Yintoni i-swing yorhwebo kunye nemigaqo yayo esisiseko, izicwangciso zokurhweba

Yintoni urhwebo lwe-swing kunye nemigaqo yalo esisiseko, izicwangciso zokurhweba, urhwebo lwe-swing ekurhwebeni. Injongo yokurhweba iyafana kuzo zonke iindlela-ukuthenga ngexabiso eliphantsi kunye nokuthengisa ixabiso. Umahluko kuphela kwindlela yokuhlalutya imarike, iindawo zokungena kunye nokuphuma. Xa uthengisa i-intraday, iimeko zivela xa umrhwebi engena ekuqaleni kwendlela evelayo. Ngokweemeko zokurhweba nge-intraday, urhwebo kufuneka luvalwe ubusuku bonke, nokuba umrhwebi ulindele ukuba intshukumo iqhubeke. Kurhwebo lwe-swing, izikhundla zibanjwa lo gama nje imeko iqhubeka. Umrhwebi ngamnye unokuba nesethi yakhe yezalathi kunye nemithetho yokungena kunye nokuphuma kwimarike. Kwaye konke oku kuya kuhlala kurhweba nge-swing. Eli gama alithethi isicwangciso esithile, kodwa indlela yokuthengisa.
Uyabona ukuba imarike ihamba ngepateni ye-zigzag.
Daytraderubamba iimpembelelo ezincinci ezingabonakali nakwitshathi yemihla ngemihla. Umtyali-mali uhlala kwiindawo ezinkulu zokuhamba ngokuchasene naye. Umthengisi we-Swing – uphakathi, ubamba iimpembelelo zobude obuphakathi, ukwimeko yeentsuku ezi-3-5. Ukurhweba kuqhutyelwa ngoncedo lohlalutyo lobugcisa, uhlalutyo olusisiseko alusetyenziswanga.

Imigaqo yorhwebo ngejingi

Esi sicwangciso sokurhweba siye sasasazeka. Ayifuni ixesha elininzi lokulichitha kwi-terminal njengorhwebo losuku. Ngendlela efanelekileyo, ayinabungozi kwaye izisa ingeniso engaphezulu kunotyalo-mali. Kukho iinxalenye zemarike xa ixabiso lihamba ecaleni kwitshathi yemihla ngemihla. Umtyalo-mali akafumani ngeniso ekukhuleni kweengcaphuno – ixabiso liguquguquka kufuphi nendawo yakhe yokungena. Umrhwebi we-swing ngeli xesha unokwenza inzuzo ixesha elide okanye elifutshane ngamaxesha amaninzi. Ixesha elimiselweyo lomsebenzi womthengisi ziiyure ezi-4 okanye yonke imihla. Ukungena ngokuchanekileyo, utshintshela kwiyure okanye i-m15. Ukungena ngokuchanekileyo kwindawo kubonakaliswe yi-drawdown encinci – umthengisi we-swing ubeka ilahleko yokuyeka engekho ngaphezu kwe-2% yentshukumo ye-asethi kwaye ayiqhubele kwindawo enenzuzo emva kweemarike. Urhwebo lubanjwe de kufikelelwe ekujoliswe kuko okanye ukuphuka kwendlela.

Izicwangciso zokurhweba nge-Swing

Injongo ephambili yokurhweba nge-swing kukubamba i-wave, “i-swing”. Ukwenza oku, umrhwebi kufuneka abe neqhinga lokurhweba – uluhlu lokutshekisha lokungena kwindawo, ukubamba kunye nokuphuma. I-arsenal yomthengisi inokubandakanya:

• uhlalutyo lwamaza – abasunguli bakholelwa ukuba imarike ijikeleza kwaye amaza athatha indawo enye;
• amanqanaba enkxaso kunye nokuchasana – umrhwebi uthatha isigqibo sokungena kwindawo, abambe kwaye avale ngokwendlela imarike esabela ngayo kumanqanaba;
• iipateni zegraphic – umrhwebi uhlawula ingqalelo kwiipateni zokuguqulwa (intloko, amahlombe, ama-tops aphindwe kabini okanye amathathu) kunye neepateni zokuqhubeka ( unxantathu , iflegi );
• imiqulu – ngakumbi kufutshane namanqanaba abalulekileyo;
• izalathisi – i-avareji ezihambayo, iibhendi zeBollinger, i-oscillators;
• uhlalutyo lwemarike ngamaxesha ahlukeneyo .

