Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni

Методы и инструменты анализа

Amaphethini “Indebe enesibambo” kanye “Nesoso” kumashadi amanani akhiwa isikhathi eside futhi ayivelakancane. Kodwa-ke, zisebenza njengezibonakaliso ezinhle: eyokuqala ingase ibonise ukuqhubeka komkhuba we-bullish wesikhathi eside, okwesibili – ukuguqulwa okuzayo komkhuba we-bearish.
Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni

Incazelo yamashadi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe indebe enesibambo neSaucer

“Indebe enesibambo” kanye “Nesoso” ingeyamaqembu ahlukene wamaphethini: ithrendi nokuhlehla, ngokulandelana. Njengomthetho, zisetshenziswa ngabatshalizimali abanolwazi abagxile ekutshalweni kwezimali isikhathi eside.

Ngesikhathi esifushane, izibalo ezinjalo azivamile futhi zibhekwa njengamasignali abuthakathaka.

Iphethini “Indebe enesibambo”

Iphethini yentengo yeNkomishi neHandle iwumfanekiso omise okwe-U onegatsha elincane (ukulungisa) ekugcineni kwesokudla. Lesi sibalo sokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe sibhekwa njengesignali ye-bullish futhi sithathwa njengophawu lokuqhubeka kwe-uptrend. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_13480” align = “aligncenter” wide = “624”]
Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni Iphethini “Inkomishi enesibambo” [/ amazwibela] Imodeli “Indebe enesibambo” yakhiwa kusukela kumaviki angu-7 kuya kwangu-65. Ingxenye yokwakheka okumise okwesitsha yenziwa lapho abahwebi beqala ukuthatha inzuzo ngobuningi. Kulo mzuzu, uhlangothi lwesobunxele lwesibalo luyakhiwa. Okuphansi kwakheka lapho abathengisi bengasakwazi ukunikeza amasheya ngentengo entsha enesaphulelo futhi ukuhlanganiswa kwempahla kuyaqala. Le nqubo ithatha izinsuku ezingu-4 kuya kwezingu-28, ngemva kwalokho izindleko ziqala ukukhula ngokushesha. Esikhathini esithile sokukhula, intengo ihlangabezana nokuphikiswa lapho izama ukuphumela phezulu, futhi iphethini yenza isibambo. Umgomo ufinyelelwa okwesibili kuphela, ngoba. abathengisi sebevele belungisiwe.
Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni Kukholakala ukuthi iphethini ethi “Cup and Handle” inikeza izimpawu eziqine kakhulu zokuqhubeka kwethrendi “ye-bullish”, ngaphansi kwezimo ezilandelayo:

  • Iphansi elimise okwe-U lomfanekiso alinawo amakhona abukhali;
  • izingxenye ze-concave azijulile kakhulu;
  • ivolumu ilingana ngokuqondile nenani.

Iphethini “Indebe enesibambo” ekuhwebeni kwangempela, incazelo kanye nokuthi imodeli isho ukuthini ekuhlaziyeni kobuchwepheshe: https://youtu.be/WB-xPUxdL98

Iphethini yeSaucer

Iphethini yeSaucer ikhombisa ukuguqulwa okungenzeka kwethrendi ekhona. Kuwukwakheka okumise okwe-U okubonakala ekugcineni kokushona phansi okude futhi ngokuvamile kubonisa ukuguqulwa kwentengo okuseduze. Isikhathi sephethini singahluka kusukela ngesonto kuya ezinyangeni ezimbalwa. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, kunzima ukukhombisa ngokucacile ukuthi isibalo sakhiwe nini. Ngokusemthethweni, kukholakala ukuthi lokhu kwenzeka ngesikhathi sokunqoba izinga okwaqala ukuvela ngalo.
Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni Imibandela yokwakhiwa kwemodeli ye-“Saucer”:

  • ukubukeka kwesibalo kwandulelwa i-downtrend ende eshiwo;
  • lapho ufinyelela inani eliphansi lentengo, isigaba sokuhlanganisa siyaqala, ukubonakaliswa kwesithombe okungaphansi kwe “Saucer”;
  • intengo nokunyakaza kwevolumu kuhambisana.

Izinhlobonhlobo zenkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo

Amaphethini achaziwe okuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe angabukwa ehlanekezelwe, ekhombisa izinqubo eziphambene nalezo ezibonwa endabeni yokwakheka kwamaphethini ajwayelekile.

