Momwe mungagwiritsire ntchito ndikukhazikitsa magawo osuntha pamalonda

Pakusinthika kwa malonda aukadaulo, zida zambiri zidawonekera. Koma pakati pa zizindikiritso zosavuta, zothandiza, zotetezeka komanso zodziwika bwino pakugulitsa, magawo osuntha amasiyanitsidwa. Zotsatirazi zikufotokozera kufunikira kwawo pakugulitsa ndi mawonekedwe ogwiritsira ntchito mitundu yosiyanasiyana yosuntha munjira yamalonda.

Zomwe zikuyenda bwino pakugulitsa

Moving Average, kapena monga momwe amatchulidwira, Moving Average (MA) ndi chizindikiro cha malonda chomwe chimatsatira kayendetsedwe ka mtengo. Cholinga chake ndikukhazikitsa njira yoyendetsera kayendetsedwe kake komanso kuthekera kwake kosalala. Powerengera avareji yosuntha, akatswiri amasankha avareji ya mtengo wa chida china pa nthawi inayake.
Nthawi ndi chizindikiro chachikulu cha chizindikiro chosuntha, chimodzi mwa mitundu. Mlingo wa kusalala kwa mzere wa chizindikiro umadalira mtengo wake. Nthawi zing’onozing’ono ndizoyenera kwambiri panthawi yochepa. Amalola ngakhale wamalonda wosadziwa kuti ayankhe mofulumira kumayendedwe amtengo.

Komabe, zizindikiro zabodza (nthawi zina zambiri) sizimachotsedwa.

Ngati nthawi yayitali kwambiri ikugwiritsidwa ntchito, ndikofunikira kudziwa kuti ikhoza kuchedwa kwambiri. Pachifukwa chomwecho, dongosololi lidzawonetsa mbiri yakale. Nthawi zambiri amagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati chithandizo chanthawi yayitali kapena kukana.

Mitundu yayikulu ya Moving Average ndi kufotokozera kwawo

Pali 4 mitundu ikuluikulu ya MA chizindikiro. Pokhazikitsa kusanthula kwaukadaulo kwa msika wogulitsa ndalama, njira yosavuta, yofotokozera, yosalala komanso yolemetsa yolemetsa imagwiritsidwa ntchito.
Akufunsidwa kuti mudziwe zolinga zawo:

1. The Simple Moving Average ndi chiwerengero cha mitengo yotseka ya chida chosankhidwa, chomwe chimayimira nthawi zingapo. Komanso, chizindikirochi chimagawidwa ndi chiwerengero cha nthawizi. Sizinangochitika kuti chizindikirocho chimatchedwa chophweka, ndichosavuta kugwiritsa ntchito ndipo chimatengedwa ngati chofunikira.
2. Exponential Moving Average – pamenepa, gawo la mtengo weniweni wotseka likuwonjezedwa ku mtengo wam’mbuyo wa chiwerengero chosuntha.
3. Linear Weighted Moving Average ndiye chizindikiro chokhazikika cha banja. Mtundu uwu ukhoza kupereka zizindikiro zambiri zabodza, koma mofulumira kuposa ena kuzindikira kusintha kwa mtengo. Amalonda sagwiritsa ntchito chizindikiro ichi.
4. The Smoothed Moving Average ndiyosavuta kwambiri pakati pa ena. SMMA imapereka njira yowerengera yomwe, mosiyana ndi SMA, imaganiziranso zachikale. Mwa njira, pochita, kusuntha kosavuta kumagwiritsidwa ntchito kawirikawiri.

Avereji yosuntha kwambiri – momwe mungakhazikitsire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita: https://youtu.be/3-4CwYfphXc

Kugwiritsa ntchito – algorithm momwe mungagwiritsire ntchito kusuntha kwapakati

Kusuntha kwapakati ndi chizindikiro chamayendedwe, pankhaniyi, njira zamalonda zozikidwa pa izo ndizofunikira kwambiri. Pali njira zazikulu zitatu zogwiritsira ntchito zizindikiro:

1. Njira zonse . Imayimira miyeso yeniyeni yamayendedwe. Zitha kukhala zazifupi, zapakatikati kapena zazitali. Pachifukwa ichi, MA imayendetsedwa mmwamba mu uptrend, ndi pansi mu downtrend. Palinso mode ina – lathyathyathya, pamene kusuntha avareji ndi yopingasa.

