Nigute ushobora gukoresha no gushiraho impuzandengo yimuka mubucuruzi

Mugihe cyubwihindurize bwubucuruzi bwo gusesengura tekinike, ibikoresho byinshi byagaragaye. Ariko mubintu byoroshye, byingirakamaro, umutekano nibisanzwe mubucuruzi, impuzandengo yimuka iratandukanye. Ibikurikira bisobanura ibyo bakeneye mubucuruzi nibiranga gukoresha ubwoko butandukanye bwo kugereranya impuzandengo mubikorwa byubucuruzi.

Niki kigenda impuzandengo mubucuruzi

Impuzandengo yimuka, cyangwa nkuko nayo yitwa, Kwimuka (MA) ni igipimo cyubucuruzi gikurikira ibiciro. Intego yacyo ni ugushiraho icyerekezo cyerekezo nibishoboka byoroha. Iyo ubara impuzandengo yimuka, abahanga bahitamo kugereranya igiciro cyigikoresho runaka mugihe runaka.
Ikiringo nicyo kimenyetso nyamukuru cyerekana impuzandengo yimuka, bumwe mubwoko. Urwego rwo korohereza umurongo werekana agaciro. Ibihe bito birakwiriye mugihe gito. Bemerera n’umucuruzi udafite uburambe gusubiza byihuse kugendana ibiciro.

Ariko, ibimenyetso byibinyoma (rimwe na rimwe ari byinshi) ntibishobora kuvaho.

Niba igihe kirekire kirenze urugero, ni ngombwa kumenya ko bishobora gutinda cyane. Kubwimpamvu imwe, sisitemu izerekana amateka ashaje. Ibihe binini bikunze gukoreshwa mubufasha bwigihe kirekire cyangwa kurwanya.

Ubwoko bwibanze bwimuka Ikigereranyo hamwe nibisobanuro byabo

Hariho ubwoko 4 bwingenzi bwerekana MA. Mu ishyirwa mu bikorwa rya tekiniki yisesengura ryisoko ryishoramari, byoroheje, byerekana, byoroheje kandi bifite uburemere buringaniye bikoreshwa.
Birasabwa kumenyera intego zabo:

1. Ikigereranyo cyoroheje cyimuka nigiteranyo cyibiciro byo gufunga igikoresho cyatoranijwe, cyerekana ibihe byinshi. Byongeye kandi, iki kimenyetso kigabanijwe numubare wibi bihe. Ntabwo ari amahirwe ko ibipimo byiswe byoroshye, biroroshye gukoresha kandi bifatwa nkibanze.
2. Impuzandengo yimuka Ikigereranyo – muriki gihe, igice cyigiciro gifunga cyongeweho agaciro kambere kagereranijwe.
3. Ikigereranyo cyerekana uburemere buringaniye ni cyo kintu cyerekana umuryango cyane. Ubu bwoko burashobora gutanga umubare munini wibimenyetso byibinyoma, ariko birihuta kurenza kumenya impinduka mubiciro. Abacuruzi ntibakunze gukoresha iki kimenyetso.
4. Ikigereranyo cyimuka cyoroheje nicyo cyoroshye mubindi. SMMA itanga uburyo bwo kubara, bitandukanye na SMA, nayo izirikana agaciro kataye igihe. Nukuvugako, mubikorwa, impuzandengo yimuka ikoreshwa gake cyane.

Impuzandengo yimuka igereranijwe – uburyo bwo gushiraho nuburyo wakoresha mubikorwa: https://youtu.be/3-4CwYfphXc

Porogaramu ifatika – algorithm uburyo bwo gukoresha impuzandengo

Impuzandengo yimuka ni icyerekezo cyerekana, muriki kibazo, ingamba zubucuruzi zishingiye kuri zo ni ngombwa. Hariho inzira 3 zingenzi zo gukoresha ibimenyetso:

1. Icyerekezo rusange . Yerekana ingamba zifatika. Irashobora kuba mugufi, iringaniye cyangwa ndende. Muri iki kibazo, MA iyobowe hejuru mukuzamuka, no kumanuka kumanuka. Hariho ubundi buryo – buringaniye, iyo impuzandengo yimuka ni horizontal.

