Ukungazinzi kwimarike yemasheya – yintoni na, indlela yokuyisebenzisa ekurhwebeni

Yintoni eguquguqukayo kwimarike yemasheya, ukuguquguquka okuphantsi kunye nokuphezulu, ukubala kunye nohlalutyo. Ingcamango yokuguquguquka inokufumaneka rhoqo kubukhulu borhwebo. Kuba ithandwa kakhulu apho. Eli gama lihlala lithetha ukwenza utshintshiselwano oluyimpumelelo kunye noqikelelo olulungileyo lokuhamba kwezinto ezahlukeneyo. Kule nto sinokugqiba ukuba ukuguquguquka yinxalenye ebalulekileyo ekurhwebeni, ngaphandle kokuba kunokwenzeka ukuba ungayiqondi into abathathi-nxaxheba kuyo nayiphi na imarike bathetha ngayo.

I-Volatility kukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ee-asethi ezahlukeneyo kwimarike yotshintshiselwano. Ngokuxhomekeke kwindawo yayo, ingaba phezulu kwaye iphantsi, esi sikhundla sixhomekeke kwisithuba phakathi kwesithuba esiphezulu kunye nesincinci kwixabiso lezikhundla.

Izibonelelo zokuqonda ukuguquguquka kwemarike yemasheya zikhulu, ngakumbi kubarhwebi kunye nabatyali-mali bexesha elifutshane, njengoko amaxabiso kwiimarike ehlala ehla enyuka. Ukusuka oku kulandela ukuba ukuguquguquka kubonisa umrhwebi uluhlu lweenguqu kwixabiso le-asethi. Oko kukuthi, ukuphakama koluhlu lokuguquguquka, ukuphakama kokuguquguquka. Oku kusebenza kwakhona kwicala elichaseneyo, oko kukuthi, xa imarike iyancipha ngakumbi okanye iyancipha, i-volatility iyancipha ibe yincinci. I-Volatility ngokwayo ibalwa njengepesenti yexabiso le-asethi. Yintoni ukuguquguquka, ukurhweba kwabaqalayo: https://youtu.be/_jPvtBZ4WJI

Yintoni echaphazela ukuguquguquka

I-Volatility ichatshazelwa linani elikhulu ngokufanelekileyo lezinto zangaphandle nangaphakathi. Oku kubandakanya: imisitho eyahlukeneyo yehlabathi neyeshishini, imiba yoqoqosho olukhulu, iindaba zemarike yotyalo-mali, kunye neemvakalelo zabatyali-zimali. Ngokomzekelo, ukuba iqela labatyali-mali abakhulu naphakathi banako ukuthandabuza okuncinci malunga ne-asethi, baqala ukuzithengisa ngobuninzi, kwaye kuvela kule nto ukuba i-volatility ikhula. Ezona zinto ziqhelekileyo kwaye zibalulekileyo kunye neemeko zokuba kutheni ukuguquguquka kukhula kuya kuboniswa ngezantsi. Nazi ezinye zazo:

1. Iziganeko ezibalulekileyo zezoqoqosho, imarike nezopolitiko . Lo mba ubandakanya izithintelo ezahlukeneyo zelizwe elinye ngokuchasene nelinye, okanye uthintelo lwenkampani enkulu ngokuchasene nelinye.
2. UPhuhliso lwezoQoqosho nezopolitiko . Lo mba unempembelelo enkulu ekuguquguqukeni. Kwaye le nto inokwahlulwa ibe ngamaqela amabini amakhulu:
   1. Uqoqosho olukhulu . Eli qela limele lonke ulwazi malunga nezinga lokungasebenzi, i-GDP dynamics, isiseko senzala, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, iimeko zemali, njalo njalo.
   2. I- Geopolitics . Kwaye eli qela libandakanya ngokupheleleyo lonke ulwazi malunga nonyulo, malunga nabasebenzi bakarhulumente, malunga nezohlwayo, njalo njalo. Ngokusisiseko, ezi zezona ziganeko zibalulekileyo nezibaluleke kakhulu kwihlabathi ezichaphazela kakhulu i-stock and exchange market, kwaye zinokubangela ukuba ukuguquguquka.

