Kodi kusasunthika mumsika wamsika ndi chiyani, kusinthasintha kochepa komanso kwakukulu, kuwerengera ndi kusanthula. Lingaliro la kusakhazikika nthawi zambiri limapezeka mukukula kwa malonda. Chifukwa ndi otchuka kwambiri kumeneko. Mawuwa nthawi zambiri amatanthauza kupanga malonda opambana komanso kulosera kwabwino kwa kayendetsedwe kazinthu zosiyanasiyana. Kuchokera apa tikhoza kunena kuti kusakhazikika ndi gawo lofunika kwambiri pa malonda, popanda zomwe zingatheke kuti musamvetsetse zomwe omwe akutenga nawo mbali pa msika uliwonse akulankhula. [id id mawu = “attach_12266” align = “aligncenter” wide = “565”] Kusakhazikika kwakukulu
ndi kutsika[/ mawu]
Volatility ndi kusinthasintha kwamitengo yazinthu zosiyanasiyana pamsika wosinthira. Malingana ndi malo ake, akhoza kukhala apamwamba ndi otsika, malowa amadalira kusiyana pakati pa kusiyana kwakukulu ndi kochepa mu mtengo wa maudindo.
Ubwino womvetsetsa kusinthasintha kwa msika wamsika ndi waukulu, makamaka kwa amalonda ndi osunga ndalama kwakanthawi kochepa, popeza mitengo pamsika ikukwera nthawi zonse. Kuchokera pa izi zikutsatira kuti kusinthasintha kumawonetsa wogulitsa kusinthasintha kwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali. Ndiko kuti, kuchuluka kwa kusinthasintha kwapamwamba, kumakhala kokwera kwambiri. Izi zimagwiranso ntchito mosiyana, ndiko kuti, pamene msika umachepa kwambiri, ndiye kuti kusakhazikika kumatsika pang’ono. Kusasunthika kokha kumawerengedwa ngati peresenti ya mtengo wamtengo wapatali. Kodi kusakhazikika ndi chiyani, kugulitsa kwa oyamba kumene: https://youtu.be/_jPvtBZ4WJI
Zomwe zimakhudza kusakhazikika
Kusakhazikika kumakhudzidwa ndi kuchuluka kwakukulu kwa zinthu zakunja ndi zamkati. Izi zikuphatikiza: zochitika zosiyanasiyana zapadziko lonse lapansi komanso zamabizinesi, zinthu zazikulu zachuma, nkhani zamisika yazachuma, komanso malingaliro amalonda. Mwachitsanzo, ngati gulu la amalonda akuluakulu ndi apakati ali ndi kukayikira pang’ono za katundu, amayamba kuwagulitsa mochuluka, ndipo ndi izi kuti kusakhazikika kumakula. Zomwe zimachitika pafupipafupi komanso zofunika kwambiri komanso zifukwa zomwe kusakhazikika kukulirakulira kudzawonetsedwa pansipa. Nazi zina mwa izo:
- Zochitika zofunika zachuma, msika ndi ndale . Izi zikuphatikiza zoletsa zosiyanasiyana za dziko lina motsutsana ndi linzake, kapena zoletsa zamakampani akuluakulu motsutsana ndi anzawo.
- Zochitika Zachuma ndi Zandale . Izi zimakhudza kwambiri kusinthasintha. Komanso chinthu ichi chikhoza kugawidwa m’magulu awiri akuluakulu:
- Macroeconomics . Gululi likuyimira zonse zokhudzana ndi chiwerengero cha kusowa kwa ntchito, mphamvu za GDP, chiwongoladzanja choyambira, kukwera kwa inflation, ndalama, ndi zina zotero.
- Geopolitics . Ndipo gululi likuphatikizapo zonse zokhudza chisankho, za ogwira ntchito m’boma, za chilango, ndi zina zotero. kusakhazikika.
- Lipoti la kampani . Komanso, kusakhazikika kwa zinthu za kampani inayake kungakhudzidwe ndi mawu awo azachuma, kuwunika kwazinthu kapena chidziwitso chokhudza kukhazikitsidwa kwazinthu zatsopano zatsopano, tsiku la Investor, ndi zina zotero. Ichi ndi chifukwa chodziwika bwino chosinthira kusakhazikika, chifukwa makampani nthawi zambiri amakhala ndi zochitika zosayembekezereka komanso zochitika.
- Nkhani ndi Mphekesera Zosiyanasiyana Zotchuka . Chifukwa ichi ndi chodziwikanso kwambiri, chifukwa nthawi zonse pamakhala mphekesera zambiri m’ma TV zomwe zingakhudze kuwonjezeka kapena kuchepa kwa kusinthasintha. Mwachitsanzo: pambuyo pazidziwitso pa intaneti zomwe Yandex akugula Tinkoff Bank. Kutengera mphekesera izi, kusakhazikika kwa magawo a Yandex ndi Tinkoff nthawi yomweyo kudakula ndipo pafupifupi kufika pamlingo wake waukulu.
