Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa

Методы и инструменты анализа

Munguva yekushanduka kwehunyanzvi hwekuongororwa kwekutengesa, zvishandiso zvakawanda zvakabuda. Asi pakati peakanyanya nyore, anobatsira, akachengeteka uye akajairwa zviratidzo mukutengesa, mavhareji ekufamba anosiyaniswa. Izvi zvinotevera zvinotsanangura kukosha kwavo mukutengesa uye maitiro ekushandisa marudzi akasiyana-siyana ekufambisa mavhareji mune imwe nzira yekutengesa.

Chii chiri kufamba mavhareji mukutengesa

Moving Average, kana sezvainodanwa zvakare, Moving Average (MA) chiratidzo chekutengesa chinotevera mutengo wekufamba. Chinangwa chayo ndechekusimbisa kutungamira kwemaitiro uye mukana wekugadzirisa kwayo. Pakuverengera avhareji inofamba, nyanzvi dzinosarudza kuenzana mutengo wechimwe chiridzwa kwenguva yakati.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaIyo nguva ndiyo chiratidzo chikuru chekufamba pakati pechiratidzo, imwe yemhando. Chiyero chekutsetseka kwemutsara wechiratidzo zvinoenderana nekukosha kwayo. Nguva diki dzakanyanya kukodzera munguva dzakaderera. Vanobvumira kunyange mutengesi asina ruzivo kuti akurumidze kupindura pakufamba kwemitengo.

Zvisinei, zviratidzo zvenhema (dzimwe nguva munhamba huru) hazvibviswi.

Kana nguva yakareba yakawandisa ikashandiswa, zvakakosha kuziva kuti inogona kunonoka zvakanyanya. Nechikonzero chimwe chete, sisitimu icharatidza nhoroondo yechinyakare. Nguva huru inowanzoshandiswa pakutsigira kwenguva refu kana kuramba.

Mhando huru dzeMoving Avhareji uye tsananguro yavo

Kune 4 mhando huru dzeMA chiratidzo. Mukushandiswa kwekuongorora kwehunyanzvi kwemusika wekudyara, iri nyore, exponential, smoothed uye linearly weighted inofamba pakati inoshandiswa.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaInokurudzirwa kuti uzvizive iwe nechinangwa chavo:

  1. Iyo Nyore Kufamba Avhareji ndiyo nhamba yemitengo yekuvhara yechiridzwa chakasarudzwa, inomiririra nguva dzakati wandei. Uyezve, chiratidzo ichi chakakamurwa nehuwandu hwenguva idzi. Haisi nemukana kuti chiratidzo chakanzi chiri nyore, chiri nyore kushandisa uye chinonzi chakakosha.
  2. Exponential Moving Average – mune iyi kesi, chikamu chemutengo chaiwo wekuvhara chinowedzerwa kune yakare kukosha kweavhareji inofamba.
  3. Iyo Linear Weighted Moving Avhareji ndiyo inonyanya kushanda chiratidzo chemhuri. Mhando iyi inogona kupa nhamba huru yezviratidzo zvenhema, asi inokurumidza kupfuura vamwe kuziva kuchinja kwemutengo. Vatengesi havawanzoshandisa chiratidzo ichi.
  4. Iyo Smoothed Moving Avhareji ndiyo yakatsetseka pakati pevamwe. SMMA inopa nzira yekuverenga iyo, kusiyana neSMA, zvakare inotora muakaunti ekare. Nenzira, mukuita, iyo yakatsetseka inofamba pakati inoshandiswa zvakanyanya kashoma.

Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaExponential inofamba pakati – maitiro ekumisikidza uye maitiro ekushandisa mukuita: https://youtu.be/3-4CwYfphXc

Inoshanda application – algorithm maitiro ekushandisa avhareji inofamba

Avhareji inofambisa chiratidzo chemaitiro, mune izvi, nzira dzekutengesa dzakavakirwa pairi dzakanyatsokodzera. Pane nzira nhatu huru dzekushandisa masaini:

