Chigadziko chemwenje cheJapan “Hammer” mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi mukutengesa

Chigadziko chemwenje cheJapan “Hammer” – kuvaka, tsananguro pane chati uye kushandiswa mukutengesa. Sando iyi chigadziko chimwe chete chekudzosera kumashure pateni yakaita sesando yakaturikwa pamadziro. Feature – chigadziko chemwenje chine mumvuri wakareba, unodarika muviri kanenge kaviri. Kuonekwa kwepateni iyi kunoudza mutengesi kuti agadzirire kudzoreredzwa kwemusika.
 

Hammer chiratidzo zvinhu

Iyo nyundo inoonekwa chete pasi pemusika, mushure mekufamba kwenguva refu ichidzika. Kana mutengesi akacherechedza nyundo pamusoro pemusika, saka haafaniri kuiona sechiratidzo chekutenga. Sando iri pamusoro pemusika inodaidzwa kuti “munhu anorembera” uye inotaura nezvekuderera kwemutengo kuri pedyo. Sando inogona kuva nemuviri mutsvuku kana muchena, hazvina basa. Sando yekusimudzira inodiwa, unogona kupinda mubhizimusi uine chivimbo chakawanda, asi haipe mukana wakakura mukutengeserana kwepakati-kati (panguva iri pamusoro peyezuva nezuva). Iyo nyundo inoratidzwa nezvinhu zvinotevera:

• kamuviri kadiki, kari pedyo nechimiro kune sikweya;
• mumvuri unopfuura muviri nekanopfuura ka2;
• hapana kana mumvuri wechipiri;
• mumvuri unogona kuva zvose pasi nepamusoro (ipapo muenzaniso unonzi inverted nyundo);
• yakaumbwa pane downtrend;
• high volatility – nyundo inofanira kuva nechinhambwe chakakura pakati pehushoma nepamusoro, kupfuura 2-3 makenduru akavakidzana.

Iyo muenzaniso inokonzerwa nepsychology, pane imwe nguva mutengi akasimba akaonekwa, akakwanisa kudzoreredza kurwisa kwakasimba kwevatengesi. Nokudaro, pane mukana mukuru wekuti nzombe dzichava nesimba rakakwana rekuvandudza uptrend (nguva pfupi kana kwenguva refu). Simba rechiratidzo rinowedzera kana rikaita padanho rakakura rekutsigira, rinogona kunge riri renhoroondo, nhanho yeFibonacci kana mutsara wetsika. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/fibonacci-channel.htm Iyo inverted nyundo haina kusiyana neyechinyakare, mubato wakareba wakafanana, mufananidzo chete wakatarisa pasi. Iyo psychology yakafanana – mabheya anotonga pamusika uye mutengi akasimba anooneka anogona kusimudza zvakanyanya makotesheni. Kuedza kwekutanga kunodzimbwa, asi mabhuru akaunganidza simba rekurwisa kutsva uye akadzora maitiro. Sando (inverted sando) inogona kuoneka pamusoro pemaitiro.
Usatarise masaini pasi pekutsigirwa, kana pakati pemaitiro. Uye zvakakosha kubhadhara kune kusagadzikana kwemuenzaniso. Mutengi anofanira kumira pachena kuti adzorere maitiro.

Simba remuenzaniso

Haisi yese sando inoshanda sezvatinoda – kupinda kwedu kuri kwekutanga kwekufamba kwemaitiro. Kune akati wandei zviratidzo izvo mutengesi anogona kuratidza kusimba kweiyo pateni:

• white body – in intraday trading inowedzera chivimbo mukutengeserana. Nzombe dzine simba kwazvo, asi mapere haana simba rakakwana rokudzora kenduru;
• nyundo inoumbwa pakuwedzera vertical volumes;
• mapeji – kuvhurwa kwekenduru yechiratidzo kwakaitika negomba, nzombe, mushure mekuzorora kwenguva pfupi, dzakabata chiito uye dzakasundira mutengo zvakasimba;
• iyo muenzaniso inoumbwa pamwero wakasimba wekutsigira, nepo mutengo haugadziri pasi;
• timeframe – iyo pateni inogona kuwanikwa pane chero nguva yakatarwa, iyo yakakwirira nguva, iyo inonyanya kuvimbika pateni. Chikamu chepamusoro chemigodhi chiri pasando pane chati yevhiki;
• mushure menyundo, chigadziko chemwenje chakasimba chinoumbwa;
• pane zviratidzo zvekuwedzera kubva kune zviratidzo, kupinda kwakanaka kuchawanikwa kana nyundo yakaumbwa panguva imwe chete nekusiyana kweRSI kana AO chiratidzo. Izvo zvakakodzera kuterera kune masaini pane iyo nguva yakatarwa pamusoro peawa 1.

