Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni – ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini

Методы и инструменты анализа

Amanani kunye nezibonakaliso ngabancedisi abakhulu kumthengisi ekuqikeleleni ulwalathiso lokuhamba kwexabiso. Kwaye ukuba izikhombisi zidla ngokufika emva kwexesha xa kufundwa, amanani ke asebenza ngokuchanekileyo injongo yawo. Eli nqaku linika uhlalutyo olucacileyo malunga nokuba yintoni umfanekiso “weflegi”, imithetho yokwakheka kwayo kunye neentlobo zokubonakaliswa kwigrafu. Ukongezelela, iiyantlukwano eziphambili ezivela kumanani ahambelanayo, izicwangciso ezininzi zokurhweba, kunye nemithetho yokubala ingozi ichazwe.
Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini

Umzobo “Iflegi” – inkcazo kunye nentsingiselo yepateni ekurhwebeni

Iflegi yenye yezinto zokubunjwa kokuqhubeka kwesikhokelo somzila. Iimpawu eziphambili zokwahlula ipateni zezi:

  1. Ngokupheleleyo nokubunjwa phakathi kwenkxaso kunye nemigca yokumelana.
  2. I-engile yomkhomba-ndlela ngokuchasene nentsingiselo.
  3. Ukwakheka emva kweentshukumo zempembelelo.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini

Iflegi ngumfanekiso wokuqokelela umthamo. Yenziwa emva kokutsiba okubukhali, okukhulu kwicala lendlela.

Inkcazo yomfanekiso obonakalayo

Ukumisela ipateni yeflegi kwitshati kulula kakhulu. Into ephambili kukukhetha ngokuchanekileyo intshukumo eyandulela umzobo, kulandele ukucotha:

  1. Ukuqulunqwa kuqala ngempembelelo yexabiso elibukhali lexabiso. Ngexesha elifanayo, ikhandlela liqulethe umthamo omkhulu ochithwa kule ntshukumo. Le yindlela eyenziwa ngayo “ipali”, “i-flagpole” okanye “isiphatho” seflegi.
  2. Emva kokusebenzisa umthamo, ixabiso lidibana nokuchasana nabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike ezichaseneyo kunye nokubuyela umva, ukuya kuthi ga kwi-½ ukuphakama kwempembelelo yangaphambili. Yile ndlela ubuncinci bexabiso okanye ubuninzi beflegi owenziwe (kuxhomekeke kwindlela ohamba ngayo).
  3. Emva koko ixabiso lisuka kwinkxaso ukuya ekuchaseni kwi-angle, ngelixa ligcina uluhlu oluchanekileyo kunye noluhambelanayo.

Emva kweendlela ezininzi zokuhla kunye nokuphakama, ixabiso liyaphula iflegi kwaye liqhubeke nomkhombandlela. Oku kwenzeka ngenxa yembonakalo kwimarike yemithamo emitsha nenkulu ngokwaneleyo.

Izinto eziyinxalenye yomfanekiso “iflegi”

Imilo yeflegi iqulathe ezi zinto zilandelayo:

  1. “I-Shaft” – yenziwe kwikhandlela lokugqibela le-impulse.
  2. I-rollback yokuqala yenziwa ngenxa yokunqongophala komthamo kunye nokuchasana nabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike ezichaseneyo.
  3. Inkxaso kunye nomgca wokuchasana – owenza ishaneli elinganayo kwaye ugcine ixabiso kuluhlu.
  4. I-engile yokuthambekela ngokuchasene nentsingiselo . Ikuvumela ukuba uchaze imilo njengeflegi.
  5. Uluhlu bubude beflegi. Rhoqo uluhlu lwepateni lwenziwa kubude bepali kwaye yi- ½ okanye i-1/3 yalo mphakamo wekhandlela lempembelelo.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthiniKwakhona, ukugqabhuka kwempembelelo kaninzi kusenziwa ngaphakathi kwipatheni. Ziyizithunzi ezingatshatanga eziqhekeza inkxaso kunye nokuchasana. Kukho izithunzi ngenxa yokutsiba kwexabiso, ukwenzela ukuba kunkqonkqozwe inxalenye yabathengi kwii-odolo zokumisa.

