Iphethini yefulegi ekuhwebeni – ukuthi ibukeka kanjani eshadini nokuthi isho ukuthini

Izibalo nezinkomba zingabasizi abakhulu bomthengisi ekubikezeleni isiqondiso sokunyakaza kwamanani. Futhi uma izinkomba zivame ukufika sekwephuzile lapho kufundwa, khona-ke izibalo zisebenza ngokunembe kakhulu injongo yazo. I-athikili ihlinzeka ngokuhlaziywa okuningiliziwe kokuthi isibalo “sefulegi” siyini, imithetho yokwakheka kwaso nezinhlobonhlobo zokubonakaliswa kugrafu. Ukwengeza, umehluko omkhulu wezibalo ezihlobene, amasu amaningana okuhweba, nemithetho yokubalwa kwengozi kuchaziwe.

Umfanekiso “Ifulegi” – incazelo kanye nencazelo yephethini ekuhwebeni

Ifulegi ingenye yezakhi zokwakheka kokuqhubeka kwesiqondiso sethrendi. Izici eziyinhloko ezihlukanisayo zephethini yilezi:

1. Ukwakheka okulinganayo ngokuphelele phakathi kwemigqa yokusekela kanye nokumelana.
2. I-engeli yokuqondisa ngokumelene nethrendi.
3. Ukwakheka ngemva kokunyakaza komfutho.

Ifulegi isibalo sokuqongelela ivolumu. Yakheka ngemva kokugxuma okubukhali, okukhulu lapho kuqondiswa khona.

Incazelo yesibalo esibonakalayo

Ukunquma iphethini yefulegi eshadini kulula kakhulu. Into esemqoka ukukhetha kahle ukunyakaza ngaphambi kwesibalo, okulandelwa ukwehla:

1. Ukwakheka kuqala ngomfutho wentengo obukhali wentengo. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ikhandlela liqukethe umthamo omkhulu ochithwa kulokhu kunyakaza. Lena yindlela “isigxobo”, “isigxobo sefulegi” noma “isibambo” sefulegi esakheka ngayo.
2. Ngemuva kokusebenzisa ivolumu, intengo ihlangabezana nokuphikiswa kwabahlanganyeli bemakethe abahlukile futhi ihlehla, ifike ku-½ ubude bomfutho wangaphambilini. Lena yindlela ubuncane bentengo noma ubukhulu befulegi obakhiwa ngayo (kuya ngethrendi).
3. Bese intengo isuka ekusekelweni iye kokumelana nge-engeli, kuyilapho igcina uhla olunembile noluhambisanayo.

Ngemva kokwakheka okuningana kokwehla nokuphakama, intengo yephula ifulegi futhi iqhubeke nendlela yethrendi. Lokhu kwenzeka ngenxa yokuvela emakethe amanani amanani amasha futhi amakhulu ngokwanele.

Izakhi eziyinhloko zomfanekiso “ifulegi”

Umumo wefulegi uqukethe izici ezilandelayo:

1. “I-Shaft” – yakhiwe kusukela ekhandlela lokugcina lomfutho.
2. Ukubuyisela emuva kokuqala kwenziwa ngenxa yokuntuleka kwevolumu nokumelana nabahlanganyeli bemakethe abaphambene.
3. Ulayini wokusekela nokumelana – owenza isiteshi esilinganayo futhi ugcine intengo ikububanzi.
4. I-engeli yokuthambekela ngokumelene nethrendi . Ikuvumela ukuthi uchaze umumo njengefulegi.
5. Ububanzi ubude befulegi. Ngokuvamile ububanzi bephethini bakhiwa ukuphakama kwesigxobo futhi buyi- ½ noma 1/3 yalokhu kuphakama kwekhandlela lomfutho.

Futhi, ukuqubuka komfutho kuvame ukwakheka ngaphakathi kwephethini. Ziyithunzi elilodwa elidlula ukwesekwa nokumelana. Kukhona izithunzi ngenxa yokweqa kwentengo, ukuze kukhishwe ingxenye yababhidi kuma-stop orders.

