Ikhandlela laseJapan elithi “Hammer” kuhlalutyo lobuchwephesha ekurhwebeni

Ikhandlela laseJapan elithi “Hammer” – ukwakhiwa, inkcazo kwitshathi kunye nesicelo kwintengiso. Ihamile yipateni enye yokuguqula ikhandlela emile okwehamile ejinga eludongeni. Isici – i-candlestick inethunzi elide, elidlula umzimba ubuncinane kabini. Ukubonakala kwalo mzekelo uxelela umrhwebi ukuba alungiselele ukuguqulwa kweemarike.
 

Iimpawu zesalathisi seHammer

Ihamile ibonakala kuphela ngaphantsi kweemarike, emva kokuhamba kwexesha elide lokuhla. Ukuba umrhwebi uqaphela isando phezulu kwimarike, ngoko akufanele ayithathe njengomqondiso wokuthenga. Ihamile ephezulu yemarike ibizwa ngokuba “yindoda ejingayo” kwaye ithetha ngokuhla kwexabiso okuzayo. Isando sinokuba nomzimba obomvu okanye omhlophe, akunamsebenzi. Ihamile ye-bullish iyakhethwa, ungangena kurhwebo ngokuzithemba ngakumbi, kodwa ayiniki nzuzo ibalulekileyo kurhwebo lwexesha eliphakathi (kwixesha elingaphezulu kwemihla ngemihla). Ihamile ibonakaliswe ngezi mpawu zilandelayo:

• umzimba omncinci, osondeleyo kwisikwere;
• isithunzi sidlula umzimba ngamaxesha angaphezu kwama-2;
• akukho sithunzi sesibini;
• isithunzi sinokuba zombini ngaphantsi nangaphezulu (emva koko iphethini ibizwa ngokuba yi-hammer inverted);
• yenziwe kwi-downtrend;
• ukuguquguquka okuphezulu – isando kufuneka sibe nomgama obalulekileyo phakathi kobuncinci kunye nobuninzi, ngaphezu kwamakhandlela angama-2-3 angabamelwane

Ipatheni ibangelwa yingqondo, ngexesha elithile umthengi onamandla wabonakala, ekwazi ukugxotha ukuhlaselwa okunamandla kwabathengisi. Ngoko ke, kukho ithuba eliphezulu lokuba iinkunzi zeenkomo ziya kuba namandla okwaneleyo ukuphuhlisa i-uptrend (ixesha elifutshane okanye ixesha elide). Amandla omqondiso ayanda ukuba abumba kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo lenkxaso, ingaba yinqanaba lembali, inqanaba leFibonacci okanye umgca wokuhamba. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/fibonacci-channel.htm Ihamile eguquliweyo ayifani neklasikhi, isibambo sinobude obufanayo, kuphela umfanekiso ophantsi. I-psychology iyafana – iibhere zilawula phezulu kwimarike kwaye kubonakala umthengi owomeleleyo onokunyusa kakhulu izicatshulwa. Umzamo wokuqala uyagxothwa, kodwa iinkunzi zenkomo zaqokelela amandla ohlaselo olutsha zaza zawubuyisela umva umkhwa. Ihamile (ihamile eguqulweyo) inokuvela phezulu kwendlela.
Sukujonga imiqondiso phantsi kwenkxaso, okanye phakathi kwendlela. Kwaye kubalulekile ukunyamekela ukuguquguquka kwepateni. Umthengi kufuneka agqame ukubuyisela umva le meko.

