Ixabiso leemfihlo zokurhweba – yintoni na kunye nendlela yokusebenzisa inkqubo

Iimfihlo zexabiso lokurhweba – yintoni na kunye nendlela yokusebenzisa inkqubo yeNtlawulo yexabiso ekurhwebeni, imizekelo kunye neengcebiso. Isenzo sexabiso yindlela yokurhweba evumela umrhwebi ukuba afunde okwenzekayo kwiimarike kwaye enze izigqibo zokurhweba ezizimeleyo ezisekelwe kwiintshukumo zamva nje zexabiso, kunokuba zithembele kuphela kwiimpawu zobugcisa. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/osnovy-i-methody-texnicheskogo-trajdinga.htm Njengaso nasiphi na isicwangciso sokurhweba, inzuzo ixhomekeke kwindlela isenzo sexabiso esisetyenziswa ngayo. Abarhwebi abasebenzisa indlela bagxininise kwiipateni zembali kunye nezangoku ukuze benze imali apho ixabiso lingahamba ngokulandelayo.

Inkqubo yesenzo sexabiso – yintoni na, isiseko sabathengisi be-novice

Njengoko igama lisitsho, kwesi sicwangciso eyona nto ibalulekileyo lixabiso lesixhobo esithile semali. Isenzo sexabiso sisekelwe ekubonweni nasekutolikeni kweentshukumo zexabiso. Isoloko ihlalutywa ngokunxulumene notshintsho lwamaxabiso olwenzeka kwixesha elidlulileyo. Into ephambili eyahlula ukuthengiswa kwexabiso lentengo kwezinye izicwangciso kukuba ubuchule busebenzisa iitshathi “ezihlambulukileyo” okanye “ze” ngaphandle kwezibonakaliso, kunye nenkcazo yokuba izikhombisi ngokwazo zitoliko lweentshukumo zexabiso zembali (ezingenawo nawaphi na amandla okuxela kwangaphambili, kwaye ayizukufumaneka kwiigrafu ngokwazo). Nangona kunjalo, oku akuthethi ukuba abathengisi bamanyathelo amaxabiso abasebenzisi izixhobo zobugcisa. Ngenxa yokuba ukuthengiswa kwexabiso lentengo kubhekiselele kwiintshukumo zamva nje kunye nezidlulileyo, zonke izixhobo zokuhlalutya zobugcisa (i-trendlines, i-Fibonacci retracements,
inkxaso kunye nemigca yokuchasana , njl.) ziluncedo ekuhlalutyeni ukuziphatha kwexabiso ngokuhambelana nesicwangciso esilungele umthengisi. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/fibonacci-channel.htm Idatha yokutshintsha ixabiso idla ngokunikezelwa ngendlela yamakhandlela
aseJapan okanye i-histograms efundeka lula. Ukususela kwiitshathi ufumana yonke into eyenziwa yimarike ngexesha elithile. Yonke idatha yezoqoqosho kunye neendaba zehlabathi ezichaphazela ngandlela-thile ixabiso liya kubonakala kwitshathi yexabiso.

Ukuqonda imarike kunye nesenzo samaxabiso

Into ephambili ukuba umthengisi weqhinga lexabiso lentengo kufuneka aqonde ukuze enze izigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi luluhlu lwangoku lwemarike. Isinyathelo sokuqala kule nkcazo kukufumana kunye nokumakisha amanqanaba obugcisa abalulekileyo kwitshati yexabiso. Ezi ziyinkxaso eziphambili kunye namanqanaba okumelana, ahlala equlethe inani elikhulu lokuthenga nokuthengisa imiyalelo, ngoko ke inokuchazwa njengeendawo zokunyuka kwemfuno okanye ukubonelela. Ukumisela inkxaso engundoqo kunye namanqanaba okuchasa kwenziwa ngcono kwixesha elide (imihla ngemihla okanye ngeveki). Fumana ujingi olucacileyo kunye nokuhla okuye kwaphawulwa ngokuphindaphindiweyo kwixesha elidlulileyo kwaye uphawule ngemigca ethe tye. La manqanaba yinkxaso ephambili kunye namanqanaba okumelana apho ixabiso linokuthi lihlehlise.
Kukho ezinye iindidi zamanqanaba angundoqo obugcisa:

1. Inkxaso yengqondo kunye namanqanaba okumelana ngokuqhelekileyo enza malunga neereyithi zokutshintshiselana ngamanani ajikelezayo (1.00, 1.10, 1.20, njl.). Uninzi lwabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike babeka ii-odolo ezijikelezayo, ngoko ke ixabiso linokuthi lingqamane nala manqanaba okanye liwaphule ngokukhawuleza okungaqhelekanga korhwebo.
2. Amanqanaba okubuyisela i-Fibonacci asetyenziselwa ukujonga amanqanaba anokuthi afumaneke apho ixabiso lingabuyiselwa kwaye liqhubeke neyona ndlela iphambili. Xa isetyenziswe kumaxesha aphakamileyo, amanqanaba abalulekileyo eFibonacci afana nenqanaba le-61.8% lokubuyisela anokuba ngamanqanaba obugcisa abalulekileyo apho kubekwe khona imiyalelo emininzi elindileyo.
3. Amanqaku e-pivot nawo anokuba ngamanqanaba abalulekileyo obugcisa apho ixabiso lingadibana nenkxaso okanye ukuchasana. Abathengisi abaninzi balandela amanqaku epivot yemihla ngemihla kunye nenkxaso yabo kunye namanqanaba okumelana norhwebo lwabo.
4. Inkxaso enamandla kunye namanqanaba okumelana . Amanqanaba obugcisa angundoqo akufuneki abe ame nkqo. Imilinganiselo ehambayo isetyenziswa ngokuqhelekileyo ukuchonga amanqanaba obugcisa angundoqo aguqukayo avela malunga ne-50-day EMA, i-EMA ye-100, i-EMA ye-200, okanye malunga ne-Fibonacci EMA amanqanaba afana ne-EMA ye-144-day.
5. Imiba ye-confluence yimimandla apho amanqanaba obugcisa adibana khona, egxininisa ngakumbi ukubaluleka kwawo.