Izinhlobo zezibalo zefulegi – i-bearish, i-bullish namanye amaphethini

Kunezinhlobo ezimbili eziyinhloko zephethini yefulegi:

1. Ifulegi lebhere – elakhiwe abathengisi abakwi-uptrend ngaphansi kwethonya labathengi.
2. I- Bullish – eyasungulwa ngabathengi ku-downtrend ngaphansi kwethonya labathengisi.

Umzabalazo onjalo phakathi kwabathengisi nabathengi, kulesi sibalo, uchazwa isifiso sabahlanganyeli bemakethe ukuthatha izikhundla ezinenzuzo kakhulu ngaphambi kokuba lo mkhuba uqhubeke. Ake sibone ukuthi lokhu kwenzeka kanjani ngokulandelayo.

Ifulegi le-Bullish ku-downtrend

Iphethini yefulegi ye-bullish, ku-downtrend, yenziwa ngezindleko zabathengi, kodwa ngaphansi kwethonya labathengisi. Isibalo sakhiwe kanje:

1. Kwi-downtrend, ivolumu yentengo enkulu iyajovwa noma okusele kwayo kuyasebenza. Lokhu kunomthelela ekwakhiweni kwekhandlela elikhulu lomfutho, elivame ukuphula intengo ebalulekile ephansi. Le yindlela “isigxobo” sefulegi esakhiwe ngayo.
2. Ngenxa yokusetshenziswa okugcwele kwevolumu, intengo ihlangabezana nokuphikiswa kwabathengi, ngokwakhiwa okuqhubekayo komkhawulo wokuqala wokudonsa emuva.
3. Ithonya elibuthakathaka labathengisi, kodwa phambi kwevolumu encane, ikuvumela ukuthi udale ukumelana futhi uqhubeke nokucindezela intengo phansi. Lokhu kwakha iphuzu lesibili lokusekela.
4. Iphuzu lesibili lokumelana lenzeka ngaphezu kwelokuqala. Lokhu kungenxa yesifiso sabathengisi sokweqisa izindleko futhi baqhubeke nokwehla kwentengo kusuka enanini elivuna kakhulu esikhathini samanje. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ivolumu enganele ayikuvumeli ukuphulwa kokusekelwa. Ngakho kunentengo entsha ephansi, ephakeme kunaleyo eyedlule. Abathengi bazama ukuthola indawo ezikhundleni eziphezulu.

Ukuhlukaniswa kokusekelwa nokuqhubeka kwe-downtrend kwenzeka okwamanje:

1. Ukulungisa ngenani eliphezulu lempahla endaweni yokumelana.
2. Isethi yevolumu enkulu kakhulu, ezovumela ukugqobhoza umugqa wosekelo.

Sonke lesi sikhathi, izithunzi zivela endaweni yokusekelwa nokumelana, edlula emazingeni amisiwe. Ukugxila kwezithunzi ezinjalo kuyanda endaweni yokusekela, okubonisa ukuqhuma okuseduze.

Bhebha ifulegi ngendlela ehamba phambili

Ku-uptrend, umbono wokubukeka kwefulegi uhlehliswa:

1. “I-pole” yesibalo kanye nephuzu lokuqala lokumelana lakhiwa ngokujova umthamo omkhulu ukuze kuvikelwe indawo yentengo ephakeme nebiza kakhulu.
2. Bese kuba nokuhlehliswa kwenani, ngenxa yethonya labathengisi. Abathengi abakwazi ukuqhubeka nomkhuba ngenxa yokuntuleka kwevolumu, futhi abathengisi badala ukumelana nokudonsela emuva ngevolumu yabo ephansi. Iphuzu lokuqala lokusekela liyakhiwa.
3. Ngemva kokulungisa iphuzu lokusekela, izinkunzi zicindezela intengo ngenani elincane levolumu, ngaleyo ndlela zigcina izikhundla zazo futhi zilungisa ukuphakama okusha, okuphansi kunangaphambili.
4. Amabhere akhulisa ukucindezela, kodwa ukuntuleka kwamandla nokumelana kwabathengi akubavumeli ukuba baphule izinga lokusekela. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, izinkunzi zithola inani eliphansi kakhulu lempahla ngesikhathi esithile.

