Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Стратегии торговли

Kodi njira yamalonda ndi yotani, momwe mungadziwire pa tchati, komanso momwe mungagulitsire uptrend ndi downtrend. Kutha kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika pakugulitsa kumathandizira kugulitsa bwino katundu. Trend mu njira yotakata ndi vector of asset price movement. Mawuwa adayambitsidwa ndi Charles Dow, woyambitsa chiphunzitso cha
kusanthula kwaukadaulo . Chizoloŵezi, m’mawu osavuta, ndi njira yotsatirira zochitika za kukula ndi kutsika kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali. Malingana ndi mfundozi, mukhoza kudziwanso mapeto a zochitikazo. Dow Theory si chida chokhacho cholosera zamitengo. Kuchokera pamalingaliro awa, mitundu itatu yamayendedwe imatha kusiyanitsa: uptrend, downtrend ndi mbali. Chikhalidwe cham’mbali ndi kusowa kwa kukula kapena kuchepa. Dzina lina la chodabwitsa ichi ndi “lathyathyathya”.
Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Kodi kudziwa chizolowezi?

Kuti tiyankhe funsoli, m’pofunika kumvetsa udindo wa chodabwitsa ichi mu malonda. Kuwunika kwa vector yosuntha mtengo ndiye maziko opangira zisankho zamabizinesi. Ngati mtengo ukuyenda bwino, ndiye kuti malonda amatha kupanga phindu. M’misika yonse yazachuma, mtengo umayenda ngati zigzag. Zigzag iyi imathandizira kupanga kusanthula ndikulosera mitengo. Pachifukwa ichi, njira zosiyanasiyana zimagwiritsidwa ntchito. Iwo ndi awa:

  1. Zojambulajambula . Njira ndiyo kumanga mzere wa kukula kwa mtengo. Malingana ngati mtengo uli pamwamba kapena pansi pa mzerewu, amalonda amanena kuti mtengowo ukupitirirabe.
  2. Kusanthula kwaukadaulo . Zizindikiro zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pakuwunika kwaukadaulo. Kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumathandizira kutsata osati vector yamtengo, komanso mphamvu yazomwe zikuchitika. Pankhaniyi, kusuntha kwapakati kumagwiritsidwa ntchito kukwaniritsa cholingacho.
  3. Kusanthula Kwambiri . Zimakhudza kusanthula kwa chidziwitso, kuchokera kuukadaulo kupita ku zachuma. Pokhudzana ndi cryptocurrency, izi zikutanthauza kuphunzira zambiri za projekiti ya cryptocurrency, ontology, zinthu zofananira, mapulani a polojekiti, ndi zina zotero. Njirayi ndiyoyenera kumanga kulosera kwanthawi yayitali.
  4. Kusanthula kuchuluka kwa mawu . Kuchuluka kwa kukula ndi kutsika kumafananizidwa. Ngati kuchuluka kwa kukula kuli kogwirika, ndizomveka kukhulupirira kuti vekitala ikupita pachimake ndipo padzakhala kusintha posachedwa. Ngati kugwa kuli kwakukulu, kukula kumayembekezeredwa.

Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsireNgati pali kusintha kwamitengo, malonda aliwonse kumbali imeneyo amakhala ndi phindu. Koma sikokwanira kuti katswiri wamalonda azidalira njira yachiphamaso yotere. Kuti mutsimikizire, muyenera kudziwa bwino malo olowera. Tidapeza kuti chizolowezi ndi chiyani, ngati tigwiritsa ntchito mawu osavuta. Tsopano funso ndi momwe angagwiritsire ntchito? Chotsatira ndikumanga kusanthula kotsatira mu njira yanu. Kodi kuchita izo? Ndi bwino kuganizira mfundo zotsatirazi:

  1. Trend ndi bwenzi lanu lapamtima: zomwe zikuchitika ndi bwenzi lapamtima lamalonda. Malo olowera malonda ayenera kukhala mu uptrend.
  2. Ndikofunikira kugwiritsa ntchito malo olowera angapo potsata zomwe zikuchitika. Panthawi ina, gwiritsani ntchito gawo la ndalamazo, kwinakwake – gawo lina. Ndiko kuti, musathire ndalama zonse panthawi imodzi.
  3. Gwiritsani ntchito ma stop orders kuti mupewe kutaya. Ndikoyenera kuyika dongosolo loyimitsa kumbuyo kwa mzere wa kukula ndipo ziyenera kusinthidwa pamene mitengo ikusintha.
  4. Musaiwale kutuluka pamalonda pa nthawi yake. Izi zitha kukhala pofika pamlingo wokonzekera phindu. Kapena mukakonza kuyimitsidwa, izi zimachitika zokha.

Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Ndikofunika kumvetsera mfundo yomaliza. Akatswiri amachenjeza kuti sikutha kuyimitsa nthawi yomwe imalephera oyamba kumene. Chizoloŵezicho chimakonda kutha mwadzidzidzi, kapena kusintha vector yosuntha. Ndiye phindu likhoza kukhala lotayika.

Mitundu yamayendedwe pamalonda

Malinga ndi chiphunzitsocho, zomwe zikuchitika m’misika yonse zimagawidwa m’mitundu iyi:

  • Zochitika zapadziko lonse kuyambira zaka zapitazo . Amawonetsa mayendedwe ambiri amayendedwe.
  • Zochitika zapakatikati zimayesedwa kuyambira miyezi ingapo mpaka zaka zingapo.
  • Zochitika zazifupi zikuwonetsa kusintha kwa msika. Izi zikuphatikizanso mayendedwe ongoyerekeza ndi machitidwe opanda pake.

Mitundu itatu yonseyi imakhalapo nthawi imodzi m’misika yonse. Kwa amalonda, mfundo zochepa komanso zapamwamba zimakhala zofunikira. Uptrend:
Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsireKukwera padziko lonse lapansi kumatchedwanso “bullish”. M’kati mwazochitika izi, kusanthula kumapangidwa pakukula kwa misika yapadziko lonse, kuwonjezeka kapena kuchepa kwa ndalama, ndi zina zotero. downtrend
Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Magawo a mapangidwe

Kupanga chizolowezi kumachitika mu magawo atatu. Tiyeni tikambirane chilichonse mwa zimenezi.

  1. kudzikundikira gawo. Nthawi zambiri imatsogolera gawo lazachuma. Mphindiyi imaganiziridwa mu njira ya amalonda monga chiyambi cha kutsegula maudindo aatali. Amakhulupirira kuti mtengo wafika poti kugula katundu kungakhale kopindulitsa kwambiri. Gawo lodziunjikira limakonda kuyambitsa kukula kwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali.
  2. Khalidwe lalikulu . Chiwerengero cha osunga ndalama pa nthawiyi chikuwonjezeka. Kufika kwa “khamu” kukuyembekezeka. Izi zimachitika pang’onopang’ono. Panthawi imeneyi, kukula kwakukulu kwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali kumawonedwa. Pankhani ya nthawi, nthawiyi ndi yaitali kuposa gawo la kudzikundikira ndi gawo lotsatira.
  3. Gawo logawa . Panthawi imeneyi, kukula kwake kumakhala kochepa kapena kuima. Apa ndi pamene osunga ndalama ambiri amalingalira kuti phindu lawo liyenera kukwaniritsidwa. Amayamba kugulitsa katundu kwa iwo omwe akuphatikizidwabe mumayendedwe. Ma voliyumu ogulitsa amathetsedwa ndi ma voliyumu atsopano ogula. Pambuyo pake, mtengo wopindika umapita kuphwando kapena kutsika.

Takambirana za uptrend. A downtrend ndi pamene kuzungulira koperekedwa kumadutsa pansi pa mzere wapamwamba. Kusintha kwakukulu kwa kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka katundu ndi kusintha kuchokera ku gawo limodzi kupita ku lina, amalonda akuluakulu amagwira ntchito yofunika kwambiri. Wogulitsa m’modzi, ngakhale ali ndi mbiri yolimba, sangathe kukhudza kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe kake. Cholinga cha wochita malonda mu ndondomekoyi ndikuzindikira magawo mu nthawi kuti adziwe malo abwino olowera. Kumapeto kwa siteji, mwayi wolowera molakwika ukuwonjezeka. Pankhaniyi, m’malo mwa phindu, wogulitsa angalandire zotayika. Momwe mungagulitsire ma trendlines: https://youtu.be/JLXt4SzGcwQ

Makhalidwe Amakono

Mchitidwewu uli ndi zinthu zingapo. Itha kufotokozedwa mwachidule molingana ndi mikhalidwe iyi:

  • Kukhalapo kwa mayendedwe : downtrend ndi uptrend.
  • nthawi . Pali mitundu itatu: yaifupi, yapakati komanso yayitali.
  • Mphamvu . Zikuwonetsa kuchuluka kwa amalonda omwe akukhudzidwa. Amalonda ochulukirapo akuphatikizidwa muzochita, amakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi njira ndi vector yake. Komanso kuchuluka kwa ochita malonda kumakhudzanso kuchuluka kwa ogulitsa ndi ogula katundu. Mitengo ya katundu imakwera molingana ndi kuchuluka kwa amalonda omwe akukhudzidwa.