  1. General direction . Inomiririra chaiwo maitiro matanho. Inogona kuva yenguva pfupi, yepakati kana yakareba. Muchiitiko ichi, MA inotungamirwa kumusoro mune yakakwira, uye yakadzika mune downtrend. Pane imwe modhi – flat, kana avhareji inofamba iri horizontal.Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa
  1. Kuyambuka maavhareji anofamba ane nguva dzakasiyana . Chiyero chechiratidzo chinogara chichienderana neMA ine nguva diki. Kana pane kuyambuka mutsara unotevera (kubva pasi kusvika kumusoro), ipapo chiratidzo chekutorwa kweasset. Zvikasadaro, chiratidzo chekutengesa.Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa
  2. Kutsigira uye kuramba . Mharadzano yemutsetse imhando yechiratidzo munzira yemharadzano pachayo. Chiratidzo chechimwe chinhu chakasiyana zvachose. Zvinokurudzirwa kuyeuka izvi.

Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa

Kutsunga kwemaitiro kuburikidza nekufamba

Ivhareji inofamba inoratidza kutungamira kwemaitiro. Muchiitiko icho chiratidzo chemutengo chiri pamusoro pemutsara, iyo yakashandurwa kumusoro, ipapo maitiro ari kumusoro. Kana 3 maavhareji anofamba achichinja kuita mitsetse yakafanana uye “tarisa” mune imwe nzira, saka ichi ndicho chiratidzo chakasimba. Panguva imwe chete, vanofanira kuva nenguva dzakasiyana. Kana mutengo ukafamba mune imwe siyana pamusika (kwete pamwe chete trajectory), saka pane mukana wenhamba huru yemamwe masaini.

kufambisa avhareji crossover

Kana iyo yekutsanya inofamba pakati inoyambuka inononoka, kubva pasi kumusoro, chiratidzo chakasimba chekutenga (Kutenga) chingangoita. Kana mamiriro acho akadzorerwa (kubva kumusoro kusvika pasi), zvino ichi chiratidzo chekutengesa (Kutengesa). Asi kana pasina chinangwa chine chinangwa mumusika wekudyara, saka kune akawanda masaini masaini asingazounzi mabhenefiti anotarisirwa.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa

Kutsunga kwekupikisa uye mazinga ekutsigira

Panguva yekuumbwa kwemazinga aya, mutengo unogona kubva kure neavhareji inofamba. Izvi zvinonyanya kuoneka kana iri exponential inofamba avhareji ine nguva dzakakosha. Panguva ino, zvakanyanya kubatsira kupinda munzvimbo.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa

Mavhareji matatu anofamba akaenzana kune mumwe nemumwe

Kazhinji iwo akavakwa anenge akaenzana kune mumwe nemumwe. Uyu mukana wakanaka kwazvo wekupinda mukukwirira kwemaitiro. Kana chiito chepakutanga chinoratidzwa pane chati, saka mumutauro wezvibvumirano wevatengesi, unogona kutsanangurwa se “muromo wakashama wealligator”.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa

Mafomula ekuverenga mhando yega yega yeavhareji inofamba

Sezvo wajaira mhando yega yega yeavhareji inofamba mukutengesa, zvinokurudzirwa kuti udzidze mafomula avo ekuverenga.

SMA Formula

Kuti uwane chiratidzo cheyakareruka inofamba pakati, zvakakwana kushandisa iyi inotevera fomula:
SMA \u003d SUM (CLOSE (i), N) / N
Tsananguro:

  • SUM ndiyo nhamba;
  • KUSVIRA (i) zvinoreva mutengo wenguva yakatarwa;
  • N ndiyo nhamba yenguva.

SMA yakagadzirirwa kuenzanisa mitengo yeimwe nguva yakatarwa. Iyo chaiyo giravhiti yehupi hunotevera hunokosha hunoiswa kune imwechete. Kana iri mutengo unooneka uchisvetuka, SMA inovafunga pamwe chete neyakajairwa mutengo maitiro.

EMA Calculation Formula

Kuti uverenge iyo exponential inofamba pakati, unofanirwa kunyora fomula seizvi:
EMA = (CLOSE (i) * P) + (EMA (i – 1) * (100 – P))
Tsananguro:

  • KUSVIRA (i) – chiratidzo chemutengo wenguva yakapihwa;
  • EMA (i – 1) – dhigirii yeEMA yenguva yapfuura;
  • P chikamu chaicho chemutengo wemutengo.

