Okusuubula ebika by’eby’obugagga eby’enjawulo, abasuubuzi bulijjo beetaaga ebiraga ebiraga obubonero bw’okugula oba okutunda. Naddala ng’osuubula ku biseera ebitono, okulondoola amawulire n’embeera y’ebyenfuna tekimala, weetaaga ebiraga eby’enjawulo eby’okutunda (stochastics among them), ebijja okulaga ku kipande engeri ne ddi lw’olina okusuubulamu. Ekiwandiiko kino kijja kussa essira ku kiraga Stochastic Oscillator – okukozesa ne kye kiyinza okukozesebwa.
- Stochastic indicator: ennyonyola n’okukozesa
- Stochastic Indicator: okugikozesa otya era ani anaagiganyulwamu?
- Stochastic ekiraga nti okusuubula Forex
- Okuteekawo ekintu ekiyitibwa Stochastic Oscillator
- Okubala ebiraga
- Ekiraga nti Stochastic kiraga ki?
- Enkola z’okukozesa
- Ekiraga nti waliwo okulabula okw’ekika kya Stochastic
Stochastic indicator: ennyonyola n’okukozesa
Stochastic oscillator, etera okumanyibwa nga stochastic indicator, yakolebwa mu myaka gya 1950 George Lane nga indicator y’enkola ye
eya countertrend.. Okwawukana ku ekyo erinnya lino kye litegeeza, endowooza eri emabega waalyo terina kakwate na stochastics, ekozesebwa mu statistics okujuliza enkola za random. Wabula, oscillator eno yeesigamiziddwa ku kwetegereza nti mu kiseera ky’okulinnya, omuwendo gw’okuggalawo ogw’eby’obugagga ebisomesebwa gutera okukyukakyuka ku ntikko y’omutendera gw’okusuubula. Mu kugenda wansi, ekintu ekikontana n’ekyo kituufu, era omuwendo gutera okugenda wansi mu bbanga. Naye, mu nkola, ekiraga stochastic divergence kyazuuka nga tekikola nnyo ng’ekiraga ekirongoofu eky’enkyukakyuka mu mulembe, kubanga stochasticity yokka naddala leero, tekikyamala kusalawo kukyusa mulembe oba enkyukakyuka mu bbeeyi. Wabula, ekiraga stochastic oscillator kyasobola okwenyweza ng’ekitundu ky’enkola y’okwekenneenya, .
Stochastic ekozesebwa mu ngeri ennyangu okubala ebanga wakati w’ebiwanvu n’ebitono mu kiseera ekiweereddwa. Bwe kityo, omusuubuzi, bw’aba akola n’ekiraga, yeetaaga okuteekawo ekiseera ekigere.
Stochastic Indicator: okugikozesa otya era ani anaagiganyulwamu?
Obuwanguzi mu kusuubula businziira ku nkola y’okuddukanya ssente n’akabi, wamu n’okuzuula ebifo ebiyingira n’ebifuluma. Stochastic kiraga ekikyukakyuka ennyo era ekisobola okukola ebintu bingi ekikusobozesa okuzuula okubeerawo oba obutabaawo mbeera nnungi ey’okusiga ensimbi mu sikonda ntono. Okwawukana ku bipimo ebirala bingi, ekiraga stochastic tekikoleddwa kugoberera muze, wabula okuzuula ebifo eby’okudda emabega. N’olwekyo, singa emiwendo giraga nti okutereeza oba okuddamu okukyuka kuyinza okubaawo mu bbanga eritali ly’ewala, kikola amakulu okukozesa ekiraga eky’okukyusakyusa (stochastic indicator) okwekenneenya oba okudda emabega kuyinza okubaawo mu bbanga eritali ly’ewala.
Stochastic ekiraga nti okusuubula Forex
Si kikulu asset class ki gy’oteekateeka okusuubula. Oba oli mu kusuubula crypto, okusuubula eby’obugagga ebya classic nga stocks, oba active mu katale ka Forex, si kikulu. Wabula enkola yo erina okuba ng’ekwatagana n’akatale akakwatagana era olina okuba ng’omanyi bulungi enneeyisa y’akatale ako. Okusookera ddala, bamusigansimbi n’abasuubuzi abakola baganyulwa mu kukozesa ekiraga eky’omulembe (stochastic indicator), ku lwabwe kikulu okwekenneenya okw’ekikugu okw’enkyukakyuka mu bbeeyi okubaawo mu bwangu nga bwe kisoboka. Wabula wadde nga stochastic indicator esaanira kiraasi zonna ez’eby’obugagga, naddala yettanirwa nnyo abasuubuzi ba sitoowa. Bw’oba oyagala okuyiga intraday trading, stochastic indicator erina ebikozesebwa bingi by’esobola okukuwa. Okusookera ddala, okuva sitokisi bwe zikyukakyuka nnyo, .
