Ukusetshenziswa kwephethini yonxantathu ekuhlaziyeni lobuchwepheshe ekuhwebeni

Ukusetshenziswa kwesibalo esingunxantathu ekuhwebeni, indlela yokuhweba iphethini, yiziphi izinhlobo zonxantathu kumashadi ezihlaziywa ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe.Ekuhlaziyweni kwezobuchwepheshe, kunezibalo ezilula kodwa ezisebenzayo ezisetshenziswa yibo bobabili abaqalayo nabachwepheshe. Enye yalezi zimo ingunxantathu. Uma umhwebi ethola ukuma isikhathi nesikhathi, kufanelekile ukuzama ukuthola unxantathu, i-95% izotholakala. Ngemuva kwalokho, kuyacaca ukuthi ngesikhathi sokusebenza, ifulethi liwukuhweba phakathi kokumelana nokusekelwa. Ukubonakala kukanxantathu kubonisa ukungaqiniseki emakethe. Isibalo singakhuluma kokubili mayelana nokuqhubeka kokunyakaza kokuqondisa ohlangothini olufanayo, futhi mayelana noshintsho lomkhuba. Kunconywa ukuthi ungahwebi ngaphakathi kwemingcele kanxantathu; ngemuva kokukhonjwa kwayo, kufanele ulinde ukwehlukana bese uvule isivumelwano esibheke kuthrendi. Ukuhweba ngonxantathu kudinga isipiliyoni, udinga ukukhumbula ama-nuances amaningi.

Uyini unxantathu ekuhwebeni, isicelo ekuhlaziyeni lobuchwepheshe

Isu lokuhweba likanxantathu lilula futhi linenzuzo kakhulu, kodwa ngaphansi kokukhethwa kwempahla efanelekile kanye nokugcwaliseka kwemibandela yesu. Unxantathu uwukubonakaliswa komzabalazo phakathi kwabathengi nabathengisi, umhwebi ubheka ngokucophelela futhi ajoyine uhlangothi oluqinile. Uma le phethini yenzeka, intengo iboshiwe ebangeni elincane elakhiwe imigqa yethrendi emibili. Ukuze uhlele, udinga amaphoyinti angu-4 – ukuphakama okungu-2 nokuphansi okungu-2, imigqa yethrendi iyawalandela. Ngemuva kwalokho, udinga ukulinda enye i-extremum ukuze uqinisekise imodeli. Kungase kube namaphuzu angu-3 noma angu-4 ngaphezulu, ngemva kwalokho intengo igxuma ngaphakathi kwesibalo. Uma kukhona ama-extremums amaningi, khona-ke isibalo siba “siwohlokayo” futhi asinawo amandla. Kuthiyori yakudala, intengo kufanele idlule ebangeni kungakedluli u-⅔ wesikhathi esichithwe kunxantathu.

Izinhlobo zonxantathu ekuhwebeni – ukuhlaziywa kumashadi

Kunezinhlobo eziningana zonxantathu, zingase zihlangane futhi ziphambuke, zehle futhi zikhuphuke, ezilinganayo, eziguqukayo futhi eziphambukayo zakha unxantathu wedayimane.

Unxantathu owehla eshadini

Lena iphethini enciphayo, ama-lows asezingeni elifanayo, umugqa ovundlile ungadwetshwa, futhi ukuphakama kuyawa. Ngokuvamile kwenzeka kumkhuba we-bearish (intengo yawela ngaphambi kwesibalo), kodwa hhayi ngempela. Ezimweni eziningi, idiliza, kepha uma iphuka, i-uptrend ingase iqale. Ukuphakama okuphezulu kukhuluma ngamandla amabhere, abathengi banamandla anele okubamba ukusekelwa.

Uma noma kunjalo beqoqa amandla okusetha ukuphakama okusha, lokhu kungase futhi kubonise ukuvela komthengi onamandla okwazi ukushintsha ibhalansi yamandla.

unxantathu okhuphukayo

Iphethini ephambene, ukuphakama cishe kusezingeni elifanayo, ungadweba umugqa ovundlile noma umugqa wethrendi nge-engeli encane. Ubuncane obulandelayo obulandelayo bukhiwa ezingeni eliphakeme, amabhere anamandla anele kuphela ukuqukatha izinkunzi. Ezimweni eziningi, kubonisa ukuqhubeka kwe-uptrend, kodwa uma iphuka, ingaba yisiqalo se-downtrend eqinile.