EMA ndiyo inonyanya kushandiswa mhando yekufamba pakati pekutengesa. Nekubatsira kwayo, zvinokwanisika kubvisa zvikanganiso zveSMA. Muchiitiko ichi, zvinosvika pakutsvaga iyo chaiyo musika mamiriro mune imwe nguva. Uye zvakare chiratidzo cheDEMA – kaviri EMA: https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/indikator-dema.htm

SMMA Calculation Formula

Kuti uverenge iyo yakatsetseka inofamba pakati, unogona kushandisa inotevera formula:
SMMA (i) = (SMMA (i – 1) * (N – 1) + CLOSE (i)) / N
Tsananguro:

  • SMMA (i – 1) – chiratidzo chekare kenduru;
  • KUSVIRA (i) – mutengo wezvino wekuvhara;
  • N ndiyo dhigirii yenguva yekutsvedza.

LWMA Calculation Formula

Paunenge uchiverenga mutsara uremu hwekufamba pakati, unofanirwa kutungamirwa neinotevera formula:
LWMA = SUM (CLOSE (i) * i, N) / SUM (i, N)
Tsananguro:

  • SUM – sum chiratidzo;
  • CLOSE(i) – mutengo chaiwo wekuvhara;
  • SUM (i, N) ihuwandu hwemakoefifiti.
  • N ndiko kudoma kwenguva.

Kutenda kune mutsara uremu uye yakatsetseka inofamba maavhareji, zvinokwanisika kuburitsa kukosha kwemitengo yenguva yakatarwa yekuverenga.

Zvimiro zvekuisa nguva

Indicator parameters inogona kugadzirwa maererano nezvido zvemushandisi. Anogona kuisa nguva yakakodzera. Iyo idiki iyo, iyo inonyanya kunzwisiswa uye yakarurama avhareji inofamba iri mukusaina. Pasinei nemaonero akasiyana, hapana “chaiyo” nguva yenguva. Kuseta yakanakisa nguva yakatarwa, mushandisi anozofanira kuyedza kwechinguva. Nekuda kweizvozvo, anozonzwisisa kuti ndeipi nguva ndiyo yakanyanya kumunakira, zvinoenderana nehurongwa hwake. Kufambisa Avhareji muTradingView:
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesa

Kufambisa mavhareji e scalping

“Scalping” inoonekwa seshoko rekutengesa mukutengesa. Saka inonzi nzira dzekutengesa kwenguva pfupi. Mavhareji ekufambisa mu scalping anosiyaniswa nekushandiswa kwenhamba yakawanda yekutengeserana. Iyi nzira yakakodzera kune avo vasingateveri zvinangwa zvepasi rose maererano nepurofiti. Mukutengesa scalping, machati ane madiki nguva anowanzoshandiswa. Iri zano nderekare zvakajairika, munguva pfupi yapfuura. Izvi zvakakonzerwa nekushandiswa kwemargin trading. Iyi nzira inoshanda zvikuru uye inogona kuunza migumisiro yakanaka yemari. Scalping yakanakira vatengesi vanodyara madhipoziti madiki uye vanomira pakubatana kwenguva pfupi. Asi izvi hazvirevi kuti nzira yacho iri nyore uye ine simba shoma. Mushandisi anozofanira kushandisa nguva yakawanda kuti awane mari yakawanda. Izvo zvinodikanwa kugara uchitarisa intraday yemari yemusika kuitira kuti uwane chiratidzo chekutengesa, pamwe nekutsigira kuvhurika kutengeserana. Kutenda kune scalping, mutengesi achakwanisa kukwezva mari yakanaka. Chinhu chikuru ndechekuedza hurongwa hwekutengesa mukuita, kusatya kuedza, kupa nguva yakakwana yekuita kutengeserana uye kuzviita zvakarongeka. Kufamba pakati pechiratidzo – QUIK yekutengesa terminal: https://youtu.be/ZOUMHFmpruk

Zvimiro zvekutengesa pamavhareji anofamba, ane mienzaniso

Kune nzira dzakawanda dzekutengesa uchishandisa mavhareji anofamba. Pakati pavo, zvakakodzera kuratidza 4 misiyano mikuru yekutengesa:

  1. MA kuyambuka nemutengo;
  2. kuparara kwe2 kana kupfuura mavhareji anofamba;
  3. kuyambuka kwenhema MA;
  4. kudzokera kuavhareji.

