VIX mantha index: kusanthula kusakhazikika ndikuneneratu msika

The VIX Fear and Volatility Index – chomwe chiri, momwe mungalungamitsire ndi momwe mungadziwiretu. 

VIX index – ndichiyani

Mlozera wa VIX ndi chizindikiro chomwe chimawonetsa
kusakhazikika kwachuma . Kupanda kutero, imatchedwa chizindikiro cha malingaliro amalonda. Makhalidwe apamwamba a index ya VIX akuwonetsa mantha ofanana a osewera m’misika yamasheya, pomwe zotsika, m’malo mwake, zimawonetsa mkhalidwe wokhutiritsa wa osunga ndalama.

Kodi CBOE Volatility Index ndi chiyani

CBOE volatility index ndi chizindikiro chomwe chikuwonetsa zomwe zikuyembekezeka pamsika wachitetezo. Zimasintha kutengera kusintha kwaposachedwa mu index ya
S&P 500 , index yayikulu yachuma cha United States. Zoneneratu za kusakhazikika kwa masiku 30 apitawa zikuganiziridwa. Kuletsa kwakanthawi kotereku kumachitika chifukwa chakuti masiku otha ntchito pa index ya SPX amaganiziridwa.

Kumvetsetsa chizindikiro cha VIX

Tchati cha VIX chikuwonetsa ziyembekezo za osunga ndalama m’masiku otsatira 365. Zopotoka ndi zosagwirizana zimaganiziridwanso, mwachitsanzo, pa S&P 500 index. Kupatuka kwakukulu ndiko kuyenda kwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali womwe umagwera pansi pa 68 peresenti. Tiyeni tione chitsanzo chosavuta. Ngati tchati cha VIX chikuwerengera 15 lero, chiwerengerocho ndi chofanana ndi peresenti ya mtengo wamakono wa S&P kukhala wofanana ndi zomwe zidakambidwa kale.
Posanthula chizindikiro cha VIX, ndikofunikira kukhala ndi mtengo wake pakadali pano, komanso kusanthula kuchokera ku mbiri yakale. Ndiko kuti, samalani ngati zochitika zoterezi zachitikapo pamsika. Ngati chizindikiro cholembedwa sichidutsa 20, ndiye kuti izi zikuwonetsa kutsika kwa mantha amalonda ndi mosemphanitsa.

Momwe VIX imawerengedwera

Muyenera kuyamba ndikuti index yomwe ikufunsidwa sizinthu wamba, koma zosankha. Ndiko kuti, wogulitsa akhoza kugulitsa masheya kapena ma bond pamtengo wokonzedweratu m’tsogolomu. Kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo wa zosankha kumachitika panthawi yomwe msika ukuchepa kapena kusinthasintha nthawi zonse mbali zonse ziwiri. Kukula sikuchitika nthawi zonse, koma nthawi zambiri, kotero ena amawona zosankha ngati inshuwalansi yabwino kuti ateteze katundu wawo. Zopindulitsa zazikulu zimachitika pamene zotetezedwa zimagonjetsedwa ndi kusasunthika kwakukulu.

Momwe VIX inganeneratu zam’tsogolo

Msika wogulitsa ukhoza kupereka kugula osati zotetezedwa pamtengo wokonzedweratu, komanso zosankha pa S & P 500 index. Nambala yomwe ili pamutu imasonyeza chiwerengero cha makampani akuluakulu a America omwe sali olamulidwa ndi boma – iwo ndi apadera. . Akatswiri opanga ma index amaganizira mtengo weniweni wa zosankha za mwezi watha. Khalidwe la S&P 500 litha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuwerengera kusakhazikika kwamtsogolo posanthula zonse zolowera ndi kutuluka.

Kodi kutsika kumatanthauza chiyani?

Mlozera wa VIX umatha kuwonetsa kuchuluka kwa mantha komanso momwe angatengere ndalama. Izi zimachitika posanthula kusakhazikika koyembekezeka. The apamwamba ankaona chizindikiro, ndi mantha kwambiri ndi nkhawa msika, ndi otsika chizindikiro zimasonyeza zosiyana – bata ndi kukhutitsidwa kwa ndalama.