Iintlobo zamanani eflegi – i-bearish, i-bullish kunye nezinye iipateni

Kukho iindidi ezimbini eziphambili zepateni yeflegi:

  1. Ibhere iflegi – yenziwe ngabathengisi kwi-uptrend phantsi kweempembelelo zabathengi.Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini
  2. I- Bullish – isekelwe ngabathengi kwi-downtrend phantsi kweempembelelo zabathengisi.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthiniUmzabalazo onjalo phakathi kwabathengisi kunye nabathengi, kulo mzobo, uchazwa ngumnqweno wabathathi-nxaxheba bemarike ukuthatha ezona zikhundla zinenzuzo kakhulu ngaphambi kokuba umkhwa uqhubeke. Makhe sibone ukuba kwenzeka njani oku ngokulandelayo.

Iflegi ye-Bullish kwi-downtrend

Iphethini yeflegi ye-bullish, kwi-downtrend, yenziwe ngeendleko zabathengi, kodwa phantsi kweempembelelo zabathengisi. Umfanekiso wenziwe ngolu hlobo lulandelayo:

  1. Kwi-downtrend, umthamo omkhulu wexabiso utofwa okanye intsalela ivuliwe. Oku kuncedisa ekubunjweni kwekhandlela elikhulu elikhawulezayo, elihlala liqhekeza ixabiso elibalulekileyo eliphantsi. Le yindlela “ipali” yeflegi eyenziwe ngayo.
  2. Ngenxa yokusetyenziswa ngokupheleleyo komthamo, ixabiso lidibana nokuchasana kwabathengi, kunye nokuqulunqwa okungaphezulu kwe-pullback yokuqala.
  3. Impembelelo ebuthakathaka yabathengisi, kodwa phambi komthamo omncinci, ikuvumela ukuba udale ukuchasana kwaye uqhubeke nokutyhala ixabiso phantsi. Oku kwenza inqaku lesibini lenkxaso.
  4. Inqaku lesibini lokuchasana lenzeka ngaphezu kweyokuqala. Oku kungenxa yomnqweno wabathengisi ukuba bagqithise iindleko kwaye baqhubeke ne-downtrend ukusuka kwelona xabiso lihle kakhulu kwixesha langoku. Ngexesha elifanayo, umthamo onganeleyo awuvumeli ukuphulwa kwenkxaso. Ngoko kukho ixabiso elitsha eliphantsi, eliphakamileyo kunelo langaphambili. Abathengi bazama ukufumana indawo kwizikhundla eziphezulu.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthiniUkuqhekeka kwenkxaso kunye nokuqhubeka kwe-downtrend kwenzeka ngoku:

  1. Ukulungiswa kwexabiso eliphezulu le-asethi kwindawo yokuchasa.
  2. Isethi yomthamo omkhulu, oya kuvumela ukuqhawula umgca wenkxaso.

Ngalo lonke eli xesha, izithunzi zivela kwindawo yenkxaso kunye nokuchasana, etyhutyha amanqanaba amiselweyo. Ukugxininiswa kwezithunzi ezinjalo kuyanda kwindawo yokuxhasa, ebonisa ukuqhambuka okusondeleyo.

Thatha iflegi kwi-uptrend

Kwi-uptrend, ingqiqo yenkangeleko yeflegi ibuyiselwa umva:

