Indlela yokusebenzisa nokusetha ama-avareji ahambayo ekuhwebeni

Ngesikhathi sokuvela kokuhweba kokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, amathuluzi amaningi avele. Kodwa phakathi kwezinkomba ezilula kakhulu, eziwusizo, eziphephile nezivamile ekuhwebeni, izilinganiso ezihambayo ziyahlukaniswa. Okulandelayo kuchaza isidingo sabo ekuhwebeni kanye nezici zokusebenzisa izinhlobo ezahlukene zama-avareji ahambayo kuhlelo lokuhweba.

Yiziphi izilinganiso ezihambayo ekuhwebeni

I-Moving Average, noma njengoba ibizwa nangokuthi, I-Moving Average (MA) inkomba yokuhweba elandela ukunyakaza kwentengo. Inhloso yawo ukusungula isiqondiso sokuthambekela kanye nokwenzeka kokushelela kwayo. Lapho kubalwa isilinganiso esinyakazayo, ochwepheshe bakhetha ukwenza isilinganiso senani lethuluzi elithile ngesikhathi esithile.
Inkathi iyinkomba eyinhloko yenkomba emaphakathi ehambayo, enye yezinhlobo. Izinga lokushelela komugqa wenkomba lincike enanini layo. Izikhathi ezincane zifaneleka kakhulu ngezikhathi eziphansi. Bavumela ngisho nomthengisi ongenalwazi ukuthi aphendule ngokushesha ukunyakaza kwentengo.

Nokho, izimpawu ezingamanga (ngezinye izikhathi zibe ngamanani amakhulu) azikhishwa.

Uma kusetshenziswa isikhathi eside kakhulu, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi singabambezeleka kakhulu. Ngesizathu esifanayo, isistimu izobonisa umlando ophelelwe yisikhathi. Izikhathi ezinkulu zivame ukusetshenziselwa ukwesekwa isikhathi eside noma ukumelana.

Izinhlobo eziyinhloko ze-Moving Average kanye nencazelo yazo

Kunezinhlobo ezi-4 eziyinhloko zesikhombisi se-MA. Ekuqalisweni kokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe bemakethe yokutshala izimali, isilinganiso esihambayo esilula, esicacile, esibushelelezi futhi esinesisindo somugqa siyasetshenziswa.
Kuhlongozwa ukuthi uzijwayeze nenhloso yabo:

1. I-Simple Moving Average iyisamba sezintengo zokuvala zethuluzi elikhethiwe, elimele izikhathi ezimbalwa. Ngaphezu kwalokho, le nkomba ihlukaniswa ngenani lalezi zikhathi. Akuyona ngengozi ukuthi inkomba ibizwa ngokuthi ilula, kulula ukuyisebenzisa futhi ibhekwa njengeyisisekelo.
2. I- Exponential Moving Average – kulesi simo, ingxenye yenani lokuvala langempela yengezwa enanini langaphambili lesilinganiso esinyakazayo.
3. I-Linear Weighted Moving Average iyinkomba esebenzayo kakhulu yomndeni. Lolu hlobo lunganikeza inombolo enkulu yezimpawu ezingamanga, kodwa luyashesha kunezinye ukuhlonza izinguquko enanini. Abahwebi abavamile ukusebenzisa le nkomba.
4. I-Smoothed Moving Average ibushelelezi phakathi kwezinye. I-SMMA ihlinzeka ngendlela yokubala okuthi, ngokungafani ne-SMA, icabangele amanani aphelelwe yisikhathi. Ngendlela, ekusebenzeni, isilinganiso esihambayo esibushelelezi sisetshenziswa kakhulu kuyaqabukela.

Isilinganiso esinyakazayo esikhulu – ukuthi ungasetha kanjani nokuthi usetshenziswa kanjani ekusebenzeni: https://youtu.be/3-4CwYfphXc

Isicelo esiwusizo – i-algorithm yokusebenzisa isilinganiso esinyakazayo

Isilinganiso esinyakazayo siyinkomba yethrendi, mayelana nalokhu, amasu okuhweba asekelwe kukho abalulekile. Kunezindlela ezi-3 eziyinhloko zokusebenzisa amasignali:

1. Isiqondiso esijwayelekile . Imele izilinganiso zangempela zethrendi. Kungaba isikhathi esifushane, esimaphakathi noma eside. Kulesi simo, i-MA iqondiswe phezulu ku-uptrend, futhi phansi ku-downtrend. Kukhona enye imodi – flat, lapho isilinganiso esinyakazayo sivundlile.

