Izimfihlo zokuhweba zesenzo samanani – kuyini nokuthi lusetshenziswa kanjani uhlelo

Izimfihlo zokuhweba ngesenzo samanani – ukuthi kuyini nokuthi lusetshenziswa kanjani uhlelo lwe-Price Action ekuhwebeni, izibonelo namathiphu. Isenzo senani siyindlela yokuhweba evumela umthengisi ukuthi afunde okwenzeka emakethe futhi enze izinqumo zokuhweba ezicabangelayo ezisekelwe ekunyakazeni kwamanani kwakamuva, kunokuthembela kuphela ezinkomba zobuchwepheshe. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/osnovy-i-methody-texnicheskogo-trajdinga.htm Njenganoma yiliphi isu lokuhweba, inzuzo incike ekutheni isenzo senani sisetshenziswa kanjani. Abahwebi abenza le ndlela bagxila kumaphethini omlando namanje ukuze benze imali lapho intengo ingase iqhubeke khona.

Uhlelo lokusebenza lwentengo – kuyini, isisekelo sabadayisi be-novice

Njengoba igama lisho, kulelisu into ebaluleke kakhulu intengo yethuluzi elithile lezezimali. Isenzo senani sisekelwe ekubonweni nasekuchazeni ukunyakaza kwentengo. Ngokuvamile kuhlaziywa ngokuhlobene nezinguquko zentengo ezenzeke esikhathini esidlule. Into eyinhloko ehlukanisa ukuhweba kwesenzo samanani kwamanye amasu ukuthi inqubo isebenzisa amashadi “ahlanzekile” noma “nqunu” ngaphandle kwezinkomba, ngencazelo yokuthi izinkomba ngokwazo ziyizincazelo zomnyakazo wamanani womlando (onganawo amandla okubikezela, futhi ibingeke itholakale kumagrafu ngokwawo). Kodwa-ke, lokhu akusho ukuthi abathengisi besenzo samanani abasebenzisi amathuluzi obuchwepheshe. Njengoba kunikezwe ukuthi ukuhweba ngesenzo samanani kubhekisele ekunyakazeni kwentengo kwakamuva nakwedlule, wonke amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe (imigqa yethrendi, ukubuyiswa kwe-Fibonacci,
imigqa yokusekela neyokumelana , njll.) iwusizo ekuhlaziyeni ukuziphatha kwentengo ngokuhambisana nesu elimfanele kangcono umhwebi. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/fibonacci-channel.htm Idatha yokushintshwa kwentengo ivamise ukwethulwa ngendlela yamakhandlela ase-
Japanese noma ama-histogram afundeka kalula. Kusuka kumashadi uthola konke okwenziwa yimakethe isikhathi esithile. Yonke idatha yezomnotho nezindaba zomhlaba ezithinta intengo ngandlela thize izobonakala eshadini lentengo.

Ukuqonda imakethe ngesenzo senani

Into eyinhloko umthengisi wecebo lentengo okudingeka ayiqonde ukuze enze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi yisakhiwo samanje semakethe. Isinyathelo sokuqala kule ncazelo ukuthola nokumaka amazinga obuchwepheshe abalulekile eshadini lentengo. Lawa amazinga ayinhloko okusekela kanye nokumelana, ngokuvamile aqukethe inani elikhulu lama-oda okuthenga nokudayisa, ngakho-ke angachazwa njengezindawo zokukhuphuka kwesidingo noma ukunikezwa. Ukunquma ukusekelwa okuyinhloko namazinga okumelana kuhle kakhulu ngezikhathi ezinde (nsuku zonke noma ngesonto). Thola ama-swing high and lows okusobala okuphawulwe ngokuphindaphindiwe esikhathini esidlule bese ukumaka ngemigqa evundlile. Lawa maleveli angamazinga ayinhloko okusekela kanye nokumelana lapho intengo ingase ihlehle.
Kunezinye izinhlobo zamaleveli obuchwepheshe abalulekile:

1. Ukwesekwa kwengqondo kanye namazinga okumelana ngokuvamile akheka emazingeni okushintshanisa amanani ayindilinga (1.00, 1.10, 1.20, njll.). Ababambiqhaza abaningi bemakethe babeka ama-oda okuthenga nokuthengisa ngezinombolo eziyindilinga, ngakho intengo ingase ihambisane nalawa mazinga noma iwaphule ngomfutho wokuhweba ophezulu ngokungavamile.
2. Amazinga okubuyisela we-Fibonacci asetshenziselwa ukubheka amaleveli angaba khona lapho intengo ingalulama futhi iqhubeke nendlela eyinhloko. Uma isetshenziswa ngezikhathi eziphakeme, amaleveli abalulekile e-Fibonacci afana nezinga lokubuyisela emuva elingu-61.8% angaba amazinga obuchwepheshe abalulekile lapho kubekwa khona ama-oda amaningi asalindile.
3. Amaphoyinti e-Pivot angaba amaleveli obuchwepheshe abalulekile lapho intengo ingase ihlangabezane nokusekelwa noma ukumelana. Abathengisi abaningi balandela amaphuzu e-pivot nsuku zonke kanye namazinga abo okusekela nawokumelana ekuhwebeni kwabo.
4. Ukwesekwa okunamandla namazinga okumelana . Amaleveli obuchwepheshe abalulekile akudingeki ukuthi ame. Izilinganiso ezihambayo zivame ukusetshenziselwa ukukhomba amazinga obuchwepheshe ashukumisayo abalulekile avela cishe ku-EMA wezinsuku ezingu-50, i-EMA yezinsuku ezingu-100, i-EMA yezinsuku ezingu-200, noma amazinga e-Fibonacci EMA afana ne-EMA yezinsuku ezingu-144.
5. Ama- confluence factor izindawo lapho amazinga obuchwepheshe ehlangana khona, aphinde agqamise ukubaluleka kwawo.