  1. “I-pole” yomfanekiso kunye nenqaku lokuqala lokuchasana lenziwa ngokujova umthamo ophezulu ukuze kukhuseleke indawo ephezulu kunye nexabiso elibi kakhulu.
  2. Emva koko kukho ukubuyisela ixabiso, ngenxa yempembelelo yabathengisi. Abathengi abanakuqhubeka nomkhwa ngenxa yokunqongophala kwevolumu, kwaye abathengisi benza ukuchasana kunye ne-pullback kunye nomthamo wabo ophantsi. Inqaku lokuqala lenkxaso lenziwe.
  3. Emva kokulungiswa kwendawo yokuxhasa, iinkunzi zeenkomo zityhala ixabiso ngexabiso elincinci lomthamo, ngaloo ndlela zigcina izikhundla zazo kunye nokulungisa i-high high, ephantsi kunangaphambili.
  4. Iibhere zandisa uxinzelelo, kodwa ukungabikho kwamandla kunye nokuchasana kwabathengi akubavumeli ukuba baphule kwinqanaba lenkxaso. Ngelo xesha, iinkunzi zeenkomo zifumana ixabiso eliphantsi le-asethi ngexesha elithile.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthiniOku kwenzeka de iinkunzi zeenkomo zifumana iindleko eziphantsi kunye nomthamo ofunekayo wokuqhubeka nomkhwa. Ingqiqo ephambili emva kokusekwa kwezi ntlobo zombini zepateni kukuba abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike bazama ukuqhubeka nentsingiselo ukusuka kwizikhundla eziphezulu zexabiso. Le nyaniso iboniswa ngoluhlu olulinganayo phakathi kwenkxaso kunye nokuchasana.

Umahluko ophambili phakathi kweflegi kunye nezinye iipateni kurhwebo

Amanani ahlukeneyo asetyenziswa kuhlalutyo lobugcisa kwiimarike. Kule meko, kuyafaneleka ukuqwalasela ukuqhelaniswa kwabo kunye nokwakheka kwejometri. Ukususela kumanani afana:
unxantathu , i-wedge kunye ne-pennant, iflegi ihluke ngokuyinhloko kwi-symmetry yoluhlu. Inkxaso yayo kunye nemigca yokuchasana iyalingana ukusuka komnye nomnye, ayinciphisi kwicala lokuhamba kwexabiso. Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini
Wedge Shape
Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini
Pennant shape
Imeko yahluke kakhulu ngeemilo: uxande, itshaneli kunye nevertex.
  1. Uxande . Kwakhona ipateni yokuqhubela phambili umkhwa. Ipatheni iyahluka kwiflegi kuphela ngokuba yenziwe ngokuthe tye ngokuthe tye, ngaphandle kwethambeka elichasene necala lentshukumo.Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini
  2. Umjelo . Apha unokufumana phantse ukufana okupheleleyo, ngaphandle kokuba itshaneli ayenzekanga ngenxa yeempembelelo ezibukhali. Ukuqulunqwa kwalo mzobo kulandelwa yintshukumo eyonqenayo kwicala lendlela, kunye nokuchasana nokuchasana nabathathi-nxaxheba bemarike. Xa umthamo wokurhweba uchithwa ngokupheleleyo, umjelo wenza ukunyakaza okude phakathi koluhlu lwayo.Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini
  3. I- Vertex . Kwakhona kufana netshaneli kunye neflegi. Umahluko kukuba umphezulu wenziwa ngokungqongqo ngokuthe tye kwaye ngumfanekiso wenguqu kwicala lendlela.Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini

Kubalulekile! Ukwakha umzobo kunokuchaneka kakhulu emva kokuba amanqaku amabini enkxaso kunye nokuchasana agxininiswe ngokupheleleyo. Kuphela ngale ndlela kunokwenzeka ukugqiba ngokuqinisekileyo ukubunjwa okunikiweyo, uluhlu lwayo, i-angle of inclination kunye nobukho bokususwa okulinganayo kwenkxaso kunye nokuchasana.

Ukusetyenziswa okusebenzayo kwepateni yeflegi kurhwebo

Okulandelayo, izicwangciso ezi-3 eziphambili ezisekelwe kumzekelo weflegi ziya kuqwalaselwa. Izicwangciso zichazwe kumzekelo wokubunjwa kwe-bearish kwi-uptrend.

