Japanese candlestick “Hammer” mu kwekenneenya okw’ekikugu mu kusuubula

Japanese candlestick “Hammer” – okuzimba, okunnyonnyola ku kipande n’okukozesa mu kusuubula. Ennyondo eno ya mulembe gumu ogw’okukyusakyusa omumuli ogukoleddwa ng’ennyondo ewaniridde ku bbugwe. Ekintu – ekikondo ky’ettaala kirina ekisiikirize ekiwanvu, ekisukka omubiri waakiri emirundi ebiri. Endabika y’omusono guno egamba omusuubuzi okwetegekera okudda emabega kw’akatale.
 

Ebintu ebiraga ennyondo

Ennyondo eno erabika wansi w’akatale kokka, oluvannyuma lw’okutambula okumala ebbanga eddene ng’egenda wansi. Omusuubuzi bw’alaba ennyondo waggulu ku katale, olwo tasaanidde kugitwala ng’akabonero akalaga okugula. Ennyondo eri waggulu ku katale eyitibwa “omusajja eyawanika” era eyogera ku bbeeyi egenda okukka.

Ennyondo esobola okuba n’omubiri omumyufu oba omweru, si kikulu. Ennyondo ya bullish y’esinga okubeera ennungi, osobola okuyingira mu busuubuzi ng’olina obwesige obusingako, naye tewa nsonga nnene mu kusuubula okw’ekiseera eky’omu makkati (ku kiseera ekisukka ku kya buli lunaku). Ennyondo eno emanyiddwa olw’ebintu bino wammanga:

• omubiri omutono, okumpi mu ngeri ne square;
• ekisiikirize kisukka omubiri emirundi egisukka mu 2;
• kumpi tewali kisiikirize kya kubiri;
• ekisiikirize kiyinza okuba wansi ne waggulu (olwo omusono guyitibwa ennyondo ekyusiddwa);
• ekoleddwa ku nkola ey’okukka wansi;
• high volatility – ennyondo erina okuba n’ebanga ery’amaanyi wakati w’ekitono n’ekisinga obunene, emimuli egisukka mu 2-3 egy’omuliraano

Omuze guno guva ku by’empisa, mu kiseera ekimu omuguzi ow’amaanyi yalabika, ng’asobola okugoba obulumbaganyi obw’amaanyi obw’abatunzi. N’olwekyo, waliwo emikisa mingi nti ente ennume zijja kuba n’amaanyi agamala okukulaakulanya omuze ogw’okulinnya (ogw’ekiseera ekitono oba eky’ekiseera ekiwanvu). Amaanyi ga siginiini geeyongera singa ekola ku ddaala ery’obuwagizi ery’amaanyi, eyinza okuba eddaala ery’ebyafaayo, eddaala lya Fibonacci oba layini y’omulembe. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/fibonacci-channel.htm Ennyondo ekyusiddwa teyawukana ku ya classic, omukono gwe gumu mpanvu, figure yokka efuuse upside down. Endowooza y’efaanagana – eddubu lifuga ku katale era omuguzi ow’amaanyi alabika asobola okulinnyisa ennyo quotes. Okugezaako okusooka kuddibwamu, naye ente ennume zaakuŋŋaanya amaanyi olw’olulumba olupya ne zikyusa omuze. Ennyondo (ennyondo ekyusiddwa) eyinza okulabika waggulu ku mulembe.
Tonoonya bubonero wansi w’obuwagizi, oba wakati mu mulembe. Era kikulu okufaayo ku kukyukakyuka kw’enkola. Omuguzi alina okuvaayo okuzzaawo omulembe.

Amaanyi g’omusono

Si buli nnyondo nti ekola nga bwe twandiyagadde – okuyingira kwaffe kuli ku ntandikwa y’entambula y’omulembe. Waliwo obubonero obuwerako omusuubuzi bw’ayinza okukozesa okulaga amaanyi g’omusono:

• omubiri omuzungu – mu kusuubula mu lunaku kyongera obwesige mu nkolagana. Ente ennume za maanyi nnyo, naye eddubu tezirina maanyi gamala kufuga kandulo;
• ennyondo ekolebwa ku bunene obweyongedde obwesimbye;
• ebituli – okuggulawo omumuli gwa siginiini kwaliwo nga waliwo ekituli, ente ennume, oluvannyuma lw’okuwummulamu akaseera katono, zaawamba enteekateeka ne zisika ebbeeyi n’amaanyi;
• omusono gukolebwa ku ddaala ly’obuwagizi obw’amaanyi, ate nga bbeeyi tetereeza wansi;
• timeframe – pattern esobola okusangibwa ku timeframe yonna, ekiseera gye kikoma okuba waggulu, pattern gyekoma okwesigika. Ebitundu ebisinga obungi eby’okusima eby’obugagga eby’omu ttaka biri ku nnyondo ku kipande kya wiiki;
• oluvannyuma lw’ennyondo, ekikondo ky’ettaala eky’amaanyi ekigulumivu kikolebwa;
• waliwo obubonero obw’enjawulo okuva mu biraga, okuyingira okulungi kujja kufunibwa singa ennyondo ekolebwa mu kiseera kye kimu n’okuwukana ku kiraga RSI oba AO. Kiba kirungi okufaayo ku bubonero obuli ku kiseera ekisukka mu ssaawa 1.