Hammer kenduru mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi: https://youtu.be/Dt2ItrqNGn0

Maitiro ekutengesa kenduru – sando pateni mukutengesa mukuita

Vatengesi vanosangana nesando uye inverted sando kenduru patani mumisika yese, ingave masheya kana mafuta kana goridhe. Unogona kuzvitengesa chero nguva, asi zvinokurudzirwa kushandisa yakakura nguva yakatarwa. Pane zvikonzero zvakawanda zveizvi:

• kuvimbika – iyo yakakwirira nguva, iyo yakawanda mukana wekuchera migodhi;
• volatility – maawa mana uye kunyange mazuva akawanda mutengo siyana uye pane mukana wekupinda pakutanga kwemaitiro anozogara kanenge vhiki;
• njodzi purofiti ratio – zvakakosha kuchengetedza kanenge 1 kusvika 3 pakati pekumira uye kutora purofiti.Zvakaoma kuita izvi paminiti chati, pane iyi nzira chiyero chakajairika ndeye 1 kusvika 1;
• kuti uwedzere kusimbisa, unogona kushandisa cluster chart kana chati yemavhoriyamu akachinjika . Chiratidzo chakanaka chine vhoriyamu mumumvuri wesando.

Kana kutengeserana kuchiitwa
intraday, umo chibvumirano chinenge chakavharwa pakupera kwezuva, masaini anogona kutsvaga pam15-m30. Pachava nekutengesa kwakawanda, asi hutano hwavo hwakaipa. Nekutengesa kwakadaro, mutengesi anofanira kunge akagadzirira kurasikirwa kazhinji. Hammer pamachati ezuva nezuva kana evhiki nevhiki haawanzo kuitika, dzimwe nguva unofanirwa kumirira mwedzi kana kureba kune kutengeserana. Uye kutengeserana pachako kunogona kupedza vhiki kana mwedzi. Kuti uwane mamwe masaini, mutengesi anofanira kutarisa machati ezviridzwa zvakawanda. Kutengeserana kunowedzera kuyerwa uye mushure mekuonekwa kwenyundo, kune mamwe mazuva 1-2 ekuita sarudzo yekupinda muchibvumirano. Sarudzo dzekutengesa intraday dzinofanirwa kuitwa nekukurumidza.

Kutengesa algorithm

1. Misika iri mune yakasimba downtrend, kanenge vhiki.
2. Mutengo wacho uri kusvika padanho rinokosha rekutsigira. Pane zvinotarisirwa kuti iyi nhanho inogona kuve yakaderera pamusika kwenguva yakati.
3. Kenduru yesando inoumbwa pamwero.
4. Pasi pezinga rekutsigira, mutengo wakaenda chete nemumvuri. Panogona kunge paine sando mbiri kana nhatu padanho rimwechete. Izvi zvinowedzera chiratidzo. Nzombe dzakasimba zvakakwana kuchengetedza mutengo unovhara pamusoro pekutsigirwa.
5. Mushure mesando, pane simbiso – yakasimba bullish marubozu kana doji kenduru. Zvakakosha kuti mutengo urege kuwira pasi pekutsigirwa nemuviri.
6. Vhura kutenga kutengesa pamusoro pepamusoro pekenduru.
7. Kurega kurasikirwa kunoiswa kuseri kwemumvuri.
8. Tora purofiti inoiswa pamwero uri 3 nguva dzakakwirira kupfuura kumira. Kana zvimwe.
9. Kana kenduru yesando ine mumvuri wakakura kwazvo, kurasikirwa kwekumira kunogona kuiswa pazasi pekuvhurwa kwekenduru.
10. Kana, mushure mekupinda mukutengeserana, mutengo hauratidzi simba – zvishoma nezvishoma unodonha uye unomira, mutengesi anosarudza kubuda mumusika mushure mekuparara kwemutsetse wenguva pfupi uye kumirira kuti mamiriro acho agadziriswe.
11.  Kana nyundo iine mumvuri wakareba uye mutengesi anoda kuwana zvirinani njodzi-mubairo chiyero, unogona kuseta chiziviso kana mutengo uchidzoka 50% yemumvuri. Iwe unogona kuisa muganhu wekuraira pazinga. Kana kuti chinja kune diki nguva yakatarwa uye edza kutsvaga imwe sando padanho. Kumira kunoiswa pasi pezasi kwekenduru. Tora purofiti mune iyi kesi yakaiswa se 10x kubva pakumira.
12. Kazhinji maitiro matsva anotanga nesando pane chati yezuva nezuva kana yevhiki. Mushure mekusvika pakutora purofiti, iyo kumira inofambiswa kune breakeven uye kwete yese, asi chikamu cheiyo chinzvimbo chakavharwa. Zviri nani kuvhara kupfuura 50% yechinzvimbo. Iyo yasara inogona kubatwa kusvika iyo yakatarisana chiratidzo ichioneka (yakarembera) kana nekufambisa chinomira munzvimbo yepurofiti.
13. Mushure mekusimbisa maitiro ekuchinja uye kusvika pakutora purofiti, chinzvimbo hachina kuvharwa. Iyo yekumira kurasikirwa inoenda kunzvimbo yakachengeteka uye imwe asset inotengwa. Iwe unogona kutenga vhoriyamu imwechete kana 2-5 nguva shoma. Mutemo mukuru ndewekuti kana kurasikirwa kwekumira kwasvika, njodzi haiwedzere. Sezvineiwo, kumira kwacho kwaizongomira pabreakeven. Tora purofiti haina kuiswa, mutengesi anotarisisa musika uye, kana chiratidzo kwenguva refu chikaitika, anovhura kutengeserana kutsva uye anofambisa kumira. Buda kubva mukutengeserana – mune yemanyorero modhi kana reverse chiratidzo ichioneka kana kana kumira kwekumira kwasvika. Iko kutengeserana kunogona kuve kwese kwenguva pfupi uye kwekupedzisira kwemazuva akati wandei kana kunyange mwedzi.