Imarike ihamba ngamaza – iintshukumo ezihamba phambili zitshintshwe ngezilungiso. Umsebenzi womthengisi we-swing kukufumana intshukumo yokuhamba kwaye uvule urhwebo ekupheleni kokulungiswa kwamaza. Xa uhlalutya intsingiselo kunye neentshukumo zokulungisa, ezi mpawu zilandelayo kufuneka zithathelwe ingqalelo:

• imithamo ikhula kwi-trend;
• xa umthamo uphela, imarike ihamba nge-inertia, oku kuthetha ukuba kungekudala ulwalathiso lokuhamba kwexabiso luya kutshintsha;
• imiqulu iyancitshiswa kumaza okulungisa;
• ukuba kukho ukungaqiniseki kwimarike, ngoko kufuneka uye kwixesha eliphezulu, apho umkhwa uya kubonakala.

Ukungena kwimarike kunye nokuvala izivumelwano

Izicwangciso zokurhweba nge-Swing zihamba phambili. Emva kokuqulunqwa komqondiso – ukudibanisa kwemilinganiselo ehambayo, ukubunjwa kwepateni yokubuyisela umva, i-rebound ephuma phantsi komjelo – umrhwebi uvula ixesha elide okanye elifutshane. Umrhwebi akafanele avule izikhundla ukuba akukho ntembelo ekuguqulweni. Ukuqinisekiswa okongeziweyo kuyadingeka, umqondiso wezibonakaliso, ukuchithwa kokuchasana kunye nokuguqulwa kwayo kwinkxaso, njl. Ukuba itshati ibonisa ngokucacileyo i-flat trend kwi-timeframe ephezulu, ibeka inzuzo yokuthatha ukuchasana okanye inkxaso. Kwezinye iimeko, thabatha inzuzo ayibekwanga. Misa ilahleko ihamba ngokulandela intshukumo yexabiso. Ungalandela nge-extremums okanye i-avareji ehambayo. Ukuphuma kwiimarike kuqhutyelwa ngexesha lokuphulwa kwendlela. Isivumelwano sivalwa ngesandla ukuba intshukumo yempembelelo ayenzekanga ekupheleni kosuku.

Ulawulo lwengozi

Umthamo wendawo uxhomekeke ekulahlekeni kokuyeka. Umrhwebi ubeka kwangaphambili inqanaba apho uya kuphuma kwimarike ngelahleko. Kwiimpawu ezibuthathaka, unobungozi obungaphezu kwe-0.5% ye-depot, kwiindawo eziphakathi – 1-2%, kwiimpawu ezinamandla unomngcipheko ukuya kwi-5-7% ye-depot. Thatha inzuzo kufuneka ibe ngamaxesha ama-3 ubuncinane. Kwiimeko ezingaqondakaliyo, xa umrhwebi engaqinisekanga malunga nokuqhubeka kwentshukumo, uvala isiqingatha sendawo. Eminye ivaliwe ngokumisa, okukummandla onenzuzo. Umrhwebi akakwazi ukubeka izithuba ezimfutshane, kufuneka amelane neentshukumo ezibalulekileyo kuye. Oku kunciphisa ukusetyenziswa kwe-leverage.

I-capital ephawulekayo iyadingeka ukwenza inzuzo ebonakalayo kwi-ruble. Umrhwebi unokufumana i-50-100% yediphozithi ngonyaka, kodwa oku akuyi kutshintsha ubomi bakhe ukuba i-capital i-20-30 amawaka eeruble kuphela.