2. Kuwoloka mavareji osuntha ndi nthawi zosiyanasiyana . Mulingo wazizindikiro nthawi zonse umadalira MA ndi nthawi yaying’ono kwambiri. Ngati pali kuwoloka kwa mzere wotsatira (kuchokera pansi mpaka pamwamba), ndiye chizindikiro chopezera katundu. Apo ayi, ndi chizindikiro chogulitsa.
3. Thandizo ndi kukana . Kuphatikizika kwa mzerewu ndi mtundu wa chizindikiro chomwe chimayang’ana pa mphambano yokha. Chizindikiro cha katundu wina ndi wosiyana kwambiri. Ndikoyenera kukumbukira izi.

Kutsimikiza kwa zomwe zikuchitika posuntha

Avereji yosuntha ikuwonetsa komwe akulowera. Zikachitika kuti chizindikiro cha mtengo chili pamwamba pa mzere, womwe umatembenuzidwa, ndiye kuti chikhalidwecho chikukwera. Pamene 3 kusuntha kwapakati kumasanduka mizere yofananira ndi “kuyang’ana” mbali ina, ndiye kuti ichi ndi chizindikiro champhamvu kwambiri. Pa nthawi yomweyo, ayenera kukhala ndi nthawi zosiyana. Ngati mtengo ukuyenda mumtundu wina pamsika (osati panjira imodzi), ndiye kuti pali kuthekera kwa kuchuluka kwa zizindikiro zowonjezera.

kusuntha pafupifupi crossover

Pamene kusuntha kwachangu kumadutsa pang’onopang’ono, kuchokera pansi, chizindikiro champhamvu chogula (Kugula) ndichotheka. Ngati zinthuzo zasinthidwa (kuchokera pamwamba mpaka pansi), ndiye kuti ichi ndi chizindikiro chogulitsa (Gulitsani). Koma ngati palibe njira yopindulitsa pamsika wamalonda, ndiye kuti pali zizindikiro zambiri zopanda kanthu zomwe sizingabweretse phindu loyembekezeredwa.

Kutsimikiza kwa kukana ndi milingo yothandizira

Pakupangidwa kwa magawowa, mtengowo ukhoza kuchoka pamtunda wosuntha. Izi zimachitika mowoneka bwino kwambiri pakusuntha kwakukulu komwe kumakhala ndi nthawi zazikulu. Panthawiyi, ndizopindulitsa kwambiri kulowa muudindo.

Mavareji atatu osuntha akufanana

Kawirikawiri amamangidwa pafupifupi kufanana wina ndi mzake. Uwu ndi mwayi wabwino kwambiri wolowera kutalika kwa chizolowezi. Ngati zomwe zikuchitika kumayambiriro kwenikweni zikuwonetsedwa pa tchati, ndiye kuti m’chinenero chovomerezeka cha amalonda, zikhoza kufotokozedwa ngati “pakamwa lotseguka la alligator”.

Ma formula owerengera mtundu uliwonse wa ma avareji osuntha

Podziwa mtundu uliwonse wa kusuntha kwapakati pa malonda, tikulimbikitsidwa kuti tiphunzire mawerengedwe awo.

Fomula ya SMA

Kuti mudziwe chizindikiro cha kusuntha kosavuta, ndikokwanira kugwiritsa ntchito njira iyi:
SMA \u003d SUM (CLOSE (i), N) / N
Kufotokozera:

• SUM ndiye kuchuluka;
• KUFUFUTA (i) kumatanthauza mtengo wa nthawi yomwe yaperekedwa;
• N ndi chiwerengero cha nthawi.

SMA idapangidwa kuti izilinganiza mitengo yanthawi yake. Mphamvu yokoka ya mtengo uliwonse wotsatira imayikidwa mofanana. Pakadumpha mitengo yowoneka, SMA idzawaganizira pamodzi ndi momwe mitengo ikuyendera.

