Ukusetyenziswa kwepateni yonxantathu kuhlalutyo lobugcisa kwintengiso

Ukusetyenziswa komzobo wenxantathu ekurhwebeni, indlela yokurhweba ipateni, zeziphi iintlobo zonxantathu kwiitshathi ezihlalutywa kuhlalutyo lobugcisa.Kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, kukho amanani alula kodwa asebenzayo asetyenziswa ngabaqalayo kunye neengcali. Enye yezi milo ngunxantathu. Ukuba umrhwebi ufumana ukuyeka ixesha emva kwexesha, kuyafaneleka ukuzama ukufumana unxantathu, i-95% iya kufumaneka. Emva koko, kuyacaca ukuba kwixesha lokusebenza, iflethi lurhwebo phakathi kokuchasana kunye nenkxaso. Ukubonakala konxantathu kubonisa ukungaqiniseki kwimarike. Umzobo unokuthetha zombini malunga nokuqhubeka kwentshukumo yolwalathiso kwicala elifanayo, kunye nokutshintsha kwendlela. Kuyacetyiswa ukuba ungarhwebi ngaphakathi kwemida yonxantathu; emva kokuchongwa kwayo, kuya kufuneka ulinde ukwaphuka kwaye uvule isivumelwano kwicala lendlela. Ukurhweba koonxantathu kudinga amava, kufuneka ugcine engqondweni ama-nuances amaninzi.

Yintoni unxantathu ekurhwebeni, isicelo kuhlalutyo lobugcisa

Isicwangciso sokurhweba unxantathu sisona silula kwaye sinenzuzo kakhulu, kodwa sixhomekeke ekukhethweni kwe-asethi efanelekileyo kunye nokuzaliseka kweemeko zesicwangciso. Unxantathu yimbonakaliso yomzabalazo phakathi kwabathengi kunye nabathengisi, umrhwebi uqwalasela ngokucophelela kwaye ajoyine icala elinamandla. Xa le pateni isenzeka, ixabiso libotshelelwe kuluhlu olumxinwa olwenziwe yimizila emibini yentsingiselo. Ukucwangcisa, udinga amanqaku ama-4 – ama-2 aphezulu kunye nama-2 asezantsi, imigca yentsingiselo iyawalandela. Emva koko, kufuneka ulinde enye i-extremum ukuqinisekisa imodeli. Kunokubakho i-3 okanye i-4 amanqaku agqithisileyo, emva koko ixabiso ligxuma ngaphakathi komzobo. Ukuba kukho i-extremums engaphezulu, ngoko umzobo uba “uyancipha” kwaye awunawo amandla. Kwithiyori ye-classical, ixabiso kufuneka liphule uluhlu ngaphandle kwe-⅔ yexesha elichithwe kunxantathu.

Iindidi zoonxantathu kwintengiso – uhlalutyo kwiitshathi

Kukho iintlobo ezininzi zoonxantathu, banokuguquka kwaye bahluke, behla kwaye benyuka, be-symmetrical, abaguqukayo kunye nonxantathu ojikelezayo benza umzobo wedayimane.

Ukuhla unxantathu kwitshathi

Lo mzekelo wokunciphisa, i-lows ikwinqanaba elifanayo, umgca onqamlekileyo unokutsalwa, kwaye iindawo eziphakamileyo ziwa. Ngokuqhelekileyo kwenzeka kwi-bearish trend (ixabiso lawela phambi komfanekiso), kodwa kungekhona. Kwiimeko ezininzi, iyaphuka, kodwa ukuba iqhekeza, i-uptrend inokuqala. Ukuwa okuphezulu kuthetha ngamandla eebhere, abathengi banamandla okwaneleyo kuphela ukubamba inkxaso.

Ukuba nangona kunjalo baqokelela amandla ukuseta entsha ephezulu, oku kungabonisa nokuvela komthengi onamandla okwaziyo ukutshintsha ibhalansi yamandla.

unxantathu onyukayo

Ipateni echaseneyo, iindawo eziphakamileyo ziphantse zilingane kwinqanaba elifanayo, unokuzoba umgca othe tye okanye umgca wokuhamba kwi-angle encinci. Ubuncinci obulandelayo bubunjwa kwinqanaba eliphezulu, iibhere zinamandla okwaneleyo kuphela ukuquka iinkunzi. Kwiimeko ezininzi, kubonisa ukuqhubeka kwe-uptrend, kodwa ukuba iyaphuka, ingaba sisiqalo se-downtrend eqinile.

