Ukuguquguquka emakethe yamasheya – kuyini, ukuthi ungayisebenzisa kanjani ekuhwebeni

Kuyini ukuntengantenga emakethe yamasheya, ukuguquguquka okuphansi nokuphezulu, ukubala nokuhlaziya. Umqondo wokuguquguquka ungavame ukutholakala ebukhulu bokuhweba. Ngoba idume kakhulu lapho. Leli gama ngokuvamile lisho ukwenza imisebenzi eyimpumelelo kanye nesibikezelo esihle sokuhamba kwezimpahla ezihlukahlukene. Kulokhu singaphetha ngokuthi ukuguquguquka kuyingxenye ebaluleke kakhulu ekuhwebeni, ngaphandle kwalokho kungenzeka ukuthi ungaqondi ukuthi abahlanganyeli banoma iyiphi imakethe bakhuluma ngani. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_12266″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”565″] Ukuguquguquka
okuphezulu nokuphansi[/caption]

I-Volatility ukushintshashintsha kwezintengo zezimpahla ezihlukahlukene emakethe yokuhwebelana. Ngokuya ngesikhundla sayo, ingaba phezulu futhi iphansi, lesi sikhundla sincike egebeni phakathi kwegebe eliphakeme nelincane kunani lezikhundla.

Izinzuzo zokuqonda ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe zamasheya zinkulu, ikakhulukazi kubahwebi nabatshalizimali besikhathi esifushane, njengoba amanani emakethe ehla enyuka njalo. Kulokhu kulandela ukuthi ukuguquguquka kukhombisa umhwebi ububanzi bokuguquguquka kwenani lempahla. Okusho ukuthi, ukuphakama kwebanga lokuguquguquka, kukhuphuka ukuguquguquka. Lokhu futhi kusebenza ngokuphambene, okungukuthi, lapho imakethe iyancipha kancane kancane, khona-ke ukuguquguquka kwehla kuya okungenani. Ukuguquguquka ngokwako kubalwa njengephesenti lentengo yempahla. Kuyini ukuntengantenga, ukuhweba kwabaqalayo: https://youtu.be/_jPvtBZ4WJI

Yini ethinta isimo esishubile

I-Volatility ithintwa inani elikhulu kakhulu lezici zangaphandle nezangaphakathi. Lokhu kuhlanganisa: imicimbi ehlukahlukene yomhlaba kanye neyezinkampani, izici zomnotho omkhulu, izindaba zemakethe yokutshalwa kwezimali, kanye nomuzwa wabatshalizimali. Isibonelo, uma iqembu labatshalizimali abakhulu nabaphakathi linokungabaza okuncane mayelana nempahla, liqala ukuzithengisa ngobuningi, futhi kuvela kulokhu ukuthi ukuguquguquka kukhula. Izinto ezivame kakhulu nezibaluleke kakhulu kanye nezimo zokuthi kungani i-volatility ikhula izokwethulwa ngezansi. Nazi ezinye zazo:

1. Imicimbi ebalulekile yezomnotho, yemakethe nepolitiki . Lesi sici sihlanganisa ukuvinjelwa okuhlukahlukene kwezwe elilodwa kwelinye, noma ukuvinjelwa kwenkampani eyodwa enkulu kwelinye.
2. Intuthuko Yezomnotho Nezombangazwe . Lesi sici sinomthelela omkhulu ekuguquguqukeni. Futhi lesi sici singahlukaniswa ngamaqembu amabili amakhulu:
   1. I- Macroeconomics . Leli qembu limele lonke ulwazi mayelana nezinga lokungasebenzi, amandla e-GDP, amanani enzalo ayisisekelo, ukwehla kwamandla emali, izimo zezimali, nokunye.
   2. I- Geopolitics . Futhi leli qembu lihlanganisa ngokuphelele lonke ulwazi mayelana nokhetho, mayelana nezisebenzi zikahulumeni, mayelana unswinyo, njalonjalo. Ngokuyisisekelo, lezi izehlakalo ezibaluleke kakhulu nezibaluleke kakhulu emhlabeni ezithinta kakhulu imakethe yamasheya kanye nezokuhwebelana, futhi zingabangela ukuntengantenga.