Okuteekawo ekintu ekiyitibwa Stochastic Oscillator
Kya lwatu nti bw’oba oyagala okukozesa ekiraga stochastic, olina okusooka okukiteekawo okusinziira ku mbeera eyo. Ekiraga kino kiteekebwa mu nkola ku mikutu gy’amawulire egy’amaanyi egisinga obungi n’okusuubula, nga MetaTrader 4, nga waliwo ensengeka esookerwako ey’ekiraga stochastic. Okugikozesa, olina okuteekawo ekiseera kyokka, awamu n’omuwendo ogusinga obunene ogukwatagana, i.e. “H”, n’omuwendo ogusinga wansi, i.e. “L”. Okuteeka Stochastic mu ddirisa ly’ekipande, olina okuggulawo “List of indicators” tab ku toolbar. Oluvannyuma londa ekitundu kya “Oscillators”, era mu kyo – “Stochastic Oscillator”. Okuteeka mu ddirisa lya terminal:
Stochastic erimu layini bbiri eza wakati (exponential), eziyitibwa layini %K ne layini %D, ezikyukakyuka wakati wa 0 ne 100. Layini (ennywevu) %K ebalibwa ng’enjawulo wakati w’omuwendo ogw’okuggalawo ogwa leero n’ogw’ekiseera ekitono, . egabanyizibwamu enjawulo wakati w’omuwendo ogw’ekiseera ogw’oku ntikko n’ogw’omuwendo omutono ogw’ekiseera ekyo. Layini %D (layini eriko enkokola) ye “simple moving average” eya layini %K era tekwatagana nnyo okusinga layini ya %K.
Okubala ebiraga
Nga bwekiba, layini ya %K ebalibwa mu bbanga lya nnaku 5, ate layini ya %D ebalibwa mu nnaku 3. “Slow stochastic” oba “slow stochastic” erina ebigambo n’okutaputa ebifaanagana, naye nga bikendeddeko katono ku sensitivity. “Slow” ne “Fast” zitera okutabulwa naddala kubanga ennyiriri eza wakati ezikozesebwa bulijjo zirina erinnya lye limu. Naye bwe twogera ku kiraga Stochastic, ebiseera ebisinga y’enkyusa “empola” y’etegeeza. Stochastic mu kifo kya QUIK:
Okubala ekiraga kwangu nnyo: okusooka, olina okuzuula ebanga ly’okusuubula erisinga obunene ery’ekiseera ekitunuuliddwa. Emiwendo okuva ku nnaku 5 okutuuka ku 14 (oba eddakiika, essaawa, wiiki, emyezi, n’ebirala) bye bipimo bya bulijjo eby’ekiseera ky’okusuubula okusinziira ku oba omusigansimbi ayagala ekiseera eky’okwetegereza eky’ekiseera ekitono oba eky’omu makkati. George S. Lane yennyini yawa amagezi ennaku ttaano ng’ekiseera eky’okubalirira emiwendo egy’amaanyi n’egya wansi. Kino kye kisalawo bbeeyi esinga obunene (mu lunaku) n’omuwendo omutono (mu lunaku) mu nnaku ttaano eziyise. Enjawulo ekuwa ddala ekifo ky’okusuubula ky’onoonya. Olwo enjawulo wakati w’ebbeeyi y’okuggalawo eriwo kati n’ebbeeyi esinga wansi mu kiseera ky’okusuubula ekolebwa mu kubala. Omuwendo guno olwo gugabanyizibwamu omuwendo gw’ekiseera ky’okusuubula ekitegeezeddwa. Omugerageranyo oguvaamu gukubisibwamu 100.
Ekiraga nti Stochastic kiraga ki?
N’ekyavaamu, ofuna ekiraga “%K”, ekiva ku 0 okutuuka ku 100. Omuwendo gwa 100 gulaga nti eky’obugagga ekikulu ekisomesebwa kisuubula ku kiseera ekisinga obunene eky’ekiseera ekitunuuliddwa. Ate omuwendo gwa 0 gulaga nti esuubula ku ddaala erya wansi. Olwo, okugonza omuwendo n’okufuula stochastic ey’amangu okufuuka empola, arithmetic moving average ebalibwa ku kivaamu, era nga kino eragibwa nga “%K”. Mu kusembayo, layini ya siginiini eyongerwako, nga eno, mu ngeri endala, eva mu kigerageranyo ekitambula ekya “%K” era eragiddwa nga “%D”. Ku bipimo byombi ebitambula, emiwendo gya 3 oba 5 gitera okukozesebwa ng’ebiseera.Gibalirirwa nga
tukozesa ensengekera eno wammanga:
%K = (bbeeyi y’okuggalawo – bbeeyi eya wansi) / (bbeeyi eya waggulu – bbeeyi eya wansi);
%D = %K ya wakati mu biseera bisatu.