Lokhu kwenzeka kuze kube yilapho izinkunzi zithola izindleko eziphansi kanye nevolumu edingekayo ukuze kuqhutshekwe nomkhuba. Umqondo oyinhloko ngemuva kokwakhiwa kwazo zombili izinhlobo zephethini ukuthi ababambiqhaza bemakethe bazama ukuqhubeka nethrendi kusukela ezikhundleni zamanani ezivumayo kakhulu. Leli qiniso liboniswa ububanzi obulinganayo phakathi kokusekelwa nokumelana.

Umehluko omkhulu phakathi kwefulegi namanye amaphethini ekuhwebeni

Izibalo ezihlukahlukene zisetshenziswa ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe bezimakethe. Kulokhu, kufanelekile ukucabangela ukuma kwabo kanye nokwakheka kwejometri. Kusukela kuzibalo ezinjengokuthi:
unxantathu , wedge kanye ne-pennant, ifulegi liyahluka ngokuyinhloko ku-symmetry yobubanzi. Imigqa yayo yokusekela kanye nokumelana ilingana ukusuka komunye nomunye, ayinciphisi ekuqondeni kokunyakaza kwentengo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_13949″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”214″]
Iphethini yonxantathu[/caption] Iphethini yonxantathu[/caption] Isimo sihluke kakhulu ngezimo: unxande, ishaneli kanye ne-vertex.

1. Unxande . Futhi iphethini yokuqhubeka kwethrendi. Iphethini ihlukile kufulegi kuphela ngoba yakheke ngokuvundlile ncamashi, ngaphandle komthambeka omelene nendawo yokunyakaza.
2. Isiteshi . Lapha ungathola ukufana okucishe kuphelele, ngaphandle kokuthi isiteshi asenziwanga ngenxa yemibono ebukhali. Ukwakheka kwalesi sibalo kwandulelwa ukunyakaza okuvilaphayo okubheke kuthrendi, kunokumelana okuthile okuvela kubahlanganyeli bemakethe abaphambene. Uma umthamo wokuhweba ususetshenziswe ngokuphelele, isiteshi sakha ukunyakaza okude phakathi kwebanga laso.
3. I- Vertex . Futhi kuyafana nesiteshi nefulegi. Umehluko wukuthi phezulu kwakhiwa ngokuqinile ngokuvundlile futhi kuyisithombe soshintsho ekuqondeni kokuthambekela.

Okubalulekile! Ukwakha isibalo singanemba kakhulu kuphela ngemuva kokuthi amaphuzu amabili okusekela nokumelana eselungiswe ngokuphelele. Kuphela ngale ndlela kungenzeka ukunquma ngokuqiniseka ukwakheka okunikeziwe, ububanzi bayo, i-angle yokuthambekela kanye nokuba khona kokususwa okulinganayo kokusekela nokumelana.

Ukusetshenziswa okungokoqobo kwephethini yefulegi ekuhwebeni

Okulandelayo, amasu ayinhloko angu-3 asekelwe kuphethini yefulegi azocatshangelwa. Amasu achazwe ngesibonelo sokwakheka kwe-bearish ku-uptrend.