Inkomishi ehlanekezelwe enephethini yesibambo

Inkomishi nesibambo esihlanekezelwe yiphethini yokuqhubeka kwethrendi ye-bearish. Ukwakhiwa kwephethini kuqala ngokukhuphuka kwenani lempahla. Ukuhlanganiswa okwengeziwe kuyabonwa, futhi intengo ibuyela endaweni lapho ukukhula kuqale khona. Bese kuba nokulungiswa okuncane okuya phezulu, ngemva kwalokho ishadi liphinde ligijimele phansi.
Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni

Imodeli “Isoso eliguquliwe”

Kubonisa ukuthi intengo yempahla isifinyelele phezulu futhi ukuphakama sekufike ekugcineni. Njengoba intengo ayikwazi ukukhuphuka ngokungapheli, ngesikhathi esithile ijwayele ukuhamba eceleni, bese iqala ukwehla kancane kancane. Ngemva kwesikhathi esithile, ukuwa kuyashesha futhi kwakheka umkhuba ozinzile othi “bearish”. Le phethini ayikuvumeli ukuqagela okuphathelene nokusebenza kwentengo, kodwa ibonisa ukuthi izimpahla zisengozini yokuwa okungalindelekile nokushesha.

Sebenzisa kwezohwebo

Nakuba amaphethini acatshangelwayo abhekwa njengamasiginali amahle ngezikhathi ezinkulu, ukukhonjwa kwawo kudinga ukucwaninga kwezinkomba eziningi ngesikhathi esisodwa. Uma kungenjalo, maningi amathuba okwenza iphutha. Kunconywa ukusebenzisa amathuluzi engeziwe, okuhlanganisa izinkomba nokuhlaziya okuyisisekelo.

Ukuhweba ngemodeli yendebe nesibambo

Kunezindlela ezi-3 zokuhweba zephethini yeNdebe neHandle:

  1. Unolaka . Lena indlela eyingozi kakhulu esekelwe ekuhlaziyweni kwepeni. Okokuqala, amazinga okusekela nawokumelana adwetshwa eshadini ebangeni lokulungisa. Ngokushesha lapho izingcaphuno “zidlula” ezingeni eliphezulu, ungafaka ama-oda. I-Stop Loss imakwe ngaphansi komugqa wokuphuma.
  2. Okujwayelekile . Uma ukulungiswa kuthathelwa indawo ukukhuphuka okubukhali kwezingcaphuno futhi kugcina ngokuthi “ukuphuka” kwezinga lokuqala kwayo, ama-oda abekwe. I-Stop Loss imakwe ngaphansi komugqa wokumelana.
  3. I-Conservative . Lena indlela ethandwa kakhulu kusukela ingozi encane futhi enokwethenjelwa. Uma ukhetha isikhathi sokungena emakethe, ukuhlukaniswa komugqa wezobuchwepheshe oxhuma iziqongo “zendebe” kulindeleke. Kungcono ukuvula ama-oda ngemuva kokuhlola kabusha umugqa wokuphuma. I-Stop Loss isethwe ngezansi “kwesibambo” noma ikhandlela elakhiwe ngesikhathi “se-rebound” (uma likhulu).

Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni
Ukuhweba ngephethini yenkomishi nesibambo
Uma sihlaziya, akufanele sikhohlwe ukuthi iphethini “yendebe nesibambo” ingase ibe iphethini yamanga. Izimo ezilandelayo zibhekwa njengezimpawu zeqiniso layo:

  • isibalo sandulelwe ukukhuphuka okuveziwe;
  • isibalo sidwetshwa ngokucacile lapho kukhethwa izikhawu zesikhathi esikhulu (D1, W1);
  • “Indebe” inomumo olungile, ongaqinisekiswa ngezibalo: isilinganiso se-arithmetic phakathi kwesiphezulu sodonga lwesokunxele kanye nephuzu eliphansi eliphansi lingaphansi kwe-arithmetic mean phakathi kwe-extrema “yesibambo”;
  • umugqa omaphakathi onyakazayo onenkathi engu-200 ungaphansi kobubanzi bokulungisa.

Inkomishi yezibalo zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe enesibambo nesosi ekuhwebeni

Ukuhweba Ngephethini Yesoso

Abatshalizimali abalinde ithuba lokuvula izikhundla ezinde kufanele babuke amandla e-saucer bottom. Ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka kokuqala kwezingcaphuno, bayaqhubeka nokubheka. Ukuthengwa kwenziwa uma i-spike entsha ezintengo iphula phezulu yangaphambilini. Namuhla, isibalo esithi “Saucer” cishe asikaze sisetshenziswe, ngoba. kunokuntengantenga okuphezulu ezimakethe zomhlaba. Ukubikezela ukukhula kwesikhathi eside kunzima.

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