Enkola z’okukozesa
Ekifo ky’ekiraga ku minzaani kiraga oba eky’obugagga ekikulu ekyekenneenyeddwa kiri mu mbeera ya kugulibwa nnyo oba okutundibwa ennyo ku katale. Emiwendo egisukka mu 80 gitwalibwa ng’ egyagulibwa ekisusse era okusinziira ku kino, omuwendo ogusookerwako guyinza okukendeera kw’emiwendo. Emiwendo egiri wansi wa 20 gitwalibwa ng’ egyatundibwa okusukkiridde n’olwekyo eky’obugagga ekikulu kiri mu bulabe bw’okuddamu okulondoola emiwendo. Naye singa wabaawo omuze ogw’amaanyi, eky’obugagga ekikulu kiyinza okusigala mu kimu ku bitundu ebyogeddwako ebisukkiridde okumala ebbanga eddene.
N’olwekyo, kirungi okusookera ddala okugoberera buy signals mu general uptrend ate n’otunda signals mu general downtrend. Okwawukana ku ekyo, mu mitendera enafu egy’omulembe oba mu bbanga ly’okusuubula okw’ebbali, obubonero mu njuyi zombi buwa ebirungi. Obubonero obw’okusuubula obw’amazima buva mu kusalagana kwa layini y’ekiraga (%K) ne layini ya siginiini (%D). Singa layini y’ekiraga esala layini ya siginiini mu kitundu ekitundibwa ennyo, kino kitwalibwa nga akabonero k’okugula. Singa layini ya siginiini esala layini y’ekiraga wansi mu kitundu ekiguliddwa ennyo, kino kitwalibwa nga siginiini y’okutunda. Okusala layini:
Nga bwe kiri ku bipimo ebisinga obungi, okukozesa stochastic oscillator (tinkoff stochastic indicator, binance stochastic indicator) nakyo kya mugaso okwekenneenya obutakwatagana wakati w’ekipimo ky’ekiraga n’ekipimo ky’ebbeeyi y’eky’obugagga ekikulu. Ziraga okunafuwa kw’omutindo ogubaddewo era bwe batyo ne balabula ku nkyukakyuka y’omulembe eyinza okubaawo. Emu ku layini za average ezitambula eza stochastic oscillator – layini ya siginiini – ekola amangu ku nkyukakyuka z’emiwendo okusinga endala. Layini eno etambula amangu esinga okulaga oba eky’obugagga kijja kugulibwa ekisusse oba okutundibwa amangu. Stochastic oscillator era esobola okukozesebwa okulaba oba waakiri emu ku layini za moving average esala eddaala lya 20 okumala akaseera wansi n’oluvannyuma n’eddamu okulinnya waggulu waayo. Kino kitwalibwa nga akabonero ka bullish. Bbeeyi mu mbeera ng’eyo y’esinga okubeera ajja kusituka. Singa layini yonna erinnya mu bufunze waggulu wa 80 n’eddamu okugwa wansi waayo, kino kitwalibwa ng’akabonero ka bearish. Nga bwe kyali kisuubirwa, bbeeyi mu mbeera eno ejja kugwa. Okwawukana: .
Okwawukana okulungi/okulinnya kubaawo ng’eky’obugagga ekikulu kikola wansi omupya ate ekipimo ky’ekiraga n’ekola wansi kye kimu oba eky’oku ntikko. Enjawukana ya negativu/bearish emanyiddwa nga price curve ekola high empya ate indicator line ekola high y’emu oba eya wansi.
Ekiraga nti waliwo okulabula okw’ekika kya Stochastic
Ku basuubuzi bangi, enkola ng’eyo erimu okukola ebiraga mu ngeri ey’otoma. Sofutiweya n’emikutu egimu giwa alamu ey’otoma efulumya obubaka obw’enjawulo ku mbeera ezimu ne alamu. Oluvannyuma lw’okufuna okulabula ng’okwo, osobola okutandika okusuubula amangu ddala, oba okuddamu okukebera obusuubuzi ng’okozesa ebiraga ebirala.
Ensonga enyuvu: okugatta ku ekyo, emikutu mingi egy’okusuubula girina obusobozi okussa mu nkola okusuubula okw’otoma. Mu mbeera eno, ky’olina okukola kwe kuteekawo ekiraga n’okuteekawo okussa mu nkola ebikolwa ebituufu ku mbeera ezimu.
MT4 Stochastic Strategy Alerts Indicator: https://youtu.be/7unY7xDm25k Okuva okuteeka ssente ku yintaneeti okuyita mu kusuubula bwe kulina omuwendo omunene ogw’enkyukakyuka, kyetaagisa okubikka bingi ku byo nga bwe kisoboka n’ebiraga eby’enjawulo. Ng’oggyeeko ekiraga stochastic, ekiyinza okukozesebwa okulaba okukyusakyusa kw’omutindo, ebiraga ebirala bisaana okukozesebwa ebisobola okubala ebiwanvu n’ebitono oba okunnyonnyola ebanga. N’olwekyo, nga bigattiddwa wamu ne stochastic,
Bollinger Bands n’ebivuga ebirala ebimanyiddwa bitera okukozesebwa.