On Balance Volume (OBV) inkomba – incazelo inkomba, ingqikithi yayo, buka eshadini.
- Iyini inkomba yevolumu ye-On Balance futhi iyini incazelo, ifomula yokubala
- Indlela yokusebenzisa inkomba yevolumu yebhalansi, izilungiselelo, amasu okuhweba
- Isetshenziswa nini i-OBV, yiziphi izinsimbi futhi ngokuphambene nalokho, lapho akufanele isetshenziswe
- Ubuhle nobubi
- Isicelo ezindaweni ezahlukene
Iyini inkomba yevolumu ye-On Balance futhi iyini incazelo, ifomula yokubala
Ukuze wenze ukuthengiselana, kuyadingeka ukuthola isimo esinjalo semakethe ukuthi amathuba okwenza inzuzo aphezulu. Ukuze wenze lokhu, sebenzisa izindlela zokuhlaziya okuyisisekelo nobuchwepheshe. Nokho, ukusebenzisa ngokungacabangi ngeke kuholele empumelelweni. Umhwebi kufanele aqonde ukuthi yini ebangela lokhu noma leyo datha etholwe ngosizo lwezinkomba zobuchwepheshe, kuphela kulokhu uzokwazi ukuzisebenzisa ngokusebenza kahle okukhulu.
Uma umkhuba uvela emakethe, kubalulekile ukuthola ukuqinisekiswa kokuthembeka kwawo. Isibonelo, uma amakhwothi ekhula, ungaqiniseka ukuthi ukuthengwa kwempahla kusebenza kakhulu kunokuthengisa. Esinye isici esibalulekile umthamo wemisebenzi eqhubekayo. Uma ukunyuka kwentengo kwenzeka ngenani elincane lokuhweba, lokhu kuzosho ukuthi alizinzile. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukunyakaza emakethe, okuhambisana nomsebenzi ophezulu, kubonisa ukuba khona kwezizathu ezibucayi zalo mkhuba. I-OBV ihloselwe ukuthi umhwebi akwazi ukuhlola umthamo wokuthenga ngesikhathi samanje futhi awuqhathanise nezinkomba zangaphambilini.
Le nkomba yachazwa okokuqala nguJoseph Granville encwadini yakhe enesihloko esithi A New Stock Market Strategy ngo-1963. Umbhali uqinisekise ukusebenza kahle kwenkomba ngokuthi ivolumu empeleni iyimbangela yezinguquko ezicashuniwe zokuvikeleka.
Uma umsebenzisi esebenzisa i-On Balance Volume Indicator, ubona amanani okuthenga nokuthengisa emakethe. Le nkomba iveza umsebenzi wokwenza imisebenzi yokuthenga noma ukuthengiswa kwempahla. Isibalo simi kanje:
- Okokuqala, isiqondiso sekhandlela sinqunywa. Uma intengo yokuvala iphakeme kunentengo yokuvula, khona-ke i-bullish. Uma kuncane, bese u-bearish.
- Umthamo wokuthengiselana owenziwe ngesikhathi esihambisana nalelikhandlela ucatshangelwa. Ukuze kuthuthukiswe leli nani lithathwa ngophawu lokuhlanganisa, ku-bearish – ngophawu lokususa.
- Inani eliwumphumela lengezwa enanini langaphambili lenkomba ye-OBV.