Emva kokuchaza amanqanaba obugcisa abalulekileyo kwitshathi, lixesha lokuhlalutya ulwalathiso lwangoku lwemarike – indlela yangoku. Abarhwebi abaninzi bezenzo zexabiso barhweba kuphela kwicala lendlela yonke, njengoko ezi zicwangciso zorhwebo zikholisa ukuba nethuba eliphezulu lokuphumelela. Iimarike zinokuhamba ngeendlela ezintathu – phezulu, ezantsi nasecaleni. Imarike ehambela phezulu ikwi-uptrend. Ibonakaliswa ngamaqondo aphakamileyo aphezulu kunye naphantsi aphezulu kwitshathi. Ukuhla okuphezulu kwenziwa ngexesha lokubuyiselwa kwexabiso, eziziintshukumo zexabiso lexesha elifutshane kwicala elichasene nomkhwa osekiweyo. Ngokuqhelekileyo zenziwe ngenxa yenzuzo ethathwa ngabahwebi abasele bekwi-uptrend. Ngokukhawuleza xa ixabiso liwa, abathengi abatsha bangena kwimarike, kuba bajonga ixabiso lemarike langoku njengeliphantsi. Oku kwenza umgangatho ophantsi ophezulu. Iimarike ezenza i-low lows kunye ne-low highs ziphantsi kwe-downtrend. Ekugqibeleni, iimarike ezingabonisi uphawu lwe-HH kunye ne-HL uptrends kunye ne-LL kunye ne-LH ye-downtrends, kodwa zihamba emacaleni ngaphandle kolwalathiso olucacileyo, zibizwa ngokuba ziimarike ezijikelezayo. Kuluhlu lweemarike, abarhwebi bamaxabiso badla ngokuthenga xa ixabiso libetha kwisiphelo esisezantsi soluhlu kwaye bathengise xa ixabiso libetha isiphelo esiphezulu soluhlu. ezingabonisi uphawu lwe-HH kunye ne-HL uptrends kunye ne-LL kunye ne-LH downtrends, kodwa zihamba macala ngaphandle komkhombandlela ocacileyo, zibizwa ngokuba ziimarike ezihlukeneyo. Kuluhlu lweemarike, abarhwebi bamaxabiso badla ngokuthenga xa ixabiso libetha kwisiphelo esisezantsi soluhlu kwaye bathengise xa ixabiso libetha isiphelo esiphezulu soluhlu. ezingabonisi uphawu lwe-HH kunye ne-HL uptrends kunye ne-LL kunye ne-LH downtrends, kodwa zihamba macala ngaphandle komkhombandlela ocacileyo, zibizwa ngokuba ziimarike ezihlukeneyo. Kuluhlu lweemarike, abarhwebi bamaxabiso badla ngokuthenga xa ixabiso libetha kwisiphelo esisezantsi soluhlu kwaye bathengise xa ixabiso libetha isiphelo esiphezulu soluhlu.

Emva kokumakisha amanqanaba obugcisa abalulekileyo kwitshathi, kwaye emva kokumisela umkhombandlela jikelele wemarike, enye icandelo eliphambili lilahlekile ukuze ufumane umfanekiso opheleleyo wemarike kwaye uqonde ubume bangoku bemarike. Esi sithako yingqondo yabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike, njengoko kuboniswa yitshathi kunye neepateni zekhandlela.

Iipateni zesenzo sexabiso zibonisa ngexesha lokwenyani ibhalansi phakathi kwesithembiso sokuthengisa kunye nemfuno yesixhobo semali esinikiweyo. Naluphi na utshintsho kwixabiso luthetha utshintsho kwibhalansi phakathi kwabathengi kunye nabathengisi-ukunyuka kokubonelela kuya kunciphisa ixabiso, ngelixa ukunyuka kwemfuno kuya kunyusa ixabiso. Umrhwebi wesenzo sexabiso usekela urhwebo lwakhe kwingcinga yokuba ukuba imfuno yabathengi idlula unikezelo lwabathengisi, ixabiso liya kunyuka kakhulu okanye ngokuphambeneyo.

Uhlalutyo lwekhandlela lusisiseko seNtlawulo yeXabiso

Naluphi na umgca wexesha, ixesha ngalinye lihambelana nekhandlela okanye ibha. Amakhandlela ashwankathela isenzo sexabiso kwixesha elimiselweyo, ngoko kwitshathi yemizuzu emi-5 ikhandlela ngalinye limele imizuzu emi-5 yesenzo sexabiso, ngelixa kwitshati yemihla ngemihla kuphela ikhandlela elilodwa ngosuku lenziwe.

