Iziseko kunye neendlela zohlalutyo lobugcisa ekurhwebeni – uqeqesho lwabaqalayo

Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha ekurhwebeni – iziseko kunye neendlela, izikhokelo zohlalutyo lobugcisa, amanani kunye neepatheni ekuhlalutyeni ngeenkcazo kunye nemifanekiso.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha ekurhwebeni yindlela yokuqikelela (uqikelelo) esona siphumo sinokwenzeka, oko kukuthi ukuguquguquka kwexabiso elizayo, kusetyenziswa ixesha labo elidlulileyo nelizayo. Njengababikezeli bemozulu, izixhobo ezisetyenziselwa uhlalutyo lobugcisa kunye neziphumo zalo azikwazi ukunika i-100% ulwazi malunga nokuhamba kwexabiso elizayo. Abahlalutyi bezobuchwephesha babhenela ekusebenziseni izixhobo zokuhlalutya iimarike ukwenzela ukwazisa abarhwebi malunga neemeko ezinokwenzeka kakhulu kwi-stock exchange kwixesha elikufutshane nakwixesha elizayo. Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lusebenzisa inani elikhulu lezixhobo ezibonisa ipateni yexabiso ngexesha, kwaye iziphumo zophando zisekelwe kwizibalo zemathematika, izibalo kunye neenkcukacha zembali.

Uhlalutyo lobugcisa lusetyenziswa phi kwaye yintoni injongo yokusetyenziswa kwayo ekurhwebeni?

Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lufanelekile kwaye lusetyenziswe kwintsimi yokurhweba, apho izitokhwe, iimpahla ezahlukeneyo, iimpahla zezemali, iibhondi, iinketho kunye nezinye izixhobo zemali zifika ekusasazweni, ixabiso elibekwe ngokwemvelo ngexesha lokubonelela kunye nokufunwa. Kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, iipatheni zexabiso zidibanisa ixabiso lokuvula, ixabiso lokuvala, amanqaku aphezulu kunye aphantsi ngamakhandlela kwi-asethi ethile ngexesha elithile. Ikhefu lexesha linokuba yi-intraday (ukusuka kwi-1 iminithi ukuya kwiiyure ezininzi), okanye yonke imihla, ngeveki, njl. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/yaponskie-svechi-v-trajdinge.htm Ukuhlalutya iindlela zokurhweba ngesitokhwe kunye nemarike iyonke indlela yokuchonga imeko yangoku kwaye uqiniseke kwiingqikelelo zakho. malunga nophuhliso lwamaxabiso olongezelelweyo , usebenzisa izixhobo zegraphic. Ngoko ke, injongo ephambili yohlalutyo lobugcisa kukumisela umzuzu ofanelekileyo wokungena kwintengiso, emva kokubona isisombululo sale nto kwiitshathi ngokwazo.

Izikhokelo zohlalutyo lobugcisa bokurhweba

Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha kurhwebo luneendlela ezimbini eziphambili:

1. Inkcazo yeemeko eziqhelekileyo ezihambelana namanani athile okanye indibaniselwano yawo.
2. Ukusetyenziswa kwedatha yemizobo.

Amanani kunye neepatheni zohlalutyo lobugcisa ekurhwebeni ngomfanekiso: yintoni na kwaye yintoni intsingiselo yabo

Abaxhasi bokusetyenziswa
kwamanani kunye neepatheni kuhlalutyo lobugcisa baqinisekile ukuba ukuguquguquka, ukunyakaza kunye nokutshintsha kwiipateni zexabiso yinkqubo yendalo yemarike yezemali. Imifanekiso yeGraphic, okokuqala, ikuvumela ukuba ubone ngokubonakalayo ukuhamba kwamaxabiso – iindlela. Ukongeza, imigca yendlela eguqukayo (inkxaso kunye nokuchasana) inokubonwa kwiitshathi. Ezi zigaba ezingezantsi apho iphethini ayikwazi ukulahla okwangoku (inqanaba lenkxaso) okanye ngaphezu kwayo ayikwazi ukuphakama (inqanaba lokumelana). https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/figury-texnicheskogo-analiza-v-trajdinge.htm

Izalathisi: ziyintoni kwaye zisetyenziswa njani kuhlalutyo lomzobo?