Hammer kutengesa kukanganisa

Vatengesi vanotanga kutengesa sando pachati kazhinji vanokurumidza kuodzwa mwoyo nemuenzaniso. Zvinoratidzika kwavari kuti haina kupa mukana, inoshanda 50/50. Vatengesi, kana vachitengesa nenyundo, vanoita zvikanganiso zvinotevera:

• tsvaga muenzaniso pakutsigirwa kusina simba, chero kupi zvako pane chati, uye kwete pasi pemusika;
• pinda mukutengeserana pasina kusimbiswa pane yakasimba yekudzika pasi kufamba;
• kushata kwesando kwakaderera – mutengo wemutengo unofanirwa kuve wakakwira kupfuura iwo evavakidzani makenduru 2-3. Iyi pfungwa inozviisa pasi, uye kunyange nyundo yakaipa inogona kushanda, asi iyo psychology yemuenzaniso ndiyo mhinduro yekurwisa kwakasimba. Kana pakanga pasina kurwisa, saka hapana chekurova;
• mumvuri muduku kana muviri mukuru;
• vanotora kune nyundo makenduru akafanana, asi nemakenduru makuru kumativi ose – doji. Doji mufananidzo wekusava nechokwadi, nepo nyundo inoratidza kukunda kwenzombe munguva;
• iyo pfungwa yepasi nepamusoro pemusika – subjective. Zvine ngozi zvikuru kutengesa countertrend mumusika uri kudonha . Mutengo unogona kuita diki bounce chete, iyo isina kukwana kusvika padanho rekutora purofiti, uye kuenderera mberi nekudzika. Mutengesi anotengesa netafura anogona kuita 2-3 kana kupfuura kutengeserana kusina kubudirira mumutsara;
• kana chiyero mukutengeserana chiri 2 kusvika ku10 uye yakakwirira, nokuda kwekutengesa kunobatsira zvakakwana kuita zvinopfuura 1 purofiti yekutengeserana kubva pa 10. Chikanganiso chikuru ndeye psychology, chido chekurega kurasikirwa. Vatengesi vanobvisa kurasikirwa kwekumira, izvi zvinotungamirira kukurasikirwa kukuru;
• Chimwe chikanganiso chinowanzoitika kutora purofiti pachiyero chepasi pe1 kusvika ku3. Vatengesi vanofanira kunzwisisa kuti nzira iyi haibatsiri kure. Kunyangwe kana panguva ino ivo vachinzwa zvinofadza manzwiro kubva kune purofiti yekutengeserana.

Iyo nyundo ndiyo patani yekenduru iri nyore kuona pane chati. Inogona kubatsira mutengesi kufanotaura chiitiko chemutengo weramangwana. Nekudaro, kutengeserana nesando chete, kana mutengesi akatengesa aine mubairo wengozi isingasviki 1 kusvika 3, zvinogona kusabatsira. Izvo zvinodikanwa kutsvaga kuwedzera njodzi-mubairo ratio. Kuti uwedzere mukana wekutengesa kwakabudirira, unofanirwa kushandisa imwe simbiso – anotevera makenduru, kuverenga kwechiratidzo kana ruzivo kubva kune cluster chart. Chisimbiso chakanaka ndiyo bullish Mirabozu – kenduru ine muviri wakareba uye inenge isina mimvuri. Kushandisa Hammer muKuongorora Kwakazara Kunogona Kuvandudza Kubudirira Kwekutengesa