Umfanekiso wePennant ekurhwebeni: indlela ekhangeleka ngayo kwitshathi, izicwangciso zokurhweba

I-Pennant ekurhwebeni kuhlalutyo lobugcisa – yintoni na, ibukeka njani kwitshathi, izicwangciso zokurhweba.
Ukukwazi ukuqaphela iipateni zobugcisa phambi kokuhamba kwexabiso lehlabathi yenye yezona zinto zibalulekileyo zokurhweba nge-
intraday . Ngokucacileyo, akunakwenzeka ukuqikelela imarike ngokuchaneka okugqibeleleyo, kodwa ukuba uthengisa ixesha elide ngokwaneleyo, uya kuba nakho ukukhetha
iipateni ezahlukeneyo ezisebenza njengophawu olucacileyo lwentshukumo yexabiso yehlabathi ezayo. Intloko kunye namagxa, indebe kunye nepeni, kunye neepennants zezinye zeendlela eziqhelekileyo ezisetyenziswa ngabarhwebi ukuchonga ukunyuka okanye ukuhla kwexabiso. Ke, makhe siqhubele phambili kuqwalaselo olubanzi lwesi sihloko.

Luhlobo luni lomfanekiso wepennant, inkcazo

I-pennant luhlobo olukhethekileyo lwepateni yokuqhubeka kwetshathi. Iipennants zifana neepateni zeetshathi zeflegi kuba zinemigca yokudibanisa kulo lonke ixesha lokuhlanganisa. Imele indlela ethile yokuziphatha kwetshathi, apho kukho ukunyakaza okuphawulekayo kumaxabiso esitokhwe, emva koko isigaba sokudibanisa siqala, kwaye emva koko ukuqhubeka kwendlela ekhoyo. I-Pennant yindlela eyaziwayo eyaziwayo esetyenziswa ngokubanzi kuhlalutyo lobugcisa. Eli nani lifumaneka rhoqo kwiitshathi zokurhweba phantse zonke izibini zemali. Ingqalelo! Ukuqulunqwa kwalo mzekelo wetshathi kuthatha enye ukuya kwiiveki ezintathu.

Indlela ipateni yePennant ibalwa ngayo kwitshathi

Nayiphi na itshati inexabiso eliphezulu lokuqikelela xa ibonisa iimpawu ezithile. Ukuqhubela phambili iipateni ezifana neeflegi kunye neepennants, ubukho bepateni ngokwayo bubonisa ukuhamba kwemarike okunokuba nkulu kwixesha elizayo. Ukuze i-pennant isebenze njenge-predictor yentshukumo yexabiso elizayo, ezi mpawu zilandelayo zemarike kunye nezinto zesenzo sexabiso kufuneka zibe khona:

1. Intshukumo yexabiso lesikhokelo . Ukunyakaza kwexabiso lokugqibela okanye ukukwazi ukudweba umkhwa ohambelanayo yimeko efunekayo yokubunjwa kwepennant.
2. Umthamo . Uthatho-nxaxheba yinxalenye ebalulekileyo yemarike esakhulayo. Umthamo ozinzileyo ngexesha lokuhamba kwexabiso lokuqala kwandisa ukuqinisekiswa kokunokwenzeka kokuqhubeka. Ukuncipha okuncinci kwivolumu ngexesha lokubunjwa kwepennant kunokutolikwa njengophawu oluhle lokuba abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike abayi kushiya imarike, kodwa baxakeke befuna indawo yokungena echanekileyo ukuze baqhubeke nendlela yangaphambili.
3. ubude bexesha . Iipennants zithathwa njengenye yeepateni zetshathi ezikhawulezayo. Ukuba ukubunjwa kuthathe ixesha elide ngokubhekiselele kwixesha lexesha, ngoko ukuqinisekiswa kwayo kubizwa ngokuba ngumbuzo.

Ixesha elifanelekileyo lokungena kwimarike kuxa ixabiso liphula umgca wePennant, owenza unxantathu kwicala lendlela ehamba phambili ehambelana neflegi.