Kwikhosi yesibini yohlalutyo lobugcisa, izinto ezikhethekileyo zegraphic zisetyenziswa – izalathisi. Esi sixhobo sinika uphawu oluthile oluqinisekisa ukufaneleka kokuthenga / ukuthengisa impahla. Ngokubonakalayo, izikhombisi zibukeka njengemifanekiso eqingqiweyo, ibalwe kwaye yenziwe njengongeziweyo kwimodyuli yexabiso. Zakhiwe ngokwexabiso eliphakathi kwamaxabiso okanye umkhwa wokutshintsha kwazo. Izalathisi zibekwe mhlawumbi ecaleni kwetshati ngemodyuli yexabiso, okanye kwifomathi yetshathi eguqukayo esebenzayo eyahlukileyo kwenye ithebhu. Kungakhathaliseki ukuba yintoni inketho yokubonisa, umsebenzi oyintloko wesi sixhobo kukuzinzisa, ukhethe ukuguquguquka okungahleliwe kwaye ubonise ngokucacileyo umkhwa wemodyuli yexabiso kwimarike okwangoku.

Isalathiso! Eyona nto ilula ukuyifunda kunye nokuseta kwaye, ngokweemvavanyo ezininzi, ezona zixhobo zithembekileyo zetshathi zihambisa imigca ephakathi, oko kukuthi, iitshathi ezibonisa ixabiso eliphakathi lemodyuli yexabiso kwixesha lokugqibela.

Umzekelo, umndilili oshukumayo weentsuku ezili-10 ngumfanekiso ofanisiweyo, indawo nganye ebonisa ixabiso eliphakathi Imodyuli yexabiso kwiintsuku ezili-10 ezidlulileyo. Ukususela kwisikimu sexabiso ngokwalo, olu lwakhiwo luhluke ngendlela ecacileyo kunye nesizathu esicacileyo.

Uhlalutyo lobuGcisa: Iziseko zabaqalayo

Kukho izibonelelo ezintathu eziphambili apho yonke ingundoqo yohlalutyo lobugcisa isekelwe:

1. Yonke into ibandakanyiwe kwixabiso . Kuyimfuneko ukuqonda kwaye uqaphele ukuba ixabiso elithile le-asethi eyimali livela kulo ngoku. Abalandeli bale ndlela yokuhlalutya ukurhweba ngokutshintshiselana bathi zonke iinguqulelo zamva nje, zonke iinguqu zamaqela kutshintshiselwano (abathengisi-abathengi), yonke imibutho elawula umsebenzi wamashishini emali kunye nokulindela kwabathathi-nxaxheba kwintengiso yokutshintshiselana – yonke into. inxalenye yexabiso langoku. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela oku kwaye kuphela emva koko ungene kwi-stock exchange.
2. Ukuhamba kwemodyuli yexabiso kuxhomekeke kwindlela yangoku . Imodyuli ayiguquki kwaye ayitshintshi kwi-whim, kodwa isekelwe kwizizathu ezithile. Okucacayo kukuba, ngokukhawuleza olu tshintsho luya kubanjwa ngumthathi-nxaxheba kwintengiso yokutshintshiselana. Bonke abathathi-nxaxheba bangabantu, ngoko ke, bajonge ukwenza isivumelwano esilungileyo. Ke, unikezelo lwenziwa, kwaye imfuno ilandela kuyo – eyona ndlela iphambili yentengiso. Le yindlela eyenziwa ngayo imikhwa.
3. Ukunyakaza kwexabiso, ngokwembali, ngamaxesha . Kunzima ukubonisa isizathu salokhu: mhlawumbi inqaku likwimeko yengqondo yokuziphatha komntu. Ukusuka apha, izenzo ezizenzekelayo zilandela: ukuba imeko kwimarike ayizinzile, ii-asethi zithengiswa, ukuba imeko izolile, zithengwa. Kukho nempembelelo echaseneyo – imodyuli yexabiso iyanda xa umqondiso unikezwa, ufundwa ngabo bonke abahwebi kunye nabatyali-mali, ukuthenga i-asethi.