3. Ingxelo yeNkampani . Kwakhona, ukuguquguquka kweemveliso zenkampani ethile kunokuchaphazeleka kwiingxelo zabo zemali, ukuphononongwa kwemveliso okanye ulwazi malunga nokuqaliswa kweemveliso ezintsha ezibalulekileyo, usuku lomtyalo-mali, njalo njalo. Esi sisizathu esithandwayo sokutshintsha ukuguquguquka, njengoko iinkampani zihlala zinohlobo oluthile lweziganeko kunye neemeko ezingalindelekanga.
4. Iindaba kunye neeNdaba ezahlukeneyo ezidumileyo . Esi sizathu sikwadume kakhulu, njengoko kuhlala kukho amahemuhemu amaninzi kumajelo eendaba anokuchaphazela ukwanda okanye ukuncipha kokungazinzi. Umzekelo: emva kokuba ulwazi luvele kwi-Intanethi ukuba iYandex yayithenga iBhanki yaseTinkoff. Ngokusekelwe kula mahemuhemu, ukuguquguquka kwezabelo zeYandex kunye neTinkoff ngokukhawuleza kwanda kwaye phantse kwafikelela kwindawo ephezulu.
5. Ukulawulwa kweemarike . Esi sizathu sisekelwe kwizenzo zamashishini amakhulu kunye nabenzi beemarike, abathi, kunye nezigqibo zabo, banempembelelo enkulu kwindawo yokuguquguquka kutshintshiselwano kunye neemarike zamasheya. Kodwa akufanele silibale ukuba kungekhona nje abantu abadumileyo abanamandla amakhulu kuluntu kunye noluvo lwabo banokuchaphazela ukuguquguquka, kodwa kunye nabasebenzisi abaqhelekileyo beintanethi zentlalo. Kodwa ngaphambi kokuba wenze ukuguqulwa okunjalo, akufanele silibale ukuba ezi zenzo zinokukhokelela kwimiphumo ethile engeyiyo emihle kakhulu. Nangona kunzima ukuzibonakalisa kubo, kungcono ukungabeka esichengeni isidima sakho.

Volatility Stocks 2022 – US Market: https://youtu.be/myyw5OngAHg

Imiba emihle kunye nembi yokuguquguquka

Wonke umtyali-mali ozihloniphayo kufuneka azazi izinto ezintle kunye neengozi zengcamango nganye kwimarike yemasheya. Yiyo loo nto, njengakuyo yonke ingcamango, ukuguquguquka kunamacala amahle kunye namabi kumtyali-mali.

Icala elihle

I-Volatility ineenzuzo ezininzi eziza kunceda abatyali-mali benze ukuthengiselana okunenzuzo kwimarike yemasheya. Nantsi enye yezona zibalulekileyo. Xa kukho i-drawdown kwi-market market, ukuguquguquka kunceda bonke abatyali-mali ukuba bathenge i-asethi enenzuzo kunye nenzuzo. Okwangoku xa ixabiso lesabelo senkampani enkulu liwela ngokuchanekileyo ngenxa yokuguquguquka, ngoko ngalo mzuzu abaphindaphindayo baye baphantsi kakhulu kwaye ngeli xesha izabelo kunye nezibambiso zingathengwa ngexabiso elikhangayo, kunye nezaphulelo ezinkulu.

Icala elibi

Kodwa ukuguquguquka kunezinye izinto ezingeloncedo kunye nezingeloncedo kumtyali-mali. Kodwa ezi ntsilelo zichaphazela kuphela abatyali-mali be-novice aboyika ukuguquguquka ngokwayo. Nazi ezinye zezo bubi:

1. Ikakhulu kungenxa yoloyiko lokuguquguquka okuba abatyali-mali benze izigqibo ezibubudenge nezingekho ngqiqweni ezichaphazela umvuzo wabo wemali. Umzekelo: ngamanye amaxesha bathengisa izibambiso zabo kunye nezabelo nje xa amaxabiso ehlile kakhulu, kodwa sele sele eqala ukunyuka. Kungenxa yale nto kuyimfuneko ukubeka iliso ngokucokisekileyo ukunyakaza kokuguquguquka kunye nokukhumbula ukunyakaza kwayo okuphambili.
2. Ngenxa yokunyakaza okuguquguqukayo, ixabiso elipheleleyo lepotfoliyo linokuncipha ngokucacileyo. Le ngxaki ixhaphake kakhulu kubatyali-mali. Ngapha koko, de zonke ii-asethi zithengisiwe, ziya kuthathwa njengelahleko kuphela. Kubatyali-mali, lo ngumthwalo onzima ngokweemvakalelo, ke oku kufuneka kujongwe ngononophelo, kungenjalo akunakukhokelela kwiziphumo ezilungileyo kakhulu.

Volatility cryptocurrencies – 6 best altcoins to trade in 2022: https://youtu.be/8jXTYihwi3M Volatility Index Volatility Index (VIX), isalathisi soloyiko kwi-intanethi https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj2-KX11o31AhUz7rsIHb2oAuMQ3ecFegQICBAc

