Yadda ake amfani da saita matsakaita masu motsi a cikin ciniki

A lokacin juyin halitta na kasuwancin bincike na fasaha, kayan aiki da yawa sun fito. Amma daga cikin mafi sauƙi, masu amfani, masu aminci da na kowa a cikin ciniki, ana rarrabe matsakaicin motsi. Abubuwan da ke biyo baya suna bayyana wajibcinsu a cikin ciniki da kuma fasalulluka na yin amfani da nau’ikan matsakaitan matsakaita daban-daban a cikin dabarun ciniki.

Menene matsakaicin motsi a cikin ciniki

Matsakaicin Motsawa, ko kuma kamar yadda ake kira, Matsakaicin Matsakaici (MA) alamar ciniki ce wacce ke biye da motsin farashin. Manufarsa ita ce kafa alkiblar yanayin da kuma yiwuwar smoothing. Lokacin ƙididdige matsakaicin motsi, ƙwararrun ƙwararru suna zaɓar matsakaicin farashin wani kayan aiki na takamaiman lokaci.
Lokacin shine babban mai nuna alamar matsakaita mai motsi, ɗaya daga cikin nau’ikan. Matsayin santsi na layin nuna alama ya dogara da ƙimar sa. Ƙananan lokuta sun fi dacewa a cikin ƙananan lokutan lokaci. Suna ƙyale ko da dan kasuwa maras kwarewa don amsawa da sauri ga ƙungiyoyin farashi.

Koyaya, siginar karya (wani lokaci a cikin adadi mai yawa) ba a cire su ba.

Idan an yi amfani da lokaci mai tsawo fiye da kima, yana da mahimmanci a sani cewa za a iya jinkirta shi sosai. Saboda wannan dalili, tsarin zai nuna tsohon tarihi. Ana amfani da manyan lokuta sau da yawa don tallafi na dogon lokaci ko juriya.

Babban nau’ikan Matsakaicin Motsawa da bayanin su

Akwai manyan nau’ikan alamun MA guda 4. A cikin aiwatar da nazarin fasaha na kasuwar zuba jari, ana amfani da madaidaicin motsi mai sauƙi, mai ma’ana, santsi da madaidaiciya.
An ba da shawara don sanin kanku da manufarsu:

1. Matsakaicin Motsi Mai Sauƙi shine jimlar farashin rufewar kayan aikin da aka zaɓa, wanda ke wakiltar lokuta da yawa. Bugu da ƙari, an raba wannan alamar ta adadin waɗannan lokuta. Ba kwatsam ba ne aka kira mai nuna alama mai sauƙi, yana da sauƙin amfani kuma ana la’akari da asali.
2. Matsakaicin Matsakaicin Matsala – a wannan yanayin, ana ƙara wani ɓangare na ainihin farashin rufewa zuwa ƙimar da ta gabata na matsakaicin motsi.
3. Matsakaicin Matsakaicin Ma’auni mai Ma’auni shine mafi girman nuni ga dangi. Wannan nau’in na iya ba da adadi mai yawa na siginar ƙarya, amma yana da sauri fiye da wasu don gano canje-canje a farashin. Yan kasuwa ba kasafai suke amfani da wannan alamar ba.
4. Matsakaicin Motsi mai laushi shine mafi santsi a tsakanin sauran. SMMA yana ba da hanyar lissafi wanda, ba kamar SMA ba, yana la’akari da tsoffin ƙima. Af, a aikace, ana amfani da matsakaicin motsi mai santsi sosai da wuya.

Matsakaicin motsi mai ma’ana – yadda ake saitawa da yadda ake amfani da shi a aikace: https://youtu.be/3-4CwYfphXc

Practical aikace-aikace – algorithm yadda ake amfani da matsakaita motsi

Matsakaicin motsi shine mai nuna alama, a wannan batun, dabarun ciniki dangane da shi sun dace sosai. Akwai manyan hanyoyi guda uku don amfani da sigina:

1. Gabaɗaya shugabanci . Yana wakiltar ma’auni na ainihi. Yana iya zama gajere, matsakaici ko kuma dogon lokaci. A wannan yanayin, MA yana jagorantar sama a cikin haɓaka, kuma zuwa ƙasa a cikin ƙasa. Akwai wani yanayi – lebur, lokacin da matsakaicin motsi ya kasance a kwance.