2. Kwambuka impuzandengo yimuka hamwe nibihe bitandukanye . Urwego rwibimenyetso burigihe rushingiye kuri MA hamwe nigihe gito. Niba hari kwambukiranya umurongo ukurikira (kuva hasi kugeza hejuru), noneho ikimenyetso cyo kubona umutungo. Bitabaye ibyo, ni ikimenyetso cyo kugurisha.
3. Inkunga no kurwanya . Ihuriro ry’umurongo ni ubwoko bw’ikimenyetso mu cyerekezo cy’isangano ubwaryo. Ibipimo byumutungo runaka biratandukanye rwose. Birasabwa kwibuka ibi.

Kugena icyerekezo binyuze mu kwimuka

Impuzandengo yimuka yerekana icyerekezo cyerekezo. Mugihe ibyerekana ibiciro biri hejuru yumurongo, byahinduwe, noneho icyerekezo kiri hejuru. Iyo impuzandengo 3 yimuka ihinduka umurongo ugereranije kandi “reba” mu cyerekezo runaka, noneho iki nikimenyetso gikomeye. Igihe kimwe, bagomba kugira ibihe bitandukanye. Niba igiciro kigenda murwego runaka kumasoko (ntabwo ari munzira imwe), noneho haribishoboka umubare munini wibimenyetso byinyongera.

kwimura impuzandengo

Iyo impuzandengo yihuta yambutse itinze, uhereye hasi hejuru, ikimenyetso gikomeye cyo kugura (Kugura) birashoboka. Niba ibintu byahindutse (kuva hejuru kugeza hasi), noneho iki nikimenyetso cyo kugurisha (Kugurisha). Ariko niba nta cyerekezo gifatika ku isoko ryishoramari, noneho hariho ibimenyetso byinshi byubusa bitazazana inyungu ziteganijwe.

Kugena urwego rwo kurwanya no gushyigikira urwego

Mugihe cyo gushiraho izi nzego, igiciro gishobora kuva kure yikigereranyo. Ibi bibaho cyane mugihe cyimpuzandengo yimuka hamwe nibihe byingenzi. Muri iki gihe, nibyiza cyane kwinjira mumwanya.

Impuzandengo yimuka itatu iringaniye

Mubisanzwe byubatswe hafi ya byose. Numwanya mwiza cyane wo kwinjira murwego rwo hejuru. Niba ibikorwa mu ntangiriro byerekanwe ku mbonerahamwe, noneho mu mvugo isabwa n’abacuruzi, birashobora gusobanurwa nk “umunwa ufunguye wa alligator”.

Inzira zo kubara buri bwoko bwimuka

Tumaze kumenyera buri bwoko bwikigereranyo cyimuka mubucuruzi, birasabwa kwiga formulaire yo kubara.

Imiterere ya SMA

Kugirango umenye ibipimo byerekana impuzandengo yoroshye yimuka, birahagije gushira muburyo bukurikira:
SMA \ u003d SUM (HAFI (i), N) / N
Ibisobanuro:

• SUM ni igiteranyo;
• GUSOZA (i) bisobanura igiciro cyigihe cyatanzwe;
• N numubare wibihe.

SMA yashizweho kugirango iringanize ibiciro byigihe cyagenwe. Uburemere bwihariye bwigiciro icyo aricyo cyose cyashyizwe kumurongo. Mugihe ibiciro bifatika byasimbutse, SMA izabitaho hamwe nibiciro bisanzwe.

EMA yo Kubara

Kugirango ubare impuzandengo yimuka, ugomba kwandika formula ikurikira:
EMA = (HAFI (i) * P) + (EMA (i – 1) * (100 – P))
Ibisobanuro:

• HAFI (i) – igipimo cyibiciro cyigihe cyatanzwe;
• EMA (i – 1) – impamyabumenyi ya EMA mugihe cyashize;
• P nigice cyihariye cyigiciro.