2. Ukweqa izilinganiso ezihambayo ngezikhathi ezihlukene . Izinga lesignali lihlala lincike ku-MA enenkathi encane kakhulu. Uma kukhona ukweqa umugqa olandelayo (kusuka phansi kuye phezulu), bese kuba uphawu lokutholwa kwempahla. Uma kungenjalo, isignali yokuthengisa.
3. Ukusekela nokumelana . Ukuphambana komugqa kuwuhlobo lwesignali esiqondisweni sempambana-mgwaqo ngokwayo. Inkomba yempahla ethile ihluke ngokuphelele. Kunconywa ukukhumbula lokhu.

Ukunqunywa kwethrendi ngokuhamba

Isilinganiso esinyakazayo sibonisa isiqondiso sethrendi. Uma kwenzeka ukuthi inkomba yentengo itholakala ngaphezu komugqa, ovuliwe, khona-ke ukuthambekela kuya phezulu. Lapho ama-avareji angu-3 anyakazayo ephenduka imigqa ehambisanayo futhi “ebheka” ohlangothini oluthile, khona-ke lena isignali enamandla kakhulu. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, kufanele babe nezikhathi ezahlukene. Uma intengo ihamba ngebanga elithile emakethe (hhayi eduze komzila owodwa), khona-ke kukhona ithuba lenani elikhulu lamasignali engeziwe.

ezihambayo isilinganiso crossover

Uma isilinganiso esihamba ngokushesha siwela esinensayo, ukusuka phansi kuya phezulu, isignali eqinile yokuthenga (Thenga) cishe kungenzeka. Uma isimo siguqulwa (kusuka phezulu kuya phansi), khona-ke lokhu kuyisignali yokuthengisa (Thengisa). Kodwa uma kungekho mkhuba onenjongo emakethe yokutshala izimali, khona-ke kunezibonakaliso eziningi ezingenalutho ezingeke zilethe izinzuzo ezilindelekile.

Ukunqunywa kwamazinga okumelana nawokusekela

Ngesikhathi sokwakhiwa kwalawa mazinga, intengo ingase isuke esilinganisweni esihambayo. Lokhu kwenzeka ngokuphawulekayo esimweni sokuhamba okumaphakathi kwe-exponential nezikhathi ezibalulekile. Ngalesi sikhathi, kunenzuzo kakhulu ukungena esikhundleni.

Izilinganiso ezintathu ezihambayo ezihambisanayo

Ngokuvamile zakhiwe cishe parallel nomunye. Leli yithuba elihle kakhulu lokungena ekuphakameni kwethrendi. Uma isenzo ekuqaleni sikhonjiswe eshadini, khona-ke ngolimi olunemibandela lwabahwebi, singachazwa ngokuthi “umlomo ovulekile wengwenya”.

Amafomula wokubala uhlobo ngalunye lwezilinganiso ezihambayo

Njengoba usujwayele uhlobo ngalunye lwesilinganiso esinyakazayo ekuhwebeni, kuyanconywa ukuthi ufunde amafomula abo okubala.

Ifomula ye-SMA

Ukuze uthole inkomba yesilinganiso esihambayo esilula, kwanele ukusebenzisa ifomula elandelayo:
SMA = SUM (CLOSE (i), N) / N
Incazelo:

• I-SUM yisamba;
• UKUVALA (i) kusho intengo yesikhathi esethulwe;
• N inombolo yezikhathi.

I-SMA yakhelwe ukulinganisa izintengo zesikhathi esithile. Amandla adonsela phansi athile anoma yiliphi inani elilandelayo asethwe ukuze afane. Esimeni sokugxuma kwentengo okubambekayo, i-SMA izozicabangela kanye nethrendi yentengo evamile.

Ifomula yokubala ye-EMA

Ukuze ubale isilinganiso sokunyakaza komchazi, udinga ukubhala ifomula kanje:
EMA = (CLOSE (i) * P) + (EMA (i – 1) * (100 – P))
Incazelo:

• VALA (i) – inkomba yentengo yesikhathi esinikeziwe;
• I-EMA (i – 1) – idigri ye-EMA yesikhathi esidlule;
• I-P ingxenye ethile yenani lentengo.