Isu 1

Le ndlela yokuhweba izokuvumela ukuthi uthole iphuzu lentengo elisha ukuze uvule ukuhweba. Isu liphinde linikeze ithuba lokuthenga ivolumu eyengeziwe ngokuvula isikhundla ezingeni eliphansi:

1. Intengo ihlangabezane nokumelana nabathengisi ngemuva kokukhuphuka okubukhali. Bese kuba nokuhlehliswa kolunye uhlangothi. Ukuphakama nokuphansi kokuqala kwentengo kuyakhiwa.
2. Ukwakhiwa okwengeziwe kobubanzi kwenzeka ngenxa yamaphuzu amabili agxilile okusekela nokumelana. Isilinganiso esiphezulu sesibili sakhiwe eshadini, siphansi kunangaphambili kanye nesesibili esincane, esiphinde sacwila ngokuqhathaniswa nedlule.
3. Kudingeka ukusetha umugqa wokumelana ezindaweni eziphakeme, kanye nomugqa wokusekela ezindaweni eziphansi.
4. I-oda elilindile lokuthenga libekwe ezingeni eliphezulu lokuqala.
5. Phakathi nendawo, phakathi kokuphezulu nokuphansi kokuqala, ukulahlekelwa kokumisa kusethiwe.

I-logic yesu ukungena kwezohwebo ukuze uqhubeke ne-uptrend. Lesi simo se-oda elilindile siqukethe izinga eliphansi lobungozi futhi asidingi ukuqapha njalo ukunyakaza kwentengo. Uma, ngemva kokuthinta kwesithathu kwezinga lokumelana, intengo ayizange iphule isibalo, i-oda elilindile lingathuthelwa ezingeni lephuzu lesibili lokumelana, futhi ukulahlekelwa kokumisa kungasethwa phakathi nendawo yebanga lokuthinta lesibili. .

Isu 2

Le ndlela yokuhweba ikuvumela ukuthi ungene emakethe usuka endaweni yenani eliphansi kakhulu ebangeni lefulegi. Inzuzo yalelisu ukuthi lingengezwa ngamaleveli e-
Fibonacci .

1. Eshadini lentengo, lungisa ukuba khona kwephethini yefulegi bese uyigqamisa ngemigqa yokusekela nokumelana ngokuthinta okungu-4 (2 ukusuka ngenhla-2 ukusuka ngezansi).
2. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukusuka kokuphezulu kuya kokuphansi kokuqala, welula izinga le-Fibonacci.
3. Igridi izokwakhiwa, lapho amazinga: ukusuka ku-23 kuya ku-61 azokhombisa iphuzu lokwakheka lobuncane obulandelayo.
4. Ukungena emakethe kwenziwa kusuka ezingeni 23, stop-loss isethwe ebangeni 10 noma ngaphezulu amaphuzu.

Ngemuva kokuvula ukuhweba, kuyadingeka ukulawula ukwakheka kwezinga elilandelayo lokumelana. Uma kwakhiwa, kuyadingeka ukuthatha inzuzo ukuze uvule ukuthengiselana okulandelayo. Isu likuvumela ukuthi uhwebe ngaphakathi kwephethini futhi uthole indawo enenzuzo kakhulu yokubamba umsebenzi isikhathi eside uma kwenzeka ukwehla kokumelana.

Isu 3

Leli su liyafana nelokuqala, kodwa liyahluka ngokuthi isivumelwano senziwe mathupha, ngaphandle kwe-oda elilindile.

1. Kudingekile ukulinda ukwakheka kwe-bearish formation, ehlanganisa amaphuzu angu-2 wokusekela nokumelana.
2. Ukuhweba okuthengiwe kuvulwa lapho izinga lokumelana liphukile futhi kwakheka ikhandlela elisha eliqondiswe kulo mkhuba.
3. Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kusethwe ngemuva kwezinga eliphukile, ebangeni lamaphoyinti angaphezu kwangu-10.

Le nqubo ikuvumela ukuthi unciphise izingozi futhi uvule isikhundla ngokuqhekeka okusheshayo kokwakheka.