Iikhandlela zezona zichongiweyo eziphambili zetshathi yesenzo sexabiso. Ukuziqonda kubalulekile ukuba umrhwebi avule okanye avale izikhundla ngexesha elifanelekileyo.

Ikhandlela liqukethe amanqanaba amaxabiso amane – ukuvula (Vula), ukuvala (Vala), ubuncinci (obuphantsi), ubuninzi (Phezulu). Umzimba wekhandlela ubonisa uluhlu phakathi kwexabiso lokuvula ixesha kunye nexabiso lokuvala. Kwi-candlestick ye-bullish (ebonisa ukunyuka kwexabiso kwixesha eliphantsi koqwalaselo), ukuvulwa kuboniswa yinxalenye engezantsi yomzimba, kwaye ukuvala kuboniswa yinxalenye ephezulu. Kwaye, ngokuchaseneyo, kwikhandlela le-bearish (ebonisa ukuhla kwexabiso). IiWicks (izithunzi okanye imisila) zibonisa uluhlu lokuhamba kwexabiso ngeli xesha. Nanini na xa amaxabiso afikelela kumanqanaba angaphandle koluhlu oluboshwe ngamanqanaba avulekileyo navaliweyo, izithunzi zibonwa ngobungakanani bazo (eziphezulu okanye ezisezantsi). Izikimu zombala zisetyenziselwa ukumisela intshukumo yexabiso elimelwe yikhandlela. Amakhandlela e-Bullish ahlala emhlophe, eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka okanye eluhlaza, ngelixa amakhandlela e-bearish amnyama okanye abomvu.

• Imizimba emide yeekhandlela ibonisa amandla aqinileyo kunye nokuziphatha kwemarike eqinisekileyo kwintshukumo evulekileyo-yokuvala, nangona kunjalo, ibonisa ukuguquguquka okwandisiweyo njengoko amanye amaxabiso efikelelwa ngexesha elithile kodwa ekugqibeleni akhutshelwa ngaphandle kuluhlu oluvulekileyo lokuvala.
• Imizimba emincinci ingabonisa ukungazinzi kwemarike okanye ibhalansi phakathi kwe-bullish kunye ne-bearish forces.

Indlela eqhelekileyo yokuchaza ukuziphatha kwexabiso ngokuhamba kwexesha ngumkhwa. Olu lukhokelo oluphambili lokuhamba kwexabiso kwifestile yexesha elihambelanayo.
Kulo mzekelo, i-GBP / USD, intengo ine-uptrend ecacileyo kwi-chart yenyanga ye-5. Nangona kunjalo, le uptrend jikelele (i-primary trend) iqulethe uchungechunge lwe “imilenze” (iindlela zesekondari), iintshukumo zexabiso ezincinci ezinokuthi zitshintshe phakathi kwe-uptrend kunye ne-downtrend – i-bullish kunye ne-bearish “amasebe”, ngokulandelanayo. Xa ixabiso lihlala ngokungqongqo kuluhlu lwe-diagonal, phakathi kwemigca emibini ehambelanayo, olu luhlu lwexabiso elincinci luhlala lukhawulelwe “ngamatshaneli eendlela”. Xa ixabiso lihamba kuluhlu oluthe tye, kungekhona kwindlela eqondiswe kakuhle, ukunyakaza kwexabiso kuthiwa “kwi-trend range”. Xa ucwangcisa imigca yokuhamba, kukho imigaqo emininzi esisiseko:

• Umgca womzila ophakathi ngumgca wediagonal apho imarike igxuma kabini. Lo mgca wendlela ubonisa into enokwenzeka kodwa engekaqinisekiswa.
• I- trendline eqinisekisiweyo – Imakethi iye yaphuma kule ndlela kathathu. Uhlalutyo lwemveli luthatha oku njengophawu lokuba umgca wokuhamba ungokoqobo kwaye imarike iya kusabela malunga nayo.

Ukurhweba umkhwa kulula xa ukuphakama kwayo okanye ukuhla kusondele kumgca we-diagonal owaziwayo, njengoko lo mgca ungasetyenziselwa ukuqikelela ukuphakama okanye ukuhla kwexesha elizayo. Umrhwebi uhlawula ingqalelo ngokusondeleyo kumanqanaba abalulekileyo exabiso, ngokuphindaphindiweyo “ukuzoba” imigca ethe tye njengenkxaso kunye namanqanaba okumelana.

Imigca yenkxaso kunye nokuchasa idla ngokuxwesa, kodwa xa idiagonal ecaleni kwendlela, ibizwa ngokuba yimigca yetrendi.