Ngemva kokuchaza amaleveli obuchwepheshe abalulekile eshadini, sekuyisikhathi sokuhlaziya isiqondiso samanje semakethe – inkambiso yamanje. Abadayisi abaningi bezenzo zentengo bahweba kuphela bebheke kuthrendi iyonke, njengoba lezi zisetho zohwebo zivame ukuba namathuba aphezulu okuphumelela. Izimakethe zingahamba ngezindlela ezintathu – phezulu, phansi nangaseceleni. Imakethe ekhuphukayo isezingeni eliphezulu. Ibonakala ngokuphakama okuphezulu nokwehla okuphezulu eshadini. Ukwehla okuphezulu kwakheka ngesikhathi sokubuyiselwa kwentengo, okuwukunyakaza kwentengo yesikhathi esifushane ngokuphambene nethrendi emisiwe. Zivame ukwakhiwa ngenxa yenzuzo ethathwe ngabahwebi asebevele bekwi-uptrend. Ngokushesha nje lapho inani lehla, abathengi abasha bangena emakethe, ngoba babheka intengo yemakethe yamanje njengephansi uma kuqhathaniswa. Lokhu kwakha izinga eliphezulu eliphansi. Izimakethe ezenza amanani aphansi aphansi futhi aphansi asezingeni eliphansi. Okokugcina, izimakethe ezingabonisi isici se-HH ne-HL uptrends kanye ne-LL kanye ne-LH ephansi, kodwa ezinyakazayo ngaphandle kokuqondisa okusobala, zibizwa ngokuthi izimakethe ezisukela. Ezimakethe ezihlukene, abadayisi besenzo senani ngokuvamile bathenga uma intengo ifika esiphelweni esiphansi sebanga futhi bathengise uma intengo ifika ekugcineni okuphezulu kobubanzi. ezingabonisi isici esithi HH kanye ne-HL uptrends kanye ne-LL ne-LH downtrends, kodwa zinyakaze zibheke eceleni ngaphandle kokuqondisa okusobala, zibizwa ngokuthi izimakethe ezisukela. Ezimakethe ezihlukene, abadayisi besenzo senani ngokuvamile bathenga uma intengo ifika esiphelweni esiphansi sebanga futhi bathengise uma intengo ifika ekugcineni okuphezulu kobubanzi. ezingabonisi isici esithi HH kanye ne-HL uptrends kanye ne-LL ne-LH downtrends, kodwa zinyakaze zibheke eceleni ngaphandle kokuqondisa okusobala, zibizwa ngokuthi izimakethe ezisukela. Ezimakethe ezihlukene, abadayisi besenzo senani ngokuvamile bathenga uma intengo ifika esiphelweni esiphansi sebanga futhi bathengise uma intengo ifika ekugcineni okuphezulu kobubanzi.

Ngemva kokumaka amaleveli obuchwepheshe abalulekile eshadini, futhi ngemva kokunquma isiqondiso esijwayelekile semakethe, ingxenye eyodwa ebalulekile iyashoda ukuze uthole isithombe esiphelele semakethe futhi uqonde ukwakheka kwamanje kwemakethe. Lesi sithako isayikholoji yabahlanganyeli bemakethe, njengoba kufakazelwa ishadi namaphethini wezinti zamakhandlela.

Amaphethini wesenzo senani abonisa ngesikhathi sangempela ibhalansi phakathi komnikelo wokuthengisa kanye nesidingo sethuluzi lezezimali elithile. Noma iluphi ushintsho enanini lusho ushintsho ebhalansi phakathi kwabathengi nabathengisi – ukwanda kokunikezwayo kuzokwehlisa intengo, kuyilapho ukwanda kwesidingo kuzonyusa intengo. Umhwebi wesenzo senani usekela ukuhweba kwakhe emcabangweni wokuthi uma isidingo sabathengi sidlula ukunikezwa kwabathengisi, inani lizokhuphuka libe phezulu noma okuphambene nalokho.

Ukuhlaziywa kwekhandlela kuyisisekelo se-Price Action

Noma ngabe imuphi umugqa wesikhathi, inkathi ngayinye ihambisana nothi lwekhandlela noma ibha. Amakhandlela afingqa isenzo senani esikhathini esimisiwe, ngakho eshadini lamaminithi angu-5 ikhandlela ngalinye limelela imizuzu emi-5 yesenzo senani, kuyilapho eshadini lansuku zonke kwakhiwa ikhandlela elilodwa kuphela ngosuku.