Izinto eziyinxalenye yomfanekiso wepennant

Iipennants zinezinto ezininzi ezidibeneyo ezikhoyo kungakhathaliseki nayiphi na imeko. Izinto eziphambili zomfanekiso:

1. Flagpole . Imele intsingiselo (phezulu okanye phantsi). Lo ngumgama ukusuka ekuqaleni kwentshukumo yexabiso elithe ngqo ukuya kwinqanaba eliphezulu okanye elincinci.
2. Unxantathu . Isebenza njengolwandlalo lwepennant kwaye yakhiwe ngokuzoba imigca emibini eguquguqukayo (imigca yokuchasa kunye nenkxaso); enye idibanisa iindawo eziphakamileyo zoluhlu lokudibanisa kwaye enye idibanisa i-lows. Imigca emibini yomzila iyadibana yenze unxantathu.
3. Tilt . Ichazwa yimigca yetrendi kanxantathu ngokunxulumene neplanga yeflegi. Unxantathu uthambeka ngokuchasene nentsingiselo kwaye uhlelwa njenge-bullish okanye i-bearish, kuxhomekeke ekubeni imeko yokuqala iphezulu okanye iphantsi.
4. Ukubuyisela umva . Ilinganiswa ngokubala indawo ephezulu okanye esezantsi yepali yeflegi ukusuka phezulu okanye kumzantsi wepenanti ngokwayo. Rhoqo, izixhobo ezinje ngeFibonacci retracements zisetyenziswa ngokubambisana nokwakheka kwepennant ukumisela ukubakho kunye nobungakanani bokuqhambuka okunokwenzeka.

Ukwenziwa kwepateni yePennant kuhlalutyo lobugcisa kurhwebo, i-bullish kunye ne-bearish pennant, i-symmetrical

Ipateni kwitshathi iqala nge-flagpole ngendlela yoluhlu lwamakhandlela ahamba ngendlela efanayo. Isenokuba ngumkhwa okanye ukunyuka kwexabiso elilula. Ukuqwalaselwa ngakumbi kwemarike ngokukhawuleza emva kokufikelela ezantsi kwe-bearish trend (eyona ndawo iphakamileyo ye-bullish trend) ivumela ukuba sinqume ukubunjwa kwenxalenye yokugqibela yepateni – unxantathu we-symmetrical. Qaphela ukuba ipateni yenziwe ngokukhawuleza. Ngaloo mzuzu, xa imigca emibini edlula kwiindawo eziphakamileyo kunye ne-lows idibanisa ngokukhawuleza ukuya komnye nomnye, yenza unxantathu omncinci, singakwazi ukuthetha ngokukhuselekileyo malunga nokusekwa kweVympel.

Iintlobo zePennant

Iipennants zizinto ezimbini:

inkunzi yenkomo

Iphethini ye-bullish ifom emva kokunyuka okubukhali kwamaxabiso amasheya. Emva kokunyuka kwexesha elide, abahwebi bazama ukuvala isikhundla sabo, becinga ukuba ukuguqulwa kuya kwenzeka. Amaxabiso aqala ukudibanisa njengoko abarhwebi beqala ukuphuma kwiimpahla. Kodwa kwangaxeshanye, xa abathengi abatsha beqala ukuthenga isitokhwe, oko kubangela ukuba amaxabiso aphume kwicala elinye njenge-uptrend yangaphambili.

thwala ipennant

Ipateni yenziwe emva kokuhla ngokukhawuleza kwamaxabiso esitokhwe. Emva kwexesha elide, abahwebi bazama ukuvala izikhundla zabo zokuthengisa, becinga ukuba ukuguqulwa kuya kwenzeka. Amaxabiso aqala ukudibanisa njengoko abarhwebi beqala ukuphuma kwiimpahla. Ngeli xesha, abathengisi abatsha baqala ukuthengisa isitokhwe, okubangela ukuba amaxabiso aphume ngendlela efanayo ngexesha le-downtrend yangaphambili.