Ithiyori yokusebenzisa le migca kukuba imarike inohlobo lwenkumbulo – ixabiso liziphatha ngendlela ethile ngokumalunga namanqanaba athile, awayekade ebaluleke kakhulu. Xa amanqanaba angaphantsi kwexabiso langoku, ahlanganisa “inkxaso”, i-buffer enokubakho ngokuchasene ne-bearish move. Xa amanqanaba angaphezulu kwexabiso langoku, abonakala “njengokumelana”, umqobo onokuthi uqhubele phambili. Xa ixabiso lisondela kula manqanaba, abarhwebi bahlala belindele ukuba la manqanaba avavanywe, aphulwe, okanye akhuselwe ngaphambi kokuba athole ukuzithemba kwixabiso lexabiso lokungena kurhwebo. Xa ixabiso lidlula kwelinye lala manqanaba, badlala indima echaseneyo. Xa i-uptrend iphukile, “ukuchasana” kuba “yinkxaso”, ebonisa inqanaba elibalulekileyo,
Ingcamango esisiseko emva kokusebenzisa uluhlu lwenkxaso kunye nokuchasana ngokufanelekileyo kukuthenga inkxaso kunye nokuthengisa ukuchasana kwi-uptrend, okanye ukuthengisa ukuxhathisa kunye nokuthenga inkxaso kwi-downtrend. Ngaloo ndlela, akuyimfuneko ukuba nethemba lokuqhawuka kumanqanaba amiselweyo, njengoko ukuphulwa kuthetha ukuba imarike ayinakuqikelelwa ngokwaneleyo ukubheja ngokukhuselekileyo ekusebenzeni kwayo kwexesha elizayo.
Urhwebo olugcinayo okanye oluthembekileyo lulo lwenzeka xa imarike iguquguquka phakathi kwenkxaso ebonakalayo kunye namanqanaba okumelana. Oku kukuvumela ukuba uthenge kwi-uptrend xa i-bearish leg pullback iye yazisa amaxabiso phantsi kwinqanaba lenkxaso, kwaye emva koko uthengise xa ixabiso libuyela kwinqanaba lokuchasana, okanye, kwi-downtrend, lithengise xa ixabiso liye laphuma kwindawo ethembekileyo. inqanaba lokumelana.

Iipateni zesenzo sexabiso

Ipateni yekhandlela yintshukumo yexabiso enye okanye ngamanye amaxesha ibar eninzi eboniswe kwitshati yekhandlela esetyenziswa ngabarhwebi ukuqikelela intshukumo yemarike. Iipateni zihlala zisona sibonakaliso sisexesheni sebhalansi phakathi kokuthenga nokuthengisa imfuno. Nangona kunjalo, ukuqondwa kwepateni kuxhomekeke kwaye kufuna uqeqesho kunye namava obuqu ukuphuhlisa izakhono zokuchonga kunye nokuthengisa iipateni zekhandlela. Kukho iintlobo ngeentlobo zeepateni, uninzi lwazo zilutshintsho nje oluncinci kumgaqo ofanayo osisiseko. Ngoko ke, kunengqiqo ukugxila “kwiqela” elincinci leepateni ezinika umrhwebi isethi ethembekileyo yeempawu zokusebenza.
IiBhari eziPhakamileyo eziPhakamileyo eziPhakamileyo (DBHLC) kunye neMivalo ePhakamileyo ePhakamileyo ePhakamileyo (DBLHC) – igama lisenokuvakala linzima, kodwa iphethini ilula ngokwaneleyo ukuyiqonda. Imodeli isekelwe kwingcamango yenkxaso kunye nokuchasana.
Ukuba wahlulahlula ibinzana libe ngamacandelo amabini, intsingiselo iya icace gca. I-DBHLC ithetha ukuba amakhandlela amabini aphantse abe phezulu, kwaye ukuvalwa kwekhandlela lesibini kungaphantsi kwekhandlela lokuqala.

I- DBLHC yintlukwano yetemplate ye-DBHLC. Omabini amakhandlela anemigangatho efanayo, kwaye ukuvalwa kwekhandlela lesibini kuphezulu kunokuphakama kwekhandlela lokuqala.