I-Symmetrical (isosceles) unxantathu

Ipateni enzima ngakumbi yokurhweba, xa kuthelekiswa nonxantathu onyukayo nowehlayo. Imigca yenkxaso kunye nokuchasana ikwi-angle. Ukuqhekeka kunokwenzeka nakweliphi na icala. Umzobo uthetha ngamandla alinganayo abo bobabini abathengi kunye nabathengisi. Kwitshati yemihla ngemihla okanye yeveki, ipateni inokwenza iiveki okanye iinyanga ezininzi. Amaqela aqokelela amandla, intshukumo eyongezelelweyo ithembisa ukuba yomelele. Kuhlalutyo lobugcisa beklasikhi, kucetyiswa ukuba uthengise umzobo kwicala lendlela yangaphambili.

Ukwandisa unxantathu kwiitshathi

Ipateni enzima kakhulu yokurhweba, iindawo eziphakamileyo zinyuka kwaye i-lows iyancipha. Emva kokuqhekeka okulandelayo kwe-extremum, intshukumo ebuyela umva ilandela ngokukhawuleza, ukuguquguquka kukhula, ukumisa kuwiswe phantsi. Akukho nalinye lamaqela anenzuzo ecacileyo, kucetyiswa ukuba ungahwebi umzobo, ulindele iimpawu ezicacileyo ngakumbi. Ngenxa yokunyuka kokungaguquguquki, akukhuthazwa ukuthengisa ipateni yokuqhawula. Unokuzoba i-bisector yonxantathu, qwalasela ixesha elide ngaphezu komgca, kwaye ufutshane ngaphantsi. Ithagethi iya kuba yindlela ehlayo okanye eyonyukayo. Imodeli ixhaphake kakhulu phezulu kwimarike, ingabonisa imizamo engaphumeleli yeenkunzi zenkomo zokuphakamisa izicatshulwa. Xa ibonakala, kuyafaneleka ukulungiselela ukuguqulwa okuzayo. Unxantathu ophambukayo uxhaphake kakhulu kwiimarike kunokudibanisa. Umqondiso wokuphuma emfanekisweni uya kuba kukwaphulwa komnye wemigca, imbuyekezo emva kokuba ixabiso lingaya ngaphezu kwe-bisector. Kwixesha elizayo, umrhwebi ulindele ukuqhubeka kwentshukumo kwindlela yokuphuka.

Idayimani

Umzobo obuyela umva, ukwakheka konxantathu ophambukayo kunye noguqukayo. Yenzeka phezulu okanye ezantsi kwimarike, ngeli xesha uvalo lufikelela kubukhulu balo. Ukungaqiniseki kwiimarike kukhokelela ekubunjweni konxantathu ohlukanisiweyo, ngoko imeko iba yincinci, kodwa ukungaqiniseki akupheli. Unxantathu ophambukayo noguqukayo uyenziwa ngokulandelelanayo. Umzobo usebenza ngokukhawuleza, emva kokuphuka, ixabiso libhabha phezulu okanye phantsi ngaphandle kwe-rollback okanye i-retest kwithagethi okanye kwinqanaba elisondeleyo elinamandla. Kungcono ukungena ekuqhekekeni komda, ubeke umyalelo wokumisa kwinqanaba le-0.5-1% yentshukumo ye-asethi, emva kwenqanaba elikufutshane. Ngokwemigaqo yohlalutyo lobugcisa, inkxaso kufuneka ibe yinkcaso kwaye ngokuphambeneyo. Umrhwebi unokuzama ukulinda i-retest, kodwa kwiimeko ezininzi akuyi kubakho ukuhlaziywa okanye ukuphulwa kobuxoki kwaye ixabiso liya kukhawuleza liye kwelinye icala. Kukho iimeko xa ukuchithwa komzobo kungakhokelela kwintshukumo ebalulekileyo, ixabiso lidlula elincinane kwaye lenze unxantathu omtsha. Ipateni ayifane ibe kumaxesha angaphezulu kweyure.