EMA nubwoko bukoreshwa muburyo bwo kwimuka mubucuruzi. Nubufasha bwayo, birashoboka gukuraho amakosa ya SMA. Muri uru rubanza, biragaragara ko umenya uko isoko ryifashe mugihe runaka. Kandi nanone icyerekezo cya DEMA – kabiri EMA: https://articles.opexflow.com/isesengura-uburyo-n-ibikoresho/indikator-dema.htm

SMMA yo Kubara

Kugirango ubare impuzandengo yimuka igenda neza, urashobora gukoresha formula ikurikira:
SMMA (i) = (SMMA (i – 1) * (N – 1) + HAFI (i)) / N
Ibisobanuro:

• SMMA (i – 1) – icyerekezo cya buji yabanjirije;
• HAFI (i) – igiciro cyo gufunga ubu;
• N ni urwego rwigihe cyo koroshya.

LWMA yo Kubara

Mugihe ubara impuzandengo iremereye igereranijwe, ugomba kuyoborwa na formula ikurikira:
LWMA = SUM (HAFI (i) * i, N) / SUM (i, N)
Ibisobanuro:

• SUM – igipimo cyerekana;
• HAFI (i) – igiciro cyo gufunga nyacyo;
• SUM (i, N) nigiteranyo cya coefficient.
• N ni izina ryigihe.

Turabikesha umurongo uremereye kandi woroshye ugereranije, birashoboka ndetse no gusobanura akamaro k’ibiciro mugihe runaka cyo kubara.

Ibiranga ibihe

Ibipimo byerekana bishobora gushyirwaho ukurikije ibyifuzo byabakoresha. Arashobora gushiraho umwanya woroheje. Nibitoya, niko byunvikana kandi byukuri impuzandengo yimuka iri mubimenyetso. Nubwo ibitekerezo bitandukanye, nta “gihe” cyigihe. Gushiraho igihe cyiza, umukoresha agomba kugerageza mugihe gito. Nkigisubizo, azasobanukirwa nigihe aricyo cyiza kuri we, akurikije ingamba ze bwite. Impuzandengo yimuka mubucuruzi Reba:

Kwimura impuzandengo ya scalping

“Scalping” ifatwa nk’ijambo rito mu bucuruzi. Byitwa rero ingamba zubucuruzi bwigihe gito. Kwimura impuzandengo mugupima bitandukanijwe no gushyira mubikorwa umubare munini wubucuruzi. Ubu buryo bubereye abadakurikirana intego zisi mubijyanye ninyungu. Mu gucuruza ibicuruzwa, imbonerahamwe hamwe nigihe gito cyakoreshejwe. Izi ngamba zirashaje bihagije, mubihe byashize. Ibi byatewe no gukoresha ubucuruzi bwamafaranga. Ubu buryo ni bwiza kandi burashobora kuzana ibisubizo byiza byubukungu. Scalping yorohereza abacuruzi bashora amafaranga make kandi bagahagarara mubufatanye bwigihe gito. Ariko ibi ntibisobanura ko ingamba zoroshye kandi zidakoresha ingufu nyinshi. Umukoresha agomba gukoresha umwanya munini kugirango agere ku nyungu nyinshi. Ni nkenerwa kureba buri gihe isoko ryimari yumunsi kugirango tubone ibimenyetso byubucuruzi, kimwe no gushyigikira ibikorwa byafunguye. Bitewe no guhanagura, umucuruzi azashobora gukurura inyungu nziza. Ikintu nyamukuru nukugerageza sisitemu yubucuruzi mubikorwa, ntutinye igeragezwa, gukoresha umwanya uhagije wo gukora ibikorwa no kubikora kuri gahunda. Kwimura ibipimo ngereranyo – QUIK yubucuruzi: https://youtu.be/ZOUMHFmpruk