Unxantathu we-Symmetrical (isosceles).

Iphethini enzima kakhulu yokuhweba, uma kuqhathaniswa nonxantathu okhuphukayo nowehlayo. Imigqa yokusekela neyokumelana iku-engeli. Ukuhlukana kungenzeka kunoma iyiphi indlela. Isibalo sikhuluma ngamandla alinganayo kokubili abathengi nabathengisi. Eshadini lansuku zonke noma lamasonto onke, iphethini ingase yakheke emavikini ambalwa noma izinyanga. Amaqembu aqongelela amandla, ukunyakaza okuqhubekayo kuthembisa ukuqina. Ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe be-classical, kunconywa ukuthi uhwebe isibalo ngendlela yenkambiso yangaphambilini.

Ukunweba unxantathu emashadini

Iphethini enzima kakhulu yokuhweba, ukuphakama kuyakhuphuka futhi okuphansi kuyehla. Ngemuva kokuqhekeka okulandelayo kwe-extremum, ukunyakaza okuhlanekezela kulandela ngokushesha, ukuguquguquka kukhula, izitobhi ziwiswa phansi. Awekho amaqembu anenzuzo ecacile, kunconywa ukuthi ungahwebi isibalo, ulindele izimpawu ezicacile. Ngenxa yokwanda kokushintshashintsha, akunconywa ukuhwebelana ngephethini yokuphumula. Ungakwazi ukudweba i-bisector kanxantathu, ucabange ubude obude ngaphezu komugqa, futhi bufushane ngezansi. Okuhlosiwe kuzoba umugqa wethrendi owehlayo noma owenyukayo. Imodeli ivame kakhulu phezulu emakethe, ingase ibonise imizamo engaphumeleli yezinkunzi zokuphakamisa izingcaphuno. Uma ivela, kufanelekile ukulungiselela ukuguqulwa okuseduze. Unxantathu ophambukayo uvame kakhulu emakethe kunokushintshana. Isignali yokuphuma esithombeni izoba ukuhlukaniswa komunye wemigqa, ukubuyisela ngemva kwalokho intengo ingase yeqe ngaphezu kwesigaba esiphindwe kabili. Esikhathini esizayo, umhwebi ulindele ukuqhubeka kokunyakaza ekuqondeni kokuwohloka.

Idayimane

Isibalo esibuyela emuva, ukwakheka kukanxantathu ophambukayo noguqukayo. Kuvela phezulu noma phansi emakethe, okwamanje lapho uvalo lufinyelela ubuningi balo. Ukungaqiniseki emakethe kuholela ekwakhekeni kukanxantathu ohlukanisiwe, khona-ke isimo siba sincane, kodwa ukungaqiniseki akupheli. Unxantathu ophambukayo noguqukayo wakheka ngokulandelana. Isibalo sisebenza ngokushesha, ngemva kokuhlukaniswa, intengo indizela phezulu noma phansi ngaphandle kokuhlehliswa noma ukuphinda kuhlolwe okuhlosiwe noma kuleveli eqinile eseduze. Kungcono ukungena ekuqhekekeni konqenqema, ubeke i-stop order ezingeni lika-0.5-1% lokunyakaza kwempahla, ngemuva kwezinga eliseduze. Ngokwemithetho yokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, ukwesekwa kufanele kube ukumelana futhi ngokuphambene nalokho. Umhwebi angazama ukulinda ukuhlolwa kabusha, kodwa ezimweni eziningi ngeke kube nokuhlolwa kabusha noma ukuqubuka okungamanga futhi intengo izoshesha kakhulu iye kolunye uhlangothi. Kunezimo lapho ukuwohloka kwesibalo kungaholeli ekuhambeni okuphawulekayo, intengo idlula kancane futhi yakha unxantathu omusha. Iphethini akuvamile ukuba yakheke ezikhathini ezingaphezu kwehora.