I-EMA wuhlobo olusetshenziswa kakhulu lwesilinganiso esinyakazayo ekuhwebeni. Ngosizo lwayo, kungenzeka ukuqeda ukushiyeka kwe-SMA. Kulokhu, kuvela ukuthola isimo semakethe esiqondile ngesikhathi esithile. Futhi inkomba ye-DEMA – i-EMA ephindwe kabili: https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/indikator-dema.htm

I-SMMA Calculation Formula

Ukuze ubale isilinganiso esishelelayo esinyakazayo, ungasebenzisa ifomula elandelayo:
SMMA (i) = (SMMA (i – 1) * (N – 1) + VALA (i)) / N
Incazelo:

• I-SMMA (i – 1) – inkomba yekhandlela langaphambilini;
• VALA (i) – inani lamanje lokuvala;
• N yizinga lenkathi yokushelela.

I-LWMA Calculation Formula

Lapho ubala isilinganiso esihambayo esinesisindo somugqa, udinga ukuqondiswa yile fomula elandelayo:
LWMA = SUM (CLOSE (i) * i, N) / SUM (i, N)
Incazelo:

• I-SUM – inkomba yesamba;
• CLOSE(i) – inani langempela lokuvala;
• I-SUM (i, N) iyisamba sama-coefficients.
• N ukuqokwa kwesikhathi.

Ngenxa yezilinganiso ezihambayo ezinesisindo ngomugqa futhi ezishelelezi, kungenzeka ukucacisa ukubaluleka kwamanani enkathi ethile yokubala.

Izici zokusetha izikhathi

Imingcele yenkomba ingalungiswa ngokwezifiso zomsebenzisi. Angakwazi ukubeka isikhawu sesikhathi esikahle. Uma incane, yilapho i-avareji ehambayo izwela kakhulu futhi inembe ekuboniseni. Ngaphandle kwemibono ehlukahlukene, asikho isikhawu sesikhathi “esilungile”. Ukuze usethe isikhathi esingcono kakhulu, umsebenzisi kuzodingeka azame isikhashana. Ngenxa yalokho, uzoqonda ukuthi yisiphi isikhathi esingcono kakhulu kuye, ngokusho kwesu lakhe lomuntu siqu. Ukuhambisa Okumaphakathi ku-TradingView:

Izilinganiso ezihambayo ze-scalping

“I-scalping” ithathwa njengegama lesitsotsi ekuhwebeni. Abizwa kanjalo ngamasu okuhweba esikhashana. Izilinganiso ezihambayo ku-scalping zihlukaniswa ngokusetshenziswa kwenani elikhulu lokuthengiselana. Le ndlela ifanele labo abangaphishekeli imigomo yomhlaba wonke mayelana nenzuzo. Ekuhwebeni kwe-scalping, amashadi anezikhathi ezincane avame ukusetshenziswa. Lelisu lidala ngokwanele elijwayelekile, ezikhathini zamuva nje. Lokhu kube ngenxa yokusetshenziswa kwe-margin trading. Le ndlela iphumelela kakhulu futhi ingaletha imiphumela emihle yezezimali. I-Scalping ilungele abahwebi abatshala izimali ezincane futhi bayeke ukusebenzisana kwesikhashana. Kodwa lokhu akusho ukuthi isu lilula futhi alisebenzisi kakhulu amandla. Umsebenzisi kuzodingeka anikele isikhathi esiningi ukuze azuze imali engenayo ephezulu. Kuyadingeka ukubuka njalo imakethe yezezimali ye-intraday ukuze uthole isignali yokuhweba, kanye nokusekela ukuthengiselana okuvulekile. Ngenxa ye-scalping, umhwebi uzokwazi ukuheha imali engenayo enhle. Into eyinhloko ukuhlola uhlelo lokuhweba ngokusebenza, ukungesabi ukuhlolwa, ukunikela isikhathi esanele sokwenza ukuthengiselana nokwenza ngokuhlelekile. Inkomba emaphakathi ehambayo – Itheminali yokuhweba ye-QUIK: https://youtu.be/ZOUMHFmpruk

Izici zokuhweba ngama-avareji ahambayo, nezibonelo

Kunamasu amaningi okuhweba usebenzisa izilinganiso ezihambayo. Phakathi kwazo, kufanelekile ukugqamisa ukuhlukahluka oku-4 okuyinhloko kokuhweba:

1. MA ukuwela ngentengo;
2. ukuhlukaniswa kwezilinganiso ezihambayo ezi-2 noma ngaphezulu;
3. ukuwela amanga MA;
4. buyela esilinganisweni.