Ibiranga ubucuruzi kumurongo wimuka, hamwe nurugero

Hariho ingamba nyinshi zubucuruzi ukoresheje impuzandengo yimuka. Muri byo, birakwiye kwerekana ibintu 4 bitandukanye bitandukanye mubucuruzi:

1. MA kwambuka kubiciro;
2. gusenyuka kwa 2 cyangwa byinshi byimuka;
3. kwambuka ibinyoma MA;
4. Garuka ku kigereranyo.

Rimwe na rimwe, guhuza ibipimo bimwe na bimwe birashirwaho. Birasabwa gusuzuma buri rubanza muburyo burambuye. Kurenga SMA kubiciro bifatwa nkingamba zoroshye umukoresha wese ashobora gukoresha, hatitawe ku bumenyi bwabo mubijyanye no gushora imari. Kubijyanye nisoko rya Forex, ingamba nkizo ntizikora neza. Niba SMA yambutse kuva hasi kugeza hejuru, bizashoboka kwinjiza umwanya muremure, bitabaye ibyo (kuva hejuru kugeza hasi), hazakorwa inyandiko ngufi. Kugira ngo uve mu bucuruzi, ugomba gutegereza ubutaha.
Gucamo ibice 2 cyangwa byinshi byimuka nabyo ni amahitamo yoroshye. Ariko ntabwo ari byiza cyane. Bibaho gutya: EMA (1) ivuna EMA (2) kuva hejuru kugeza hasi. Kubigereranya bitandukanye, birashoboka kwinjira mugufi. Kubwibyo, niba ihuriro riva hasi rijya hejuru, noneho hazakorwa ikintu kirekire. Mugihe gikurikiraho, ubucuruzi burasohoka.
MA ibinyoma byambukiranya nanone byitwa “stratégie de fraux”. Bigaragara nyuma yo kwambuka EMA. Nyuma yigihe runaka (ikintu cyingenzi nukuyitegereza), igiciro kizagaruka. Mugihe ibi bibaye, urashobora kwinjira neza mubikorwa. Rero, gusohoka muri byo bigomba gukorwa nyuma yo kwambuka gukurikira kwa EMA.
Gusubira ku kigereranyo ni kimwe mu bintu bidasanzwe bikoreshwa byimuka igereranijwe mu bucuruzi. Gucuruza bishingiye ku gusubira ku kigereranyo. Ni ukuvuga, birakenewe gukora ibyinjira muburyo (ibi ni ngombwa). Muri iki gihe, igiciro kizagera kure yikigereranyo cyimuka. Ugomba gusohoka mugihe ushoboye kugera kubipimo bya EMA (21). Nubwo, niba ubikora amanota 3-4 mbere, impinduka ntizigaragara.
Uburyo Abacuruzi Bakoresha Ikigereranyo Cyimuka Mubucuruzi – Algorithms na Strategy: https://youtu.be/WrtMA-SLw9g

Guhitamo neza igihe cyo gucuruza ku kigereranyo cyimuka

Abacuruzi ba mbere bashishikajwe nuburyo bwiza bwo guhitamo igihe cyo gucuruza. Mubyukuri, ntakintu kigoye, icyingenzi nukumva ukuri kworoshye. Kurugero, kwimura impuzandengo yigihe ni umubare wa buji ku gihe cyagenwe. Igihe cyikigereranyo cyimuka ahanini biterwa nigihe umukoresha ashobora gufata ubucuruzi. Kurugero, yateganyaga gukomeza amasezerano mugihe cyisaha 1. Muri iki kibazo, icyerekezo (12) ku mbonerahamwe yiminota 5 kizakora. Biragaragara, ibi nibiciro byikigereranyo kumasaha 1. Urashobora gukora ukundi. Tuvuge ko hari icyifuzo cyo gufata umwanya mubyumweru 1-2. Muri uru rubanza, kuruta mbere hose, EMA (7) na (14) kuri D1 bazakora. Ariko, ukurikije ko hari iminsi 5 yakazi gusa mucyumweru (kuko muri wikendi ititaweho), birumvikana ko gufata EMA (5) na (10).