3. Ukubika kwenkampani . Futhi, ukuguquguquka kwemikhiqizo yenkampani ethile kungathinteka yizitatimende zabo zezezimali, ukubuyekezwa kwemikhiqizo noma ulwazi mayelana nokwethulwa kwemikhiqizo emisha ebalulekile, usuku lomtshali-zimali, njalonjalo. Lesi futhi isizathu esidumile sokushintsha ukuguquguquka, njengoba izinkampani zivame ukuba nohlobo oluthile lwezehlakalo nezimo ezingalindelekile.
4. Izindaba kanye namahemuhemu ahlukahlukene adumile . Lesi sizathu sithandwa kakhulu, njengoba kuhlale kunamahemuhemu amaningi emithonjeni yezindaba angathinta ukwanda noma ukuncipha kokuguquguquka. Isibonelo: ngemuva kokuvela kolwazi ku-inthanethi ukuthi i-Yandex yayithenga i-Tinkoff Bank. Ngokusekelwe kulawa mahemuhemu, ukushintshashintsha kwamasheya e-Yandex no-Tinkoff kwanda ngokushesha futhi kwacishe kwafinyelela isikhundla esiphezulu.
5. Ukukhohlisa kwemakethe . Lesi sizathu sisekelwe ezenzweni zamabhizinisi amakhulu nabenzi bezimakethe, abathi, ngezinqumo zabo, babe nomthelela omkhulu esimweni sokuguquguquka ekuhwebeni nasekuthengiseni izimakethe. Kodwa akufanele futhi sikhohlwe ukuthi akubona kuphela abantu abathandwayo abanamandla amakhulu phezu komphakathi kanye nombono wabo bangathonya ukuguquguquka, kodwa futhi nabasebenzisi abavamile bezinkundla zokuxhumana. Kodwa ngaphambi kokuba wenze ukukhohlisa okunjalo, akufanele sikhohlwe ukuthi lezi zenzo zingaholela emiphumeleni ethile engemihle kakhulu. Nakuba kunzima ukuzifakazela, kungcono ukungafaki isithunzi sakho engozini.

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Tesla Stock Volatility[/caption] Volatility Stocks 2022 – US Market: https://youtu.be/myyw5OngAHg

Izici ezinhle nezingezinhle zokuguquguquka

Wonke umtshali-zimali ozihloniphayo kufanele aqaphele okuhle nokubi komqondo ngamunye emakethe yamasheya. Kungakho, njengakuwo wonke umqondo, ukuguquguquka kunezinhlangothi ezinhle nezingezinhle kumtshali-zimali.

Uhlangothi oluhle

I-Volatility inezinzuzo eziningi ezizosiza abatshalizimali benze ukuthengiselana okunenzuzo emakethe yamasheya. Nakhu okunye okubaluleke kakhulu. Uma kukhona ukwehla emakethe yamasheya, ukuguquguquka kusiza bonke abatshalizimali ukuthi bathenge impahla enenzuzo nenenzuzo. Okwamanje lapho inani lamasheya enkampani enkulu liwela ngokuqondile ngenxa yokuguquguquka, khona-ke kulo mzuzu abaphindaphindayo baba phansi kakhulu futhi kungalesi sikhathi lapho amasheya nezibambiso zingathengwa ngentengo ekhangayo, ngezaphulelo ezinkulu.

Uhlangothi olubi

Kodwa i-volatility inezimo zayo ezithile ezimbi kanye nobubi bomtshali-zimali. Kodwa lokhu kushiyeka kuthinta abatshalizimali abasha kuphela abesaba ukuguquguquka uqobo. Nazi ezinye zalezo zingozi:

1. Ikakhulukazi kungenxa yokwesaba ukuntengantenga lapho abatshalizimali benza izinqumo eziwubuphukuphuku nezingenangqondo ezithinta umholo wabo wezezimali. Isibonelo: ngezinye izikhathi bathengisa izibambiso zabo kanye namasheya lapho nje amanani ehle kakhulu, kodwa kakade ngesikhathi esifanayo aqala ukukhuphuka. Kungenxa yalokhu ukuthi kuyadingeka ukuqapha ngokucophelela ukunyakaza kokuguquguquka futhi ngekhanda ukunyakaza kwayo okuyinhloko.
2. Ngenxa yokunyakaza kokuguquguquka, inani eliphelele lephothifoliyo lingehla ngokusobala. Le nkinga ivame kakhulu kubatshalizimali. Phela kuze kuthengiswe yonke impahla izothathwa njengelahleko kuphela. Kubatshalizimali, lokhu kuwumthwalo osindayo ngokomzwelo, ngakho-ke lokhu kufanele kuqashelwe ngokucophelela, ngaphandle kwalokho kungase kungaholeli emiphumeleni emihle kakhulu.

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Ukuguquguquka kwamasheya e-Sberbank[/caption] I-Volatility cryptocurrencies – ama-altcoins angu-6 ahamba phambili okuhweba ngo-2022: https://youtu.be/8jXTYihwi3M Volatility Index Volatility Index (VIX), inkomba yokwesaba okuku-inthanethi https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj2-KX11o31AhUz7rsIHb2oAuMQ3ecFegQICBAc