Omumuli gw’ennyondo mu kwekenneenya eby’ekikugu: https://youtu.be/Dt2ItrqNGn0

Engeri y’okusuubulamu omumuli – ennyondo pattern mu kusuubula mu nkola

Abasuubuzi basisinkana ennyondo n’ennyondo ekyusiddwa omusono gw’ekikondo ky’ettaala mu butale bwonna, ka kibeere sitoowa oba mafuta oba zaabu. Osobola okuzisuubula ku kiseera kyonna, naye kirungi okukozesa ekiseera ekinene. Waliwo ensonga eziwerako eziviirako kino:

• okwesigika – ekiseera gye kikoma okuba waggulu, emikisa gy’okusima gye gikoma okuba eminene;
• volatility – essaawa 4 n’ennaku n’okusingawo price range era waliwo omukisa okuyingira ku ntandikwa y’omulembe ogugenda okumala waakiri wiiki emu;
• risk profit ratio – kyetaagisa okukuuma waakiri 1 ku 3 wakati w’okuyimirira n’okutwala amagoba Kizibu okukola kino ku kipande ky’eddakiika, ku nkola eno omugerageranyo ogusinga okukozesebwa guli 1 ku 1;
• okusobola okukakasa okw’enjawulo, osobola okukozesa ekipande ky’ekibinja oba ekipande ky’obunene obw’okwebungulula . Siginini ennungi erina eddoboozi mu kisiikirize ky’ennyondo.

Singa okusuubula kukolebwa
mu lunaku, nga ddiiru eteekeddwa okuggalwa ku nkomerero y’olunaku, obubonero busobola okunoonyezebwa ku m15-m30. Wajja kubaawo emirimu mingi, naye omutindo gwazo gusingako obubi. Mu kusuubula ng’okwo, omusuubuzi alina okuba nga mwetegefu okufiirwa emirundi mingi. Ennyondo ku chati za buli lunaku oba eza wiiki tetera kubaawo, oluusi olina okulinda omwezi mulamba oba okusingawo okusobola okusuubula. Era okutunda kwennyini kuyinza okumala wiiki emu oba omwezi mulamba. Okusobola okufuna obubonero obusingawo, omusuubuzi alina okulondoola chati z’ebivuga bingi. Okusuubula kusinga kupimibwa era oluvannyuma lw’okulabika ennyondo, waliwo ennaku endala 1-2 okusalawo okuyingira ddiiru. Okusalawo mu kusuubula mu lunaku kulina okukolebwa mu bwangu.

Enkola y’okusuubula

1. Akatale kali mu mbeera ya maanyi okukka, waakiri wiiki emu.
2. Bbeeyi esemberera omutindo gw’obuwagizi ogw’amaanyi. Waliwo ebyetaagisa nti omutendera guno guyinza okufuuka ogusinga obutono ku katale okumala ekiseera.
3. Omumuli gw’ennyondo gukolebwa ku ddaala.
4. Wansi w’eddaala ly’obuwagizi, bbeeyi yagenda n’ekisiikirize kyokka. Wandibaawo ennyondo 2 oba 3 ku ddaala lye limu. Kino kyongera ku siginiini. Ente ennume za maanyi okukuuma emiwendo nga ziggalawo waggulu w’obuwagizi.
5. Oluvannyuma lw’ennyondo, waliwo okukakasa – omumuli gwa marubozu oba doji ogw’amaanyi ogw’amaanyi. Kikulu bbeeyi obutagwa wansi w’obuwagizi n’omubiri.
6. Ggulawo obusuubuzi bw’okugula waggulu ddala ku buwanvu bwa kandulo.
7. Stop loss eteekebwa emabega w’ekisiikirize.
8. Take profit eteekebwa ku level esinga emirundi 3 ku stop. Oba ebisingawo.
9. Singa omumuli gw’ennyondo guba n’ekisiikirize ekinene ennyo, stop loss esobola okuteekebwa wansi ddala w’okuggulawo kwa kandulo.
10. Singa, oluvannyuma lw’okuyingira mu busuubuzi, bbeeyi telaga maanyi – egwa mpola n’eyimirira, omusuubuzi asinga kwagala kuva mu katale oluvannyuma lw’okumenya layini y’omulembe ey’ekiseera ekitono n’alinda embeera okugonjoolwa.
11.  Singa ennyondo eba n’ekisiikirize ekiwanvu era omusuubuzi ayagala okufuna omugerageranyo omulungi ogw’akabi n’empeera, osobola okuteekawo okumanyisibwa ng’ebbeeyi ezzeemu ebitundu 50% ku kisiikirize. Osobola okuteeka limit order ku level. Oba kyusa ogende ku kiseera ekitono ogezeeko okunoonya ennyondo endala ku ddaala. Ekifo ekiyimirira kiteekebwa wansi wa wansi wa kandulo. Twala amagoba mu mbeera eno eteekebwawo nga 10x okuva ku stop.
12. Ebiseera ebisinga omuze omupya gutandika n’ennyondo ku kipande kya buli lunaku oba ekya wiiki. Oluvannyuma lw’okutuuka ku take profit, stop etambuzibwa okudda ku breakeven so si byonna, wabula ekitundu kyokka ku kifo kye kiggalwa. Kirungi okuggalawo ebitundu ebisukka mu 50% ku kifo. Ebisigadde bisobola okukwatibwa okutuusa nga akabonero akakontana kalabika (akawanikiddwa) oba nga otambuza ekifo we bayimirira mu kitundu ky’amagoba.
13. Oluvannyuma lw’okukakasa enkyukakyuka ya trend n’okutuuka ku take profit, ekifo tekiggalwa. Stop loss egenda mu safe zone era eky’obugagga ekirala ne kigulibwa. Osobola okugula volume y’emu oba entono emirundi 2-5. Etteeka erikulu liri nti okufiirwa kw’okuyimirira bwe kutuusibwako, akabi tekagenda kweyongera. Ekisinga obulungi, stop yandiyimiridde ku breakeven yokka. Take profit teteekebwawo, omusuubuzi alondoola akatale era, signal for a long bwegwawo, aggulawo trades empya n’atambuza stop. Fuluma okuva mu nkolagana – mu mbeera ey’omu ngalo nga siginiini ey’okudda emabega erabika oba nga okufiirwa okuyimirira kutuuse. Enkolagana eyinza okuba ey’ekiseera ekitono era emala ennaku eziwera oba wadde emyezi.