Iziseko kunye neendlela zohlalutyo lobugcisa ekurhwebeni-uqeqesho lwabaqalayo kunye nabarhwebi abaphambili: https://youtu.be/uwxmyD-qQtU

Umdla Ukutshintsha rhoqo kunye nokuphuhliswa kweemarike akusayi kumangalisa nabani na, ngoko ukugcina umkhondo kunye nokuzama ukuhambisana nemikhwa emitsha yokutshintshiselana kunzima, kodwa akukho nto inomdla!

Ukongezelela, uhlalutyo lobugcisa lunokusetyenziswa ngokumalunga nasiphi na isixhobo sezemali. Kukho ii-asethi ezilungele ngakumbi ezinokucutshungulwa kwaye zilawulwe, kwaye zingaphantsi “kwezobuGcisa”, kodwa oku akuthethi ukuba abanakulandelwa.

Uhlalutyo lwemarike: indlela yobugcisa okanye esisiseko

Kukho iindlela ezininzi zokuhlalutya imarike ye-cryptocurrency, kwaye ukuba uyangxama ekukhetheni, sebenzisa zombini! Kuzo zombini iindlela, kukho izinto eziyimfuneko xa usebenza ngezixhobo zemali. Makhe sihlalutye indlela nganye ngokubanzi.

Iziseko zohlalutyo lobugcisa

Uhlalutyo lobugcisa oluqhelekileyo lusekwe kwezi ndidi zophando zilandelayo:

• uhlalutyo olusemgangathweni -chonga iinketho ezinokubakho zokutshintsha iimodyuli zexabiso kusetyenziswa indlela yokubonwayo – iipateni kunye nemigca ichazwe kumboniso womzobo wamaxabiso;
• uhlalutyo lwegraphical kusetyenziswa izikhombisi -ibonisa iinketho zokutshintsha imodyuli yexabiso usebenzisa izibalo zemathematika;
• ukufundwa kwemiqulu epheleleyo – inquma amathuba okutshintsha kwimodyuli yexabiso kwixesha elizayo ukusuka kwinqanaba leentengiselwano ezenziwe ngesixhobo semali esikhokelela ekutshintsheni kwexabiso;
• uhlalutyo lweemarike kusetyenziswa izibane zekhandlela – iqwalasela amathuba okuhamba kwexabiso ngokusekelwe kwindibaniselwano yezinto zekhandlela zaseJapan.

Ngoko ke yintoni udidi ngalunye lophando.

Uhlalutyo olusemgangathweni

Intsingiselo yendlela kukuba itshati yemigca yemodyuli yexabiso yenziwe, eqala iintsingiselo kwaye ibonisa izikhokelo apho ixabiso liya kutshintsha, kunye namanqanaba alo, ebonisa iindawo apho abathathi-nxaxheba kwintengiso yotshintshiselwano babandakanyeka kakhulu – le ndlela yokuziphatha ibonisa. iinketho ezinokwenzeka zokuqhubekeka, ukungaqiniseki okanye ukubuyisela umva imeko yangoku.
Ukusebenzisa imigca, umrhwebi okanye umtyalo-mali unokudibanisa ukucwangciswa kwamaxabiso aphezulu kunye namaxabiso amancinci, agxininise iipatheni zohlalutyo lobugcisa, apho, ngendawo yabo, ibonisa ukuphuhliswa okuqhubekayo kwendlela. Lawa manani abonisa utshintsho kwimodyuli yexabiso kwixesha elizayo elisondeleyo: ukuguqulwa, ukungaqiniseki kunye neepateni zokuqhubeka.

Phawula! Ngaphambi kokusebenzisa olu hlobo lohlalutyo, qiniseka ukuba unolwazi olwaneleyo. Kwaneempazamo ezincinci zinokukhokelela kwilahleko enkulu.