Iimpawu zamanani ahlukeneyo oonxantathu borhwebo:

• ngexesha lokuqulunqwa komzobo, umthamo wokurhweba uyancipha;
• iphethini kufuneka yenze imiphetho emi-2 ecacileyo. Umrhwebi kufuneka angathandabuzeki ukuba lo ngunxantathu;
• ngexesha lokuphuka, umthamo wokurhweba uyanda;
• emva kokuqhawuka komzobo, ukugqiba ukuthatha inzuzo, kufuneka uhlehlise ukuphakama komzobo ukusuka kumgca ophukileyo.

Urhweba njani ipateni yonxantathu-iintlobo zeemilo ezinxantathu kurhwebo, uhlalutyo kwitshati, ithetha ukuthini ipateni kuhlalutyo lobugcisa: https://youtu.be/KcBALNbA84k

Indlela yokurhweba kwipateni engunxantathu

Ngaphambi kokubunjwa konxantathu, kufuneka kubekho umkhwa oqinileyo kwixesha eliqwalaselwayo. Ngokukhawuleza ukuba umrhwebi abone ukuyeka kwintshukumo kunye norhwebo, kufuneka adwebe imigca yendlela kwaye alinde. Emva kokuchonga unxantathu, umrhwebi kufuneka alindele ukuphuka kwenkxaso okanye ukuchasana. Nangona iipatheni ezininzi zinezikhokelo ezikhethiweyo, umrhwebi akufanele angene kwizikhundla ngaphambi kokuba kuqhambuke ngokucacileyo. Ukuqhekeka kufuneka kwenzeke kwisithuba esingekho ngaphezulu kwe-75% yobude bonxantathu. Ukuba ngeli xesha akukho nto itshintshileyo, isibalo asithathwanga emsebenzini. Xa ukhangela imodeli efanelekileyo, khumbula:

• Oonxantathu banokuthengiswa kuphela kwii-asethi eziguquguqukayo. Ukuba isixhobo sithengisa ixesha elininzi, oonxantathu bavela rhoqo kwaye ukuphuka kwabo akuholeli kwintshukumo yolwalathiso;
• kungcono ukuthenga xa ukuchasana konxantathu okhuphukayo kuphukile;
• kungcono ukuthengisa emva kokuphulwa kwenkxaso yonxantathu ohlayo;
• iipateni ezilinganayo ukurhweba kwicala lokungena;
• ukwandisa unxantathu okanye utsibe, okanye uhambe ngokuchasene nomkhwa;
• ukuchithwa kungajika kube bubuxoki, ngoko kuyacetyiswa ukuba ungangeni ngokukhawuleza, kodwa ulinde ukubuyisela umva kunye nokuhlaziywa komgca wokuhamba. Olu lolona khetho lolondolozo. Kufuneka kukhunjulwe engqondweni ukuba akunakubakho ukubuyisela emva, ngoko isivumelwano siya kulahleka. Wonke umntu ukhetha ukhetho olulungele ngokufanelekileyo umngcipheko wabo wokutya;
• intshukumo nganye elandelayo yenzeke nge-amplitude encinci. Oku kufuneka kuqinisekiswe yi-oscillator – MACD, RSI okanye i-stochastic. Ukuba ukuhlukana kwenzeka (i-lows iyawa, kwaye iindawo eziphakamileyo kwisalathisi zikhula), umntu kufuneka alindele ukwanda kweengcaphuno;
• emva kokungena kwindawo yokumisa, kufuneka ubeke kuqala, uze ubeke inzuzo yokuthatha. Ngamanye amaxesha iintshukumo zibukhali kwaye umthengisi unokufumana ilahleko enkulu ngaphandle kokuba abe nexesha lokungena kwi-deal;
• kuhlalutyo lobugcisa beklasikhi, ukumisa kucetyiswa ukuba kubekwe ngaphaya komda ochasene nomzobo. Kule meko, kukho ingozi encinci yokuba i-stop order iya kubethwa, kwaye ixabiso liya kuhamba kwelinye icala. Ngexesha elifanayo, umngcipheko wokuvuza umngcipheko awunelanga, ngoko ke kucetyiswa ukuba ubeke i-stop stop kufuphi, emva kwenkxaso yokuqala okanye ukuchasana ngaphakathi konxantathu. Akufunekanga abe kufutshane kakhulu ukuba awiswe phantsi kuvavanyo olunokwenzeka lwenqanaba. Unokuqwalasela umnyango kwiindawo ezimbini. Eyokuqala “yokuphuka”, kwaye okwesibini emva kokuvavanya inqanaba;
• ukuba emva kokunyakaza okuqinileyo unxantathu omncinci kakhulu wenziwa, ngoko unokuzama ukuhlala ixesha elide, ubuncinane isiqingatha sentshukumo yangaphambili. Umzobo onjalo ubizwa ngokuba yipennant. Ngokomzekelo, ixabiso lenza i-impulse movement ye-1000 p, kwaye emva koko unxantathu we-100 p yenziwe, mhlawumbi ixabiso liya kwenza ubuncinane elinye i-500 p;
• kuhlalutyo lobugcisa beklasikhi, kukholelwa ukuba ixabiso lihamba umgama olingana nobude bonxantathu, elihlehlisiwe ukusuka kwindawo yokuphuka. Enyanisweni, ixabiso lihlala lidibana nokuchasana kwangaphambili, kufuphi nokugqithisa kwangaphambili;
• abanye abarhwebi musa ukubeka ukuthatha, kodwa sebenzisa stop trailing, umyalelo ilandela imarike.