Indlela yokusebenzisa i-volatility emakethe yamasheya

I-Volatility idlala indima enkulu emakethe yezezimali, yingakho lapho uthuthukisa amaqhinga akhethekile, ungagxila kukho. Ngokuyinhloko, abatshalizimali abanolwazi, ukuze banciphise ingozi, bangene emakethe yezezimali kuphela ngesikhathi sokuzola, bese belinda ukwanda okucacile komsebenzi kanye nokuguquguquka, njengoba kukhona uhla olukhulu lokuguquguquka kwentengo. Okwamanje, leli qhinga lilungile futhi linenzuzo phakathi kwazo zonke ezinye.
Futhi, akufanele sikhohlwe ukuthi ukuguquguquka kunezifunda eziningana, futhi ukugxila kuzo, udinga ukubala zonke izenzo zakho kusengaphambili ukuze ungalahlekelwa yizimali ozitshalile. Nazi ezinye zalezi zifundazwe:

1. Ukuguquguquka okuphansi . Le nkomba ingasitshela ukuthi imakethe ayigcwele ama-oda futhi ilinganisela, okungukuthi, ngesikhathi esithile intengo akufanele ishintshe. Kodwa lokhu kuphela inqobo nje uma umthamo wokuhweba uhlala ufana. Okungukuthi, uma nganoma yisiphi isikhathi kukhona ukuguqulwa okungazelelwe kwenani labathengisi noma abathengi emakethe, ngaleso sikhathi intengo kuzodingeka ikhuphuke kakhulu.
2. Ukuguquguquka okuphezulu . Uma umtshali-zimali ebona ukuthi kukhona ukuguquguquka okukhulu emakethe, khona-ke lokhu kungase kubonise ukuthi akukho phuzu lokungena emakethe manje, ngoba ngeke kusakwazi ukuthenga noma yini ngenani lentengo. Kudingeka futhi ukhumbule ukuthi lokhu kubhekwa njengento eyingozi kakhulu, ngoba kulokhu awukwazi ukuthola lutho kuphela, kodwa futhi uhweba ngokubomvu.
3. Ukunciphisa ukuguquguquka . Uma ukuntengantenga kwehla, khona-ke lokhu kufana ncamashi nokuguquguquka okuphansi kungatshela umtshali-zimali ukuthi intengo izokhula kuphela esikhathini esizayo esiseduze nokuthi lesi yisikhathi esihle kakhulu sokungena ezimakethe zamasheya kanye nokuhwebelana ukuze ufune izimpahla nezibambiso ezihlukahlukene. .
4. Ukunyuka kwe-volatility . Lesi sikhundla sokuguquguquka singatshela umtshali-zimali ukuthi leli yithuba elihle lokungena emakethe futhi uthenge okunenzuzo kakhulu kuye, noma kunjalo, njengoba ithuba lokuvula izikhundla landa, ingozi yokulahlekelwa nayo iyanda.

Ukubalwa kwe-Volatility

Kunezinhlobo ezimbili zokuntengantenga emakethe yamasheya:

1. Okuqinisekisiwe noma okungokomlando . Lo mqondo ubonisa ukuchezuka kwentengo kusukela kusibonisi esimaphakathi kakhulu sanoma yisiphi isikhathi sokukhokha esisungulwe ngaphambilini. Udinga futhi ukwazi ukuthi imvamisa ukuntengantenga kukalwa njengephesenti.
2. Okulindelekile . Lokhu kuguquguquka kumelela ukuguquguquka kwentengo okuzayo umthengisi akulindele esikhathini esizayo esiseduze. Okusho ukuthi, kubhekwa njengenani elibikezela kakhulu. Udinga futhi ukwazi ukuthi ezimweni eziningi ukuguquguquka okulindelekile akufani nokwangempela. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi akunakwenzeka ngaso sonke isikhathi ukubikezela ikusasa ngokunembile.

Ukuze kubalwe ukuguquguquka okungaba khona esikhathini esizayo, akudingekile ukusebenzisa amafomula. Ngokuyisisekelo, abatshalizimali abanolwazi babala ngokusho kwamatafula asevele enziwe othile ngaphambili, futhi ulwazi luthathwa kunoma yisiphi isihlungi sesitoko. https://marketchameleon.com/volReports/VolatilityRankings – indlela yokuthola amaphuzu yokubala ukuguquguquka:
Enye yezindlela ezidume kakhulu zokubala ukuguquguquka ngokuzimela ukusebenzisa amaspredishithi ku-Excel. Lokhu kungenziwa kusetshenziswa umsebenzi wokuchezuka ojwayelekile. Ukuze wenze zonke izibalo ngendlela efanele, kufanele wenze ngokuvumelana nohlelo olusungulwe ngaphambilini:

1. Ukuze uqale ukubala ukuguquguquka, udinga ukuvula uhlelo lwe-Excel, olutholakala cishe kuwo wonke amakhompyutha.
2. Layisha yonke idatha etholakalayo ohlelweni, bese ufaka ifomula oyifunayo yokubala ukuguquguquka kanye nemali engenayo.
3. Thola umphumela oyifunayo kusithonjana esiphelele.

Isibonelo sokubala ukuguquguquka komlando kwe-Gazprom ohlelweni lwe-Excel sivezwa.