Volatility in the stock market – what it is, how to use it in trading

Инвестиции

What is volatility in the stock market, low and high volatility, calculation and analysis. The concept of volatility can often be found in the vastness of trading. Because it is very popular there. This term most often means making successful transactions and a positive forecast for the movement of various assets. From this we can conclude that volatility is a rather important part in trading, without which it is possible to simply not understand what the participants of any market are talking about.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading
High and low volatility

Volatility is the fluctuation in the prices of various assets in the exchange market. Depending on its position, it can be high and low, this position depends on the gap between the maximum and minimum gap in the value of positions.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading The benefits of understanding stock market volatility are enormous, especially for traders and short-term investors, as prices in the market are constantly going up and down. From this it follows that volatility shows the trader the range of fluctuations in the price of an asset. That is, the higher the range of fluctuations, the higher the volatility. This also works in the opposite direction, that is, when the market more or less calms down, then the volatility drops to a minimum. The volatility itself is calculated as a percentage of the asset price. What is volatility, trading for beginners: https://youtu.be/_jPvtBZ4WJI

What affects volatility

Volatility is affected by a fairly large number of external and internal factors. This includes: various global and corporate events, macroeconomic factors, investment market news, as well as investor sentiment. For example, if a group of large and medium-sized investors has even the slightest doubt about assets, they begin to sell them en masse, and it is from this that volatility grows. The most frequent and important factors and cases why volatility is growing will be presented below. Here are some of them:

  1. Important economic, market and political events . This factor includes the various prohibitions of one country against another, or the prohibitions of one large company against another.
  2. Economic and Political Developments . This factor has the greatest impact on volatility. And also this factor can be divided into two large groups:
    1. Macroeconomics . This group represents all the information about the unemployment rate, GDP dynamics, base interest rates, inflation, monetary conditions, and so on.
    2. Geopolitics . And this group includes absolutely all the information about elections, about civil servants, about sanctions, and so on. Basically, these are the most significant and most important events in the world that greatly affect the stock and exchange market, and can also cause its volatility.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading

  1. Company reporting . Also, the volatility of the products of a particular company can be affected by their financial statements, product reviews or information about the introduction of significant new products, the day of the investor, and so on. This is also a fairly popular reason for changing volatility, as companies often have some kind of unforeseen events and situations.
  2. News and Various Popular Rumors . This reason is also quite popular, as there are always a lot of rumors in the media that can affect the increase or decrease in volatility. For example: after information appeared on the Internet that Yandex was buying out Tinkoff Bank. Based on these rumors, the volatility of the shares of Yandex and Tinkoff immediately increased and almost reached its maximum position.
  3. Market manipulation . This reason is based on the actions of large businessmen and market makers, who, with their decisions, have a major impact on the position of volatility in the exchange and stock markets. But we must also not forget that not only popular people who have great power over society and their opinion can influence volatility, but also ordinary users of social networks. But before you carry out such manipulations, we must not forget that these actions can lead to certain not very good consequences. Although it is difficult to prove them, it is better not to risk your reputation.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading
Tesla Stock Volatility
Volatility Stocks 2022 – US Market: https://youtu.be/myyw5OngAHg

Positive and negative aspects of volatility

Every self-respecting investor should be aware of the pros and cons of each of the concepts in the stock market. That is why, as in every concept, volatility has both positive and negative sides for the investor.

Positive side

Volatility has a lot of advantages that will help investors make profitable transactions in the stock market. Here is one of the most important. When there is a drawdown in the stock market, volatility helps all investors to buy profitable and profitable assets. At the moment when the share price of a large company falls precisely because of volatility, then at this moment the multipliers become quite low and it is at this time that shares and securities can be bought at an attractive price, with big discounts.

Negative side

But volatility has its own certain disadvantages and disadvantages for the investor. But these shortcomings affect only novice investors who are afraid of volatility itself. Here are some of those cons:

  1. It is mainly because of the fear of volatility that investors make rather stupid and unreasonable decisions that affect their financial earnings. For example: sometimes they sell their securities and shares just when prices have fallen significantly, but already at the same time they begin to rise. It is because of this that it is necessary to carefully monitor the movement of volatility and memorize its main movements.
  2. Due to the movement of volatility, the total value of the portfolio can clearly decrease. This problem is quite common for investors. After all, until all assets are sold, they will be considered only losses. For investors, this is a rather heavy emotional burden, so this must be carefully monitored, otherwise it may not lead to very good consequences.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading
Volatility of Sberbank shares
Volatility cryptocurrencies – 6 best altcoins to trade in 2022: https://youtu.be/8jXTYihwi3M Volatility Index Volatility Index (VIX), aka online fear index https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj2-KX11o31AhUz7rsIHb2oAuMQ3ecFegQICBAc
Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading

How to use volatility in the stock market

Volatility plays a rather large role in the financial market, which is why when developing special tactics, you can focus on it. Basically, experienced investors, in order to minimize risk, enter the financial market only during a period of calm, and then wait for a clear increase in activity and volatility, as there is a large range of price fluctuations. At the moment, this tactic is the most correct and profitable among all the others.
Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading Also, we must not forget that volatility has several states, and focusing on them, you need to calculate all your actions in advance so as not to lose your invested finances. Here are some of these states:

  1. Low volatility . This indicator can tell us that the market is not crowded with orders and it is quite balanced, that is, at a certain time the price should not change. But this is only as long as the trading volume remains the same. That is, if at any time there is a sudden change in the number of sellers or buyers in the market, then at that time the price will have to go up very strongly.
  2. High volatility . If an investor sees that there is high volatility in the market, then this may indicate that there is simply no point in entering the market now, since it will no longer be possible to buy anything at a bargain price. You also need to remember that this is also considered a very dangerous move, since in this case you can not only get nothing, but also trade in the red.
  3. Decreasing volatility . If the volatility goes down, then this is exactly the same as low volatility can tell the investor that the price will only grow in the near future and that this is the best time to enter the stock and exchange markets to search for various assets and securities .
  4. Rising volatility . This position of volatility can tell the investor that this is a great opportunity to enter the market and make purchases that are quite profitable for him, however, as the opportunity to open positions increases, the risk of loss also increases.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading

Volatility calculation

There are two types of volatility in the stock market:

  1. Realized or historical . This concept shows the deviation of the price from the most average indicator for any previously established billing period. You also need to know that most often volatility is measured as a percentage.
  2. Expected . This volatility represents the future price fluctuation that the trader expects in the near future. That is, it is considered a more predictive value. You also need to know that in most cases the expected volatility does not match the real one. This is because it is simply not possible to accurately predict the future all the time.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading
Volatility in different sectors
In order to calculate future possible volatility, it is not necessary to use formulas. Basically, experienced investors calculate it according to tables already created by someone earlier, and the information is taken from any stock screener. https://marketchameleon.com/volReports/VolatilityRankings – scoring method for calculating volatility:
Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading One of the most popular ways to independently calculate volatility is to use spreadsheets in Excel. This can be done using the standard deviation function. In order to make all the calculations correctly, you must act according to the previously established scheme:

  1. In order to start calculating volatility, you need to open the Excel program, which is located on almost all computers.
  2. Upload all available data to the program, and then insert the desired formula for calculating volatility and income.
  3. Get the desired result in the total icon.

Volatility in the stock market - what it is, how to use it in trading An example of calculating the historical volatility of Gazprom in the Excel program is presented.

info
Rate author
Add a comment