Ipateni engunxantathu yipatheni elula, kodwa kufuneka unamathele ngokungqongqo kwimithetho, kufuneka ulandele ulawulo lomngcipheko, ugxininise umgangatho weentengiselwano, kwaye kungekhona kubuninzi babo. Kunconywa ukuqwalasela iimodeli ngamaxesha ubuncinane iyure ye-1. Akuyi kubakho izivumelwano ezininzi ezintle; kwiitshathi zemihla ngemihla, kuthatha iiveki ukwenza imodeli. Kodwa izivumelwano ziya kuba semgangathweni ongcono. Isicwangciso sokufumana unxantathu ngexesha lesidlo sasemini sinika iziphumo ezilungileyo. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/figury-texnicheskogo-analiza-v-tradinge.htm

Iimpazamo zokurhweba, iingozi

Xa uthengisa, kufuneka ubambelele kulawulo olungqongqo lwengozi. Akufanele uthathe iimodeli ezinesakhono esincinci somsebenzi ngamaxesha abekiweyo ngaphantsi kweyure. Kukho ingxolo eninzi kumaxesha amancinci, kwaye emva kokuqhawula umda wonxantathu, akukho mkhwa uzinzile, ixabiso lihlehla kwaye linqonqoze ukuyeka. Akuyimfuneko ukuthabatha imodeli engacacanga ngokwaneleyo, oonxantathu, apho kungabikho ukuqonda okucacileyo kwendawo yokumisa kunye nendawo yokugubungela inzuzo. Ngokuqhelekileyo umrhwebi ulinda intshukumo elinganisiweyo kumfanekiso, enganikeli ingqalelo kwinto yokuba kukho ukuchasana okunamandla okanye inkxaso endleleni. Kuya kuba yimpazamo ukuzama ukuqikelela ukuphuhliswa okuqhubekayo kwendlela ngaphandle kokuqinisekiswa. Umrhwebi uhamba ixesha elide kwipatheni enxantathu ekhuphukayo kuze kube yilapho ukuchasana kuphukile, kwaye xa inkxaso iphukile, akaphumi kwi-stop order.
Urhwebo lukanxantathu lunengeniso kuphela kwiimarike eziguquguqukayo. Kurhwebo lokwenyani, ipateni ayibonakali igqibelele njengakwitshathi. Ukuqhambuka kobuxoki kuqhelekile xa ixabiso liqala ukuhamba kwicala elithile, kodwa libuyisela umva kwaye libuyele kunxantathu. Ngokuqhelekileyo xa uphuma kunxantathu, ivolumu eyongeziweyo ayibonakali. Umrhwebi kufuneka athathe isigqibo sokuba uya kuthatha umsebenzi ongeyiyo imodeli efanelekileyo okanye uya kulinda ukubunjwa kwazo zonke iimeko. Kufuneka kukhunjulwe ukuba imodeli “embi” inokunika ukunyakaza okugqwesileyo, kwaye okulungileyo kuya kuphelisa ilahleko.