Kwesinye isikhathi kwakhiwa inhlanganisela yezinye izinkomba nezinye. Kuhlongozwa ukuba kucutshungulwe icala ngalinye ngokuningiliziwe. Ukweqa i-SMA ngentengo kuthathwa njengesu elilula kakhulu noma yimuphi umsebenzisi angalisebenzisa, ngokunganaki izinga labo lolwazi emkhakheni wokutshala imali. Ngokuqondene nemakethe ye-Forex, isu elinjalo ngeke lisebenze. Uma i-SMA iwela kusuka phansi kuya phezulu, kuyokwazi ukufaka isikhundla eside, ngaphandle kwalokho (kusuka phezulu kuya phansi), ukungena okufushane kuzokwenziwa. Ukuze uphume ekuhwebeni, kufanele ulinde ukuphuma okulandelayo.
Ukwehlukana kwezilinganiso ezihambayo ezi-2 noma ngaphezulu nakho kuyinketho elula. Kodwa ayisebenzi ngokukhethekile. Kwenzeka kanje: I-EMA (1) iphula i-EMA (2) ukusuka phezulu kuye phansi. Ngokuqhathanisa okuphambene, kungenzeka ukuthi ufake amafushane. Ngakho-ke, uma i-intersection isuka phansi iye phezulu, khona-ke ukungena okude kuzokwenziwa. Ekuphumeni okulandelayo, ukuhweba kuyaphuma.
I-crossover engamanga ye-MA nayo ibizwa ngokuthi “isu lokuqhuma okungamanga”. Ivela ngemva kokuwela i-EMA. Ngemva kwesikhathi esithile (into eyinhloko ukuyilinda), intengo izobuya. Ngokushesha uma lokhu kwenzeka, ungangena ngokuphephile okwenziwayo. Ngakho-ke, ukuphuma kuyo kufanele kwenziwe ngemva kokuwela okulandelayo kwe-EMA.
Ukubuyela esilinganisweni okunye kokusetshenziswa okungajwayelekile kwethuluzi elimaphakathi elihambayo ekuhwebeni. Ukuhweba kusekelwe ekubuyiselweni kwesilinganiso. Okusho ukuthi, kuyadingeka ukwenza ukungena ngokumelene nomkhuba (lokhu kubalulekile). Ngalesi sikhathi, intengo izohamba kude ne-avareji ehamba phambili esheshayo. Kufanele uphume lapho ukwazi ukufinyelela inkomba yentengo ye-EMA (21). Nakuba, uma ukwenza amaphuzu angu-3-4 ngaphambili, izinguquko ngeke zibe zibalulekile.
Indlela Abadayisi Abasebenzisa Ngayo Isilinganiso Esinyakazayo Ekuhwebeni – Ama-algorithms kanye Namasu: https://youtu.be/WrtMA-SLw9g

Ukukhetha okulungile kwesikhathi sokuhweba ngesilinganiso esihambayo

Abathengisi be-Debut bavame ukuba nentshisekelo yokuthi ungasikhetha kanjani isikhathi sokuhweba. Eqinisweni, akukho lutho oluyinkimbinkimbi, into eyinhloko ukuqonda amaqiniso alula. Isibonelo, isikhathi esimaphakathi esinyakazayo yinombolo yamakhandlela esimisweni sesikhathi. Isikhathi sesilinganiso esinyakazayo sincike kakhulu ekutheni umsebenzisi angabamba isikhathi esingakanani ukuhweba. Isibonelo, uhlele ukugcina isivumelwano cishe ihora elingu-1. Kulokhu, inkomba (12) eshadini lemizuzu emi-5 izokwenza. Ngokusobala, lezi izintengo ezimaphakathi zehora elingu-1. Ungenza ngokuhlukile. Ake sithi kukhona isifiso sokubamba isikhundla amaviki angu-1-2. Kulokhu, kunanini ngaphambili, i-EMA (7) kanye (14) ku-D1 izokwenza. Kodwa-ke, uma kubhekwa iqiniso lokuthi kunezinsuku zokusebenza ezingu-5 kuphela ngesonto (ngoba izimpelasonto azinakwa), kunengqondo kakhulu ukuthatha i-EMA (5) kanye (10).