Izinzuzo nemibi

Ukusebenzisa ukwakheka kwefulegi ekuhlaziyeni lobuchwepheshe kunezinzuzo kanye nokubi. Phakathi kwezinzuzo zingabonakala:

1. Ukwakheka kubonisa ukuqhubeka kwenkambiso yamanje.
2. Ikuvumela ukuthi uthole iphoyinti elinembe kakhulu ukuze ufake indawo eyengeziwe.
3. Ikunikeza ithuba lokuhweba ngokuhlukaniswa, usebenzisa ama-oda alindile.

Isibalo sibuye sibe namaphutha.

1. Idinga ukubalwa okunembile kwesilungiselelo sokulahlekelwa kokumiswa.
2. Kungase kuthathe isikhathi eside ukwakha.

Naphezu kokushiyeka, ifulege linciphisa kakhulu izingozi zokuhweba, livumela umthengisi ukuthi ahlole isimo futhi anqume ukubaluleka kwabahlanganyeli bemakethe.

Amaphutha kanye nezingozi

Lapho uhweba ngaphakathi kwefulegi elakhiwe nangesikhathi sokuhlukaniswa, umhwebi kufanele acabangele:

1. Isivumelwano sisezingeni lokusekela (uptrend) lapho iphuzu lesithathu lilungisiwe. Ukuthinta kwesibili kosekelo, ku-uptrend, kuzobonisa kuphela ukwakheka kwesibalo sefulegi kanye nebanga elilinganayo.
2. Ukwakhiwa kwemigqa yomkhawulo kwenziwa kuphela yimizimba yamakhandlela. Izithunzi zibonisa kuphela amandla omfutho wabahlanganyeli bemakethe.
3. Ukumisa ukulahlekelwa kusethwe ngemuva kwamaleveli adlule nezithunzi ezinde. Ukuze uthole i-uptrend, lapho uvula ukuhweba kokuthenga kusukela ekuthinteni kwesithathu, ukulahlekelwa kokumisa kusethwe ngaphansi kwaleli phuzu, ebangeni lamaphoyinti angu-10 noma ngaphezulu.

Kukhona ubungozi obuningi ekuhwebeni kwalokhu kwakheka uma kwakhiwa ngesikhathi esiphezulu futhi kudayiswa ngesikhathi esiphansi. Isibonelo, ku-uptrend kanye nefulegi lebhere eshadini lehora, lokhu kwakheka kwakha i-downtrend ende phezu kohlaka lwesikhathi lwemizuzu emihlanu. Ukuhweba ngesikhathi esiyimizuzu emi-5, ukuya phansi, kuba yingozi kakhulu ngenxa yokuhlehla kungazelelwe (ukwehlukana kokumelana ku-H1). Iphethini yefulegi – umhlahlandlela ophelele wokuhweba ngephethini yefulegi: https://youtu.be/ER5tCzKbPrI

Umbono wochwepheshe

Inombolo yefulegi isetshenziswa kakhulu abadayisi ukwenza amadili ngendlela yokuqhubeka. Lokhu kwakheka kukuvumela ukuthi unciphise ubungozi futhi wenze isivumelwano esinembe kakhulu. Esinye isizathu sokuyisebenzisa yiqiniso lokuthi lapho izinga elibalulekile lakhiwe endaweni, ukwakheka kubonisa ukuphuka kwayo. Lokhu kusindisa ababambiqhaza bemakethe kusukela ekuthengeni ukuze kuguqulwe umkhuba. Ukwakhiwa kwefulegi kuyasiza ekuhlaziyeni kobuchwepheshe. Kwabaqalayo, kukuvumela ukuthi unqume ngokunembe kakhudlwana ukubaluleka namandla emakethe, ukhulise ulwazi lwabo kanye nezibalo zokuthengiselana okuphumelelayo. Lapho uhweba ebangeni lalesi sibalo, into eyinhloko ukulandela imithetho yokulawulwa kwezinhlekelele futhi ulinde indawo eqondile yezindawo zokuthinta.