Iflegi kunye ne-pennant banoxanduva lokuqhubeka kwendlela. Zenziwe kumfanekiso womzobo ngolu hlobo lulandelayo: abarhwebi abakhulu okanye abatyali-mali bafuna ukuthenga isixhobo semali ngokwemiqathango evumayo, ukuba imodyuli yexabiso itshintsha indawo yayo ecaleni kwendlela ngaphandle kwemiqobo kwaye ihlala izinzile kwiinguqu zayo (ngokwembono yobugcisa. uhlalutyo lwexabiso, izinto zayo ezisisiseko nazo zithathelwa ingqalelo ). Ngaloo ndlela, kwitshathi, iipatheni ezinjalo ziboniswa ngokutsiba okubukhali okungalindelekanga kwixabiso (izibonda), izikhundla kamva (iipaneli) zifikelelwe, ngoko ke impembelelo inikezelwa echaza ububanzi bezi zinto zimbini.
Ipateni ephambili yokungaqiniseki
ngunxantathu. Yenziwa xa imarike iseka ukulingana phakathi kwabathengi nabathengisi, xa kungaziwa ukuba leliphi icala eliya kudlula kwaye ixabiso liya kuqhubela phambili. Kumboniso womzobo, unxantathu wenziwa ubuncinci kunye namaxabiso aphezulu, kunye ne-amplitude ephelayo yotshintsho, ebonisa ukuba elinye icala labathathi-nxaxheba lingaphantsi kwelinye.
Iindidi ezininzi zeepateni kunye nokudibanisa kwazo zijongene neepatheni zokubuyisela umva, eyona nto idume kakhulu yiNtloko kunye namagxa, i-Multiple Tops, kunye ne-Double / Triple Bottom. Inqaku eliphambili loluhlu lwale patheni kukuba lubonisa ngokucacileyo ukungakwazi kwecala elilawulayo ukuthatha iphethini yexabiso xa litshintshile macala. Umzobo, zibekwe ekupheleni kwendlela kwaye zenziwe ngokungahlaziywa kwamaxabiso aphezulu kunye notshintsho olulindelekileyo kwicala.

Uhlalutyo lwegraphical usebenzisa izalathisi

Udidi lwezalathisi lubandakanya iindlela zemathematika zokuchonga zombini iimodyuli zamaxabiso aphezulu ngokungafanelekanga (ukuthengwa kakhulu) kunye nexabiso eliphantsi ngokungafanelekanga (elithengisiweyo) ngokumalunga noluhlu lweentshukumo ezidlulileyo. Nayiphi na imeko inexesha lokukhula kunye nokuhla / ukuhla kuphuhliso. Ngoko ke, umntu unokuthenga isixhobo sezemali ngexabiso elifanelekileyo kwindlela yokunyuka kwaye emva koko uyithengise ngexabiso eliphezulu, okanye uthenge i-asethi ngexabiso elikhangayo kakhulu usebenzisa i-oscillators. I-oscillators esisiseko (izalathisi) yi-Index ye-Relative Strength Index.Zibonisa iimeko zexabiso ngaphakathi kweendlela ezibunjiweyo kunye nokutshintsha kwexabiso lemodyuli yexabiso, kokubili phezulu nangaphantsi.

Isalathiso! I-oscillators ehamba phambili kunye nezalathisi zihlala zixutywa kunye, ukufumana indibaniselwano esebenzayo yokucoca umsebenzi kwimarike yemasheya. Ngokwahlukileyo, i-oscillators isetyenziselwa ukhetho oluthile lwexabiso elikhangayo kakhulu.

Ukufundwa kwemiqulu epheleleyo

Uphononongo lomthamo wokurhweba kwiimarike kutshanje lufumene ukuthandwa. Uhlalutyo lwexabiso lokurhweba lunokwenziwa kwi-TA eqhelekileyo okanye kusetyenziswa iindlela ezintsha: uhlalutyo lweqela kunye nokufundwa kwemiqulu ethe tye.