Ifomula yokubala:
Ukuze ukwazi ukusebenzisa i-On Balance Volume, kuyadingeka ukuthi idatha efanele itholakale. Ulwazi mayelana nenani lemisebenzi, ngokwesibonelo, luyatholakala uma uhweba izitoko namabhondi, kodwa luyingxenye kuphela yemisebenzi yokuthenga nokudayiswa kwezinhlobo zemali. Ukwakhiwa kweshadi lenkomba:
Indlela yokusebenzisa inkomba yevolumu yebhalansi, izilungiselelo, amasu okuhweba
Kumatheminali amaningi, inkomba okukhulunywa ngayo ingezinye ezijwayelekile. Ulayini amanani awo ahambisana nevolumu yakho konke ukuthenga, okufaka phakathi kokubili ukuthengwa nokuthengiswa kwezibambiso. Indlela yokusetshenziswa ingachazwa ngesibonelo esilandelayo. Uma umhwebi ebona ukwanda kwezingcaphuno zesitoko futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo elungisa ishadi le-OBV elikhulayo, khona-ke unesizathu sokuphetha ngokuthi ukukhula kwezingcaphuno kuzinzile. Esimeni esinjalo, ukuthenga kunokudayisa amasheya kuyoba okuthembisayo. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma i-OBV iyancipha ngeshadi elikhulayo, khona-ke lokhu kusivumela ukuba siphethe ngokuthi umkhuba awuqiniseki. Uma bekunezinhlelo zokuthenga impahla okukhulunywa ngayo, kuzomele uphinde uhlaziye isimo. Mhlawumbe isixazululo esithembisa kakhudlwana kungaba ukulinda ukuguqulwa kwethrendi. Uma izintengo zesitoko zehla, khona-ke ukuwa kwale nkomba kuqinisekisa ukulindela ukuthi le nqubo izoqhubeka. Ukuncipha kwenkomba yevolumu yebhalansi kubonisa amathuba aphansi okuqhubeka kwayo. Indlela ebalulekile yokusebenza nale nkomba ukusetshenziswa kokuhlukana. Okulandelayo, inqubo izochazwa kusetshenziswa isibonelo sokukhishwa kwe-bullish yokuhweba. Kulokhu, udinga ukunaka lokhu okulandelayo:
- Ngesikhathi se-downtrend, udinga ukudweba umugqa oxhuma iziqongo zeshadi lezingcaphuno, ubheke phansi. Umugqa oqondile ophumayo kufanele wehle.
- Ngamaphoyinti esikhathi ahambisana nalezi ziqongo, udinga ukunaka itulo le-OBV.
- Udinga ukudweba umugqa oxhuma amaphuzu ahambisanayo. Uma inesiqondiso esikhulayo, khona-ke singaphetha ngokuthi kukhona ukuhlukana.
Okungenhla kuchazwe esithombeni esilandelayo. Isibonelo sokusebenzisa ukwehlukana:
Kufanele kukhunjulwe ukuthi ukwakhiwa okuchazwe lapha ngokuvamile kungenziwa ngezindlela eziningana. Ukuba khona kokuhlukana esimweni esicatshangelwayo kubonisa ubuthakathaka be-downtrend kanye noshintsho oluseduze okungenzeka. Ku-uptrend, ukwakhiwa kwenziwa ngendlela efanayo. Ukusebenzisa i-OBV akunikezi impendulo ecacile yokuthi kufanelekile yini ukungena kwezohwebo manje. Kodwa-ke, uma isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe, ingaba yingxenye yohlelo lokuhweba olunenzuzo. Isibonelo, ukuba khona kokuphindaphinda kwevolumu ye-On Balance kusukela emugqeni odwetshiwe kungase kubonise ithuba elihle lokungena kwezohwebo ekuqaleni kwethrendi entsha. Ngemuva kokungena kwezohwebo, kuyadingeka ukuphuma kahle. Ukuze wenze lokhu, ungasebenzisa, isibonelo, ukuhlukana kwe-OBV, okuzoxwayisa ngokuhlehla kwemakethe okuseduze ngakolunye uhlangothi. Uma usebenza ne-OBV, ungasebenzisa namashaneli. Isibonelo, uma inkomba inokwanda okukhuphukayo okuphula isiqondiso esiphansi, khona-ke lokhu kungaba isignali yokuhweba okunenzuzo ye-bearish. Lokhu kuboniswa yisibonelo esilandelayo. Ukusetshenziswa kokuphuma kwesiteshi:
Ukusetshenziswa kwe-On Balance Volume kungasiza ekuhlaziyeni ukuhlukaniswa kwesiteshi sokucaphuna sensimbi. Uma intengo idlule imikhawulo yayo, udinga ukubona ukuthi inkomba ishintshe kanjani. Uma kuleli phuzu izokhula, khona-ke lokhu kungabhekwa njengokuqinisekisa kokuwohloka. Uma iwa, kungcono ukuyiphatha ngokuqapha. Le ndlela yokusebenza ingasetshenziswa, ikakhulukazi, ekuhlukaniseni umzila oyisicaba. I-Price Channel Breakout:
Le nkomba ingasetshenziswa ukuze kuqinisekiswe ithrendi yentengo. Uma izingcaphuno kanye nama-OBV kungaqondiwe ngakunye, kwandisa amathuba okuthi azoqhubeka. Ukuqinisekisa Okuthrendayo:
Olunye uhlobo lwesiginali ukuphambana kweshadi levolumu ye-On Balance nesilinganiso salo esinyakazayo. Lapho inkomba esimweni esinjalo isuka phansi iye phezulu, khona-ke singakhuluma ngokuthenga izimpahla, futhi uma kusuka phezulu kuya phansi, ngakho-ke mayelana nokuthengisa. Ukusebenzisa amasiginali asuka empambana-mgwaqo we-OBV kanye nesilinganiso sayo esihambayo:
Isetshenziswa nini i-OBV, yiziphi izinsimbi futhi ngokuphambene nalokho, lapho akufanele isetshenziswe
Ukusebenzisa inkomba yevolumu yebhalansi kunenzuzo uma kune-uptrend noma i-downtrend. Uma i-lateral, ayinikezi amasignali athembekile. Lapho umhwebi esebenzisa esinye sezibonakaliso zale nkomba ebona ithuba lokungena ekuhwebeni okunenzuzo, kufanele alinde ukuqinisekiswa. Ingatholakala ngokusebenzisa amasiginali we-oscillator noma ngemva kokuvela kwenhlanganisela efanelekile yezinti
zamakhandlela zaseJapane . Indlela elula ukuhlola amanani okuvala amabha amabili noma amathathu alandelayo. Uma beqinisekisa isiqondiso esisha, ukuhweba kungenzeka kube nenzuzo enkulu. On Balance Volume (OBV) inkomba – indlela yokusebenzisa inkomba ekuhwebeni: https://youtu.be/_EP-klQaI90
Ubuhle nobubi
Amandla e-OBV ukuntuleka kwe-lag. Njengoba kungekho manani amaphakathi asetshenziswa lapha, inani eliwumphumela lizobonisa isimo njengamanje. Le nkomba idala izinkomba ezithembekile nezicacile ezingaba yingxenye ewusizo yohlelo lokuhweba lomhwebi. Enye yezinto ezibaluleke kakhulu ukusetshenziswa kwezidakamizwa. I-OBV ihlanganisa ukusebenza kahle okuphezulu kanye nokusebenza kalula. Ububi ukuthi ayisebenzi kangako uma isebenza kumathrendi aseceleni. Inkomba ayinalo ulwazi mayelana nezintengo zempahla.
Isicelo ezindaweni ezahlukene
I-Balance Volume inkomba ivame ukufakwa kusethi evamile. Ukuze uyisebenzise, kufanele wenze lokhu okulandelayo:
- Udinga ukukhetha ithuluzi ozosebenza ngalo, futhi ucacise isikhathi esibekelwe sona.
- Iya kuhlu lwezinkomba ezitholakalayo zetheminali oyisebenzisayo, khetha i-OBV bese uyivula.
- Okulandelayo, udinga ukufaka amapharamitha adingekayo.
Ngemva kokuqinisekisa okokufaka, inkomba izovela efasiteleni elihlukile. Ukuze ubale, udinga ukucacisa ukuthi yiliphi inani lebha elisetshenzisiwe. Ngokuvamile Vala kukhethwa ngokuzenzakalelayo. Kumatheminali ahlukahlukene, okulandelayo kungasetshenziswa esikhundleni salokho:
- Inani eliphakeme noma eliphansi.
- Intengo yeMedian ( (Ubukhulu + Okuncane) / 2 ).
- Inani elijwayelekile lithi ( ( Ubukhulu + Okuncane + Vala ) / 3 ).
- Intengo yokuvala enesisindo ((Max + Min + 2 * Vala) / 4.
- Vula – intengo yokuvula.
Umhwebi kufanele akhethe inani ukuthi, ngokombono wakhe, liyoba ulwazi kakhulu futhi lizokwazi ukudala izimpawu ezinokwethenjelwa. Uzodinga ukucacisa izici ezibukwayo zeshadi – ubukhulu, umbala kanye nohlobo lomugqa, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi kudingekile ukulungisa ubuningi nobuncane.