Isikhundla sezilinganiso ezihambayo emakethe yamasheya

Ikhona ngempela indawo yokwandisa lapha. Njengoba izilinganiso ezihambayo zibaluleke kakhulu emakethe yamasheya, kufanelekile ukuqonda lolu daba kahle. Isizathu sisemehlukweni phakathi kwemakethe ye-Forex nezinsimbi zokushintshana ezijwayelekile. Uma uhlolisisa imininingwane, kuyacaca ukuthi ku-Forex isilinganiso somnotho wezifunda ezimbili ezihlukene singabonakala singalindelekile ngokwedlulele. Isimo sishintsha njalo. Ngakho-ke, amapheya emali ngokuvamile ashintsha indlela yawo ngokuphawulekayo. Ngaphezu kwalokho, akukho mkhuba ocacile wokwanda okuqhubekayo, noma okuphambene nalokho, ukuwa okubukhali. Mayelana nemakethe yamasheya, amasheya akhulayo nama-indices akhuphuka kancane futhi abonakala nakakhulu. Kodwa-ke, ngezikhathi zobunzima, kukhona ukunyakaza okukhulu nokugxuma okunzima ukukubikezela kusengaphambili. Ngakho, kuvela ukuthi imakethe yamasheya iwumkhiqizo omsulwa, ngaphandle kokuhlukile okumbalwa. Lokhu kusho ukuthi ungenza imali enhle ngempela ngama-avareji ahambayo uma uthatha lo msebenzi ngokungathi sína.
Inkomba ihlale iku-uptrend. Ngokusekelwe kulokhu, singaphetha ngokuthi leli su kulula kakhulu ukulisebenzisa. Kwanele ukuthenga nje, kuyilapho inkomba iseduze nesilinganiso esinyakazayo noma yehliswe kancane. Ngemuva kwalokho, kufanele ugcine ithuluzi kuphothifoliyo lize libe ngaphezu kwesilinganiso.
Ngokokuhlola okumaphakathi okunyakazayo, kufanelekile ukuthenga impahla uma intengo iphezulu. Ukulandela i-algorithm enengqondo, kungcono ukuphuma ekuhwebeni lapho intengo iphansi.
Kunconywa ukuthi unake imiphumela yokuxilonga ngesikhathi sokusetshenziswa kwe-EMA (200). Njengoba ubona, ukudonsa kucishe kuphindwe kathathu. Nokho, ngokwezinga elincane, kuthinta imali engenayo. Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi izinga selishintshile kancane.
Inketho iyasebenza, kodwa akufanele ucabange ukuthi impumelelo yendlela enjalo yokuhweba isebenza kuzo zonke izitoko, izimpahla ezibalulekile nama-indices. Kukhona nalezo ezihamba ngendlela engalindelekile. Nakuba izibalo zenzelwe izimo ezinjalo. Ukuhlolwa okuphelele komlando wezingcaphuno nakho kuzosiza. Uma, ngokwesibonelo, sithatha imakethe yamasheya yeRussian Federation, khona-ke singabona ukuthi kulezi zimo kunzima kakhulu ukusebenza ngezilinganiso ezihambayo.
Imali engenayo emakethe yamasheya yaseRussia izokwazi ukuthola ekubuyiseleni kumanani ajwayelekile. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi imakethe ivame ukutholakala esiteshini esibanzi. Noma ngabe kunjalo, emakethe yamasheya lo mgomo ufinyelelwa ngokushesha futhi kulula kunokuhweba nge-Forex. Into esemqoka ukusebenza kanzima ekukhetheni izinsimbi ezizinzile, kungaba yizinkomba zaseMelika, amasheya amabhizinisi amakhulu, imibhalo ebalulekile yemikhiqizo edumile, njll. Ngaphambi kokutshala imali ngokungahleliwe, kungcono ukuzama ukusebenzisa ama-avareji anyakazayo, ulinganisele imali oyitholile futhi wehlise ukudonswa kwemali. Ngale ndlela uthola imiphumela emihle.