Izicwangciso zokusebenza zokwenyani zokurhweba ujingi

Ixesha eliphambili lomsebenzi yimihla ngemihla kunye neveki, ukucacisa ukungena, ungatshintshela kumaxesha amancinci.

imiyinge ehambayo

Ukuhlalutya, iseti yee-avareji ezihambayo kunye nexesha elincinci kunye nexesha elide -13, 41, 90, 200. I-Exponential MA isetyenziswa – ekubaleni, amakhandlela amva nje anobunzima obuninzi, ngamaxesha amade, amaxabiso okuqala ngokuqhelekileyo awakwenzi. kuchaphazela ixabiso lesalathisi. Isicwangciso somsebenzi simi ngolu hlobo lulandelayo:

• vavanya indawo yokushukuma. Ukuba ziyadibana kwaye zikhangeleka njengebhola, izivumelwano azivulwa. Silindele ii-avareji ezihambayo ukuze zilungelelanise ngokufanelekileyo – ezimfutshane ngaphezu kwexesha elide kurhwebo olude;
• silindele ixabiso ukuba lingene kummandla phakathi kwee-avareji ezihambayo;
• tshintshela kwixesha elincinci kwaye ulinde ukuphela kokulungiswa, nayiphi na isignali iya kwenza;
• silinde uqinisekiso. Ukulungiswa kwithuba elincinci kukhangeleka njengesiqhelo. Isignali yokuyiqhekeza kukuchithwa kokuchasana / inkxaso kunye novavanyo lwezinga okanye umgca wokuhamba.
• emva kokungena kwindawo ngokukhawuleza misa. Akukho ngaphezu kwe-2% intshukumo yexabiso. Unako ukubeka ukuthatha ukuba injongo intuitive. Okanye kusetyenziswe indawo yokumisa umkhondo;
• Silindele ukupheliswa, isivumelwano siya kuvalwa ngokumisa okanye ukuthatha.

Ukurhweba ngaphandle kwezikhombisi

Abathengisi abaninzi bakhuthaza ukurhweba kwitshathi ecocekileyo. Isicwangciso somsebenzi silandelayo:

• siqala uhlalutyo lwe-asethi ngetshathi yemihla ngemihla okanye yeveki, sakha iziteshi zexabiso. Kufuneka kubekho umkhwa owomeleleyo kwixesha eliphezulu;
• fumana iintshukumo zokulungisa kwaye wakhe amanqanaba eFibonacci;
• ngexesha lokuchukumisa inqanaba kunye ne-rebound, sitshintshela kwixesha elifutshane, i-1 iyure okanye i-m30;
• sijonge ukuqinisekiswa kokuguqulwa kwexesha elincinci – iyure, m30 okanye m15. Oku kuya kwenza mfutshane isitophu;
• thatha inzuzo ibekwe kumgca wendlela echaseneyo. Ukuba ixabiso liyaphula ijelo kwicala lesivumelwano, beka ecaleni ububanzi bejelo kwaye uhambise inzuzo yokuthatha;
• ukuyeka ilahleko ihamba kunye nemarike;
• ukuba ixabiso libuyela umva ngaphezu kwe-23% okanye liphuma kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo, vala isiqingatha sendawo.

Iingcebiso zokurhweba nge-Swing – iingcebiso zokusebenza ezivela kwiingcali

Umrhwebi kufuneka akhumbule le migaqo ilandelayo xa esebenza nale nkqubo:

• I-rollback ingahlala i-3 okanye i-5 okanye amakhandlela amaninzi. Akufanele unikele ingqalelo kuyo. Ukuba umkhwa uyaqhubeka ngaphezu kwamakhandlela angama-8-12, i-pullback inokwenzeka kakhulu;
• musa ukoyika kwaye uvale isivumelwano ngaphambi kwexesha ngaphandle kwesizathu esivakalayo;
• kuyimfuneko ukusebenza kunye nembali, ubunzulu ubuncinane iminyaka emi-3-5;
• indlela kufuneka iphelele, ungagxininisi kwisalathisi esinye kuphela;
• ngokuzimeleyo kwezinye izibonakaliso zesalathisi kunye nomxholo wemarike, i-avareji ehambayo ayiboneleli ngolwazi oluluncedo;
• kucetyiswa ukuba weqe imiqondiso evela phambi kweendaba ezibalulekileyo okanye ngoLwesihlanu emva kwe-17:00.

Ukurhweba nge-Swing, indlela yokuthengisa ngexesha eliphakathi: https://youtu.be/Bh3qWGVu8xM

Iinzuzo kunye neengozi zokurhweba nge-swing

Njengayo nayiphi na enye, isicwangciso sokurhweba nge-swing sineenzuzo kunye neengxaki. Izinto eziluncedo:

• umrhwebi unokwenza imali kuyo nayiphi na imarike – akukhathaliseki ukuba imarike iphakama, iwa okanye ithe tyaba;
• ixesha elincinci kunye noxinzelelo lweemvakalelo;
• ukuba isetyenziswe ngokuchanekileyo, inokuzisa inzuzo enhle – i-50-100% yediphozithi ngonyaka.