Momwe mungagulitsire VIX

VIX sichingagulidwe mwachindunji, koma palibe amene amaletsa osunga ndalama kuti asagulitse muzosankha zomwe zikufunsidwa. Ndikokwanira kutsegula malo mumsika woyenerera, zonse zomwe mungasankhe ndi zam’tsogolo ndizoyenera. Kugulitsa ndi njira yokondedwa kwa onse ogulitsa ndi amalonda. Pogwiritsa ntchito chida ichi, mukhoza kutchinga mbiri yomwe ilipo, komanso kupeza phindu pa kusintha kwa mtengo wa ndondomekoyi, ngati kuchepa kwakukulu kwa katundu muzochitikazo kukuyembekezeka posachedwa. VIX Fear and Volatility Index ikhoza kuwonedwa pa intaneti pa: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjyz6qymvP5AhUv_7sIHS8kARIQ3ecFegQIHxAg

Momwe mungapangire ndalama pa VIX

Mu 2008, pamene mavuto azachuma padziko lonse anachitika, chidwi cha osewera m’misika yamasheya kuti apeze ndalama pakusintha kwa msika wachitetezo chinakula kwambiri. Uyu anali kalambulabwalo wa kubetcha pakusintha kwamtengo wamtengo wapatali. Zotsatira za zochitika za 2008 ndi misika yatsopano ndi zinthu zomwe zimakulolani kuti mugwiritse ntchito ndondomeko ya VIX. Izi zitha kuchitika pogwiritsa ntchito
ETFs ndi ETNs.

• Otsatsa ena amagwiritsa ntchito zida zomwe zimaganiziridwa kuti apeze ndalama kwakanthawi kochepa pazongopeka – kusintha kwa index.
• The ena hedge – inshuwaransi katundu alipo pa kusinthanitsa pa kuchepa kwa mtengo pazifukwa zina. Zotsatira zakusintha kotereku kudzakhala chipukuta misozi, chifukwa index yofananira idzakula.

Njira yamalonda yomwe ingagwiritsidwe ntchito

Pali njira zambiri zamalonda zochokera ku VIX. Tiyeni tiwone imodzi mwazothandiza kwambiri komanso zotetezeka – kugulitsa pa ETN. Chidulechi chikhoza kufanana ndi chida chapamwamba, koma izi sizowona kwathunthu. Monga tanenera kale, kutsika kwa VIX kumakhazikitsidwa pa nthawi yochepa komanso kukhazikika kwakukulu pamsika wogulitsa. Komabe, zimakula panthawi yakusatsimikizika komanso mantha a osewera, kuphatikiza kusakhazikika kwachuma. Chofunika kwambiri cha ndondomekoyi ndikuwunika zizindikiro zamakono, komanso mbiri yakale, zomwe zidzalola kufufuza kwakukulu kwa msika. Kuonjezera apo, njira yomwe ili pamwambayi ingagwiritsidwe ntchito pamodzi ndi zizindikiro zina zamakono. Zitha kukhala zothandiza, mwachitsanzo, kuwunika kumalizidwa kwa zochitika ndi nthawi. Pofuna kuchita kafukufuku waukadaulo,
Gulu la Bollinger ndi nthawi zisanu ndi zinayi zosavuta
zosuntha .

• Bollinger Band ndi chida chomwe chimawonetsa kusakhazikika ndikukulolani kuti muzitha kuyang’anira nthawi yomwe mtengo ukuyembekezeka kusintha. Mu ndondomeko yomwe ikuganiziridwa, ingagwiritsidwe ntchito ngati chizindikiro cha kuchira kwa pafupifupi.
• Kusuntha kwamagulu awiri kudzakuthandizani kukonzanso zolemba zanu.

Ndikoyenera kunena kuti njirayi ingagwiritsidwe ntchito pazogulitsa zanthawi yayitali komanso zazifupi. Kulowa, malinga ndi ndondomekoyi, kudzachitika panthawi ya kukwaniritsidwa kwa nthawi imodzi. Taganizirani chitsanzo cha mikhalidwe ya maudindo aatali:

• VIX ili mumayendedwe otsika;
• ndondomeko ya VIX imagwera ku gulu la Bollinger pansi, ndipo makamaka pansi;
• kusuntha kwapakati pazaka zisanu ndi zinayi kuli pansi pa mtengo wa ndondomeko yomwe yagwiritsidwa ntchito;
• kulowa kukuchitika pamtengo woposa nthawi zisanu ndi zinayi zosuntha;
• ikani dongosolo la kusinthanitsa ndi kutayika koyimitsa komwe kuli kochepa kusiyana ndi kusinthasintha kwaposachedwa kwa ndondomeko ya VIX;
• mukhoza kutseka malo pamene ndondomeko kuwoloka gulu la Bollinger kuchokera pamwamba.