Komanso mu chiphunzitso cha Dow, mikhalidwe yayikulu yamtunduwu imawonetsedwa. Mkati mwa chiphunzitso ichi, zizindikiro zotsatirazi zitha kusiyanitsa:

  • kachitidwe kakukula kamakonda kupitilira pa vector, zomwe zingapangitse kusinthika kwakukulu kapena kutha;
  • kulimba kwa kachitidweko, kumatenga nthawi yayitali;
  • kukula kapena kugwa kumatha kutha nthawi iliyonse;
  • ngati m’mbuyomu, pansi pazifukwa zina, vekitala yoyendayenda inamvera ndondomeko inayake, izi sizikutanthauza kuti kachiwiri lamuloli lidzagwira ntchito pansi pa zikhalidwe zomwezo.

Makhalidwewa amatha kutsatiridwa bwino ndi zomwe zikuchitika pamsika wa cryptocurrency.

Magawo amphamvu

Magawo amphamvu akuyenda mozungulira. Pali mlingo wothandizira ndi mlingo wotsutsa. Ngati njira yokhotakhota ili pamwamba pa mayendedwe, ndiye kuti imakana. Ngati ili pansi pa mzere, ndiye kuti iyi ndi malo othandizira. Malo olowera malonda ali pakati pa magulu awa.
Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Momwe mungalowe ndikutuluka mu malonda amtundu wamtundu?

Kwa amalonda, lamulo la milingo likugwiritsidwa ntchito pano: ngati curve ili pamlingo wotsutsa, muyenera kugulitsa katundu, ngati ndi wotsika, ndiye mugule. Komanso, kulowa bwino pakugulitsako kumatengedwa ngati nthawi yodutsa magawo osuntha. Komabe, musafulumire. Amalonda odziwa bwino amadziwa psychology ya oyamba kumene, kuti ndi zithunzi zoterezi, nthawi yomweyo amayamba kutsegula malonda. Muyenera kuyembekezera mpaka chiwerengero chokwanira cha maoda atsegulidwa. Izi zimatchedwa kutsimikizira.
Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Momwe mungapezere maudindo ndikuyimitsa mu malonda amtundu?

Imodzi mwa njira zosavuta komanso zopindulitsa kwambiri ndi malonda a mtengo. Kuchita kwamtengo ndi njira yomwe wogulitsa amangoganizira chabe tchati, osalabadira zizindikiro. Kusanthula kwamakono mkati mwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali kumachitika ndi mlingo wa chithandizo, kukana ndi makandulo. Komanso, monga gawo la mtengo wamtengo wapatali, mutha kuyendetsa bwino zoopsa zanu. Kusiya kutaya kungathandize ndi izi. Kusiya kutaya ndi chizindikiro chomwe chimayikidwa pasadakhale. Izi ndizofunikira kuti mutsimikizire wogulitsa kutayika kwakukulu panthawi ya downtrend chart. Pali njira zosiyana zosiya kutaya. Akatswiri amalimbikitsa kuyimitsa zotayika kumbuyo kwa zopinga zina panjira. Kodi zotchinga zake ndi zotani? Mwachitsanzo, awa:

  • milingo yothandizira ndi kukana;
  • zizindikiro zamaganizo;
  • zokwera ndi zotsika za zoyikapo nyali zatsopano.

Kuyika kuyimitsidwa kumbuyo kwa chotchinga kumalungamitsidwa ndi mfundo yakuti mtengo nthawi zambiri umayesa mlingo wofikira. Kusweka kumachitika munjira iyi pamene kuyimitsidwa kugundidwa ndi mtengo, kenako kumapita njira “yolondola”. Pochita malonda, kuyimitsidwa kumakhala kosavuta: tikulimbikitsidwa kuti tiyike m’malo atatu: kuseri kwa mzere wosuntha, kumbuyo kwa mzere wam’mbuyo, ndi kunja kwa mizere yosinthika.