2. Ketare matsakaicin motsi tare da lokuta daban-daban . Matsayin siginar koyaushe yana dogara da MA tare da mafi ƙarancin lokaci. Idan akwai ƙetare layi na gaba (daga ƙasa zuwa sama), to alama don siyan kadara. In ba haka ba, siginar siyarwa ce.
3. Taimako da juriya . Ƙaddamar da layi wani nau’i ne na sigina a cikin hanyar haɗin kai kanta. Mai nuna alamar kadari ya bambanta. Ana bada shawara don tunawa da wannan.

Ƙaddamar da yanayi ta hanyar motsi

Matsakaicin motsi yana nuna jagorar yanayin. A yayin da aka nuna alamar farashin a sama da layin, wanda aka kunna, to, yanayin yana sama. Lokacin da matsakaita masu motsi guda 3 suka juya zuwa layi mai layi daya kuma “duba” a wata hanya, to wannan shine sigina mafi ƙarfi. A lokaci guda, ya kamata su kasance da lokuta daban-daban. Idan farashin yana motsawa a cikin wani kewayon kasuwa (ba tare da yanayi ɗaya ba), to akwai yuwuwar babban adadin ƙarin sigina.

motsi matsakaicin crossover

Lokacin da matsakaicin matsakaicin motsi mai sauri ya ketare mai jinkirin, daga ƙasa zuwa sama, mai yuwuwar sigina mai ƙarfi don siye (Saya). Idan yanayin ya juya (daga sama zuwa kasa), to wannan sigina ce don siyarwa (Siyarwa). Amma idan babu wata manufa mai ma’ana a cikin kasuwar zuba jari, to, akwai alamun da yawa marasa amfani waɗanda ba za su kawo fa’idodin da ake tsammani ba.

Ƙaddamar da juriya da matakan tallafi

A lokacin samuwar waɗannan matakan, farashi na iya motsawa daga matsakaicin motsi. Wannan yana faruwa sosai a yanayin matsakaicin motsi mai faɗi tare da lokuta masu mahimmanci. A wannan lokacin, yana da fa’ida don shiga matsayi.

Matsakaicin motsi guda uku daidai da juna

Yawancin lokaci an gina su kusan layi daya da juna. Wannan dama ce mai kyau don shigar da tsayin yanayi. Idan aikin da aka fara a farkon yana nunawa akan ginshiƙi, to, a cikin yanayin yanayi na yan kasuwa, ana iya kwatanta shi a matsayin “buɗaɗɗen baki na alligator”.

Formula don ƙididdige kowane nau’in matsakaicin motsi

Kasancewa da masaniya da kowane nau’in matsakaita motsi a cikin ciniki, ana ba da shawarar yin nazarin dabarun lissafin su.

Farashin SMA

Don gano alamar matsakaicin motsi mai sauƙi, ya isa a yi amfani da dabarar da ke gaba:
SMA \u003d SUM (CLOSE (i), N) / N
Bayani:

• SUM shine jimlar;
• KUSA (i) yana nufin farashin lokacin da aka gabatar;
• N shine adadin lokuta.

An tsara SMA don daidaita farashin wani ƙayyadadden lokaci. Takaitaccen nauyi na kowane ƙimar da ke gaba an saita zuwa iri ɗaya. Idan akwai tsalle-tsalle na farashi mai ma’ana, SMA za ta yi la’akari da su tare da daidaitaccen yanayin farashin.

Tsarin Lissafin EMA

Don ƙididdige matsakaicin motsi na juzu’i, kuna buƙatar rubuta dabarar kamar haka:
EMA = (CLOSE (i) * P) + (EMA (i – 1) * (100 – P))
Bayani:

• CLOSE (i) – alamar farashi na lokacin da aka bayar;
• EMA (i – 1) – digiri na EMA na lokacin da ya gabata;
• P wani yanki ne na musamman na ƙimar farashin.