Iqhinga loku-1

Le ndlela yokurhweba iya kukuvumela ukuba ufumane ixabiso elitsha lokuvula urhwebo. Isicwangciso sikwabonelela nethuba lokuthenga umthamo owongezelelweyo ngokuvula isikhundla kwinqanaba eliphantsi:

  1. Ixabiso lidibene nokuchasana nabathengisi emva kokunyuka okubukhali. Emva koko kukho ukubuyisela umva kwelinye icala. Ukuphakama kokuqala kunye nokuhla kwexabiso kwenziwa.
  2. Ukwakhiwa okuqhubekayo koluhlu lwenzeka ngenxa yeengongoma ezimbini ezizinzileyo zokuxhasa kunye nokuchasana. Ubuninzi besibini buqulunqwe kwitshathi, ephantsi kuneyangaphambili kunye neyesibini ubuncinci, nayo yatshona ngokubhekiselele kuleyo yangaphambili.
  3. Kufunwa ukuseta umgca wokuchasa kwiindawo eziphakamileyo, kunye nomgca wenkxaso kwiindawo eziphantsi.
  4. Umyalelo olindileyo wokuthenga ubekwe kwinqanaba eliphezulu lokuqala.
  5. Embindini, phakathi kweyokuqala ephezulu kunye nephantsi, ilahleko yokuyeka isetyenzisiwe.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthiniIngqiqo yesicwangciso kukungena kurhwebo ukuze uqhubeke ne-uptrend. Esi sikhundla somyalelo olindileyo uqulethe umgangatho ophantsi womngcipheko kwaye awufuni ukubeka iliso rhoqo ekuhambeni kwexabiso. Ukuba, emva kokuthintela okwesithathu kwinqanaba lokumelana, ixabiso alizange liphule umzobo, umyalelo olindileyo unokushenxiswa kwinqanaba lenqanaba lesibini lokuchasana, kwaye ukulahleka kokuyeka kunokusekwa kumbindi woluhlu lwesibini lokuthintela. .

Iqhinga 2

Le ndlela yokurhweba ikuvumela ukuba ungene kwimarike ukusuka kwelona xabiso liphantsi kuluhlu lweflegi. Inzuzo yesicwangciso kukuba
inokuxhaswa ngamanqanaba eFibonacci .

  1. Kwitshathi yexabiso, lungisa ubukho bepateni yeflegi kwaye uyigqamise ngenkxaso kunye nemigca yokuchasana ngokuthinta i-4 (2 ukusuka phezulu-2 ukusuka ngaphantsi).
  2. Ukuqhubela phambili, ukusuka kwindawo yokuqala ukuya kweyokuqala ephantsi, yolula inqanaba leFibonacci.
  3. Igridi iya kwenziwa, apho amanqanaba: ukusuka kwi-23 ukuya kwi-61 iya kubonisa indawo yokuqulunqa ubuncinci obulandelayo.
  4. Ukungena kwiimarike kuqhutyelwa kwinqanaba le-23, ukulahleka kokuyeka kubekwe kumgama we-10 okanye ngaphezulu.

Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthiniEmva kokuvula urhwebo, kuyimfuneko ukulawula ukubunjwa kwenqanaba lokuchasana elilandelayo. Ukuba yenziwe, kuyafuneka ukuba kuthathwe inzuzo ukuze uvule ukuthengiselana okulandelayo. Isicwangciso sikuvumela ukuba uhwebe ngaphakathi kwipatheni kwaye ufumane indawo enenzuzo kakhulu yokubamba ixesha elide lentengiselwano kwimeko yokuxhatshazwa kokuxhatshazwa.

Iqhinga 3

Esi sicwangciso siyafana nesokuqala, kodwa siyahluka ngokuba isivumelwano senziwe ngesandla, ngaphandle komyalelo olindileyo.

  1. Kuyimfuneko ukulinda ukubunjwa kwe-bearish formation, equlethwe ngamanqaku ama-2 okuxhasa kunye nokuchasana.
  2. Urhwebo lokuthenga luvulwa xa inqanaba lokumelana liphukile kwaye ikhandlela elitsha lenziwe kwicala lendlela.
  3. Ilahleko yokuyeka ibekwe emva kwinqanaba eliphukileyo, kumgama wamanqaku angaphezu kwama-10.