Izinto ezingalunganga :

• umrhwebi uthengisa ngamaxesha amakhulu, ukuthengiselana kunqabile, akanako ukuthatha amandla amakhulu. Ngoko ke, inkunzi kufuneka ibe nkulu;
• kufuna ulwazi olululo lohlalutyo lobugcisa, inkcazo echanekileyo yesigaba semarike kunye nokuhamba kweendlela.

Imingcipheko, iingxaki zomthengisi we-swing

Urhwebo lwe-Swing sisicwangciso somngcipheko ophantsi. Urhwebo lwenziwa ngamaxesha amakhulu, ngoko ke umrhwebi akachatshazelwa yingxolo yexabiso. Isikhundla sibanjwe iintsuku ezininzi – umngcipheko we-gap engaphezulu kwe-5% ngokuchasene nesivumelwano siyakhula. Ngokweedatha zembali, izikhewu zexabiso ezinjalo zenzeka ikakhulu ecaleni kwendlela, ngoko ke amathuba okwenza imali eninzi ngokukhawuleza aphezulu kunokulahlekelwa kakhulu. Ngaphandle koko, yonke into ixhomekeke kumandla omthengisi ukumisela umkhwa, ubambe indawo enenzuzo kwaye uvale umqondiso, kungakhathaliseki ukuba yintoni umphumo wemali. Intengiselwano inokuvalwa kokubini kunye nakwi-minus.

Ngubani ujingi urhweba?

Isicwangciso sokurhweba nge-swing kwizandla ezichanekileyo sinokuzisa inzuzo enkulu ngexesha elincinci kunye nomzamo. Kodwa kwangaxeshanye, iimpawu ezithile ziyafuneka kumrhwebi:

• umonde – kufuneka ulinde iintsuku ezimbalwa;
• ukugcina ukuzola kuzo zonke iimeko – xa ixabiso libuyela umva, umrhwebi unokoyika ilahleko enkulu kwaye avale isikhundla ngaphambi kwexesha. Kule meko, ixabiso aliyi kufikelela kwinqanaba lokukhansela;
• kuyafuneka ukuba uhlalutye iitshathi kwiiyure ezingama-2-3 yonke imihla kwaye kwangaxeshanye ungenzi zivumelwano;
• iziphumo zokurhweba zinokuvavanywa kuphela emva kwexesha elide – ubuncinane iinyanga ezi-3.

Urhwebo lwe-Swing sisicwangciso esifanelwe ingqalelo. Isicwangciso asifanelekanga kubantu abafuna ukwenza inzuzo yonke imihla, abakwazi ukuhlala ngaphandle kwelahleko, kwaye banenkxalabo malunga nokuhamba kwexabiso elincinci ngokuchasene nendawo.
Ifanelekile kubantu abaninzi abadibanisa utyalo-mali kunye nomsebenzi wabo oyintloko. Ayinabungozi kwaye inengeniso eninzi. Kodwa ngokungafaniyo nokutyalomali, ayifuni ulwazi lohlalutyo olusisiseko. Urhwebo luvulwa, lubanjwe kwaye luvalwe ngokwemiqondiso yohlalutyo lobugcisa. Xa udibanisa iindlela ezimbini – uhlalutyo olusisiseko kunye nobugcisa, ukuguquka kunokuzisa inzuzo. Umtyali-mali ujonge i-asethi enomtsalane kwaye ujonge imiqondiso emide esebenzisa izixhobo zobugcisa. Isivumelwano sibanjwa de kuqhawuke umkhwa. Kwezinye iimeko, isivumelwano sinokubamba ngaphezu kwenyanga okanye unyaka. Ukuba umtyalo-mali uphuma kwiimarike, uqwalasela ngokucophelela ukuziphatha kwesitokethi kwaye uthenge i-asethi kwakhona emva kokuba ukunyakaza kokulungiswa kugqityiwe. Ngale ndlela, wongeza kakhulu inzuzo yakhe xa kuthelekiswa nokubamba nje izabelo. Oku kunciphisa umngcipheko