Izinti zamakhandlela ziwukuhlonza okubonakalayo okuyinhloko kweshadi lesenzo senani. Ukuziqonda kubalulekile ukuze umhwebi avule noma avale izikhundla ngesikhathi esifanele.

Ikhandlela liqukethe amazinga amanani amane – ukuvulwa (Vula), ukuvala (Vala), ubuncane (Okuphansi), okuphezulu (Okuphezulu). Umzimba wekhandlela ubonisa ububanzi phakathi kwentengo yokuvula yenkathi kanye nenani lokuvala. Kumakhandlela e-bullish (okukhombisa ukwanda kwentengo phakathi nesikhathi esicatshangelwayo), ukuvulwa kuboniswa yingxenye engezansi yomzimba, futhi ukuvala kuboniswa yingxenye engenhla. Futhi, ngokuphambene nalokho, ngekhandlela le-bearish (elibonisa ukwehla kwentengo). Amawikhi (izithunzi noma imisila) abonisa ububanzi bokunyakaza kwentengo phakathi naleso sikhathi. Noma kunini lapho izintengo zifinyelela amazinga angaphandle kobubanzi obuboshwe amaleveli avulekile navaliwe, izithunzi zibonakala ngobubanzi bazo (ukuphakama noma ukwehla). Izikimu zombala zisetshenziselwa ukunquma ukunyakaza kwentengo okumelelwe uthi lwekhandlela. Amakhandlela angama-Bullish ngokuvamile abamhlophe, aluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka noma aluhlaza, kuyilapho amakhandlela e-bearish emnyama noma ebomvu.

• Izindikimba ezinde zamakhandlela zibonisa umfutho oqinile kanye nokuziphatha kwemakethe okunqumayo ekuhambeni kokuvula ukuze kuvalwe, nokho, kubonisa ukuguquguquka okukhulayo njengoba amanani athile afinyelelwa ngesikhathi esithile kodwa agcine ekhishiwe ebangeni elivulekile ukuze livale.
• Izindikimba ezincane zingakhombisa ukungazinzi kwemakethe noma ibhalansi phakathi kwamandla e-bullish kanye ne-bearish.

Indlela evamile yokuchaza ukuziphatha kwentengo ngokuhamba kwesikhathi ithrendi. Lesi yisiqondiso esiyinhloko sokuhamba kwentengo efasiteleni lesikhathi elihambisanayo.
Kulesi sibonelo, i-GBP/USD, intengo inokwenyuka okucacile eshadini lezinyanga ezi-5. Kodwa-ke, lokhu kukhuphuka okujwayelekile (okuyisisekelo) kuqukethe uchungechunge “lwemilenze” (izitayela zesibili), ukunyakaza kwamanani amancane ashintshana phakathi kwe-uptrend kanye ne-downtrend – “amagatsha” e-bullish kanye ne-bearish, ngokulandelana. Uma inani lihlala liqinile kububanzi obuyi-diagonal, phakathi kwemigqa emibili ehambisanayo, leli banga elincane lentengo livame ukukhawulelwa “ngamashaneli ethrendi”. Uma inani lihamba ngebanga elivundlile, hhayi kuthrendi eqondiswe kahle, ukunyakaza kwentengo kuthiwa “kubanga lethrendi”. Lapho uceba imigqa yethrendi, kunemithetho embalwa eyisisekelo:

• Ulayini wethrendi omaphakathi uwumugqa odayagonali lapho imakethe igxuma kabili. Lo mugqa wethrendi ubonisa ithrendi engase ibe khona kodwa engaqinisekisiwe okwamanje.
• I- trendline eqinisekisiwe – Imakethe iye yaphuma kulo mzila izikhathi ezintathu. Ukuhlaziywa kwendabuko kuthatha lokhu njengophawu lokuthi umugqa wethrendi ungokoqobo nokuthi imakethe izosabela eduze kwayo.

Ukuhweba ithrendi kulula uma ukuphakama noma ukwehla kwayo kuseduze nomugqa odayagonali obonakalayo, njengoba lo mugqa ungasetshenziswa ukubikezela ukuphakama noma ukwehla okuzayo. Umhwebi unaka kakhulu amazinga entengo abalulekile, ngokuvamile “ukudweba” imigqa evundlile efana namazinga okusekelwa nawokumelana.

Imigqa yokusekela kanye nokumelana ngokuvamile ivundlile, kodwa uma ihambisana nethrendi, ibizwa ngokuthi imigqa yethrendi.