Umwanya wo kugereranya impuzandengo ku isoko ryimigabane

Hano rwose harahari umwanya wo kwaguka. Kubera ko impuzandengo yimuka ari ngombwa cyane ku isoko ryimigabane, birakwiye ko dusobanukirwa neza iki kibazo. Impamvu iri mu itandukaniro riri hagati yisoko rya Forex nibikoresho bisanzwe byo kuvunja. Niba ucukumbuye muburyo burambuye, biragaragara ko kuri Forex igipimo cyubukungu bwibihugu bibiri bitandukanye gishobora kuba kitateganijwe. Ibintu birahinduka buri gihe. Kubwibyo, ifaranga rimwe rihindura icyerekezo gitangaje. Byongeye kandi, nta cyerekezo gisobanutse cyo kwiyongera guhoraho, cyangwa ubundi, kugwa gukabije. Ku bijyanye n’isoko ryimigabane, imigabane igenda yiyongera hamwe nibipimo birazamuka kandi bigenda byiyongera. Ariko, mugihe cyibibazo, hariho ingendo nini no gusimbuka bigoye guhanura hakiri kare. Rero, biragaragara ko isoko ryimigabane mubyukuri ari ikirango cyiza, usibye bake. Ibi bivuze ko ushobora rwose kubona amafaranga meza mugihe cyo kugereranya mugihe ufatanye uburemere iki gikorwa.
Indangantego ihora murwego rwo hejuru. Dufatiye kuri ibi, dushobora kwemeza ko ingamba zoroshye gukoresha. Birahagije kugura gusa, mugihe indangagaciro iri hafi yimuka igereranijwe cyangwa yamanutse gato. Nyuma yibyo, ugomba kubika igikoresho muri portfolio kugeza igihe kiri hejuru yikigereranyo.
Ukurikije ikigereranyo cyimuka kigereranijwe, birakwiye kugura umutungo mugihe igiciro kiri hejuru. Gukurikiza algorithm yumvikana, nibyiza gusohoka mubucuruzi mugihe igiciro kiri hasi.
Birasabwa kwitondera ibisubizo byo gusuzuma mugihe cyo gukoresha EMA (200). Nkuko mubibona, gukuramo ni hafi inshuro eshatu munsi. Ariko, kurwego ruto, bigira ingaruka kumafaranga. Biragaragara ko urwego rwahindutse gato.
Ihitamo rirakora, ariko ntugomba gutekereza ko intsinzi yubuhanga nkubucuruzi ikoreshwa mububiko bwose, umutungo wagaciro nibimenyetso. Hariho kandi abimuka batateganijwe. Nubwo isesengura ryakozwe kubibazo nkibi. Kugenzura neza amateka yamagambo nayo azafasha. Niba, nkurugero, dufashe isoko ryimigabane ya Federasiyo yUburusiya, noneho dushobora kubona ko mubyukuri biragoye cyane gukorana nimpuzandengo yimuka.
Amafaranga yinjira ku isoko ryimigabane yu Burusiya azashobora kubona kugaruka ku gipimo mpuzandengo. Ibi biterwa nuko isoko ikunze kuba mumuyoboro mugari. Bibe uko bishoboka, ku isoko ryimigabane iyi ntego igerwaho byihuse kandi byoroshye kuruta mubucuruzi bwa Forex. Ikintu nyamukuru nugukora cyane muguhitamo ibikoresho bihamye, byaba indangagaciro zabanyamerika, imigabane yinganda nini, inyandiko zifite agaciro kerekana ibicuruzwa bizwi, nibindi. Mbere yo gushora ku bushake, nibyiza kugerageza gukoresha impuzandengo yimuka, gushyira mu gaciro amafaranga yakiriwe no kugabanya ibibi. Nuburyo ubona ibisubizo byiza.