noma igolide. Ungawahweba nganoma yisiphi isikhathi, kodwa kuyanconywa ukuthi usebenzise isikhathi esibekelwe esikhudlwana. Kunezizathu eziningana zalokhu:

• ukwethembeka – isikhathi esiphezulu, amathuba amakhulu okumba izimayini;
• i- volatility – amahora angu-4 ngisho nezinsuku eziningi zenani lentengo futhi kunethuba lokungena ekuqaleni komkhuba ozohlala okungenani isonto;
• isilinganiso senzuzo yengozi – kuyadingeka ukugcina okungenani 1 kuya ku-3 phakathi kokuma futhi uthathe inzuzo.Kunzima ukwenza lokhu eshadini leminithi, kule ndlela isilinganiso esivame kakhulu singu-1 kuya ku-1;
• ukuze uthole ukuqinisekiswa okwengeziwe, ungasebenzisa ishadi leqoqo noma ishadi lamavolumu avundlile . Isignali enhle inevolumu emthunzini wesando.

Uma ukuhweba kwenziwa
nge-intraday, lapho isivumelwano sivalwa ngempela ekupheleni kosuku, izimpawu zingaseshwa ku-m15-m30. Kuzoba nokunye ukuthengiselana, kodwa izinga labo libi kakhulu. Ngokuhweba okunjalo, umhwebi kufanele alungele ukulahlekelwa njalo. I-Hammer kumashadi ansuku zonke noma amasonto onke ayivamile ukwenzeka, ngezinye izikhathi kufanele ulinde inyanga noma ngaphezulu ukuze uthole uhwebo. Futhi ukuthengiselana ngokwako kungathatha isonto noma inyanga. Ukuze uthole amasiginali amaningi, umhwebi kufanele aqaphe amashadi amathuluzi amaningi. Ukuhweba kulinganiswa kakhulu futhi ngemva kokubonakala kwesando, kunezinye izinsuku ezingu-1-2 zokwenza isinqumo sokungena kuthengiselana. Izinqumo ngokuhweba nge-intraday kumele zenziwe ngokushesha.

I-algorithm yokuhweba

1. Imakethe isesimweni esiqinile, okungenani isonto.
2. Intengo isondela ezingeni elibalulekile lokusekela. Kunezimfuneko zokuthi leli zinga lingase libe ubuncane bemakethe isikhathi esithile.
3. Ikhandlela lesando lakhiwa ezingeni.
4. Ngaphansi kwezinga lokusekela, intengo ihambe nesithunzi kuphela. Kungase kube nezando ezi-2 noma ezi-3 ezingeni elifanayo. Lokhu kukhulisa isignali. Izinkunzi ziqine ngokwanele ukugcina intengo ivaliwe ngaphezu kokusekelwa.
5. Ngemuva kwesando, kukhona isiqinisekiso – i-bullish eqinile marubozu noma ikhandlela le-doji. Kubalulekile ukuthi intengo ingehli ngaphansi kokusekelwa ngomzimba.
6. Vula ukuhweba kokuthenga ngenhla nje phezulu kwekhandlela.
7. Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kubekwa ngemuva kwesithunzi.
8. Thatha inzuzo isethwe ezingeni eliphakeme izikhathi ezi-3 kune-stop. Noma ngaphezulu.
9. Uma ikhandlela lesando linomthunzi omkhulu kakhulu, ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka kungafakwa ngaphansi nje kokuvulwa kwekhandlela.
10. Uma, ngemva kokungena kwezohwebo, intengo ingabonisi amandla – iwa kancane kancane futhi imile, umhwebi ukhetha ukuphuma emakethe ngemva kokuwohloka komugqa wesikhathi esifushane futhi alinde ukuthi isimo sixazululwe.
11.  Uma isando sinomthunzi omude futhi umhwebi efuna ukuthola isilinganiso esingcono somvuzo wengozi, ungasetha isaziso lapho intengo ibuyisela u-50% wesithunzi. Ungabeka i-oda lomkhawulo ezingeni. Noma shintshela esimisweni sesikhathi esincane bese uzama ukuthola esinye isando kuleveli. Isitobhi sisethwe ngaphansi kokuphansi kwekhandlela. Thatha inzuzo kuleli cala isethwe njenge-10x ukusuka esitobhini.
12. Ngokuvamile ithrendi entsha iqala ngesando eshadini lansuku zonke noma lamasonto onke. Ngemuva kokufinyelela inzuzo yokuthatha, i-stop ishukunyiswa ku-breakeven hhayi konke, kodwa ingxenye kuphela yesikhundla ivaliwe. Kungcono ukuvala ngaphezu kuka-50% wesikhundla. Okusele kungabanjwa kuze kuvele isignali ephambene (ilenga) noma ngokuhambisa isitobhi endaweni yenzuzo.
13. Ngemva kokuqinisekisa ushintsho lomkhuba nokufinyelela inzuzo yokuthatha, isikhundla asivaliwe. Ukulahlekelwa kokumiswa kuthuthela endaweni ephephile futhi kuthengwa enye impahla. Ungathenga umthamo ofanayo noma izikhathi ezingu-2-5 ezincane. Umthetho oyinhloko ukuthi lapho ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka kufinyelelwa, ingozi ayikhuli. Ngokufanelekile, isitobhi sasizoma kuphela ekuphumuleni. Thatha inzuzo ayisethiwe, umhwebi uqapha imakethe futhi, lapho isignali isikhathi eside yenzeka, ivula ukuhweba okusha futhi inyakaze isitobhi. Phuma ku-transaction – kwimodi yezandla lapho kuvela isignali ehlehlayo noma lapho ukulahlekelwa kokuma kufinyelelwa. Okwenziwayo kungaba okwesikhathi esifushane futhi kuqhubeke izinsuku ezimbalwa noma ngisho izinyanga.

