Momwe mungasinthire nyengo yamasheya – kusanthula kwanyengo pamsika wamsika

Chodabwitsa chomwe mtengo wa katundu umasintha nthawi imodzi chaka chilichonse ndi nyengo ya masheya. Wogulitsa, pogwiritsa ntchito chidziwitso cha kusintha, amapindula pozindikira zochitika zazikulu zachitukuko, kuzindikira mwayi wa msika pa nthawi inayake.

Kodi nyengo yamasheya ndi chiyani komanso momwe mungagwiritsire ntchito pamsika wamasheya

Zigawo ziwiri zazikulu zimatsimikizira momwe zinthu zilili pamsika. Izi ndi momwe ndalama zimagwirira ntchito komanso machitidwe a Investor. Kusanthula kwa zochitika kukuwonetsa kusakhalapo kwa machitidwe kwa nthawi yayitali. Koma nthawi yaifupi ya zochitika zofanana mu msika wogulitsa zikhoza kudziwika pozindikira nyengo ya masheya potengera khalidwe la osunga ndalama. Zizolowezi za anthu omwe amaika ndalama zimasintha motengera zinthu zambiri. Nyengo imakhudza mtengo wa magawo chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa ntchito za amalonda chifukwa cha tchuthi, kuwonjezeka kwa ntchito yawo kumapeto kwa chaka chachuma. Zoyembekeza za amalonda ndizodzikwaniritsa, kusintha momwe zinthu zilili pamsika. Pochita mwakufuna kwake, wogulitsa malonda amagwiritsa ntchito ma chart a nthawi zam’mbuyo kuti aunike. Kuzindikirika kwa kusintha kwamitengo yazinthu kumakankhira amalonda kuchitapo kanthu nthawi yomweyo. Chitsanzo chikuwoneka chomwe ndi chimodzi mwa zinthu zomwe ziyenera kuganiziridwa pogwira ntchito ndi masheya, koma osagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati mfundo yofunikira pozindikira njira yachitukuko. Nthawi ya magawo ndi momwe misika ikubwera, yomwe imaphatikizapo Russian. Kuzama ndi kukhazikika kwa machitidwe amalonda ndi chikhalidwe cha mayiko otukuka. Ku Russia, cholinga chachikulu cha amalonda ndikupeza phindu laling’ono potengera malingaliro. Low liquidity imawonjezera kusakhazikika kwa magawo. Wogulitsa wamkulu amagulitsa zotetezedwa, ena onse amalumikizana nawo. Msika wogulitsa umakhala pachiwopsezo ku zikoka zakunja, zomwe zimaphwanya bata. [id id mawu = “attach_387” align = “aligncenter” wide = “1024”] koma musagwiritse ntchito ngati mfundo yofunikira pozindikira njira yachitukuko. Nthawi ya magawo ndi momwe misika ikubwera, yomwe imaphatikizapo Russian. Kuzama ndi kukhazikika kwa machitidwe amalonda ndi chikhalidwe cha mayiko otukuka. Ku Russia, cholinga chachikulu cha amalonda ndikupeza phindu laling’ono potengera malingaliro. Low liquidity imawonjezera kusakhazikika kwa magawo. Wogulitsa wamkulu amagulitsa zotetezedwa, ena onse amalumikizana nawo. Msika wogulitsa umakhala pachiwopsezo ku zikoka zakunja, zomwe zimaphwanya bata. [id id mawu = “attach_387” align = “aligncenter” wide = “1024”] koma musagwiritse ntchito ngati mfundo yofunikira pozindikira njira yachitukuko. Nthawi ya magawo ndi momwe misika ikubwera, yomwe imaphatikizapo Russian. Kuzama ndi kukhazikika kwa machitidwe amalonda ndi chikhalidwe cha mayiko otukuka. Ku Russia, cholinga chachikulu cha amalonda ndikupeza phindu laling’ono potengera malingaliro. Low liquidity imawonjezera kusakhazikika kwa magawo. Wogulitsa wamkulu amagulitsa zotetezedwa, ena onse amalumikizana nawo. Msika wogulitsa umakhala pachiwopsezo ku zikoka zakunja, zomwe zimaphwanya bata. [id id mawu = “attach_387” align = “aligncenter” wide = “1024”] Ku Russia, cholinga chachikulu cha amalonda ndikupeza phindu laling’ono potengera malingaliro. Low liquidity imawonjezera kusakhazikika kwa magawo. Wogulitsa wamkulu amagulitsa zotetezedwa, ena onse amalumikizana nawo. Msika wogulitsa umakhala pachiwopsezo ku zikoka zakunja, zomwe zimaphwanya bata. [id id mawu = “attach_387” align = “aligncenter” wide = “1024”] Ku Russia, cholinga chachikulu cha amalonda ndikupeza phindu laling’ono potengera malingaliro. Low liquidity imawonjezera kusakhazikika kwa magawo. Wogulitsa wamkulu amagulitsa zotetezedwa, ena onse amalumikizana nawo. Msika wogulitsa umakhala pachiwopsezo ku zikoka zakunja, zomwe zimaphwanya bata. [id id mawu = “attach_387” align = “aligncenter” wide = “1024”]
Khalidwe la snp500 index kutengera nyengo – zomwe zimatchedwa zotsatira za Seputembala, kukula koyipa [/ mawu] Chinthu chinanso cha kusakhazikika kwa msika womwe ukubwera ndikudalira bajeti ya federal ku Russia pamitengo yamafuta. Mayiko otukuka amayang’ana kwambiri ntchito, chifukwa chake sakhala pachiwopsezo chamitengo yazinthu zomwe zimatha kuyaka. Vuto liri pakusintha kwa kapangidwe ka mafakitale komwe kumakhudza msika wamayiko omwe akutukuka kumene. Kusakhalapo kwa zochita zodzitchinjiriza zomwe zingakhazikitse kusinthasintha kwamitengo kumachepetsanso kukhazikika kwa msika wachitetezo womwe ukubwera.