Amandla epateni

Ayiyiyo yonke ihamile esebenza ngendlela ebesingathanda ngayo – ukungena kwethu kusekuqaleni kwentshukumo yentsingiselo. Kukho imiqondiso emininzi apho umrhwebi anokubonakalisa amandla epateni:

• umzimba omhlophe – kwintengiso ye-intraday yongeza ukuzithemba kwintengiselwano. Iinkunzi zeenkomo zomelele kakhulu, kodwa iibhere azinawo amandla aneleyo okulawula ikhandlela;
• isando senziwa kwimiqulu eyandisiweyo ethe nkqo;
• izikhewu – ukuvulwa kwekhandlela lomqondiso kwenzeka nge-gap, iinkunzi zeenkomo, emva kokuphefumula okufutshane, zabamba inyathelo kwaye zatyhala ixabiso ngamandla;
• iphethini yenziwe kwinqanaba eliqinileyo lokuxhasa, ngelixa ixabiso alilungisi eliphantsi;
• ixesha elibekiweyo – ipateni inokufumaneka kulo naliphi na ixesha, ixesha liphezulu, ipateni inokuthenjwa. Ipesenti ephezulu yemigodi ikwisando kwitshathi yeveki;
• emva kwesando, isiphatho sesibane esiqinileyo senziwe;
• kukho izibonakaliso ezongezelelweyo ezivela kwizibonakaliso, ukungena okulungileyo kuya kufumaneka ukuba isando senziwe ngexesha elifanayo kunye nokwahlukana kwi -RSI okanye isalathisi se-AO. Kufanelekile ukunikela ingqalelo kwiimpawu kwixesha elibekiweyo ngaphezu kweyure eyi-1.

Ikhandlela lesando kuhlalutyo lobugcisa: https://youtu.be/Dt2ItrqNGn0

Indlela yokurhweba ikhandlela – ipateni yesando ekurhwebeni ekusebenzeni

Abarhwebi badibana nesando kunye nephethini yesibane sesando esiguqulweyo kuzo zonke iimarike, nokuba zizitokhwe okanye ioyile okanye igolide. Unokuzirhweba ngalo naliphi na ixesha, kodwa kuyacetyiswa ukuba usebenzise ixesha elikhudlwana. Kukho izizathu ezininzi zoku:

• ukuthembeka – ukuphakama kwexesha, ngakumbi amathuba okuba nemigodi;
• ukuguquguquka – iiyure ezi-4 kunye neentsuku ezininzi zexabiso kwaye kukho ithuba lokungena ekuqaleni kwendlela eya kuhlala ubuncinane ngeveki;
• umngcipheko wenzuzo yenzuzo – kuyimfuneko ukugcina ubuncinane i-1 ukuya kwe-3 phakathi kokuyeka kunye nokuthatha inzuzo.Kunzima ukwenza oku kwitshathi yomzuzu, kule ndlela umlinganiselo oqhelekileyo ngu-1 ukuya ku-1;
• ukwenzela uqinisekiso olongezelelweyo, ungasebenzisa itshathi yeqela okanye itshati yemithamo ethe tye . Umqondiso olungileyo unomthamo emthunzini wehamile.

Ukuba ukurhweba kuqhutyelwa
kwi-intraday, apho i-deal ivalwe ngokuyimfuneko ekupheleni kosuku, iimpawu zinokufunwa kwi-m15-m30. Kuya kubakho ukuthengiselana okuninzi, kodwa umgangatho wabo ubi kakhulu. Ngorhwebo olunjalo, umrhwebi kufuneka alungele ukulahlekelwa rhoqo. Ihamile kwiitshathi zemihla ngemihla okanye zeveki ayifane yenzeke, ngamanye amaxesha kufuneka ulinde inyanga okanye ngaphezulu kurhwebo. Kwaye intengiselwano ngokwayo inokuhlala iveki okanye inyanga. Ukuze ufumane imiqondiso emininzi, umrhwebi kufuneka abeke iliso kwiitshathi zezixhobo ezininzi. Ukurhweba kulinganiswe ngakumbi kwaye emva kokubonakala kwesando, kukho enye iintsuku ze-1-2 ukwenza isigqibo sokungena kwintengiselwano. Izigqibo kwintengiso ye-intraday kufuneka zenziwe ngokukhawuleza.