EMA shine nau’in matsakaicin motsi da aka fi amfani dashi a ciniki. Tare da taimakonsa, yana yiwuwa a kawar da gazawar SMA. A wannan yanayin, ya juya don gano ainihin yanayin kasuwa a cikin wani lokaci na musamman. Hakanan alamar DEMA – EMA biyu: https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/indikator-dema.htm

Tsarin Lissafin SMMA

Don lissafin matsakaicin motsi mai santsi, zaku iya amfani da dabara mai zuwa:
SMMA (i) = (SMMA (i – 1) * (N – 1) + CLOSE (i)) / N
Bayani:

• SMMA (i – 1) – mai nuna alamar kyandir na baya;
• CLOSE (i) – farashin rufewa na yanzu;
• N shine matakin lokacin smoothing.

Tsarin Lissafin LWMA

Lokacin ƙididdige matsakaicin matsakaicin nauyi mai nauyin layi, kuna buƙatar jagora ta hanyar dabara mai zuwa:
LWMA = SUM (RUSHE (i) * i, N) / SUM (i, N)
Bayani:

• SUM – jimlar nuna alama;
• CLOSE (i) – ainihin farashin rufewa;
• SUM (i, N) shine jimlar ƙididdiga.
• N shine nadin lokaci.

Godiya ga madaidaicin madaidaicin ma’auni da santsi mai motsi, yana yiwuwa a fitar da mahimmancin farashin don takamaiman lokacin ƙididdiga.

Fasalolin lokutan saitawa

Ana iya saita sigogi masu nuni bisa ga buri na mai amfani. Zai iya saita tazara mai dacewa. Karamin shi, mafi mahimmanci da daidaito matsakaicin motsi yana cikin sigina. Duk da ra’ayoyi daban-daban, babu “daidai” tazarar lokaci. Don saita mafi kyawun lokaci, mai amfani zai yi gwaji na ɗan lokaci. A sakamakon haka, zai fahimci wane lokaci ne ya fi dacewa da shi, bisa ga dabarunsa na sirri. Matsakaicin Matsakaici a TradingView:

Matsakaicin matsakaita don fatar fata

Ana ɗaukar “Scalping” a matsayin kalma a cikin ciniki. Don haka ake kira dabarun ciniki na ɗan gajeren lokaci. Matsakaicin matsakaita a cikin fatar kan mutum an bambanta ta hanyar aiwatar da babban adadin ma’amaloli. Wannan hanya ta dace da waɗanda ba sa bin manufofin duniya dangane da riba. A cikin cinikin fatar kan mutum, ana yawan amfani da ginshiƙi tare da ƙananan lokutan lokaci. Wannan dabarar ta isa gama gari, a cikin ‘yan lokutan nan. Wannan ya faru ne saboda amfani da cinikin gefe. Wannan hanyar tana da tasiri sosai kuma tana iya kawo sakamako mai kyau na kuɗi. Scalping ya dace ga yan kasuwa waɗanda ke saka hannun jari kaɗan kuma suna tsayawa a haɗin gwiwa na ɗan gajeren lokaci. Amma wannan ba yana nufin cewa dabarun yana da sauƙi kuma ƙasa da ƙarfin makamashi ba. Mai amfani zai ba da lokaci mai yawa don samun babban kudin shiga. Wajibi ne don duba kasuwar hada-hadar kudi ta yau da kullun don samun siginar ciniki, da kuma tallafawa ma’amaloli masu buɗewa. Godiya ga scalping, mai ciniki zai iya jawo hankalin samun kudin shiga mai kyau. Babban abu shine gwada tsarin ciniki a aikace, kada ku ji tsoron gwaje-gwaje, don ba da isasshen lokaci don gudanar da ma’amaloli da kuma yin shi cikin tsari. Matsakaicin mai nuna alama – QUIK tashar kasuwanci: https://youtu.be/ZOUMHFmpruk