Izici zezibalo ezihlukene zonxantathu abahwebayo:

• ngesikhathi sokubunjwa kwesibalo, umthamo wokuhweba uyancipha;
• iphethini kufanele yakhe imiphetho ecacile engu-2. Umhwebi akufanele angabaze ukuthi lona unxantathu;
• ngesikhathi sokuqhekeka, ivolumu yokuhweba iyanda;
• ngemva kokugqashuka kwesibalo, ukunquma ukuthatha inzuzo, udinga ukuhlehlisa ukuphakama kwesibalo kusuka emgqeni ophukile.

Uhweba kanjani iphethini likanxantathu – izinhlobo zomumo ongunxantathu ekuhwebeni, ukuhlaziywa eshadini, isho ukuthini iphethini ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe: https://youtu.be/KcBALNbA84k

Indlela yokuhweba ngephethini likanxantathu

Ngaphambi kokwakhiwa kukanxantathu, kufanele kube nokuthambekela okuqinile esikhathini esicatshangelwayo. Ngokushesha nje lapho umhwebi ebona ukuyeka ukunyakaza nokuhweba, kufanele adwebe imigqa yezitayela futhi alinde. Ngemva kokukhomba unxantathu, umhwebi kufanele alindele ukuwohloka kokusekelwa noma ukumelana. Nakuba amaphethini amaningi anesiqondiso esithandwayo, umhwebi akufanele angene ezikhundleni ngaphambi kokuba kuvele ukuqhuma okucacile. Ukuhlukaniswa kufanele kwenzeke phakathi nesikhawu esingeqile ku-75% wobude bukanxantathu. Uma ngalesi sikhathi akukho lutho olushintshile, isibalo asithathwa emsebenzini. Uma ufuna imodeli efanelekile, khumbula:

• Onxantathu bangathengiswa kuphela ngezimpahla eziguquguqukayo. Uma ithuluzi lihweba isikhathi esiningi, onxantathu bavela njalo futhi ukuhlukana kwabo akuholeli ekunyakazeni okuqondisayo;
• kungcono ukuthenga lapho ukumelana konxantathu okhuphukayo kuphukile;
• kungcono ukuthengisa ngemuva kokuphula ukusekelwa konxantathu owehlayo;
• amaphethini angama-symmetrical ukuhweba ngendlela yokungena;
• unxantathu okhulayo noma weqa, noma uhambe ngokumelene nomkhuba;
• ukuhlukana kungase kubonakale kungamanga, ngakho-ke kunconywa ukuthi ungangeni ngokushesha, kodwa ulinde ukuhlehliswa nokuhlolwa kabusha komugqa wethrendi. Lena inketho elandelanayo. Kufanele kukhunjulwe ukuthi kungase kungabikho ukuhlehliswa, khona-ke isivumelwano sizolahleka. Wonke umuntu ukhetha inketho evumelana kangcono nesifiso sabo sokudla;
• ukunyakaza ngakunye okulandelayo kwenzeka nge-amplitude encane. Lokhu kufanele kuqinisekiswe i-oscillator – i-MACD, i-RSI noma i-stochastic. Uma ukuhlukana kwenzeka (ama-lows awela, futhi iziqongo zenkomba zikhula), umuntu kufanele alindele ukwanda kwezingcaphuno;
• ngemuva kokungena endaweni yokuma, udinga ukuyibeka kuqala, bese usetha inzuzo yokuthatha. Ngezinye izikhathi ukunyakaza kubukhali futhi umhwebi angathola ukulahlekelwa okukhulu ngaphandle kokuba nesikhathi sokufaka isivumelwano;
• ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe be-classical, ukumisa kunconywa ukuthi kubekwe ngaphesheya komkhawulo wesibalo. Kulokhu, kunengozi encane yokuthi i-stop order izoshaywa, futhi intengo izohamba ngokuphambene. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, isilinganiso somvuzo wengozi ayanele, ngakho-ke kunconywa ukubeka ukuma eduze, ngemuva kokusekelwa kokuqala noma ukumelana ngaphakathi kukanxantathu. Akufanele asondele kakhulu ukuze awiswe esivivinyweni esingase sibe khona. Ungacabangela ukungena ngezingxenye ezimbili. Eyokuqala “eyokubhidliza”, kanti eyesibili ingemva kokuhlola izinga;
• uma ngemva kokunyakaza okuqinile kwakhiwa unxantathu omncane kakhulu, khona-ke ungazama ukuhlala isikhathi eside, okungenani isigamu sokunyakaza kwangaphambilini. Isibalo esinjalo sibizwa ngokuthi i-pennant. Isibonelo, intengo yenza ukunyakaza okunamandla kwe-1000 p, bese kwakhiwa unxantathu we-100 p, cishe intengo izokwenza okungenani enye i-500 p;
• ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe be-classical, kukholakala ukuthi inani lihamba ibanga elilingana nokuphakama kukanxantathu, elihlehlisiwe ukusuka endaweni yokuphumula. Empeleni, intengo ivame ukubhekana nokuphikiswa ngaphambi kwesikhathi, eduze nokudlulele okudlule;
• abanye abahwebi abakubeki ukuthatha, kodwa sebenzisa isitobhi esilandelanayo, i-oda lilandela imakethe.