Ubuchwephesha bukuvumela ukuba unciphise umngcipheko kwaye uvule isikhundla ngokuqhekeka kwempembelelo ekhawulezileyo yokubunjwa.
Ipateni yeflegi ekurhwebeni - ikhangeleka njani kwitshathi kunye nokuba ithetha ukuthini

Izinto eziluncedo nezingeloncedo

Ukusebenzisa ukuqulunqwa kweflegi kuhlalutyo lobugcisa kunenzuzo kunye nokungalunganga. Phakathi kwezinto eziluncedo zinokuchongwa:

  1. Ukuqulunqwa kubonisa ukuqhubela phambili kwendlela yangoku.
  2. Ikuvumela ukuba ufumane eyona ndawo ichanekileyo yokufaka indawo eyongezelelweyo.
  3. Ikunika ithuba lokurhweba ngokuqhekeka, usebenzisa iiodolo ezilindileyo.

Umzobo nawo uneziphene.

  1. Ifuna ubalo oluchanekileyo lwesethingi yelahleko yokuyeka.
  2. Kusenokuthatha ixesha elide ukumila.

Nangona iintsilelo, iflegi iyanciphisa kakhulu imingcipheko yokurhweba, ivumela umrhwebi ukuba ahlole imeko kwaye anqume ukubaluleka kwabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike.

Iimpazamo kunye nobungozi

Xa uthengisa ngaphakathi kweflegi eyenziweyo kwaye ngexesha lokuqhekeka, umrhwebi kufuneka aqwalasele:

  1. Isivumelwano sikwinqanaba lenkxaso (uptrend) xa inqaku lesithathu lilungisiwe. Ukuchukumisa okwesibini kwenkxaso, kwi-uptrend, kuya kubonisa kuphela ukubunjwa kweflegi kunye noluhlu olulinganayo.
  2. Ukwakhiwa kwemida yokulinganisa kwenziwa kuphela yimizimba yamakhandlela. Izithunzi zibonisa kuphela amandla okukhawuleza abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike.
  3. Ukuyeka ukulahleka kumiselwe emva kwamanqanaba angaphambili kunye nezithunzi ezide. Kwi-uptrend, xa uvula ukurhweba kokuthenga ukusuka kwinqanaba lesithathu, ukulahleka kokuyeka kubekwe ngaphantsi kweli nqaku, kumgama we-10 okanye ngaphezulu.

Kukho umngcipheko omkhulu ekurhwebeni oku kwakheka ukuba kuqulunqwe kwixesha eliphezulu kwaye kuthengiswe kwixesha eliphantsi. Umzekelo, kwi-uptrend kunye nebhere iflegi kwitshathi yeyure, olu qulunqo lwenza i-downtrend ende kwixesha lemizuzu emihlanu. Ukurhweba kwi-5-minute ye-timeframe, ukuhla, kuba yingozi ngokusemandleni ngenxa yokuguqulwa ngokukhawuleza (ukuphazamiseka kokuchasana kwi-H1). Ipateni yeflegi-isikhokelo esipheleleyo sokurhweba ngepateni yeflegi: https://youtu.be/ER5tCzKbPriI

Uluvo lwengcali

Umzobo weflegi usetyenziswa ngokusebenzayo ngabarhwebi ukwenza izivumelwano kwicala lokuqhubeka. Olu qulunqo lukuvumela ukuba unciphise imingcipheko kwaye wenze eyona nto ichanekileyo. Esinye isizathu sokuyisebenzisa kukuba xa inqanaba elibalulekileyo lenziwe kwindawo, ukubunjwa kubonisa ukuphuka kwayo. Oku konga abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike kwiitransekshini zokutshintshwa kwendlela. Ukuqulunqwa kweflegi kuluncedo kuhlalutyo lobugcisa. Kwabaqalayo, kukuvumela ukuba uqikelele ngokuchanekileyo eyona nto iphambili kunye namandla kwimarike, ukwandisa amava abo kunye nezibalo zokuthengiselana okuyimpumelelo. Xa uthengisa kuluhlu lwalo mzobo, into ephambili kukulandela imigaqo yokulawula umngcipheko kwaye ulinde indawo echanekileyo yeendawo zokuchukumisa.

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