Siffofin ciniki akan matsakaita masu motsi, tare da misalai

Akwai dabarun ciniki da yawa ta amfani da matsakaicin motsi. Daga cikin su, yana da daraja nuna manyan bambance-bambancen 4 don ciniki:

1. MA wucewa ta farashi;
2. rushewar matsakaita masu motsi 2 ko fiye;
3. tsallaken karya MA;
4. komawa zuwa matsakaici.

Wani lokaci haɗuwa da wasu alamomi tare da wasu suna samuwa. An ba da shawarar yin la’akari da kowane shari’ar dalla-dalla. Ketare SMA ta farashi ana ɗaukar mafi sauƙi dabarun da kowane mai amfani zai iya amfani da shi, ba tare da la’akari da matakin ilimin su a fagen saka hannun jari ba. Amma ga kasuwar Forex, irin wannan dabarun ba zai yi tasiri ba. Idan SMA ta ketare daga kasa zuwa sama, zai yiwu a shigar da matsayi mai tsawo, in ba haka ba (daga sama zuwa kasa), za a yi gajeren shigarwa. Don fita cinikin, yakamata ku jira fashewa na gaba.
Breakout na 2 ko fiye madaidaicin motsi shima zaɓi ne mai sauƙi. Amma ba shi da tasiri musamman. Yana faruwa kamar haka: EMA (1) karya EMA (2) daga sama zuwa kasa. Ta akasin kwatankwacin, yana yiwuwa a shigar da gajere. Don haka, idan mahadar ta tashi daga ƙasa zuwa sama, to za a yi dogon shigarwa. A karo na gaba, cinikin ya fita.
MA karya crossover kuma ana kiranta da “dabarun karya karya”. Yana bayyana bayan haye EMA. Bayan wani lokaci (babban abu shine jira shi), farashin zai dawo. Da zaran wannan ya faru, zaku iya shigar da ma’amala cikin aminci. Don haka, fita daga ciki dole ne a aiwatar da shi bayan hayewar EMA na gaba.
Komawa matsakaita shine ɗayan mafi yawan amfani da matsakaicin matsakaicin kayan aiki a cikin ciniki. Ciniki ya dogara ne akan jujjuyawa zuwa matsakaici. Wato, wajibi ne don yin shigarwa a kan yanayin (wannan yana da mahimmanci). A cikin wannan lokacin, farashin zai yi nisa daga matsakaicin motsi mai faɗi. Ya kamata ku fita lokacin da kuka sami isa ga alamar farashin EMA (21). Kodayake, idan kun yi maki 3-4 a baya, canje-canjen ba za su yi mahimmanci ba.
Yadda Yan kasuwa ke Amfani da Matsakaicin Matsakaici a Kasuwanci – Algorithms da Dabaru: https://youtu.be/WrtMA-SLw9g

Zaɓin daidai lokacin ciniki akan matsakaicin motsi

‘Yan kasuwa na farko suna sha’awar yadda mafi kyawun zaɓin lokaci don ciniki. A gaskiya ma, babu wani abu mai rikitarwa, babban abu shine fahimtar gaskiyar gaskiya. Misali, matsakaicin lokacin motsi shine adadin kyandir akan lokaci. Tsawon lokacin matsakaicin motsi ya dogara da tsawon lokacin da mai amfani zai iya riƙe cinikin. Misali, ya shirya ci gaba da yarjejeniyar na kusan awa 1. A wannan yanayin, mai nuna alama (12) akan ginshiƙi na mintuna 5 zai yi. Babu shakka, waɗannan matsakaicin farashin ne na awa 1. Kuna iya yin ɗan bambanci. A ce akwai sha’awar riƙe matsayi na makonni 1-2. A wannan yanayin, fiye da kowane lokaci, EMA (7) da (14) akan D1 zasu yi. Koyaya, idan aka ba da gaskiyar cewa akwai kwanaki 5 na aiki kawai a cikin mako guda (saboda ba a la’akari da ƙarshen mako), yana da ma’ana don ɗaukar EMA (5) da (10).