Iphethini elingunxantathu liyiphethini elilula, kodwa udinga ukunamathela ngokuqinile emithethweni, kufanele ulandele ukulawulwa kwezinhlekelele, ugxile kwikhwalithi yokuthengiselana, hhayi ngobuningi babo. Kunconywa ukuthi ucabangele amamodeli ngezikhathi okungenani zehora elingu-1. Ngeke kube namadili amahle kakhulu, kumashadi ansuku zonke, kuthatha amasonto ukwakha imodeli. Kodwa amadili azoba yikhwalithi engcono. Isu lokuthola unxantathu ngesikhathi sesidlo sasemini linikeza imiphumela emihle. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/figury-texnicheskogo-analiza-v-tradinge.htm

Amaphutha okuhweba, izingozi

Lapho uhweba, kufanele ubambelele ekulawuleni ubungozi obuqinile. Akufanele uthathe amamodeli anamandla amancane okusebenza ngezikhathi ezingaphansi kwehora. Kunomsindo omkhulu ngezikhathi ezincane, futhi ngemva kokubhodloza onqenqemeni lukanxantathu, awukho umkhuba ozinzile, intengo iyahlehla futhi ikhiphe isitobhi. Akudingekile ukuthatha amamodeli acacile ngokunganele, ama-triangles, lapho kungekho khona ukuqonda okucacile kokuthi ungabeka kuphi ukuma futhi kuphi ukumboza inzuzo. Ngokuvamile umhwebi ulinda ukunyakaza okulinganiselwe emfanekisweni, enganaki iqiniso lokuthi kukhona ukumelana okuqinile noma ukusekela endleleni. Kuyoba iphutha ukuzama ukubikezela ukuthuthukiswa okuqhubekayo komkhuba ngaphandle kokuqinisekisa. Umhwebi uhamba isikhathi eside kuphethini engunxantathu ekhuphukayo kuze kuphuke ukumelana, futhi lapho ukwesekwa kwephukile, akaphumi nge-stop order.
Ukuhweba ngonxantathu kunenzuzo kuphela ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo kakhulu. Ekuhwebeni kwangempela, iphethini ayibukeki iphelele njengaseshadini. Ukuphuka okungamanga kuvamile uma intengo iqala ukuya ohlangothini oluthile, kodwa ihlehla futhi ibuyela kunxantathu. Ngokuvamile lapho uphuma kunxantathu, ivolumu eyengeziwe ayiveli. Umhwebi kufanele anqume ukuthi uzothatha amamodeli angasebenzi kahle noma uzolinda ukwakheka kwazo zonke izimo. Kumele kukhunjulwe ukuthi imodeli “embi” inganikeza ukunyakaza okuhle kakhulu, futhi okuhle kuzophela ekulahlekelweni.