Uhlalutyo lwemarike ngeekhandlela

Le ndlela yokuhlalutya yavela kumaXesha Aphakathi kwaye yaqulunqwa ngumrhwebi waseJapan uMunehisa Homma. Umgaqo wohlalutyo lwekhandlela kukuba ezinye izibikezelo zenziwa malunga nemodyuli yexabiso kusetyenziswa ukudibanisa kwamakhandlela aseJapan ngokumalunga nomnye. Olu khetho lukwabandakanya umsebenzi wezinto zomntu ngamnye zekhandlela ezibonisa intsingiselo ethile ngokuxhomekeke kwindawo yomzila okwangoku. Ingqiqo yohlalutyo lwamakhandlela lulele ekuxeleleni umthathi-nxaxheba wokurhweba ngokutshintshiselana kwamandla eevenkile xa amaxabiso okuvula kunye nokuvala alingana.

Uhlalutyo olusisiseko: yintoni undoqo wayo

I-niches yezemali kunye neyotshintshiselwano inepropati ye-spontaneity: kwanezona meko zingabalulekanga, utshintsho okanye iingxaki zikhokelela kwimeko engalinganiyo yemodyuli yexabiso – utshintsho lwezinga lokutshintshiselana, utshintsho lweengcaphuno. Iimeko ezinjalo zinokuba nombono wexesha elide (iingxaki zoqoqosho), okanye zinokuphela kwimizuzu embalwa – ixesha lokuguquguquka okunjalo lixhomekeke kumlinganiselo wesiganeko kunye nendlela echaphazela ngayo izibonelelo zemali. Uhlalutyo olusisiseko ekurhwebeni yindlela evumela abathengisi bempahla ukuba batshintshe ukuziphatha kwabo ngexesha lokuthengiselana. Uhlalutyo olusisiseko lufuna ukuhamba rhoqo kolwazi olutsha, kunye nesixa esaneleyo solwazi kunye ne-intuition yokwenyani ecacileyo yomthathi-nxaxheba kwintengiso yokutshintshiselana. Ngenxa yoku, kubalulekile ukuba unganeli nje ukukwazi ukufumana ngokukhawuleza kunye nokwenza ulwazi lweendaba,

Izixhobo ezisetyenziselwa uhlalutyo lobugcisa

Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lulungile kuba ekuphunyezweni kwalo umrhwebi unokusebenzisa naziphi na izixhobo ezifanelekileyo nezisebenzayo malunga nomsebenzi wakhe, kuba zininzi kakhulu. Nangona kunjalo, izixhobo zomgca zikhokelela kwishishini lokutshintshiselana ixesha elide. Izixhobo ze-TA zomgca zibandakanya isethi yemigca: imigca ethe nkqo, ethe tye kunye neyendlela.
Izinto ezithe nkqo zisisalathisi esihle kakhulu sokuqala kwexesha elitsha lokurhweba kunye nomqondiso wokupapashwa kwedatha yeendaba ezibalulekileyo. Izinto ezithe tye zenza ukuba kube lula ukudweba umjelo wexabiso kwi-trend (ukulungisa umgangatho wenkxaso kunye nokuchasana). Ukudibana kwala manyathelo kubonisa utshintsho kwindlela yangoku kwimarike yezemali. Iimpawu zomzila, nazo, zinika ithuba lokuvavanya iintsingiselo ezivelayo.

Inika umdla! Abanye abathathi-nxaxheba kurhwebo lotshintshiselwano bazoba amanqanaba kwi-engile – inqanaba eliphezulu le-engile, kokukhona umgangatho ufumana amandla. Ngoko ke, umgca ozotyiweyo kwi-engile ye-45 ° ithathwa njengesiqhelo esinamandla.

Indlela yokuqhuba uhlalutyo lobugcisa: imiyalelo yesinyathelo-nge-nyathelo yokuhlalutya utshintshiselwano kunye namashishini emarike yezemali

Ubuninzi bee-algorithms zokurhweba yinxalenye yolunye lwezi ndidi zilandelayo:

• urhwebo lwentsingiselo;
• urhwebo lokuqhekeka;
• ukurhweba ngendlela ezinzileyo;
• counter trend trend .

Ngaphambi kokuba uqalise, kubalulekile ukwenza isigqibo kudidi ialgorithm yakho eya kuwela kulo, njengoko injalo. sele ngokuthe ngqo iya kukhetha izixhobo ezithile. Makhe sijonge ngakumbi kwiindidi ezimbini zokuqala: zezona zidumileyo kwaye zifuna ulwazi oluthe ngqo.