EMA Calculation Formula

Kuti muwerenge chiŵerengero chosuntha cha exponential, muyenera kulemba fomula motere:
EMA = (CLOSE (i) * P) + (EMA (i – 1) * (100 – P))
Kufotokozera:

• CLOSE (i) – chizindikiro cha mtengo wa nthawi yoperekedwa;
• EMA (i – 1) – digiri ya EMA ya nthawi yapitayi;
• P ndi gawo la mtengo wamtengo wapatali.

EMA ndiye mtundu womwe umagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pakusuntha pakati pa malonda. Ndi chithandizo chake, ndizotheka kuthetsa zofooka za SMA. Pankhaniyi, zikuwonekeratu kuti mudziwe momwe msika ulili munthawi inayake. Komanso chizindikiro cha DEMA – EMA iwiri: https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/indikator-dema.htm

SMMA Kuwerengera Fomula

Kuti muwerengere kuchuluka kwa kusuntha kosalala, mutha kugwiritsa ntchito njira iyi:
SMMA (i) = (SMMA (i – 1) * (N – 1) + CLOSE (i)) / N
Kufotokozera:

• SMMA (i-1) – chizindikiro cha kandulo yapita;
• CLOSE (i) – mtengo wotseka wapano;
• N ndi mlingo wa nthawi yosalala.

Njira Yowerengera ya LWMA

Powerengera zolemetsa zolemetsa, muyenera kutsatira njira iyi:
LWMA = SUM (CLOSE (i) * i, N) / SUM (i, N)
Kufotokozera:

• SUM – chizindikiro cha ndalama;
• CLOSE(i) – mtengo weniweni wotseka;
• SUM (i, N) ndiye kuchuluka kwa ma coefficients.
• N ndiko kutchulidwa kwa nthawiyo.

Chifukwa cha milingo yolemedwa bwino komanso yosalala bwino, ndizotheka kutulutsanso kufunikira kwamitengo panyengo inayake yowerengera.

Makhalidwe a kukhazikitsa nthawi

Zizindikiro zowonetsera zimatha kukhazikitsidwa malinga ndi zofuna za wogwiritsa ntchito. Akhoza kukhazikitsa nthawi yoyenera. Zing’onozing’ono, zimakhala zomveka komanso zolondola zomwe zimayenda bwino ndi chizindikiro. Ngakhale pali malingaliro osiyanasiyana, palibe nthawi “yoyenera”. Kuti akhazikitse nthawi yabwino kwambiri, wogwiritsa ntchitoyo ayenera kuyesa kwakanthawi. Zotsatira zake, amvetsetsa nthawi yomwe ili yabwino kwambiri kwa iye, malinga ndi njira yake. Kusuntha kwapakati mu TradingView:

Kusuntha kwapakati pa scalping

“Scalping” imatengedwa ngati mawu a slang mu malonda. Zomwe zimatchedwa njira zazifupi zamalonda. Kusuntha kwapakati mu scalping kumasiyanitsidwa ndi kukhazikitsidwa kwa chiwerengero chachikulu cha zochitika. Njirayi ndi yoyenera kwa iwo omwe satsata zolinga zapadziko lonse pokhudzana ndi phindu. Pamalonda a scalping, ma chart okhala ndi nthawi yaying’ono amagwiritsidwa ntchito nthawi zambiri. Njira imeneyi ndi yakale mokwanira wamba, posachedwapa. Izi zidachitika chifukwa chogwiritsa ntchito malonda am’mphepete. Njirayi ndi yothandiza kwambiri ndipo ingabweretse zotsatira zabwino zachuma. Scalping ndi yabwino kwa amalonda omwe amaika ndalama zochepa ndikuyimitsa mgwirizano wanthawi yochepa. Koma izi sizikutanthauza kuti njirayo ndi yosavuta komanso yochepa mphamvu. Wogwiritsa ntchitoyo ayenera kuthera nthawi yochuluka kuti apeze ndalama zambiri. Ndikofunikira kuyang’ana nthawi zonse msika wamalonda wa intraday kuti mupeze chizindikiro cha malonda, komanso kuthandizira malonda otseguka. Chifukwa cha scalping, wogulitsa adzatha kukopa ndalama zabwino. Chinthu chachikulu ndikuyesa dongosolo la malonda muzochita, kuti musawope zoyesera, kuti mukhale ndi nthawi yokwanira yochita malonda ndikuchita mwadongosolo. Chizindikiro chosuntha – QUIK malo ogulitsa: https://youtu.be/ZOUMHFmpruk