- Kusokoneza msika . Chifukwa ichi chimachokera ku zochita za amalonda akuluakulu ndi ogulitsa malonda, omwe, ndi zisankho zawo, amakhudza kwambiri malo osasunthika mu malonda ndi misika. Koma tisaiwalenso kuti si anthu otchuka okha omwe ali ndi mphamvu zazikulu pa anthu komanso maganizo awo omwe angakhudze kusasinthasintha, komanso ogwiritsa ntchito wamba ochezera a pa Intaneti. Koma musanachite izi, tisaiwale kuti izi zitha kubweretsa zotsatira zabwino. Ngakhale ndizovuta kutsimikizira, ndibwino kuti musaike mbiri yanu pachiswe.
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Tesla Stock Volatility[/caption] Volatility Stocks 2022 – US Market: https://youtu.be/myyw5OngAHg
Zabwino ndi zoyipa za kusakhazikika
Wogulitsa aliyense wodzilemekeza ayenera kudziwa zabwino ndi zoyipa za lingaliro lililonse pamsika wamasheya. Ichi ndichifukwa chake, monga mu lingaliro lililonse, kusasunthika kuli ndi mbali zabwino ndi zoyipa kwa wobwereketsa.
Mbali yabwino
Kusakhazikika kuli ndi zabwino zambiri zomwe zingathandize osunga ndalama kupanga zopindulitsa pamsika wamasheya. Pano pali chimodzi mwa zofunika kwambiri. Pakakhala kuchepa pamsika, kusakhazikika kumathandiza osunga ndalama onse kugula zinthu zopindulitsa komanso zopindulitsa. Panthawi yomwe mtengo wagawo wa kampani yayikulu ukugwa ndendende chifukwa cha kusakhazikika, ndiye panthawiyi ochulukitsa amakhala otsika kwambiri ndipo ndi nthawi ino yomwe magawo ndi zitetezo zitha kugulidwa pamtengo wokongola, ndikuchotsera kwakukulu.
Mbali yolakwika
Koma kusakhazikika kuli ndi zovuta zake zina ndi zovuta zake kwa Investor. Koma zophophonya izi zimakhudza okhawo omwe ali ndi novice omwe amawopa kusakhazikika komweko. Nawa ena mwa zoyipazo:
- Makamaka chifukwa choopa kusakhazikika komwe osunga ndalama amapanga zisankho zopusa komanso zopanda nzeru zomwe zimakhudza mapindu awo azachuma. Mwachitsanzo: nthawi zina amagulitsa zotetezedwa ndi magawo awo pomwe mitengo yatsika kwambiri, koma nthawi yomweyo imayamba kukwera. Ndicho chifukwa chake ndikofunikira kuyang’anitsitsa kayendetsedwe kakugwedezeka ndikuloweza mayendedwe ake akuluakulu.
- Chifukwa cha kusuntha kosasunthika, mtengo wonse wa mbiriyo ukhoza kuchepa momveka bwino. Vutoli ndilofala kwambiri kwa osunga ndalama. Kupatula apo, mpaka zinthu zonse zitagulitsidwa, zimangoonedwa ngati zotayika. Kwa osunga ndalama, izi ndizovuta kwambiri, kotero izi ziyenera kuyang’aniridwa mosamala, apo ayi sizingabweretse zotsatira zabwino.
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Kusasinthika kwa magawo a Sberbank[/ mawu] Kusakhazikika kwa cryptocurrencies – 6 ma altcoins abwino kwambiri kugulitsa mu 2022: https://youtu.be/8jXTYihwi3M Volatility Index Volatility Index (VIX), yemwe amadziwika kuti ndi mantha pa intaneti https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj2-KX11o31AhUz7rsIHb2oAuMQ3ecFegQICBAc
Momwe mungagwiritsire ntchito kusakhazikika pamsika wamasheya
Kusakhazikika kumatenga gawo lalikulu pamsika wazachuma, chifukwa chake mukapanga njira zapadera, mutha kuyang’ana kwambiri. Kwenikweni, odziwa ndalama odziwa bwino ndalama, kuti achepetse chiopsezo, amalowa mumsika wachuma pokhapokha panthawi yabata, ndiyeno kuyembekezera kuwonjezeka koonekeratu kwa ntchito ndi kusakhazikika, popeza pali kusiyana kwakukulu kwa mtengo. Pakalipano, njira iyi ndiyo yolondola komanso yopindulitsa kwambiri pakati pa ena onse.