Makhalidwe a nyengo yamsika

Nyengo ya msika wogulitsa ikhoza kutsatiridwa m’gawo loyamba la chaka. Pazaka khumi zapitazi, mtengo wachitetezo chakwera m’gawo loyamba. Izi zachitika chifukwa cha kugawidwa kwa ndalama zapadziko lonse panthawiyi. Liquidity imakulitsidwa ndi ndalama zochokera ku Pension Budget, zowonjezeredwa ndi Disembala kusamutsidwa kuchokera ku thumba la federal. Investor abwereranso kuchepa mu gawo lachiwiri. Kufotokozera kwazomwe zikuchitika ndizosavuta, ndikuti ndalama zatsopano zimagawidwa. Zopereka zoyamba zapagulu zimapangidwa kumayambiriro kwa chaka, phindu limakhazikitsidwa, pambuyo pake kugulitsa kwa malonda kumachitika kumapeto kwa gawo loyamba. Kuwerenga zaka khumi zapitazi, titha kunena kuti chigawo chachitatu chili chochepa. Miyezi yachilimwe ndi nthawi ya tchuthi, osunga ndalama amapita kutchuthi, zomwe zimachitika pamsika zimakhudza mitengo yamagawo. Zinthu zimasintha mu Seputembala pali nthawi ya chitsitsimutso, yodziwika ndi kugawidwa kwatsopano. Mu gawo lachinayi, US imayika kamvekedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka Khrisimasi. Ku Russia, wogula amatsegulidwa pamsika wachitetezo. [id id mawu = “attach_391” align = “aligncenter” wide = “601”]
Kusanthula kwanyengo kwa index ya Dow Jones kuyambira 1896 – Seputembala nakonso kumakhala kofiira Kuwonjezeka kosasunthika ndi khalidwe la zomangamanga. Russia iwonetsa kusowa kwa bata malinga ngati msika wamasheya umadziwika ndi gawo lachuma chomwe chikukula.

Momwe mungasinthire nyengo yamasheya

Popanga maulosi, kusanthula kwanyengo kumapindulitsa amalonda. Njira yogulitsira malonda imachokera pazaka zambiri zomwe zachitika pamsika wogulitsa. Gwero lazofunikira ndi onse otsatsa: amalonda, osunga ndalama, mabungwe aboma, ndalama zapenshoni. Ntchito yowunikira ndikuzindikira nthawi yomwe masheya ambiri akufunika. Njira yosavuta ndiyo kuwerengera deta pafupifupi. Njira yowunikirayi ili motere:

• Quotes akhala akuphunziridwa kwa zaka zingapo.
• Mitengo ya tsiku lililonse imatengedwa kuti ionjezedwe.
• Mitengo imagawidwa ndi ochulukitsa.