I-algorithm yokurhweba

1. Imarike kwi-downtrend eqinile, ubuncinane ngeveki.
2. Ixabiso lisondela kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo lokuxhasa. Kukho izinto ezifunekayo ukuba eli nqanaba lingajika libe lelona lincinci lemarike ixesha elithile.
3. Ikhandlela lesando lenziwa kwinqanaba.
4. Ngezantsi kwinqanaba lenkxaso, ixabiso lahamba kuphela ngesithunzi. Kusenokubakho iihamile ezi-2 okanye ezi-3 kwinqanaba elifanayo. Oku kwandisa umqondiso. Iinkunzi zomelele ngokwaneleyo ukugcina ixabiso livaliwe ngaphezu kwenkxaso.
5. Emva kwehamile, kukho isiqinisekiso – i-bullish eyomeleleyo marubozu okanye ikhandlela le-doji. Kubalulekile ukuba ixabiso aliwi phantsi kwenkxaso kunye nomzimba.
6. Vula urhwebo lokuthenga ngaphaya kwendawo ephakamileyo yekhandlela.
7. Ilahleko yokuyeka ibekwe emva kwesithunzi.
8. Thatha inzuzo ibekwe kwinqanaba eliphindwe ngama-3 ngaphezu kokumisa. Okanye ngaphezulu.
9. Ukuba ikhandlela lesando linomthunzi omkhulu kakhulu, ukulahleka kokuyeka kunokubekwa ngaphantsi kokuvulwa kwekhandlela.
10. Ukuba, emva kokungena kwintengiso, ixabiso alibonisi amandla – liwa ngokukhawuleza kwaye lime, umrhwebi ukhetha ukuphuma kwimarike emva kokuqhekeka komgca wexesha elifutshane kwaye ulinde ukuba imeko ixazululwe.
11.  Ukuba isando sinomthunzi omde kwaye umrhwebi ufuna ukufumana umlinganiselo ongcono womvuzo womngcipheko, unokuseta isaziso xa ixabiso libuyisela i-50% yesithunzi. Unokubeka umda wokumisela kwinqanaba. Okanye tshintshela kwixesha elincinci kwaye uzame ukufumana esinye isando kwinqanaba. Ukumisa kubekwe ngaphantsi kwekhandlela eliphantsi. Thatha inzuzo kule meko ibekwe njenge-10x ukusuka kwindawo yokumisa.
12. Ngokuqhelekileyo umkhwa omtsha uqala ngehamile kwitshati yemihla ngemihla okanye yeveki. Emva kokufikelela kwinzuzo yokuthatha, ukumisa kushukunyiswa kwi-breakeven kwaye kungekhona konke, kodwa kuphela inxalenye yendawo evaliweyo. Kukhethwa ukuvala ngaphezulu kwe-50% yendawo. Intsalela inokubanjwa de kuvele umqondiso ochaseneyo (ukuxhoma) okanye ngokuhambisa isitophu kwindawo yenzuzo.
13. Emva kokuqinisekisa utshintsho lwenguqu kunye nokufikelela kwinzuzo yokuthatha, isikhundla asivalwanga. Ilahleko yokuyeka iya kwindawo ekhuselekileyo kwaye enye i-asethi ithengiwe. Ungathenga umthamo ofanayo okanye amaxesha angama-2-5 amancinci. Umgaqo oyintloko kukuba xa ukulahleka kokuyeka kufikeleleke, umngcipheko awunyuki. Ngokufanelekileyo, indawo yokumisa yayiza kuma kwindawo yokuphumla. Thatha inzuzo ayibekwanga, umrhwebi ubeka iliso kwimarike kwaye, xa umqondiso wexesha elide usenzeka, uvula urhwebo olutsha kwaye uhambisa ukuyeka. Phuma kwi-transaction – kwimodi ye-manual xa umqondiso we-reverse ubonakala okanye xa ukulahleka kokuyeka kufikeleleke. Utshintshiselwano lunokuba lwexesha elifutshane kwaye luqhubeke iintsuku ezininzi okanye iinyanga.