Dzimwe nguva kusanganiswa kwezvimwe zviratidzo nezvimwe zvinoumbwa. Zvinokurudzirwa kuti titarise imwe neimwe yenyaya yacho zvakadzama. Kuyambuka iyo SMA nemutengo kunoonekwa seyakareruka nzira iyo chero mushandisi anogona kushandisa, zvisinei nedanho ravo reruzivo mumunda wekudyara. Kana iri yemusika we Forex, zano rakadaro harizoshande. Kana iyo SMA ichiyambuka kubva pasi kuenda kumusoro, zvinokwanisika kupinda munzvimbo yakareba, kana zvisina kudaro (kubva kumusoro kusvika pasi), kupinda mupfupi kuchaitwa. Kuti usiye kutengeserana, iwe unofanirwa kumirira kunotevera kubuda.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaBreakout ye2 kana anopfuura anofamba maavhareji zvakare iri nyore sarudzo. Asi haisi kunyanya kushanda. Zvinoitika seizvi: EMA (1) inotyora EMA (2) kubva kumusoro kusvika pasi. Nekufananidza kunopesana, zvinokwanisika kupinda muchidimbu. Nokudaro, kana mharadzano ichienda kubva pasi kusvika kumusoro, ipapo kupinda kwenguva refu kuchaitwa. Pakubuda kunotevera, kutengeserana kunobuda.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaIyo MA yenhema crossover inonzi zvakare “yenhema breakout strategy”. Inoratidzika mushure mekuyambuka EMA. Mushure mechinguva (chinhu chikuru ndechekumirira), mutengo uchadzoka. Pazvinongoitika izvi, unogona kupinda zvakachengeteka kutengeserana. Saka, kubuda mairi kunofanirwa kuitwa mushure mekuyambuka kunotevera kweEMA.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaKudzokera kuavhareji ndeimwe yeatypical mashandisiro ekufamba avhareji chishandiso mukutengesa. Kutengeserana kunobva pakudzokera kuavhareji. Ndiko kuti, zvakakosha kuita yekupinda inopesana nemaitiro (izvi zvakakosha). Munguva iyi, mutengo uchaenda kure kubva kune exponential inofamba pakati. Iwe unofanirwa kubuda kana iwe uchikwanisa kusvika iyo EMA mutengo chiratidzo (21). Kunyangwe, kana iwe ukazviita 3-4 mapoinzi pakutanga, shanduko hadzizove dzakakosha.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaMashandisiro Anoita Vatengesi Avhareji Yekufambisa Mukutengesa – Algorithms uye Strategy: https://youtu.be/WrtMA-SLw9g

Sarudzo chaiyo yenguva yekutengeserana paavhareji inofamba

Debut vatengesi vanowanzofarira nzira yakanakisisa yekusarudza nguva yekutengesa. Kutaura zvazviri, hapana chakaoma, chinhu chikuru ndechokunzwisisa chokwadi chiri nyore. Semuenzaniso, nguva yekufamba pakati penguva ndiyo nhamba yemakenduru pane nguva yakatarwa. Nguva yenguva yeavhareji inofamba zvakanyanya zvinoenderana nekuti mushandisi anogona kubata kutengeserana kwenguva yakareba sei. Semuenzaniso, akaronga kuchengeta dhiri kweinenge 1 awa. Muchiitiko ichi, chiratidzo (12) pane 5-mineti chati ichaita. Zviripachena, aya ndiwo avhareji mitengo yeawa imwe. Iwe unogona kuita zvishoma zvakasiyana. Ngatiti pane chido chekubata nzvimbo kwemavhiki 1-2. Muchiitiko ichi, kupfuura nakare kose, EMA (7) uye (14) paD1 ichaita. Zvisinei, tichifunga kuti kune mazuva mashanu chete ekushanda muvhiki (nokuti vhiki dzevhiki hadzina kutorwa), zvinonzwisisika kutora EMA (5) uye (10).