Umzekelo we-bearish setup

Umzekelo wokuseta ibullish

Iibhari ezimbini ezinezinga eliphezulu elifanayo (TBH) kunye neebhari ezimbini ezinexabiso eliphantsi elifanayo (i-TBL) ziipateni zexabiso le-bi-directional ezisebenza kumacala omabini kungakhathaliseki ukuba lithini icala. Konke ukurhweba ngeepatheni ezinjalo kufana nokurhweba ngebha yangaphakathi. Isizathu kukuba ibha yokugqibela yibha yangaphakathi yebha yangaphambili. Phantse zonke iipatheni zeSicwangciso sokuSebenza kweNtengo zimbini, ezikuvumela ukuba uthenge kwaye uthengise. I-TBH – ibha ephezulu kwinqanaba elifanayo. Ukuba ixabiso lidlula phezulu kwekhandlela lesibini, ke oku kuwuphawu lokuqhubeka kwendlela, i-low is a trend reversal. Umzekelo wentengiselwano kusetyenziswa i-TBH:
i-TBL inamazantsi kwinqanaba elifanayo. Urhwebo luvulwa xa ixabiso lidlula phezulu (trend reversal) okanye eliphantsi kwekhandlela lesibini (trend continuation).
iileyiliyipatheni elula yokubuyisela umva eqhele ukwenza ekupheleni kweentsingiselo okanye ujingi olukhulu.
Ukuqulunqwa kwenketho ye-bearish xa i-uptrend ithathelwa indawo yi-downtrend.
Urhwebo lokuthengisa luvulwa xa ixabiso lidlula ixabiso elincinci lale pateni, kwaye ukulahleka kokuyeka kubekwe ngaphezu kobuninzi bayo.
Kwinguqulo ye-bullish, ngumfanekiso wesibuko (ukwehla kuyeka kunye nokuqala kokukhula kweengcaphuno kulindeleke).
Ukuguqulwa kwexabiso lokuvala
(CPR) yindlela eyaziwayo kwaye ithengiswa rhoqo.
Ukuthengiswa, ikhandlela lokuqala li-bullish, okwesibini li-bearish, ngelixa ixabiso lokuvula ikhandlela lesibini liphezulu kunexabiso lokuvala ibha yangaphambili.
Ukuthenga, udinga isibane sesibini (i-bullish) ukuvula ngaphantsi kwexabiso lokuvala lokuqala (bearish) isibane.
Ibha yePin , ekwabizwa ngokuba yiPinocchio bar, yeyona modeli ixhaphakileyo yesenzo sexabiso. Imele ikhandlela elinomzimba omncinci kunye nomthunzi omde kwelinye icala.
Umqondiso wokuthenga yintsimbi
yephini enomthunzi omde osezantsi . Urhwebo kufuneka luvulwe ngokulinda ukuthengwa kwe-stop order ngaphezu kwe-top bar pin, kunye nokulahlekelwa kokuyeka kwindawo engezantsi.
Uphawu lokuthengisa luyi-pin bar enethunzi elide eliphezulu. Isivumelwano kufuneka sivulwe nge-oda yokumisa yokuthengisa elindileyo ekugqithiseni indawo esezantsi ye-pin bar, kunye nokuyeka ukulahleka kwindawo ephezulu.
Ibar yangaphakathi (
ibar yangaphakathi
)
kuyindlela edumileyo yokubuyisela umva/uqhubekeko lwezibane ezifuna ubuncinci iziphatho zamakhandlela ezibini. Lo mzekelo ngumdlalo othe ngqo kwintengiso yexesha elifutshane ezama ukungena phambi kokuba “intshukumo enkulu” enokuthi yenzeke kwimarike. I-bar yangaphakathi ibonisa ukungafuni kwamaxabiso ukunyuka phezulu / ngaphantsi kwe-candlestick yangaphambili kunye nezantsi, ebonisa ukungaqiniseki kweemarike.

Ukwenzela ipateni yebha yangaphakathi

Inketho yeBearish

Izithunzi ze-bar yangaphakathi zinokuhamba ngaphaya kwekhandlela lokuqala, kodwa ngokufanelekileyo, xa zombini umzimba kunye nomthunzi wekhandlela zingaphakathi kwi-bar yokuqala, iimpawu ezinjalo zithembeke ngakumbi. Kwakhona, ngaphakathi kwi-bar yokuqala akunakubakho enye, kodwa amakhandlela amaninzi, into ephambili kukuba bathobela yonke imithetho yenkqubo yokuthengisa intengo. Kule meko, ipateni inikwe inani elisekelwe kwinani leentsimbi zangaphakathi, ezifana ne-IB2, IB3, njalo njalo.

Ibha yangaphandle yipatheni yamakhandlela amabini apho ikhandlela lesibini linomgangatho ophezulu ophezulu kunye nophantsi ophantsi. Uluhlu lwekhandlela lesibini kufuneka ludlule uluhlu lokuqala. Oku kuthetha ukuba uluhlu lwamaxabiso kunye nokuguquguquka kuyanda, kubonisa amandla kumacala omabini. Kwiimeko ezininzi, akucaci ukuba iinkunzi zeenkomo okanye iibhere ziye zaphumelela, ukuqiniseka kuphela kukunyuka kokuguquguquka.

I-BUOVB (bullish ngaphandle kwebar ethe nkqo)

BEOVB (bullish ngaphandle kwebar ethe nkqo)

Njengebha yangaphakathi, ipateni inokuquka amakhandlela amaninzi. Kule meko, ikhandlela lokugqibela lomqondiso ligubungela imivalo emininzi encinci. Okukhona amakhandlela ayedliwe, kokukhona umqondiso womelele.

Kutheni isenzo sexabiso sisebenza?

Iitshathi ezininzi namhlanje zizele zizalathisi ekunzima ukuziqonda. Nangona kunjalo, konke abanokunikela ngako kukufundwa kwexabiso, kungenanto kwaye eluhlaza, emelwe ngamakhandlela. Ufuna kuphela amakhandlela, kunye nenkxaso elula kunye nemigca yokumelana. Ngokwenza ixabiso lokurhweba kwiitshathi ezicocekileyo, ususa ukuphazamiseka kwaye ugxininise kwizinto ezibaluleke kakhulu, ixabiso. Le yeyona nto ifunekayo kwimpumelelo kwiimarike. Abarhwebi abaninzi bakholelwa ukuba imarike ilandela iipatheni ezingaqhelekanga kwaye ayicaci kakuhle indlela yokuchonga isicwangciso esihlala sisebenza. Ngenxa yokuba isenzo sexabiso sidibanisa izixhobo zokuhlalutya zobugcisa kunye nembali yexabiso yamva nje ukuchonga amathuba okurhweba ngokusekelwe kwinkcazo yomthengisi ngamnye, urhwebo lwesenzo sexabiso luxhaswa kakhulu ekurhwebeni.