Iimpazamo zokurhweba ngesando

Abarhwebi abaqala ukurhweba ngehamile kwitshati badla ngokuphoxeka ngokukhawuleza ngepateni. Kubonakala kubo ukuba ayiboneleli inzuzo, isebenza 50/50. Abarhwebi, xa bethengisa ngehamile, benza ezi mpazamo zilandelayo:

• khangela iphethini kwinkxaso ebuthakathaka, naphi na kwitshathi, kwaye kungekhona phantsi kweemarike;
• ngenisa urhwebo ngaphandle kokuqinisekiswa kwintshukumo eqinile yokuhla;
• ukuguquguquka kwesando kuphantsi – uluhlu lwexabiso lufanele lube phezulu kunelo lamakhandlela angama-2-3 angabamelwane. Le ngcamango ixhomekeke, kwaye isando esibi sinokusebenza, kodwa i-psychology yepateni iyimpendulo yokuhlaselwa okunamandla. Ukuba kwakungekho kuhlaselwa, ngoko akukho nto yokubetha;
• isithunzi esincinci okanye umzimba omkhulu kakhulu;
• bathatha ngesando amakhandlela ezifanayo, kodwa ngamakhandlela ezinkulu macala omabini – doji. I-Doji ngumfanekiso wokungaqiniseki, ngelixa isando sibonisa ukunqoba kweenkunzi zenkomo okwangoku;
• Ingqikelelo yezantsi kunye nomphezulu wemarike – subjective. Kuyingozi kakhulu ukurhweba i-countertrend kwimarike ewayo . Ixabiso linokwenza i-bounce encinci kuphela, enganelanga ukufikelela kwinqanaba lokuthatha inzuzo, kwaye uqhubeke nokuhamba phantsi. Umrhwebi othengisa ngetafile unokwenza i-2-3 okanye ngaphezulu urhwebo olungaphumelelanga kumqolo;
• ukuba umlinganiselo kwiintengiselwano ngu-2 ukuya kwi-10 nangaphezulu, ukurhweba okunenzuzo kwanele ukwenza ngaphezu kwe-1 intengiselwano enenzuzo kwi-10. Impazamo enkulu yengqondo, umnqweno wokuyeka ukulahlekelwa. Abarhwebi basusa ukulahleka kokuyeka, oku kukhokelela kwilahleko enkulu;
• Enye impazamo eqhelekileyo ithatha inzuzo kumlinganiselo ongaphantsi kwe-1 ukuya kwe-3. Abahwebi kufuneka baqonde ukuba le ndlela ayinanzuzo kude. Nokuba okwangoku bafumana iimvakalelo ezimnandi kwintengiselwano enenzuzo.

Ihamile yipatheni yekhandlela ekulula ukuyibona kwitshathi. Inokunceda umrhwebi aqikelele inyathelo lexabiso elizayo. Nangona kunjalo, ukurhweba kuphela ngeehamile, ukuba umrhwebi uhweba ngomlinganiselo womvuzo womngcipheko ongaphantsi kwe-1 ukuya kwe-3, kunokuba luncedo. Kuyimfuneko ukufuna ukwandisa umlinganiselo womngcipheko womvuzo. Ukwandisa amathuba okuthengiselana okuyimpumelelo, kufuneka usebenzise ukuqinisekiswa okongezelelweyo – amakhandlela alandelayo, ukufundwa kwesalathisi okanye ulwazi oluvela kwitshathi yeqela. Ukuqinisekiswa okulungileyo yi-bullish Mirabozu – ikhandlela elinomzimba omde kwaye phantse akukho mthunzi. Ukusebenzisa iHammer kuHlalutyo oluBanzi kunokuphucula ukusebenza kakuhle kokurhweba