Komanso, tisaiwale kuti kusakhazikika kuli ndi mayiko angapo, ndipo poyang’ana pa iwo, muyenera kuwerengera zochita zanu zonse pasadakhale kuti musataye ndalama zomwe mwagulitsa. Nazi zina mwa izi:
- Kusakhazikika kochepa . Chizindikirochi chingatiuze kuti msika suli wodzaza ndi malamulo ndipo ndi wokwanira, ndiye kuti, panthawi inayake mtengo sayenera kusintha. Koma izi ndi bola ngati kuchuluka kwa malonda kumakhalabe komweko. Izi ndizo, ngati nthawi iliyonse pali kusintha kwadzidzidzi kwa ogulitsa kapena ogula pamsika, ndiye panthawiyo mtengo uyenera kukwera mwamphamvu kwambiri.
- Kusakhazikika kwakukulu . Ngati wogulitsa akuwona kuti pali kusasinthasintha kwakukulu pamsika, ndiye kuti izi zikhoza kusonyeza kuti palibe chifukwa cholowa mumsika tsopano, chifukwa sikudzakhalanso kotheka kugula chilichonse pamtengo wamtengo wapatali. Muyeneranso kukumbukira kuti izi zimaonedwanso ngati kusuntha koopsa kwambiri, chifukwa pamenepa simungapeze kanthu kokha, komanso kugulitsa zofiira.
- Kuchepetsa kusinthasintha . Ngati kusasunthika kumatsika, ndiye kuti izi ndi zofanana ndendende ndi kusinthasintha kochepa komwe kungauze wogulitsa ndalama kuti mtengowo udzangokulirakulira posachedwa komanso kuti iyi ndi nthawi yabwino kwambiri yolowera m’misika ndikusinthana kuti mufufuze katundu ndi zotetezedwa zosiyanasiyana. .
- Kukwera kosakhazikika . Udindo uwu wa kusakhazikika ukhoza kuwuza Investor kuti uwu ndi mwayi waukulu wopita kumsika ndikugula zinthu zomwe zimakhala zopindulitsa kwa iye, komabe, ngati mwayi wotsegula maudindo ukuwonjezeka, chiopsezo cha imfa chikuwonjezeka.
Volatility kuwerengera
Pali mitundu iwiri ya kusakhazikika pamsika wamasheya:
- Zodziwika kapena mbiri yakale . Lingaliro ili likuwonetsa kupatuka kwa mtengo kuchokera pachiwonetsero chapakati pa nthawi iliyonse yolipirira yomwe idakhazikitsidwa kale. Muyeneranso kudziwa kuti nthawi zambiri kusakhazikika kumayesedwa ngati peresenti.
- Zoyembekezeredwa . Kusasunthika kumeneku kumayimira kusinthasintha kwamitengo yamtsogolo komwe wogulitsa akuyembekezera posachedwa. Ndiko kuti, imatengedwa ngati mtengo wolosera kwambiri. Muyeneranso kudziwa kuti nthawi zambiri zomwe zimayembekezeredwa sizikugwirizana ndi zenizeni. Zili choncho chifukwa n’zosatheka kulosera zam’tsogolo molondola nthawi zonse.
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Kusasinthika m’magawo osiyanasiyana[/mawu] Kuti muwerenge kusinthasintha komwe kungachitike m’tsogolo, sikofunikira kugwiritsa ntchito ma formula. Kwenikweni, osunga ndalama odziwa zambiri amawerengera molingana ndi matebulo omwe adapangidwa kale ndi wina kale, ndipo chidziwitsocho chimatengedwa kuchokera kuzinthu zilizonse zowonera. https://marketchameleon.com/volReports/VolatilityRankings – njira yowerengera yowerengera kusakhazikika:
Imodzi mwa njira zodziwika bwino zowerengera kusakhazikika ndikugwiritsa ntchito maspredishiti mu Excel. Izi zitha kuchitika pogwiritsa ntchito njira yopatuka. Kuti muwerenge zonse molondola, muyenera kuchita motsatira ndondomeko yomwe idakhazikitsidwa kale:
- Kuti muyambe kuwerengera kusakhazikika, muyenera kutsegula pulogalamu ya Excel, yomwe ili pafupifupi makompyuta onse.
- Kwezani zonse zomwe zilipo ku pulogalamuyi, kenako ikani chilinganizo chomwe mukufuna kuti muwerengere kusinthasintha komanso ndalama.
- Pezani zotsatira zomwe mukufuna pachithunzi chonse.
Chitsanzo chowerengera kusakhazikika kwa mbiri ya Gazprom mu pulogalamu ya Excel chikuwonetsedwa.