Amaphutha okuhweba ngesando

Abahwebi abaqala ukuhweba ngesando eshadini bavame ukudumazeka ngokushesha ngephethini. Kubonakala kubo ukuthi ayinikezi inzuzo, isebenza 50/50. Abahwebi, lapho behweba ngesando, benza amaphutha alandelayo:

• bheka iphethini ekusekelweni okubuthakathaka, noma yikuphi eshadini, futhi hhayi ngaphansi kwemakethe;
• faka uhwebo ngaphandle kokuqinisekisa ngokunyakaza okuqinile okuya phansi;
• ukuguquguquka kwesando kuphansi – ububanzi bentengo kufanele bube phezulu kunalowo wamakhandlela angu-2-3 angomakhelwane. Lo mqondo uzimele, futhi ngisho nesando esibi singasebenza, kodwa i-psychology yephethini iyimpendulo yokuhlasela okuqinile. Uma bekungekho ukuhlaselwa, khona-ke akukho lutho olungenziwa;
• isithunzi esincane noma umzimba omkhulu kakhulu;
• bathatha ngesando amakhandlela afanayo, kodwa ngamakhandlela amakhulu nhlangothi zombili – doji. I-Doji iyisithombe sokungaqiniseki, kuyilapho isando sibonisa ukunqoba kwezinkunzi okwamanje;
• umqondo wokuba phansi nangaphezulu emakethe – subjective. Kuyingozi kakhulu ukuhweba nge-countertrend emakethe ewayo . Intengo ingenza i-bounce encane kuphela, enganele ukufinyelela izinga lokuthatha inzuzo, futhi uqhubeke nokuhamba phansi. Umhwebi ohweba ngetafula angenza ukuhweba okungaphumelelanga okungu-2-3 noma ngaphezulu ngokulandelana;
• uma isilinganiso ekuthengiseni singu-2 kuya ku-10 nangaphezulu, ukuhweba okunenzuzo kwanele ukwenza ngaphezu kwe-1 ukuthengiselana okunenzuzo ku-10. Iphutha eliyinhloko yi-psychology, isifiso sokuyeka ukulahlekelwa. Abahwebi basusa ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka, lokhu kuholela ekulahlekelweni okukhulu;
• Elinye iphutha elivamile lithatha inzuzo ngesilinganiso esingaphansi kwe-1 kuya ku-3. Abahwebi kufanele baqonde ukuthi le ndlela ayinanzuzo kude. Ngisho noma okwamanje bezwa imizwa emnandi evela kuthengiselwano olunenzuzo.

Isando siyiphethini yekhandlela okulula ukuyibona eshadini. Kungasiza umhwebi abikezele isenzo samanani esizayo. Nokho, ukuhweba ngezando kuphela, uma umhwebi ehweba ngenani lomvuzo wengozi elingaphansi kuka-1 kuya ku-3, kungase kungabi nanzuzo. Kuyadingeka ukufuna ukukhulisa isilinganiso somvuzo wobungozi. Ukwandisa amathuba okuthenga okuphumelelayo, udinga ukusebenzisa ukuqinisekiswa okwengeziwe – amakhandlela alandelayo, ukufundwa kwezinkomba noma ulwazi oluvela eshadini leqoqo. Ukuqinisekiswa okuhle yi-bullish Mirabozu – ikhandlela elinomzimba omude futhi cishe alikho izithunzi. Ukusebenzisa Isando Ekuhlaziyeni Okubanzi Kungathuthukisa Impumelelo Yokuhweba