Ithiyori yokusebenzisa le migqa iwukuthi imakethe inohlobo lwenkumbulo – intengo iziphatha ngendlela ethile ngokuphathelene namazinga athile, okwakuvame ukuba amaphuzu abalulekile okuguqula. Uma amaleveli engaphansi kwentengo yamanje, akha “usekelo”, okungaba isivikelo ngokumelene nomnyakazo we-bearish. Uma amaleveli engaphezulu kwentengo yamanje, abonakala “njengokumelana”, isithiyo esingase sibe khona ekunyakazeni kwe-bullish. Uma intengo isondela kulawa mazinga, abadayisi bavame ukulindela ukuthi la mazinga ahlolwe, aphulwe, noma avikelwe ngaphambi kokuthola ukuzethemba esiqondisweni senani sokungena kwezohwebo. Lapho intengo idlula kwelinye lalawa mazinga, adlala indima ephambene. Lapho i-uptrend iphukile, “ukumelana” kuba “ukusekelwa”, okubonisa izinga elibalulekile,
Umqondo oyisisekelo ngemuva kokusebenzisa ukwesekwa kwebanga nokumelana ngempumelelo ukuthenga ukwesekwa nokuthengisa ukumelana ne-uptrend, noma ukuthengisa ukumelana nokuthenga ukwesekwa ku-downtrend. Ngakho-ke, akudingekile ukuba nethemba lokuphumula ngokusebenzisa amazinga amisiwe, njengoba ukuphuma kusho ukuthi imakethe ayibikezeli ngokwanele ukubheja ngokuphepha ekusebenzeni kwayo kwesikhathi esizayo.
Uhwebo olubambekayo kakhulu noma olunokwethenjelwa yilokho okwenzeka lapho imakethe ishintshashintsha phakathi kwamazinga okusekela okubonakalayo kanye namazinga okumelana. Lokhu kukuvumela ukuthi uthenge ku-uptrend lapho i-bearish leg pullback ilethe izintengo phansi ezingeni lokusekela, bese uthengisa lapho intengo ibuyela ezingeni lokumelana, noma, nge-downtrend, ithengise lapho intengo iphume endaweni ethembekile. izinga lokumelana.

Amaphethini wesenzo senani

Iphethini yekhandlela iyisenzo sentengo eyodwa noma kwesinye isikhathi sebha eminingi eboniswa ngesithombe eshadini lekhandlela elisetshenziswa abadayisi besenzo sentengo ukubikezela ukunyakaza kwemakethe. Amaphethini ngokuvamile ayinkomba efika ngesikhathi kakhulu yebhalansi phakathi kwesidingo sokuthenga nokuthengisa. Kodwa-ke, ukuqashelwa kwephethini kuncike endaweni ethile futhi kudinga ukuqeqeshwa kanye nolwazi lomuntu siqu ukuze kuthuthukiswe amakhono okuhlonza nokuhweba ngamaphethini amakhandlela. Kunezinhlobonhlobo zamaphethini, eziningi zazo eziwukuhlukahluka okuncane nje kwesimiso esiyisisekelo esifanayo. Ngakho-ke, kunengqondo ukugxila “eqenjini” elincane lamaphethini anikeza umthengisi isethi enokwethenjelwa yezimpawu zokusebenza.
Amabha afanayo aphezulu aphansi avaliwe (i-DBHLC) kanye namabha avaliwe aphansi aphansi (i-DBLHC) – igama lingase lizwakale liyinkimbinkimbi, kodwa iphethini ilula ngokwanele ukuyiqonda. Imodeli isekelwe kumqondo wokusekela nokumelana.
Uma uhlukanisa umusho ube izingxenye ezimbili, incazelo iba sobala. I-DBHLC isho ukuthi amakhandlela amabili acishe abe nokuphakama okufanayo, futhi ukuvala kwekhandlela lesibili kungaphansi kokuphansi kwekhandlela lokuqala.

I- DBLHC iphambene nesifanekiso se-DBHLC. Womabili amakhandlela anama-lows afanayo, futhi ukuvala kwekhandlela lesibili kuphakeme kunokuphakama kwekhandlela lokuqala.