Mawonekedwe a malonda pamayendedwe osuntha, ndi zitsanzo

Pali njira zambiri zogulitsira pogwiritsa ntchito magawo osuntha. Pakati pawo, ndikofunikira kuwunikira mitundu 4 yayikulu pakugulitsa:

1. MA kuwoloka ndi mtengo;
2. kusweka kwa 2 kapena kupitilirapo kusuntha kwapakati;
3. kuwoloka zabodza MA;
4. kubwerera ku avareji.

Nthawi zina kuphatikiza kwa zizindikiro zina ndi zina kumapangidwa. Akufunsidwa kuti tiganizire za milanduyi mwatsatanetsatane. Kuwoloka SMA ndi mtengo kumatengedwa ngati njira yosavuta yomwe wogwiritsa ntchito aliyense angagwiritse ntchito, mosasamala kanthu za chidziwitso chawo pankhani yoyika ndalama. Ponena za msika wa Forex, njira yotereyi sichitha. Ngati SMA idutsa kuchokera pansi kupita pamwamba, zidzatheka kulowa malo aatali, mwinamwake (kuchokera pamwamba mpaka pansi), kulowa kwaufupi kudzapangidwa. Kuti mutuluke mu malonda, muyenera kudikirira kuphulika kotsatira.
Kutuluka kwa ma 2 kapena kupitilira apo ndi njira yosavuta. Koma sizothandiza makamaka. Zimachitika motere: EMA (1) imaphwanya EMA (2) kuchokera pamwamba mpaka pansi. Ndi fanizo losiyana, ndizotheka kulowa mwachidule. Choncho, ngati mphambanoyo imachokera pansi mpaka pamwamba, ndiye kuti kulowa kwautali kudzapangidwa. Pakuphulika kotsatira, malonda atuluka.
Crossover yonyenga ya MA imatchulidwanso kuti “njira yopulumukira zabodza”. Zikuwoneka mutawoloka EMA. Patapita nthawi (chinthu chachikulu ndikudikirira), mtengo udzabwerera. Izi zikangochitika, mutha kulowa muakauntiyo mosamala. Chifukwa chake, kutulukamo kuyenera kuchitika mukawoloka EMA.
Kubwerera ku avareji ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zowoneka bwino za chida chosuntha pakugulitsa. Kugulitsa kumatengera kusintha kwa avareji. Ndiko kuti, ndikofunikira kupanga cholowera motsutsana ndi zomwe zikuchitika (izi ndizofunikira). Panthawi imeneyi, mtengowo udzapita kutali ndi chiwerengero chosuntha cha exponential. Muyenera kutuluka mukakwanitsa kufikira chizindikiro chamtengo wa EMA (21). Ngakhale, ngati mutachita 3-4 mfundo kale, kusintha sikudzakhala kwakukulu.
Momwe Otsatsa Amagwiritsira Ntchito Chiŵerengero Choyenda Pakugulitsa – Ma algorithms ndi Njira: https://youtu.be/WrtMA-SLw9g

Kusankha kolondola kwa nthawi yochita malonda pa avareji yosuntha

Otsatsa malonda nthawi zambiri amakhala ndi chidwi ndi momwe angasankhire nthawi yochita malonda. Ndipotu, palibe chovuta, chinthu chachikulu ndikumvetsetsa choonadi chosavuta. Mwachitsanzo, nthawi yosuntha ndi chiwerengero cha makandulo pa nthawi yake. Nthawi yanthawi yosuntha imatengera nthawi yayitali yomwe wogwiritsa ntchitoyo angagwire malonda. Mwachitsanzo, adakonza zosunga mgwirizano kwa ola limodzi. Pankhaniyi, chizindikiro (12) pa tchati cha mphindi 5 chidzachita. Mwachiwonekere, awa ndi mitengo yapakati pa ola limodzi. Mutha kuchita mosiyana pang’ono. Tiyerekeze kuti pali chikhumbo chokhala ndi udindo kwa masabata 1-2. Pankhaniyi, kuposa kale, EMA (7) ndi (14) pa D1 adzachita. Komabe, chifukwa chakuti pali masiku 5 ogwira ntchito pa sabata (chifukwa kumapeto kwa sabata sakuganiziridwa), ndizomveka kutenga EMA (5) ndi (10).