Chiwonetsero chojambula cha zotsatira zomwe zapezedwa mu mawonekedwe a mzere zimasonyeza kusinthasintha kwa mitengo kwa nthawi yosankhidwa. Mzere wodutsa pafupi ndi izo ndi masamu amatanthauza, amawonekera mu mtundu wina. [id id mawu = “attach_393” align = “aligncenter” wide = “609”]
Ma Market Emerging – MSCI EM Index[/caption] Chithunzichi chikuwonetsa kuzungulira kwapadziko lonse lapansi. Ngati chiwerengero chikuwonjezeka, ndiye kuti kufunikira kwa katundu kumawonjezeka. Kuti mufufuze, kugula panthawiyi kuyenera kuganiziridwa. Ngati quotation ikugwera pafupifupi, ndiye kuti kufunikira kumachepa. Munthawi imeneyi, tikuyang’ana mipata yogulitsa. Mu gawo lachiwiri la kusanthula, kampani yomwe ikugwira ntchito ndi mwayi imaganiziridwa. Kusanthula kwaumisiri kuyenera kuchitidwa pazitsanzo pomwe kusinthika kwa chizindikirocho kumatsimikiziridwa ndi chaka chimodzi “champhamvu”. Kuwunika kwanthawi yamagawo kuyenera kuchitidwa pamaziko a:

1. Malingaliro osindikizidwa a akatswiri.
2. Malipoti omwe alipo omwe ali otchuka pakadali pano.
3. Ma chart aukadaulo akuyerekeza ma avareji ndi manambala enieni a nthawi inayake.
4. Kusanthula makampani mwezi umodzi usanatulutsidwe malipoti. Zoyeserera zikuwonetsa kukula kwamitengo yamagawo amakampani ochita bwino isanayambike kuwonjezeka kwanyengo.
5. Kusanthula kwamagulu.
6. Kuwunikidwa kwa kusintha kwa zobwezera poyerekeza ndi index yonse.

Kusinthasintha kwamitengo kwanyengo kuyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito moyenera kuti mudziwe njira. Chizindikiro ichi ndi chinthu chabwino chotsegulira mgwirizano ndi zitetezo. Pogwiritsa ntchito nyengo, amalonda akhoza kupikisana bwino pamsika wogulitsa. Zomwe muyenera kudziwa pazanyengo zamsika pamsika wamasheya – ndi nthawi iti yabwino yogulitsa malonda: https://youtu.be/wDF1-SO5EkE

Zitsanzo Zothandiza – Momwe Mungayang’anire Mapangidwe a Nyengo M’ma Stocks

Pali masheya am’nyengo pamsika wamsika. Zina mwa izo zimagwirizana ndi khalidwe la ogula. Mwachitsanzo, bizinezi yoyendera alendo yazikidwa pa chikhumbo cha anthu okhala kumpoto chopita kutchuthi ku Caribbean m’nyengo yozizira. Ogula akugwira ntchito kuyambira Novembala mpaka Khrisimasi. Omanga akugwira ntchito m’chilimwe. Ngati tiganizira za mbewu zaulimi, mwachitsanzo, chimanga, ndiye kuti ziyenera kubzalidwa m’chaka ndikukolola m’dzinja. Pa nthawi yokolola, nthawi zonse imakhala yochuluka. Mutha kuganiziranso izi pomaliza kugulitsa magawo amakampani. Mitengo yamitengo yanthawi ndi nthawi imayamba chifukwa cha zomwe zikuchitika m’misika yazinthu. Kulakwitsa kwa amalonda ndiko kugwiritsa ntchito molakwika kusintha kwa msika. Ndikofunikira kulingalira mtengo wa zotetezedwa popanda kutchula masiku enieni. Chizoloŵezi chofuna kukwera kapena kugwa chiyenera kukhala phunziro la phunziro kuti achite bwino. [id id mawu = “attach_396” align = “aligncenter” wide = “707”]
Kusintha kwanyengo kwa msika wamasheya pachitsanzo cha ma index a SNP 500[/mawu] Kusaka mtundu wanyengo pozindikira kuchuluka kwamtengo wapachaka kumakhudza izi:

1. Kutsimikiza kwamitengo ya pamwezi ndikusintha manambala motsatira patebulo.
2. Kuwerengera kwa masamu kwa mtengo wapakati pa chaka.
3. Gawani mtengo wamwezi uliwonse ndi avareji yapachaka ndikuchotsa 1.
4. Werengetsani avareji ya mwezi uliwonse.