Indlela yokusebenzisa ukuguquguquka kwimarike yemasheya

I-Volatility idlala indima enkulu kwimarike yezemali, yiyo loo nto xa uphuhlisa amaqhinga akhethekileyo, unokugxila kuyo. Ngokwenene, abatyali-mali abanamava, ukwenzela ukunciphisa umngcipheko, bangene kwimarike yezemali kuphela ngexesha lokuzola, baze balinde ukunyuka okucacileyo komsebenzi kunye nokuguquguquka, njengoko kukho uluhlu olukhulu lokuguquguquka kwexabiso. Okwangoku, eli qhinga lelona lichanekileyo kwaye linenzuzo phakathi kwazo zonke ezinye.
Kwakhona, akufanele silibale ukuba ukuguquguquka kunamazwe amaninzi, kwaye ugxininise kuwo, kufuneka ubale zonke izenzo zakho kwangaphambili ukuze ungalahlekelwa yimali yakho etyalo-mali. Nazi ezinye zezi zizwe:

1. Ukuguquguquka okuphantsi . Esi sibonakaliso sinokusixelela ukuba imarike ayixinanisi ngeeodolo kwaye ilungelelene, oko kukuthi, ngexesha elithile ixabiso akufanele litshintshe. Kodwa oku kuphela nje ukuba umthamo wokurhweba uhlala ufana. Okokuthi, ukuba nangaliphi na ixesha kukho utshintsho ngokukhawuleza kwinani labathengisi okanye abathengi kwiimarike, ngoko ngelo xesha ixabiso liya kufuneka linyuke kakhulu.
2. Ukuguquguquka okuphezulu . Ukuba umtyalo-mali ubona ukuba kukho ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kwimarike, ngoko oku kungabonisa ukuba akukho nto nje yokungena kwimarike ngoku, kuba akusayi kuphinda kukwazi ukuthenga nantoni na ngexabiso lentengo. Kwakhona kufuneka ukhumbule ukuba oku kuthathwa njengenyathelo eliyingozi kakhulu, ekubeni kulo mzekelo awukwazi ukufumana nto kuphela, kodwa kunye nokurhweba ngokubomvu.
3. Ukunciphisa ukuguquguquka . Ukuba i-volatility iyahla, ke oku kufana ngqo nokuguquguquka okuphantsi kunokuxelela umtyalo-mali ukuba ixabiso liya kukhula kuphela kwixesha elizayo kwaye eli lixesha elifanelekileyo lokungena kwi-stock kunye neemarike zokutshintshiselana ukukhangela iimpahla ezahlukeneyo kunye nezibambiso. .
4. Ukunyuka kokuguquguquka . Esi sikhundla sokuguquguquka sinokuxelela umtyali-mali ukuba eli lithuba elihle lokungena kwimarike kwaye wenze ukuthenga okunenzuzo kakhulu kuye, nangona kunjalo, njengoko ithuba lokuvula izikhundla landa, umngcipheko welahleko uyanda.

Ukubala ukuguquguquka

Kukho iintlobo ezimbini zokungazinzi kwimarike yemasheya:

1. Izalisekile okanye eyembali . Le ngcamango ibonisa ukutenxa kwexabiso ukusuka kwesona salathisi somndilili walo naliphi na ixesha lokuhlawula elisekiweyo ngaphambili. Kuya kufuneka wazi ukuba amaxesha amaninzi ukuguquguquka kulinganiswa njengepesenti.
2. Kulindelwe . Oku kuguquguquka kubonisa ukuguquguquka kwexabiso elizayo ukuba umthengisi ulindele kwikamva elikufutshane. Oko kukuthi, ithathwa njengexabiso eliqikelelwayo ngakumbi. Kwakhona kufuneka wazi ukuba kwiimeko ezininzi ukuguquguquka okulindelekileyo akuhambelani neyokwenene. Oku kungenxa yokuba akunakwenzeka ukuxela kwangaphambili ngokuchanekileyo ikamva ngalo lonke ixesha.

Ukuze ubale ukuguquguquka okunokwenzeka kwexesha elizayo, akuyomfuneko ukusebenzisa iifomula. Ngokwenene, abatyali-mali abanamava babala ngokweetafile esele zenziwe ngumntu ngaphambili, kwaye ulwazi luthathwa kuyo nayiphi na i-stock screener. https://marketchameleon.com/volReports/VolatilityRankings – indlela yokubeka amanqaku okubala ukuguquguquka:
Enye yeendlela ezidumileyo zokubala ngokuzimeleyo ukuguquguquka kukusebenzisa i-spreadsheets kwi-Excel. Oku kunokwenziwa kusetyenziswa umsebenzi wokutenxa umgangatho. Ukuze wenze zonke izibalo ngokuchanekileyo, kufuneka wenze ngokwenkqubo esekwe ngaphambili:

1. Ukuze uqale ukubala ukuguquguquka, kufuneka uvule inkqubo ye-Excel, efumaneka phantse kuzo zonke iikhompyutha.
2. Layisha yonke idatha ekhoyo kwiprogram, uze ufake ifomula efunekayo yokubala ukuguquguquka kunye nengeniso.
3. Fumana isiphumo esifunekayo kwi icon iyonke.

Umzekelo wokubala ukuguquguquka kwembali yeGazprom kwinkqubo ye-Excel ibonisiwe.