Isibonelo sokusethwa kwe-bearish

Isibonelo sokusethwa kwe-bullish

Amabha amabili anokuphakama okufanayo (TBH) namabha amabili aphansi okufanayo (TBL) angamaphethini entengo aqondiswa kabili asebenza kuzo zombili izinkomba ngokunganaki isiqondiso sethrendi. Konke ukuhweba ngamaphethini anjalo kuyefana nokuhweba ngebha yangaphakathi. Isizathu siwukuthi ibha yokugcina ibha yangaphakathi yebha yangaphambilini. Cishe wonke amaphethini wecebo le-Price Action anezinhlangothi ezimbili, okukuvumela ukuthi uthenge futhi udayise. I-TBH – ibha iphezulu ezingeni elifanayo. Uma intengo idlula ukuphakama kwekhandlela lesibili, khona-ke lokhu kuwuphawu lokuqhubeka komkhuba, okuphansi kuwukubuyela emuva komkhuba. Isibonelo sokwenziwe kusetshenziswa i-TBH: I
-TBL inokwehla ezingeni elifanayo. Ukuhweba kuvulwa uma intengo idlula phezulu (ukuguqulwa kwethrendi) noma iphansi kwekhandlela lesibili (ukuqhubeka kwethrendi).
ojantshiiyiphethini elula yokuhlehla evame ukwakheka ekugcineni kwamathrendi noma ukushintshashintsha okukhulu.
Ukwakhiwa kwenketho ye-bearish lapho i-uptrend ithathelwa indawo yi-downtrend.
Ukuhweba okudayiswayo kuvulwa lapho intengo idlula inani eliphansi lale phethini, futhi ukulahlekelwa kokuma kubekwa ngaphezu kobukhulu bayo.
Ngenguqulo ye-bullish, yisithombe sesibuko (ukwehla kuyayeka kanye nokuqala kokukhula kwezingcaphuno kulindeleke).
Ukuguqulwa kwentengo yokuvala
(CPR) kuyindlela eyaziwa kakhulu futhi edayiswa njalo.
Ukudayiswa, ikhandlela lokuqala liyi-bullish, elesibili liyi-bearish, kanti intengo yokuvula ikhandlela lesibili iphakeme kunentengo yokuvala yebha yangaphambilini.
Ukuze uthenge, udinga uthi lwekhandlela lwesibili (i-bullish) ukuze uvule ngaphansi kwenani lokuvala lekhandlela lokuqala (bearish).
Ibha yephinikhodi , eyaziwa nangokuthi ibha ye-Pinocchio, iyimodeli yesenzo sentengo esivame kakhulu. Imele ikhandlela elinomzimba omncane kanye nesithunzi eside ohlangothini olulodwa.
Isignali yokuthenga iyiphinikhodi
enethunzi elide eliphansi . Uhwebo kufanele luvulwe nge-stop order elindile yokuthenga ngaphezu kwaphezulu kwephinikhodi, kanye nokulahlekelwa kokuma endaweni engezansi.
Isiginali yokuthengisa iyiphinikhodi enethunzi elide eliphezulu. Idili kufanele livulwe nge-oda lokumisa lokuthengisa elilindile ekudluleleni indawo engezansi yephinikhodi, futhi kumiswe ukulahlekelwa endaweni engaphezulu.
Ibha yangaphakathi (
ibha yangaphakathi
)
kuwukwakheka okudumile kokuguqula amakhandlela/ukuqhubeka okudinga okungenani izinti zamakhandlela ezimbili. Le phethini iwumdlalo oqondile womuzwa wemakethe wesikhashana ozama ukungena ngaphambi kokuthi “iminyakazo emikhulu” engenzeka emakethe. Ibha yangaphakathi ibonisa ukungabaza kwezintengo ukunyuka ngaphezu/ngaphansi kokuphakama naphansi kwangaphambilini kwekhandlela, okubonisa ukungazinqumeli kwemakethe.

Ukuze uthole iphethini yebha yangaphakathi

Inketho ye-Bearish

Izithunzi zebha yangaphakathi zingadlulela ngaphesheya kwekhandlela lokuqala, kodwa ngokufanelekile, lapho kokubili umzimba nesithunzi sekhandlela kungaphakathi kwebha yokuqala, izimpawu ezinjalo zithembeke kakhulu. Futhi, ngaphakathi kwebha yokuqala angeke kube khona eyodwa, kodwa amakhandlela amaningana, into eyinhloko ukuthi ahambisana nayo yonke imithetho yesistimu yokuhweba yesenzo samanani. Kulesi simo, iphethini inikezwa inombolo esekelwe kwinani lamabha angaphakathi, njenge-IB2, IB3, njalonjalo.

Ibha yangaphandle iyiphethini yamakhandlela amabili lapho ikhandlela lesibili linokuphakama okuphezulu nokuphansi okuphansi. Ububanzi bekhandlela lesibili kufanele budlule ububanzi belokuqala. Lokhu kusho ukuthi ububanzi bentengo nokuntengantenga kuyanda, okubonisa amandla kuzo zombili izinkomba. Ezimweni eziningi, akucaci ukuthi izinkunzi noma amabhere anqobile, okuwukuphela kwesiqiniseko ukukhuphuka kokushintshashintsha.

I-BUOVB (i-bullish ngaphandle kwebha eqondile)

I-BEOVB (i-bullish ngaphandle kwebha eqondile)

Njengebha yangaphakathi, iphethini ingaqukatha amakhandlela amaningana. Kulokhu, ikhandlela lokugcina lesiginali lifaka imigoqo emincane eminingana. Amakhandlela amaningi ayedliwe, isignali inamandla.

Kungani isenzo senani sisebenza?

Amashadi amaningi namuhla agcwele izinkomba okunzima ukuziqonda. Kodwa-ke, konke abangakunikeza ukufundwa kwentengo, kungenalutho futhi kuluhlaza, okumelelwe amakhandlela. Udinga kuphela amakhandlela, kanye nokusekela okulula kanye nemigqa yokumelana. Ngokuhweba ngesenzo samanani kumashadi ahlanzekile, ususa iziphazamiso futhi ugxile entweni ebaluleke kakhulu, intengo. Lokhu empeleni ukuphela kwento edingekayo ukuze uphumelele ezimakethe. Abathengisi abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi imakethe ilandela amaphethini angahleliwe futhi akucaci ngendlela ehlelekile yokuhlonza isu elisebenza njalo. Ngenxa yokuthi isenzo senani sihlanganisa amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe nomlando wentengo wakamuva ukuze kukhonjwe amathuba okuhweba ngokusekelwe ekuchazeni okuzimele komthengisi ngamunye, ukuhweba kwentengo kusekelwa kakhulu ekuhwebeni.