Tchati chomangidwa chimasonyeza mitengo yapamwamba ya chimanga pa nthawi yobzala, ziwerengero zotsika pakukolola. Chitsanzo china cha nyengo ya masheya ndi mtengo wamkuwa, zitsulo zopanda chitsulo, zomwe zimadalira ntchito ya zomangamanga. [id id mawu = “attach_388” align = “aligncenter” wide = “624”]
Kusinthasintha kwamitengo yamkuwa [/ mawu] Kachitidwe kanyengo kumakhudza mtengo wamagawo a mahotela, ndege. Malonda okhudzana ndi kugula Khrisimasi amapanga phindu madzulo a tchuthi. Nthaŵi zina, m’misika imakhala chete. Zidziwitso zonse zokhudzana ndi nyengo zimapezeka kwa aliyense wogulitsa. Kupeza avareji pachaka, muyenera kuzigwiritsa ntchito kuti mupindule. Kugulitsa zotetezedwa panthawi ya zokolola zambiri, kugula panthawi yochepa – umu ndi momwe wogulitsa bwino amagwirira ntchito pamsika wachitetezo. Mwachitsanzo, chaka chino mu September dola inakwera ndi 1.36. Izi ndichifukwa cha nyengo ya ndalama. Uwu mwamwambo ndi mwezi wamphamvu kwa zaka zingapo. Ku America, chaka chachuma chimatha ndipo msika wamasheya ukugwa. Ziwerengerozi sizinasinthe kwa zaka zingapo. [id id mawu = “attach_389” align = “aligncenter” wide = “623”]
Nyengo yamitengo yandalama pamisika [/ mawu] Komabe, zolosera sizimayenderana ndi zenizeni nthawi zonse. Zonse zimadalira khalidwe la ogwiritsa ntchito mautumiki. Mayendedwe akusintha chifukwa cha kuchotsera koperekedwa ndi makampani apaulendo. Kugula mphatso patchuthi cha Khrisimasi kumayamba ndi Thanksgiving. Choncho, wogulitsa malonda amazindikiritsa apamwamba komanso kuchuluka kwa zotsatira zabwino pamene mtengo wawonjezeka pa nthawi inayake. Kupeza chitsanzo mu kuphatikiza ndi kuchotsera kumapereka kulosera kutengera nyengo ya masheya. Chitsanzo cha chimanga chokhala ndi zambiri zothandiza: kuyambira February mpaka April pali mwayi waukulu wopeza ndalama – 80%, kuyambira October – 10%.
Masheya ogulitsidwa kumayambiriro kwa chaka, omwe akuyembekezeka kugulidwanso panthawi yokolola, adzakhala ndi mwayi wopambana. Nyengo ya masheya imaphatikizapo kusankha kuchuluka kwa malonda. Powerengera njirayo, ndikofunikira kudziwa kuchuluka kwa mwezi pamwezi kwa zaka zingapo, ndikuzindikira kuchuluka kwake komanso kochepa. Yambani ntchito pamene chizindikirocho chiri osachepera 75 peresenti, posankha mwezi wothamanga kwambiri. Kugulitsa ndi kugula masheya kumafuna kusanthula kuti mugwiritse ntchito bwino msika wamasheya. Njira yochepetsera mitengo pakanthawi kochepa imawulula mitengo yokwera kwambiri. Kugwiritsiridwa ntchito kwa zizindikiro zamtengo wapatali kumawonjezeredwa ndi chizindikiritso cha mafupipafupi a mawonetseredwe ake. Zitsanzo zimakhudza zochitika zomaliza. Zogulitsa zanyengo zimayendetsedwa ndi nyengo ndi katundu wa ogula zomwe onse ogulitsa ndi amalonda ayenera kuziganizira.