Ngati mugwiritsa ntchito malangizo omwe ali pamwambawa mobwerera, mupeza mikhalidwe yomwe mungalowemo mwachidule. Ganizirani tchati chomwe chikuwonetsa momwe zinthu zilili pamsika wamasheya ndikusanthula njira yomwe ili pamwambapa.
Pa tchaticho, mutha kuwona zochitika zobwerezabwereza, pomwe poyamba pali kuchepa kwadongosolo, ndiyeno kukwera kwakukulu kwamtengo wamtengo wapatali. Magulu ofiira pa tchati pamwambapa ndi Magulu a Bollinger. Mzere wachikasu pakatikati ndi 9-nyengo yosuntha avareji. Mabwalo abuluu ndiye nthawi yabwino yotuluka. Ndipo zobiriwira zimawonetsa mayendedwe. Chithunzichi chikuwonetsa kuti poyamba pali njira yotsika. [id id mawu = “attach_16014” align = “aligncenter” wide = “747”]
VIX Index Trend Down-Up-Down[/caption] Pamene wogulitsa akutsimikiza kuti ndondomeko ya VIX ikuchepa ndipo yasweka kapena yatsala pang’ono kuthyola chizindikiro cha Bollinger chotsika, akhoza kukonzekera kulowa malonda aatali. Kulowa kudzachitika panthawi yomwe mtengo wazaka ziwiri ukhudza mtengo weniweni, nthawi zambiri umakhala wotsika kwambiri. Mukhozanso kuona pa tchati kuti gulu lachikasu ndilokwera kuposa lofiira, kuphatikizapo panthawi yomwe gulu la Bollinger limakhudza mtengo wamakono. Izi zimachokera ku izi kuti wogulitsa ndalamayo adadikirira nthawi yabwino isanafike kukula kwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali komanso kutseka kwapakati pazaka zisanu ndi zinayi. Dongosolo logulira limayikidwa pamtengo wochepera womaliza, ndipo nthawi zambiri ngakhale kutsika pang’ono. Cholinga chachikulu ndikuwoloka gulu lapamwamba la Bollinger kuti mutuluke. VIX mantha index: kusanthula kusakhazikika ndi kulosera za ngozi: https:

Momwe Otsatsa Amatayira Ndalama pa VIX

Munthawi yamavuto, osunga ndalama omwe ali ndi chidwi ndi njira yayitali yopangira ndalama ndikusunga katundu amatha kuwona index ya VIX ikukwera kwambiri. Zotsatira zake, mbiriyo imadzazidwanso ndi zosankha zoyenera, zomwe ziyenera kubwezera zotayika kwa nthawi yayitali. Njirayi ikuwoneka yomveka kwambiri, koma msika wogulitsa ukhoza kuyambiranso popanda kusintha kwakukulu kwamtengo wapatali. Izi zipangitsa kugwa kwa mtengo wa index ya mantha ndi kusakhazikika, zomwe zimabweretsa kutayika kwakukulu kwa Investor. Ndizoyeneranso kudziwa kuti katundu wa ETF amakonda kupsa. Ndiko kuti, katundu wotere sangathe kusungidwa kwa nthawi yaitali. Mwachitsanzo, ngati muyang’ana pafupifupi thumba lililonse lomwe limakupatsani mwayi woyika ndalama mu index ya mantha ndi kusakhazikika, mutha kuwona kutsika kwadongosolo pamtengo wazinthu zotere. Chifukwa chachikulu cha izi ndikufunika kupeza zatsopano ndikugulitsa zam’tsogolo zakale pa S&P index. Kotero katundu wophatikizidwa mu thumba linalake adzatsanzira tchati cha VIX ndi kayendedwe kake malinga ndi kukhazikika kwa katundu. Nthawi zambiri, mapangano onse amasungidwa pa chizindikiro chomwe adalengeza kwa mwezi umodzi. Mtengo wawo umasiyanasiyana malinga ndi nthawi yawo – kufupikitsa nthawi, kutsika mtengo kwa mgwirizano ndi mosemphanitsa. Ndalamayi imayenera kugulitsa makontrakiti ena amtsogolo tsiku ndi tsiku ndikupeza ena. Mwachitsanzo, ngati tsogolo loyamba lili ndi masiku 15, ndiye kuti lidzakhala locheperapo, ndipo ngati 30 kapena kuposerapo, lidzakhala lokwera mtengo kwambiri. Ndiko kuti, thumba limagula zam’tsogolo pamtengo wapamwamba ndikugulitsa zotsika mtengo kwambiri. Izi zimabweretsa zotayika kwa osunga ndalama. Ngati mumagula zosankha pa VIX index, ndiye mutha kuyisewera motetezeka panthawi yakutsika kwanthawi yayitali pamsika kapena ngati kuchulukirachulukira kwamphamvu. Kulingalira ndi chidacho ndi koopsa kwambiri, choncho ndi bwino kudzichepetsera kwa nthawi yochepa yogwiritsira ntchito.