Urhwebo oluqhelekileyo

Kweli shishini, ifomyula ephumelelayo yile: intsingiselo + indawo ebalulekileyo + isignali yokungena.

1. umkhwa . Apha kunenzuzo ngakumbi ukusebenzisa imigca ephakathi ehambayo.
2. Indawo ebalulekileyo yimigangatho ethe tye, imigca yentsingiselo okanye i-avareji ehambayo.
3. Uphawu lokungena . Njengomqondiso wokungena, ungasebenzisa nayiphi na indlela yokuhlalutya imarike echazwe ngasentla. Ngokomzekelo, kuya kuba luhlalutyo lwekhandlela.

Ukurhweba ngokuqhawuka

Ukuguquguquka kwimodyuli yexabiso ayihambelani, ayinayo ipateni ecacileyo. Amaxesha anokuguquguquka okuncinci kwamaxabiso athatyathelwa indawo ngamaxesha apho imodyuli yexabiso ixhuma phezulu naphantsi. Oku kubonisa ukuba ixesha elifanelekileyo lokuqhawula ixesha lokuguquguquka kwexabiso eliphantsi. Ipateni:

1. Simisela inqanaba lokuguquguquka kwexabiso: ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kwemodyuli yexabiso okanye ephantsi. Ngezi njongo, ungasebenzisa i-oscillator ye-ATR, ikuvumela ukuba unqume imeko yokutshintshiselana okwangoku. Ixesha lokuguquguquka okuphantsi libonisa ukuba imarike ilindele izinto ezintsha ngokukhawuleza.
2. Silindele umqondiso ukuba ungene.

Izinto eziluncedo kunye nokungonakali kuhlalutyo lobugcisa

Njengayo nayiphi na indlela esetyenziswa kwimarike yezemali, inkqubo ye-TA ineenzuzo zayo kunye nokungonakali. Amandla:

• I-TA ingasetyenziselwa ngokubhekiselele kuzo naziphi na izixhobo zemali kunye nakweyiphi na i-niches: ifanelekile zombini imali kunye nokutshintshiselana kwamasheya kumazwe ahlukeneyo ehlabathi;
• ukusetyenziswa kweetshathi kuvumela umrhwebi ukuba ahlalutye ngokwahlukileyo naliphi na ixesha – ukusuka kwimizuzu engama-60 ukuya kwikhulu;
• iindlela ezisetyenziselwa uhlalutyo lobugcisa zisekelwe kwizenzo ezenzekayo ngokutshintshiselana kwangempela;
• Lonke ulwazi olusetyenziswe kwi-TA luhlaziyiwe.

Amacala abuthathaka:

• ukuzithoba. Iimbono zabathathi-nxaxheba ababini abahlukeneyo kwintengiso yokutshintshiselana kwimeko ethile inokuhluka ngokupheleleyo, kwaye umthengisi we-novice unokubona ngokulula oko afuna ukukubona, kwaye kungekhona umfanekiso wangempela okwenzekayo ngoku kwiimarike;
• I-TA ithi ibonisa kuphela ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba isiganeko siya kwenzeka, kodwa ayiniki ziqinisekiso ezithile zokuba siya kwenzeka;
• uhlalutyo lobugcisa lusekelwe kwimisebenzi yeemathematika, ngoko ke kubaqalayo abangenalo ulwazi olwaneleyo kunye nezakhono, le ndlela yokuhlalutya imarike iya kubonakala inzima kwaye inzima;
• uhlalutyo lobugcisa lusekelwe kulwazi oluhlaziyiweyo kunye neendaba ezintsha, ngoko ke kubalulekile ukukwazi ukufumana ngokukhawuleza, ukucubungula iindaba kunye nokuzisebenzisa ngexesha lokubaluleka kwayo.

Nangona ukusilela kwayo, i-TA yenye yezixhobo ezithembekileyo ezivumela uhlalutyo olunzulu kunye nomgangatho ophezulu.