Indlela Yokuhweba Isenzo Sentengo – Ukuqonda kanye Namasu

Okokuqala, udinga ukwazi izinhlobo ezahlukene zamashadi kanye nezimpawu ezingafundwa kuzo. Okulandelayo, udinga ukuthuthukisa ikhono lokuhlonza amamodeli entengo. Kusho futhi ukufunda indlela yokudweba imigqa yokusekela kanye nokumelana. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ukuqonda okunembile kokuthi izintengo ziziphatha kanjani lapho zifinyelela amaphuzu athile okuthrendayo kuzofika. Okuwukuphela kwendawo yokusebenza umthengisi wesenzo samanani ayidingayo ishadi elihlanzekile elingenazo izinkomba zobuchwepheshe (ngaphandle kwezilinganiso ezihambayo kwezinye izimo). Ishadi lentengo elihlanzekile lisiza umhwebi ukuthi agxile ekunyakazeni kwamanani hhayi ezinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezisalelayo.

Umgomo oyinhloko ukubamba ithrendi kusenesikhathi futhi uyilandele ize ingasavumelekile. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi abathengisi besenzo samanani bazama ukuhlanganisa inani lamathuluzi ekuhlaziyeni kwabo, okwandisa amathuba okuhweba okuphumelelayo.

Eqinisweni, ohlelweni lokuhweba lwesenzo samanani, konke kuza phansi ekufundeni ukuthi ungahweba kanjani ukusetha noma amaphethini wesenzo sentengo kusuka kumazinga okuhlanganisa. Ngenxa yemvelo yabaqhubi bemakethe, ukusabela kwabo ekuguquguqukeni komnotho womhlaba, isenzo samanani sivame ukuziphindaphinda ngamaphethini ahlukene. Amashadi esenzo senani abonisa izinguquko noma ukuqhubeka komuzwa wemakethe. Ngakho-ke, ngemva kokufunda ukukhomba amaphethini entengo, ungathola “amacebiso” mayelana nokuthi intengo izohamba kuphi ngokulandelayo. Ngokuvamile, zingahlukaniswa zibe izigaba ezimbili:
amaphethini okuqhubekanamaphethini wokuhlehla kwethrendi. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/figury-texnicheskogo-analiza-v-trajdinge.htm Ngenkathi amaphethini okuqhubeka ebonisa ukuthi inkambiso eyinhloko isizoqhubeka, amaphethini okubuyisela emuva abonisa ngokuphambene nalokho, lokho umkhuba oyinhloko usuzohlehla. Amaphethini okuqhubeka ayinhloko ama-
rectangles ,
amafulegi ,
ama- wedge awelayo (ngesikhathi se-uptrend) kanye nama-wedge akhuphukayo (ngesikhathi se-downtrend). Amaphethini Ayisisekelo Okubuyisela emuva –
Ikhanda namahlombe, ikhanda namahlombe ahlanekezelwe, phezulu okuphindwe kabili kanye nephansi eliphindwe kabili, amaweji awelayo (ngesikhathi se-downtrend) kanye namaweji akhuphukayo (ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka). Isenzo senani ku-cryptocurrency – ukuqonda imakethe, amasu okuhweba, indlela yokusebenzisa isenzo samanani kule makethe – imiyalo yevidiyo: https://youtu.be/BzaS4dgQvxE

Isenzo se-scalping nentengo

I-scalping ihlanganisa ukungena nokuphuma endaweni ngokushesha ukuze usebenzise ukunyakaza kwamanani amancane, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi yini ebhekwa njengokunyakaza kwentengo encane yaleyo mpahla. Ama-scalper amaningi ngokuvamile asebenzisa amashadi amaminithi angu-1. Isu le-scalping lihlose ukuhweba ngendlela yethrendi futhi ungene ngesikhathi sokuhlehla lapho intengo iqala ukubuyela emuva ibheke kuthrendi. Ukuze benze lokhu, abathengisi babheka amaphethini ahlanganisayo abonisa ukungena, njengalapho ikhandlela elisendleleni yethrendi livala ikhandlela elibheke ekubuyiseleni emuva. Lokhu kwenzeka ngesikhathi sokubuyisela emuva.
Esibonelweni seshadi leminithi le-Alcoa, imicibisholo imaka amaphethini ahlanganisayo abonisa izinto ezingase zibe khona zohwebo.

Izici zokuhlanganisa zesakhiwo kanye nesenzo senani

Esimweni sokuhweba ngesenzo senani, ukuhlangana kuyiphoyinti/izinga lapho izici ezimbili noma ngaphezulu zihlangana khona (noma zihlangana) ndawonye ukuze zakhe indawo eshisayo (indawo yokuhlangana) eqinisekisa isignali efanayo yokuhweba. Isibonelo, intengo iqhubekela ezingeni lokumelana, uma uhlola ukubuyiswa kwe-Fibonacci, cishe njengokuhlangana ukuthi izinga lokumelana nalo likuleveli ye-Fibonacci engu-61.8. Kodwa akugcini lapho, ukuthambekela okujwayelekile kubuye kube phansi. Ngakho-ke kunezici ezintathu ezihambisanayo:

• umkhuba ojwayelekile wokwehla;
• izinga lokumelana lapho intengo isondela;
• intengo iphinde ikhuphukele ezingeni le-61.8 Fibonacci, elihambisana nezinga lokumelana.