Indlela yokuRhweba ngeNtlawulo yeXabiso-Ukuqonda kunye nezicwangciso

Okokuqala, kufuneka ukwazi iintlobo ezahlukeneyo zeetshathi kunye neempawu ezinokufundwa kuzo. Okulandelayo, kufuneka uphuhlise isakhono sokuchonga iimodeli zamaxabiso. Kukwathetha ukufunda indlela yokuzoba imigca yenkxaso neyokuxhathisa. Ngokuhamba kwexesha, ukuqonda okucacileyo malunga nendlela amaxabiso aziphatha ngayo xa efikelela kumanqaku athile okuhamba kuya kuza. Indawo yokusebenzela kuphela imfuno yomthengisi wexabiso yitshati ecocekileyo ngaphandle kwezibonakaliso zobugcisa (ngaphandle kwemilinganiselo ehambayo kwezinye iimeko). Itshathi yexabiso elicocekileyo inceda umrhwebi ukuba agxininise ekuhambeni kwexabiso kwaye angabikho kwiimpawu zobugcisa.

Eyona njongo iphambili kukubamba umkhwa kwasekuqaleni kwaye uwulandele de ube ungasebenzi. Kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba abathengisi bexabiso lentengo bazama ukudibanisa inani lezixhobo kuhlalutyo lwabo, okwandisa amathuba okurhweba okuphumelelayo.

Enyanisweni, kwinkqubo yokurhweba yexabiso lentengo, konke kuhla ekufundeni indlela yokurhweba ukuseta okanye iipatheni zesenzo sexabiso ukusuka kumanqanaba okudibanisa. Ngenxa yobume babasebenzi beemarike, ukusabela kwabo kwizinto eziguquguqukayo zoqoqosho lwehlabathi, isenzo samaxabiso sithande ukuphindaphinda kwiipateni ezahlukeneyo. Iitshati zesenzo sexabiso zibonisa utshintsho okanye ukuqhubeka novakalelo lwemarike. Ngaloo ndlela, emva kokuba ufunde ukuchonga iipateni zexabiso, unokufumana “iingcebiso” malunga nokuba ixabiso liya kuhamba phi. Ngokuqhelekileyo, zinokwahlulwa zibe ngamacandelo amabini:
iipateni zokuqhubekakunye neepateni zokubuyela umva. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/figury-texnicheskogo-analiza-v-trajdinge.htm Ngelixa iipateni zokuqhubeka zibonisa ukuba eyona ndlela iphambili sele iza kuqhubeka, ukubuyisela umva iipateni umqondiso ngokuchaseneyo. eyona ndlela iphambili imalunga nokubuya umva. Iipateni eziphambili zokuqhubeka ziyi-
rectangles ,
iiflegi , i -wedges ewayo
(ngexesha lokunyuka) kunye nokunyuka kwe-wedges (ngexesha le-downtrend). Iipateni eziSisiseko zokubuyisela umva-
iNtloko kunye namagxa, intloko kunye namagxa, i-inverted top kunye ne-double bottom, i-wedges ewayo (ngexesha le-downtrend) kunye nokunyuka kwe-wedges (ngexesha lokunyuka). Isenzo sexabiso kwi-cryptocurrency – ukuqonda imarike, izicwangciso zokurhweba, indlela yokusebenzisa isenzo sexabiso kule marike – umyalelo wevidiyo: https://youtu.be/BzaS4dgQvxE

I-scalping kunye nesenzo sexabiso

I-Scalping ibandakanya ukungena kunye nokuphuma kwisithuba ngokukhawuleza ukuze uthathe inzuzo yeentshukumo ezincinci zexabiso, kungakhathaliseki ukuba yintoni ethathwa njengexabiso elincinci lexabiso lelo asethi. I-scalpers ezininzi zihlala zisebenzisa iitshathi zemizuzu eyi-1. Isicwangciso se-scalping sijolise ekurhwebeni kwicala lomzila kwaye ungene ngexesha lokutsalwa kwe-pullback xa ixabiso liqala ukubuyela umva kwicala lendlela. Ukwenza oku, abarhwebi bajonga iipatheni ezigubungelayo ezibonisa ukungena, njengaxa ikhandlela kwindlela ye-trend livala ikhandlela kwicala le-pullback. Oku kwenzeka ngexesha lokubuyisela.
Kumzekelo wetshathi yemizuzu ye-Alcoa, iintolo ziphawula iipateni ezigubungelayo ezibonisa amangeniso orhwebo anokubakho.

Imiba yokudityaniswa kwesakhiwo kunye nesenzo samaxabiso

Kumxholo wokurhweba ngexabiso lentengo, i-confluence yindawo / inqanaba apho izinto ezimbini okanye ngaphezulu zidibanisa (okanye zidibanise) kunye zenze indawo eshushu (indawo yokudibanisa) eqinisekisa umqondiso ofanayo wokurhweba. Ngokomzekelo, ixabiso lihamba kwinqanaba lokuchasa, ukuba uhlola ukubuyiswa kwe-Fibonacci, phantse njenge-confluence ukuba inqanaba lokumelana nalo likwinqanaba le-61.8 le-Fibonacci. Kodwa ayisiyiyo yonke loo nto, imeko ngokubanzi nayo isezantsi. Ngoko kukho izinto ezintathu ezihambelanayo:

• indlela yokuhla ngokubanzi;
• inqanaba lokumelana nexabiso elisondelayo;
• ixabiso kwakhona ukuya kwinqanaba le-61.8 Fibonacci, ehambelana nenqanaba lokumelana.