Lingaliro la zotsutsana, chidziwitso cha amalonda motsutsana ndi zomwe zikuchitika

A counter-trend ndi kayendetsedwe ka mtengo kwakanthawi kotsutsana ndi komwe kuli pano. Kwa wochita malonda, mfundoyi ndi yokongola chifukwa imapangitsa kuti zitheke kulowa mumsika ndi chiwopsezo chochepa cha phindu. Komabe, kupeza malo abwino kwambiri pa countertrend si ntchito yophweka. Pali kuthekera kwakukulu kokhetsa gawolo. Choncho, njirayi ndi yoyenera kwa amalonda odziwa bwino ntchito. Popanga zisankho mkati mwa dongosolo la counter-trend, amatsogozedwa ndi magawo awa:

  • dziwani njira yoyenera ya zomwe zikuchitika;
  • zindikirani nsonga zosinthira mitengo;
  • pezani chizindikiro chodalirika cha malonda.

The countertrend imachokera pamalingaliro osavuta azomwe zikuchitika. Ngati osunga ndalama onse akunena kuti mtengo wa izi kapena katunduyo udzakula, ndiye kuti ambiri agula kale zinthuzi ndipo akuyembekezera kukula. Popeza aliyense wagula, ndiye kuti mchitidwewu uli pafupi ndi kusinthika. Ngati aliyense akunena kuti izi kapena chidacho chidzagwa, ndiye kuti ambiri agulitsa katundu wawo ndipo, mwinamwake, kusintha kwa kayendetsedwe kake kuli pafupi ndi kusintha kwa kukula.
Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Momwe mungadziwire ndikugwira zomwe zikuchitika mumalonda?

Njira yotsimikizika yopezera zomwe zikuchitika komanso zomwe zikuchitika ndikugwiritsa ntchito chiŵerengero chosuntha pakusanthula kwanu. Njira yabwino ndiyo kudziwa nthawi yoyenera ndikugulitsa mkati mwake. Ma chart a nthawi zina ayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito pambuyo posanthula mosamala.

Zolakwika zamalonda zamayendedwe

Nthawi zambiri, amalonda amatha kunyalanyaza upangiri wokhudza malo olowera chakumbuyo komanso potuluka. Kulakwitsa kwina kofala ndikulowa gawo lotsutsa popanda kutsimikizira mtengo.

Kulowa mochedwa

Mukalowa mochedwa, ndizothandiza kutsatira mfundo ya “kuyika kuyimitsa kuyiwala ndikuyiwala.” Apo ayi, wogulitsa ayenera kukonzekera zotsatirazi:

  • Wide stop loss range;
  • Chiwopsezo / mphotho ya mphotho imachepetsedwa kuchokera ku 1: 4 mpaka 1: 2;
  • Pali mwayi wofika pachimake chazomwe zikuchitika.

Zinthu izi zitha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuti mupindule.

Kugulitsa pamsika womwe ukukula

Nayi malamulo ake:

  • simungathe kutsegula malonda panthawi yomwe mtengo ukudutsa pamwamba;
  • kulowa kungapangidwe kokha pambuyo pa kuwongolera mtengo pambuyo pa kusweka kwapamwamba;
  • osadalira kwambiri malamulo omwe akuyembekezera.

Kodi chizolowezi chochita malonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungadziwire komanso momwe mungagulitsire

Kodi mungamvetse bwanji mbali ya kayendetsedwe kameneka?

Kuyenda kumawonetsa kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zimaperekedwa komanso kufunikira. Ngati ngodyayo ndi yotsetsereka, ndiye kuti pali ogulitsa ambiri pamsika woterewu kuposa ogula. Ngati ngodyayo ndi yophwanyika pang’ono, ndiye kuti izi zikuwonetsa ogula ambiri omwe ali okonzeka kuchitapo kanthu, koma ndondomekoyi sinayambe. Kutha kuwerenga zotsetsereka kumatsegula malo oti mupeze makhazikitsidwe opindulitsa. Kuti mupeze malo abwino olowera, ndikofunikira kuphatikiza ma angles amayendedwe ndi zizindikiro zamitengo. Mawuwa akufotokoza zochitika osati mu malonda, komanso mu sayansi yofunikira. Zomwe zikuchitika pazachuma ndi njira yosinthira zizindikiro. Palinso chizoloŵezi cha ziwerengero zomwe zimathandiza kuzindikira njira ya chitukuko cha zochitika zina za chikhalidwe cha anthu. Kutha kuwerenga zizindikirozi ndikuzindikira kumathandiza kupanga zisankho zoyenera pazinthu zina.

info
Rate author
Add a comment