Udindo wa magawo osuntha pamsika wamasheya

Pali mwayi wokulitsa pano. Popeza kusuntha kwapakati ndikofunikira kwambiri pamsika wamasheya, ndikofunikira kumvetsetsa nkhaniyi bwino. Chifukwa chake chagona kusiyana pakati pa msika wa Forex ndi zida zosinthira. Mukafufuza mwatsatanetsatane, zikuwonekeratu kuti pa Forex chiŵerengero cha chuma cha mayiko awiri osiyana chingakhale chosadziŵika kwambiri. Zinthu zimasintha pafupipafupi. Choncho, awiriawiri a ndalama nthawi zambiri amasintha njira yawo kwambiri. Komanso, palibe chizolowezi chodziwikiratu cha kuwonjezeka kosalekeza, kapena mosiyana, kugwa kwakukulu. Pankhani ya msika wamasheya, masheya omwe akuchulukirachulukira akuchulukirachulukira komanso kukhala odziwika bwino. Komabe, panthawi yamavuto, pamakhala mayendedwe akulu ndi kudumpha komwe kumakhala kovuta kudziwiratu. Choncho, likukhalira kuti msika wamasheya ndi mtundu weniweni, kupatulapo zochepa. Izi zikutanthauza kuti mutha kupanga ndalama zabwino pakusuntha kwapakati ngati mutenga izi mozama.
Index nthawi zonse imakhala yokwera. Malingana ndi izi, tikhoza kunena kuti njirayi ndi yosavuta kugwiritsa ntchito. Ndikokwanira kungogula, pamene index ili pafupi ndi chiwerengero chosuntha kapena kutsika pang’ono. Pambuyo pake, muyenera kusunga chidacho mu mbiriyo mpaka chikhale pamwamba pa avareji.
Malingana ndi kuyesa kwapakati pa exponential moveverage, m’pofunika kugula katundu pamene mtengo uli wokwera. Potsatira ndondomeko yomveka bwino, ndi bwino kusiya malonda pamene mtengo uli wotsika.
Zimalangizidwa kuti zisamalire zotsatira za matenda panthawi yogwiritsira ntchito EMA (200). Monga mukuwonera, kutsitsa kumachepera katatu. Komabe, pamlingo wocheperako, zimakhudza ndalama. Zikuwonekeratu kuti mlingo wasintha pang’ono.
Njirayi ikugwira ntchito, koma musaganize kuti kupambana kwa njira yamalonda yotereyi kumagwira ntchito kuzinthu zonse, katundu wamtengo wapatali ndi ma indices. Palinso omwe amasuntha mosayembekezereka. Ngakhale ma analytics adapangidwa pamilandu yotere. Kufufuza mozama mbiri ya zolemba kungathandizenso. Ngati, mwachitsanzo, titenga msika wa Russian Federation, ndiye kuti tikhoza kuona kuti muzochitika izi ndizovuta kwambiri kugwira ntchito ndi maulendo osuntha.
Ndalama pamsika waku Russia zitha kubwereranso kumitengo yapakati. Izi ndichifukwa choti msika nthawi zambiri umakhala munjira yayikulu. Zikhale momwe zingakhalire, mumsika wamalonda cholinga ichi chimakwaniritsidwa mwachangu komanso mosavuta kuposa malonda a Forex. Chinthu chachikulu ndikugwira ntchito molimbika pakusankha zida zokhazikika, zikhale ma indices aku America, magawo amakampani akuluakulu, zolemba zamtengo wapatali zama brand otchuka, ndi zina zambiri. Musanagwiritse ntchito ndalama mwachisawawa, ndi bwino kuyesa kugwiritsa ntchito magawo osuntha, kulungamitsa ndalama zomwe mwalandira ndikuchepetsa kuchepa. Umu ndi momwe mumapezera zotsatira zabwino.