Ngayo yonke indlela, ukudityaniswa kunokubonwa njengokwandisa amathuba okuba ulungele wena. Okukhona imiba yokudibana ikhoyo kulo naluphi na ulungiselelo olunikiweyo, kokukhona kunokwenzeka ukuba uhambe ngendlela ekujoliswe kuyo.

Inyathelo lexabiso leqhinga lokusebenza

Abarhwebi abanamava ngakumbi bagcina iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokuqaphela iipatheni, amanqanaba okungena kunye nokuphuma, ukumisa ilahleko kunye nokufumana ulwazi olufanelekileyo. Ukusebenzisa isicwangciso esinye kuphela akunakubonelela ngamathuba aneleyo okurhweba. Amaxabiso amaqhinga okurhweba anokuqinisekisa iziphumo ezilungileyo ukuba zisetyenziswe ngokuchanekileyo:

1. Ukuqhawula (ukuqhawula) – ubuchule budibanisa ubukho bekhandlela elibanzi (elona liphezulu kwiiseshoni ze-9 zokugqibela) kunye nokuphakama okutsha kweenyanga ezi-2. Oku kwenza ukuba ufakelo “luthembeke” ngakumbi kwaye kumnandi ukusebenza kunye.
2. I-pin bar ingasetyenziselwa kuyo nayiphi na imeko yemarike, nokuba ukhangele ukuqaliswa kwakhona kwendlela emva kwe-pullback okanye ukuchonga ukuguqulwa kwezinto ezibalulekileyo eziphezulu okanye ezisezantsi. Ihamba kakuhle kunye nokuqhekeka kobuxoki kwamanqanaba abalulekileyo.
3. Ngaphakathi imivalo ilungele ukulandelela iintsingiselo zangoku, ngakumbi xa kukho ezimbini, ezintathu okanye ngaphezulu kuzo ngokulandelelana (amandla abo okudubula makhulu).

Indlela yokusebenzisa isenzo sexabiso ekusebenzeni

Ukurhweba kwi-breakout yepateni yetshathi

Ukungena kwiintengiso zexabiso lentengo ngokuqhelekileyo kusekelwe kuhlobo oluthile lokuqinisekisa olubangela ukuseta. Eyona nto, oku kukuphuka kwamanqanaba obugcisa, aqinisekiswa ngamaphetheni ekhandlela.

• I-1 – igxalaba lasekhohlo.
• I-2 – intloko yepateni.
• 3 – igxalaba lasekunene.
• I-4 – umgca wentamo edibanisa iindawo ezisezantsi zamagxa omabini.

Ipateni yeNtloko kunye namagxa yipatheni ebalulekileyo yokubuyisela umva eyenzela phezulu kwi-uptrend. Umrhwebi ulindele ukuvulwa kwesithuba esifutshane de ixabiso liphule umgca wentamo. Emva kokuba kuphuhliswe, injongo yenzuzo yorhwebo yipatheni yokuphakama (5) eqikelelweyo ukusuka kwindawo yokuphuka (6). Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa ngokuqhelekileyo kubekwe ngaphezu komgca wentamo (indlela enobudlova) okanye ngaphezu kwegxalaba lasekunene (indlela yendabuko).

Ukuqhawuka okuthe tye / ukuphinda kurhwebelwano

Abanye abarhwebi bakhetha ukuthatha amashishini asekelwe kwi-breakouts ukusuka kuluhlu oluthe tye. Le ndlela iya kufuna imarike yomgangatho enemida ecacileyo ephezulu nasezantsi.
Imarike yecala ngaphakathi komgca wokuchasana ophezulu (2) kunye nomgca wenkxaso ophantsi (1). Emva kokuba kuphuhliswe, injongo yenzuzo inokumiselwa ngokulingana nokuphakama koluhlu olucetywayo kwindawo yokuphuka eboniswe ngumgca 1. Ukungena kwintengiso kwi-horizontal breakout, indawo yemarike yangaphambili kufuneka ibe kwimodi yokubeka echazwe. ngokungabikho kweendawo eziphakamileyo eziphezulu kwaye kungabikho ubuncinane obusezantsi. Ungaphinda ungene kwi-rollback (kuvavanyo oluphindaphindiweyo lwenkxaso ephukileyo / umgca wokuchasa). Njengokuqhambuka kwepateni yetshathi, izenzo zokuthatha inzuzo zidla ngokubuyisela umva ixabiso ukuya kwindawo yokuqhawuka, inika ithuba elihle lokuphinda ungene kurhwebo. Kufuneka kukhunjulwe ukuba inkxaso eyaphukileyo kunye nemigca yokuchasa iguqulwa,

Ukurhweba ngokuqhawuka kweTrendline

Iimarike zikholisa ukophuka okanye ukuthoba iindlela ezihamba phambili kwiimeko zentengiso ezihamba phambili. Abarhwebi basebenzisa i-trendlines ukudibanisa ukuphakama okuphezulu ngexesha lokunyuka kunye nokuhla kwezantsi ngexesha lokuhla, ukuphuka okudala ithuba lokurhweba kwicala lokuqhawula. Umgca we-uptrend owaphukileyo ngokuyimfuneko uthetha ukuba ixabiso linokuthi lenze i-low low low, oluyimpawu ye-downtrend kunye neempawu ezinokubakho ukuguqulwa kwendlela. Ngokufanayo, i-downtrendline eyaphukileyo ithetha ukuba ixabiso linokuthi lenze ukuphakama okuphezulu, uphawu lwe-uptrend.