Ngayo yonke imiqondo, ukuhlanganisa kungabonwa njengokwandisa izinkinga ezivuna wena. Lapho izinto eziningi ezihlanganayo zikhona kunoma yikuphi ukusethwa okunikeziwe, maningi amathuba okuba uhambe uye lapho okuhlosiwe khona.

Isenzo senani lesu lokusebenza

Abadayisi abanolwazi olunzulu bagcina izinhlobonhlobo zezinketho zokubona amaphethini, amazinga okungena nawokuphuma, ukumisa ukulahlekelwa kanye nokuthola ulwazi olufanele. Ukusebenzisa isu elilodwa kuphela kungase kunganikezi amathuba anele okuhweba. Amasu okuhweba ngesenzo senani angaqinisekisa imiphumela emihle uma esetshenziswa ngendlela efanele:

1. Ukuphumula (ukuphumula) – inqubo ihlanganisa ukuba khona kwekhandlela elibanzi (eliphakeme kakhulu kumaseshini angu-9 wokugcina) kanye nokuphakama okusha kwezinyanga ezingu-2. Lokhu kwenza ukufakwa “kuthembeke” kakhulu futhi kujabulise ukusebenza ngakho.
2. Iphinikhodi ingasetshenziswa kunoma imuphi umongo wemakethe, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ubheka ukuqaliswa kabusha kwethrendi ngemva kokuhlehla noma ukuhlonza ukuhlehla kusukela kokuphezulu noma okuphansi okubalulekile. Ihamba kahle ngokuphuma okungamanga kwamaleveli abalulekile.
3. Amabha angaphakathi alungele ukulandelela amathrendi amanje, ikakhulukazi uma kukhona amabili, amathathu noma ngaphezulu alandelana (amandla azo okuqhuma makhulu).

Indlela yokusebenzisa isenzo samanani ekusebenzeni

Ukuhweba ngokugqashuka kwephethini yeshadi

Ukungena ekuhwebeni kwesenzo sentengo ngokuvamile kusekelwe ohlotsheni oluthile lokuqinisekisa olucupha ukusetha. Ngokuyisisekelo, lokhu kungukugqashuka kwamazinga obuchwepheshe, aqinisekiswa amaphethini wekhandlela.

• 1 – ihlombe langakwesokunxele.
• 2 – inhloko yephethini.
• 3 – ihlombe elingakwesokudla.
• I-4 – umugqa wentamo oxhuma izingxenye ezingezansi zamahlombe womabili.

Iphethini Yekhanda Namahlombe iyiphethini ebalulekile yokuhlehla eyakha phezulu kokuthrendayo. Umhwebi ulinda ukuvulwa kwesikhundla esifushane kuze kube yilapho intengo iphula umugqa wentamo. Uma kwenzeka ukugqashuka, inzuzo ehlosiwe yohwebo ubude bephethini (5) evezwe kusukela endaweni yokuphuma (6). Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kuvame ukubekwa ngaphezu komugqa wentamo (indlela enolaka) noma ngaphezu kwehlombe elingakwesokudla (indlela yendabuko).

Ukuhweba okuvundlile/hlola kabusha ukuhweba

Abanye abathengisi bancamela ukuthatha uhwebo olususelwa ekuphumeni okuvela kububanzi obuvundlile. Le ndlela izodinga imakethe yezinga enemingcele ecacile ephezulu naphansi.
Imakethe eseceleni ngaphakathi komugqa wokumelana ongaphezulu (2) kanye nomugqa wokusekela ophansi (1). Uma kwenzeka ukugqashuka, umgomo wenzuzo ungasethwa olingana nobude bebanga eliqagelwe endaweni yokuphuma ekhonjiswe umugqa 1. Ukuze ungene ukuhweba ngokuphuma okuvundlile, indawo yemakethe yangaphambilini kufanele ibe kumodi yezinga echazwe. ngokungabikho kokuphakama okuphezulu kanye nokungabi khona okuncane okuphansi. Ungaphinda ungene ngokubuyisela emuva (ovivinyweni oluphindaphindiwe lomugqa wokwesekwa ophukile/wokumelana). Njengokugqashuka kwephethini yeshadi, izenzo zokuthatha inzuzo zivame ukuhlehlisa intengo iye endaweni yokuphuma, inikeze ithuba elihle kakhulu lokungena kabusha kwezohwebo. Kumele kukhunjulwe ukuthi imigqa yokusekela ephukile kanye nokumelana kuyahlehliswa,

Ukuhweba ngokugqashuka komugqa wethrendi

Izimakethe zivame ukubhidliza noma zehlise imigqa ethrendayo ezimeni zemakethe ezithrendayo. Abahwebi basebenzisa imigqa ethrendayo ukuze baxhumane nokuphakama okuphezulu ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka kanye nokwehla okuphansi ngesikhathi se-downtrends, ukuphuma kwakho okudala ithuba lokuhweba lapho kuphuma khona. Umugqa we-uptrend ophukile empeleni usho ukuthi intengo kungenzeka yenze ukwehla okusha okusha, okuwuphawu lwe-downtrend ekhombisa ukuhlehla kwethrendi okungaba khona. Ngokufanayo, i-downtrendline ephukile isho ukuthi intengo kungenzeka yenze ukuphakama okusha, isici sokukhuphuka.