Matsayin matsakaicin motsi a cikin kasuwar hannun jari

Tabbas akwai wurin fadadawa anan. Tun da matsakaita motsi sun fi mahimmanci a cikin kasuwar hannun jari, yana da daraja fahimtar wannan batu sosai. Dalilin ya ta’allaka ne a cikin bambanci tsakanin kasuwar Forex da kayan musanya na yau da kullun. Idan kun shiga cikin cikakkun bayanai, ya bayyana a fili cewa akan Forex rabon tattalin arzikin jihohin biyu daban na iya zama mara tabbas. Halin yana canzawa akai-akai. Sabili da haka, nau’i-nau’i na kuɗi sukan canza alkiblarsu sosai. Bugu da ƙari, babu wani yanayi mai mahimmanci don karuwa akai-akai, ko akasin haka, don faɗuwar kaifi. Dangane da kasuwar hada-hadar hannayen jari, hajoji masu tasowa da kididdigar kididdigar kididdigar sun tashi sama da fadi da kuma zama abin da ake iya gani. Duk da haka, a lokacin lokutan rikici, akwai manyan motsi da tsalle-tsalle waɗanda ke da wuya a iya hangowa a gaba. Don haka, sai dai itace cewa kasuwar hannun jari a zahiri alama ce mai tsafta, tare da ƴan banban. Wannan yana nufin cewa da gaske za ku iya samun kuɗi mai kyau akan matsakaicin motsi idan kun ɗauki wannan aikin da mahimmanci.
Fihirisa koyaushe yana cikin haɓakawa. Dangane da wannan, zamu iya yanke shawarar cewa wannan dabarar tana da sauƙin amfani. Ya isa kawai saya, yayin da index yana kusa da matsakaicin motsi ko saukar da kadan. Bayan haka, ya kamata ku ajiye kayan aiki a cikin fayil ɗin har sai ya kasance sama da matsakaici.
Dangane da matsakaicin gwaji mai motsi mai ma’ana, yana da daraja siyan kadara lokacin da farashin ya yi girma. Bin algorithm mai ma’ana, yana da kyau a fita kasuwanci lokacin da farashin ya ragu.
Ana ba da shawara don kula da sakamakon bincike yayin aikace-aikacen EMA (200). Kamar yadda kuke gani, raguwar ta kusan sau uku ƙasa. Duk da haka, zuwa ƙarami, yana rinjayar kudin shiga. Ana lura cewa matakin ya ɗan canza kaɗan.
Zaɓin yana aiki, amma kada ku yi tunanin cewa nasarar irin wannan fasaha na kasuwanci ya shafi duk hannun jari, dukiya mai mahimmanci da fihirisa. Akwai kuma wadanda suke tafiya ba tare da annabta ba. Ko da yake an ƙirƙiri nazari don irin waɗannan lokuta. Binciken tarihin abubuwan da aka ambata shima zai taimaka. Idan, alal misali, mun ɗauki kasuwar hannun jari na Tarayyar Rasha, to zamu iya ganin cewa a cikin waɗannan abubuwan da ke faruwa yana da wuya a yi aiki tare da matsakaita masu motsi.
Kudin shiga a kasuwannin hannayen jari na Rasha za su iya samun komawa zuwa matsakaicin ƙima. Wannan shi ne saboda gaskiyar cewa ana yawan samun kasuwa a cikin tashar mai fadi. Kasance kamar yadda zai yiwu, a cikin kasuwar hannun jari ana samun wannan burin da sauri da sauƙi fiye da ciniki na Forex. Babban abu shine yin aiki tuƙuru a kan zaɓin kayan aikin tsayayye, zama fihirisar Amurka, hannun jari na manyan masana’antu, takaddun bayanai masu mahimmanci na shahararrun samfuran, da sauransu. Kafin saka hannun jari a bazuwar, yana da kyau a yi ƙoƙarin yin amfani da matsakaita masu motsi, daidaita kuɗin shiga da aka samu da rage raguwa. Wannan shine yadda kuke samun sakamako mai kyau.