Nzvimbo yekufamba mavhareji mumusika wemari

Pane zvechokwadi nzvimbo yekuwedzera pano. Sezvo mavhareji ekufambisa achinyanya kukosha mumusika wekutengesa, zvakakodzera kunzwisisa nyaya iyi zvakakwana. Chikonzero chiri pamusiyano uripo pakati pemusika we Forex uye zvakajairwa zvekutsinhana zviridzwa. Kana iwe ukanyura mune izvo zvakadzama, zvinova pachena kuti pa Forex chiyero chehupfumi hwenyika mbiri dzakasiyana chinogona kunge chisingafungidzike zvakanyanya. Mamiriro ezvinhu anochinja nguva dzose. Naizvozvo, mari mbiri dzinowanzochinja nzira yavo zvinoshamisa. Uyezve, hapana chimiro chakajeka chekuwedzera nguva dzose, kana zvinopesana, nokuda kwekudonha kwakanyanya. Panyaya yemusika wemasheya, masheya ari kuwedzera uye ma indices ari kuramba achikwira uye ave kutonyanya kufanoona. Zvisinei, panguva dzekutambudzika, kune mafambiro makuru uye kusvetuka kwakaoma kufanotaura. Nokudaro, zvinopera kuti musika wemasheya imhando yemhando yakachena, kunze kwemashoma. Izvi zvinoreva kuti iwe unogona chaizvo kuita mari yakanaka pakufamba maavhareji kana iwe ukatora chiitiko ichi zvakanyanya.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaIyo index inogara iri muuptrend. Kubva pane izvi, tinogona kugumisa kuti zano iri riri nyore kwazvo kushandisa. Zvakakwana kungotenga, nepo index iri pedyo neavhareji inofamba kana kudzikiswa zvishoma. Mushure meizvozvo, iwe unofanirwa kuchengeta chiridzwa mupodfolio kusvika chave pamusoro peavhareji.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaZvinoenderana neexponential inofamba avhareji yekuyedza, zvakakodzera kutenga asset kana mutengo wakakwira. Kutevera algorithm inonzwisisika, zviri nani kubuda mukutengesa kana mutengo wakadzikira.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaZvinokurudzirwa kutarisisa kumhedzisiro yekuongorora panguva yekushandiswa kweEMA (200). Sezvauri kuona, kudhirowa kunenge kwakapetwa katatu zvishoma. Zvisinei, kusvika pamwero muduku, inokanganisa mari. Zvinoonekwa kuti nhanho yachinja zvishoma.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaSarudzo iri kushanda, asi iwe haufanirwe kufunga kuti kubudirira kweiyo nzira yekutengesa inoshanda kune ese masheya, akakosha zvinhu uye indices. Kune zvakare idzo dzinofamba zvisingatarisike. Kunyangwe analytics yakagadzirwa kune dzakadaro. Kunyatsoongorora nhoroondo yemakotesheni kuchabatsirawo. Kana, semuenzaniso, tikatora musika wekutengesa weRussian Federation, saka tinogona kuona kuti mune izvi chokwadi zvakanyanya kuoma kushanda nemavhareji anofamba.
Maitiro ekushandisa uye kumisikidza mafambiro avhareji mukutengesaMari inowanikwa pamusika wemari yeRussia ichakwanisa kuwana pakudzoka kune avhareji kukosha. Izvi zvinokonzerwa nekuti musika unowanzo kuwanikwa mugero rakakura. Ngazvive izvo, mumusika wemasheya chinangwa ichi chinowanikwa nekukurumidza uye nyore pane mukutengesa kwe Forex. Chinhu chikuru ndechekushanda nesimba pakusarudzwa kwezviridzwa zvakagadzikana, ingave maAmerican indices, migove yemabhizinesi makuru, zvinyorwa zvakakosha zvemhando dzakakurumbira, nezvimwe. Usati wadyara zvisina tsarukano, zviri nani kuyedza kushandisa mavhareji anofamba, kururamisa mari yakagamuchirwa uye kuderedza kudonha. Aya ndiwo maitiro aunowana mhedzisiro yakanaka.

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