Pullback ukuhweba

Abadayisi be-Pullback bazama ukuthenga isitoko noma impahla lapho intengo yehle okwesikhashana lapho kubhekwa ukukhuphuka okubanzi. Ukuze uhwebe, imakethe kufanele ihambe iye ohlangothini oluthile, phezulu noma phansi. Ngaphandle kokuthambekela ngaphakathi kohwebo, akunakwenzeka ukwenza inzuzo ngokubuyisela emuva.

Ukungena ekuhwebeni okunethrendi

Isinyathelo sokuqala ukuthola isiqondiso esingaphansi kwemakethe – ingabe amapheya athrenda phezulu noma phansi? Ama-uptrends akhiwa ukuphakama okuphezulu nokwehla okuphezulu kwentengo, kuyilapho ama-downtrends akhiwa ukwehla okuphansi nokuphezulu okuphansi. Kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuthi endleleni eya phezulu, intengo ngezinye izikhathi izohamba ngokuphambene nomkhuba. Lokhu kunyakaza kwentengo ngokumelene nethrendi kubizwa ngokuthi ukulungiswa kwentengo futhi kwakha iphethini ye-zigzag ewuphawu ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka. Ukufaka ithrendi elandela ukuhweba, abahwebi basebenzisa amazinga okubuyisela e-Fibonacci ukuze balinganise ibanga lokuhlehliswa kwegagasi elidlule lomfutho.
Ibhokisi eliluhlaza (1) libe yigagasi lokuqala elisheshayo elenza ukuphakama okuphezulu eshadini, kulandele ukulungiswa kwentengo okumakwe ngebhokisi elibomvu (2). Ukulungiswa kufinyelele cishe ku-50% wegagasi lokuqala lomfutho, ngemva kwalokho intengo ihlehlisiwe ekuqondeni kwe-uptrend, idala igagasi lomfutho omusha (3) kanye nokuphakama okusha okuphezulu. Khulisa ithuba lakho lokuphumelela – faka ngaphansi kokulungiswa kwentengo.

Ukuhweba Ngezenzo Zamanani: Izinto Okufanele Zicatshangelwe

Ukuphatha ubungozi ekuhwebeni kwamanani kuyafana nokuphatha ubungozi kunoma yisiphi esinye isitayela sokuhweba – kuyasebenza imithetho efanayo. Ngokuqondene nezici zangempela abathengisi okufanele bazikhumbule:

1. Isakhiwo semakethe samanje . Ku-uptrend, thenga amathuba; ebangeni, thenga eduze nokuphansi kwebanga ekusekeleni, noma thengisa eduze nokuphakama kokumelana, nge-downtrend (ukuthengisa amathuba).
2. Izindawo zenani eshadini . Faka amaleveli osekelo/okumelana noma amaleveli aphakamisa amaphoyinti e-pivot emakethe. Isibonelo, uma imakethe iku-uptrend, ingaba indawo yokusekela, i-swing ephansi, isilinganiso esihambayo esinenkathi yemigqa yethrendi engu-50, lapho imakethe iqhume izikhathi eziningana.
3. Beka ukulahlekelwa kokuma phakathi kwalawo mazinga, noma lapho kungekho khona inkomba yangempela yamandla anjalo okuzobangela lolu shintsho ekuqondeni emakethe.

Empeleni, abahwebi bazama ukungena ezindaweni zokuthiphu. Amaleveli aphakathi kwamaphoyinti okujika “ayizindawo ezingenalutho” lapho izitobhi zingabekwa khona. Isibonelo, uma ufaka uhwebo ngezinga lokusekela ulindele ukuthi intengo inyuke, ungamisa kancane ngaphansi kweleveli yosekelo oyifakile, inqobo nje uma bekungeyona futhi ileveli yosekelo. Kulokhu, uma isitobhi sishaywa, kukhombisa ukuthi i-thesis yokuqala engaphansi kohwebo yayingafanelekile. Isihluthulelo sempumelelo ekuhwebeni ukuba nendlela ezwakalayo, enembayo, eyakhiwe kahle, futhi engenamsebenzi. Okuhlangenwe nakho, kokubili ekuphatheni ukuhweba nasezigabeni ezingenakugwenywa zokudonsela phansi isikhathi eside, kungenza umehluko ukuze uhlale usendleleni efanele ngaphandle kokuphambuka kuyo, kodwa lokhu akuliphazamisi iqiniso lokuthi ngisho nabadayisi abasha noma labo.