Ensobi mu kusuubula ennyondo

Abasuubuzi abatandika okusuubula ennyondo ku chati batera okuggwaamu essuubi amangu olw’omusono. Kirabika gyebali nti tewa nsonga, ekola 50/50. Abasuubuzi, bwe basuubula ku nnyondo, bakola ensobi zino wammanga:

• noonya enkola ku buwagizi obunafu, wonna ku kipande, so si wansi ku katale;
• okuyingira mu busuubuzi awatali kukakasibwa ku ntambula ey’amaanyi ey’okukka;
• okukyukakyuka kw’ennyondo kuli wansi – omuwendo gw’ebintu gulina okuba waggulu okusinga ogw’emimuli 2-3 egy’oku muliraano. Endowooza eno ya subjective, era n’ennyondo embi esobola okukola, naye psychology y’omusono y’okuddamu eri olulumba olw’amaanyi. Bwe waba nga tewaaliwo kulumba, olwo tewali kya kukuba;
• ekisiikirize ekitono oba omubiri omunene ennyo;
• batwala ennyondo emimuli egy’enjawulo, naye nga girina emimuli eminene ku njuyi zombi – doji. Doji kifaananyi kya butakakasa, ate ennyondo eraga obuwanguzi bw’ente ennume mu kiseera kino;
• endowooza ya wansi ne waggulu w’akatale – subjective. Kya bulabe nnyo okusuubula countertrend mu katale akagwa . Bbeeyi esobola okukola okubuuka okutono kwokka, okutamala kutuuka ku ddaala lya take profit, n’okugenda mu maaso n’okukka wansi. Omusuubuzi asuubula n’emmeeza ayinza okukola okusuubula 2-3 oba okusingawo okutafunye buwanguzi mu lunyiriri;
• singa omugerageranyo mu nkolagana guba 2 ku 10 n’okudda waggulu, ku kusuubula okuvaamu amagoba kimala okukola emirimu egisukka mu 1 egy’amagoba ku 10. Ensobi enkulu ye psychology, okwagala okukomya okufiirwa. Abasuubuzi baggyawo stop loss, kino kivaako okufiirwa okunene;
• Ensobi endala etera okukolebwa kwe kutwala amagoba ku mugerageranyo ogutakka wansi wa 1 ku 3. Abasuubuzi balina okutegeera nti enkola eno tekola magoba nga bali wala. Ne bwe kiba nti mu kiseera kino bafuna enneewulira ezisanyusa okuva mu nkolagana efunamu.

Ennyondo eno ya kifaananyi kya kandulo nga kyangu okulaba ku kipande. Kiyinza okuyamba omusuubuzi okulagula eky’okukola ku bbeeyi mu biseera eby’omu maaso. Naye okusuubula ku nnyondo zokka, singa omusuubuzi asuubula n’omugerageranyo gw’empeera y’akabi ogutakka wansi wa 1 ku 3, kiyinza obutavaamu magoba. Kyetaagisa okunoonya okwongera ku mugerageranyo gw’akabi n’empeera. Okwongera ku mikisa gy’okutunda obulungi, olina okukozesa okukakasa okw’enjawulo – emimuli gino wammanga, okusoma ebiraga oba amawulire okuva mu kipande ky’ekibinja. Ekikakasa ekirungi ye Mirabozu ow’amaanyi – kandulo ng’erina omubiri omuwanvu ate kumpi nga tewali bisiikirize. Okukozesa ennyondo mu kwekenneenya okujjuvu kiyinza okulongoosa obulungi mu kusuubula