Urhwebo lwePullback

Abarhwebi be-Pullback bazama ukuthenga isitokhwe okanye i-commodity xa ixabiso liye lawa okwethutyana ebusweni be-uptrend ebanzi. Ukurhweba, imarike kufuneka ihambe kwicala elithile, phezulu okanye ezantsi. Ngaphandle kwendlela yorhwebo, akunakwenzeka ukwenza inzuzo kwi-rollback.

Ukungena kurhwebo olunentsingiselo

Inyathelo lokuqala kukuqinisekisa icala elisezantsi lemarike – ngaba isibini sihamba sinyuka okanye sihla? I-Uptrends yenziwa ngokunyuka okuphezulu kunye nokunyuka okuphezulu kwixabiso, ngelixa i-downtrends yenziwa ngokunyuka okuphantsi kunye nokuphakama okuphantsi. Kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuba kwindlela yokunyuka, ixabiso ngamanye amaxesha liya kuhamba kwelinye icala lendlela. Ezi ntshukumo zexabiso ngokuchasene nentsingiselo zibizwa ngokuba yizilungiso zexabiso kwaye zenza ipateni ye-zigzag yempawu ngexesha lokunyuka. Ukungena kwindlela yokulandela urhwebo, abarhwebi basebenzisa amanqanaba okubuyisela i-Fibonacci ukulinganisa umgama wokubuyisela kwi-wave ye-impulse yangaphambili.
Ibhokisi eluhlaza (1) yayiyi-wave yokuqala engxamisekileyo ukwenza ukuphakama okuphezulu kwitshati, kulandelwa ukulungiswa kwexabiso eliphawulwe ngebhokisi ebomvu (2). Ukulungiswa kwafikelela malunga ne-50% ye-wave ye-impulse wave, emva koko ixabiso litshintshile kwicala le-uptrend, lidala i-wave entsha ye-impulse (3) kunye nephezulu entsha. Yandisa ithuba lakho lokuphumelela – faka ezantsi ukulungiswa kwexabiso.

URhwebo lweNtshukumo yexabiso: Izinto ekufuneka ziqwalaselwe

Ukulawula umngcipheko kwintengiso yexabiso kufana nokulawula umngcipheko kuyo nayiphi na enye indlela yokurhweba – imithetho efanayo iyasebenza. Ngokubhekiselele kwizinto zokwenyani ekufuneka abarhwebi bazigcine engqondweni:

1. Ubume bemarike yangoku . Kwi-uptrend, thenga amathuba; kuluhlu, thenga kufutshane noluhlu olusezantsi kwinkxaso, okanye uthengise kufutshane nomgangatho wokuchasa, kwi-downtrend (ukuthengisa amathuba).
2. Iindawo zexabiso kwitshathi . Faka inkxaso/amanqanaba okuchasa okanye amanqanaba acebisa amanqaku epivot kwimarike. Ngokomzekelo, ukuba imarike ikwi-uptrend, ingaba yindawo yokuxhasa, i-swing ephantsi, i-avareji ehambayo kunye nexesha le-50 yeendlela ezihamba phambili, apho i-marketment iye yabetha amaxesha amaninzi.
3. Ukubeka ilahleko yokuyeka phakathi kwaloo manqanaba, okanye apho kungekho mqondiso wangempela wamandla anjalo, okuya kubangela ukuba olu tshintsho lubhekiselele kwiimarike.

Ngokusisiseko, abarhwebi bazama ukungena kwiindawo zokucofa. Amanqanaba phakathi kweendawo zokujika “ziindawo ezingenanto” apho kunokumiswa khona iindawo zokumisa. Ngokomzekelo, ukuba ufaka urhwebo kwinqanaba lokuxhasa ulindele ukuba ixabiso liphakame, unokubeka indawo yokumisa kakuhle ngaphantsi kwenqanaba lenkxaso oyifakileyo, ngaphandle kokuba kwakungekho nqanaba lenkxaso. Kule meko, ukuba ukumisa kubethelwa, kubonisa ukuba ithisisi yasekuqaleni ephantsi korhwebo yayingafanelekanga. Isitshixo sempumelelo ekurhwebeni kukuba nengqiqo evakalayo, echanekileyo, eyakhiwe kakuhle, kunye nendlela engasebenziyo. Amava, kokubini ekulawuleni urhwebo kunye nakwizigaba ezingenakuthintelwa zokutsalwa kwexesha elide, angenza umahluko omkhulu ukuze uhlale ukwindlela elungileyo ngaphandle kokuphambuka kuyo, kodwa oku akuphazamisi kwinto yokuba nabarhwebi abaqalayo okanye abo