Umahluko kwiflegi kunye nemifanekiso emeleneyo

Ipateni yepennant iyafana nepateni yeflegi, umahluko kuphela kukuba inqanaba lokudityaniswa kwepateni yepennant liphawulwa ngokuguqulwa kweetrendi kunetrendlines enxuseneyo. Umahluko ophambili ukusuka kwamanye amanani akufutshane – “I-Symmetrical Triangle”, “i-Ascending-Descending Triangle” yi-scope kunye nesikali. I-pennant yindlela encinci kwi-scope kunye nobude bexesha, elandelwa ngokunyuka kwexabiso elibukhali okanye ukuwa okubukhali.

Isetyenziswa njani kuhlalutyo lobugcisa?

Xa uthengisa usebenzisa ipateni, kufuneka uqwalasele la manqaku alandelayo:

1. Emva kokuhamba ngamandla nokuba phezulu okanye ezantsi, amaxabiso kufuneka angene kwisigaba sokudityaniswa.
2. Umthamo wokurhweba kufuneka unyuke kwintshukumo yokuqala yale ndlela yokubunjwa kwepateni, ilandelwa ngumthamo obuthathaka kwaye emva koko ikhulise ivolumu kwi-breakout.
3. Amaxabiso kufuneka ahambe kwicala elinye emva kokuqhambuka.

Ukurhweba kwi-pennant exchange – amaqhinga asebenzayo kunye nemizekelo enenkcazo kunye neenkcazo zesithombe

#1 Umzekelo usebenzisa isicwangciso esiqhelekileyo sokurhweba

Lo mzekelo yi-bearish version ye-pennant pattern kwimarike yemali. Itshathi engezantsi ibonisa isenzo sexabiso le-Euro-Yen currency pair esekelwe kwixesha lemizuzu engama-480.
Ukuqala kwicala lasekhohlo letshathi, sibona intshukumo ebukhali ezantsi eyenza i-flagpole. Qaphela ukuba inkulu kangakanani ipesenti yamakhandlela e-bearish ebomvu xa kuthelekiswa namakhandlela aluhlaza. Oku kubonisa intshukumo yamaxabiso engxamisekileyo. Uyabona ukuba ukubunjwa kwe-pennant kuye kwacaciswa yimizila emibini eguqukayo. Ukongeza, i-50% yetshathi yokubuyisela iFibonacci yeFlagpole iye yacwangciswa. Ukuba ujonga ngokusondeleyo, uya kubona ukuba njengoko i-pennant yenzekile, ujingi lwalo olugqithisileyo lwahamba nje ngaphantsi kwe-50% yenqanaba lokubuyisela phambi kokubuyela ezantsi. Uvavanyo lwesibini lwenqanaba le-50% lokubuyisela lwenzekile emva koko, kodwa lwaphinda lwaliwa ukusuka kwelo nqanaba. Ke, isihluzo esisekwe kwiFibonacci senziwe. Iipateni zokuqhubekeka kwetrendi – pennant, unxantathu, iflegi kunye newedge: https://youtu. be/Ox4jLzrrjIY I-trigger yokungena iya kuba yikhefu kwaye ivale ngaphantsi komgca wenkxaso wepatheni. Qaphela ukuba ungeno lwalungaphantsi nje kwinqanaba lenkxaso. Xa i-trigger yokungena ingumgama obalulekileyo ukusuka kwindawo yokuphumla, kunengqiqo ukulinda i-pullback enokwenzeka ukuze wenze urhwebo olungcono. Nangona kunjalo, umngcipheko kukuba akukho siqinisekiso sokuba ixabiso liya kubuya. Kule meko, kuyimfuneko ukuvula isithuba esifutshane emva kokuqhekeka kuvaliwe (kwikhandlela elibi, elijikelezwe). Ithagethi yokuqala (Ithagethi 1) yafikelelwa kwithuba elithile emva kokungena. Imele ixabiso lexabiso elilingana ne-50% yobude beflegi ukusuka kwindawo yokuqhawula. Kwaye injongo yesibini (iThagethi ye-2) ibekwe kwixabiso elilingana ne-100% yobude beflegi elinganiswe ukusuka kwindawo yokuqhawula. Qaphela ukuba ixabiso lifikelela njani kwithagethi yesibini,

#2 Pfizer LTD Umzekelo wokuRhweba ngeyure

Lo mzekelo ungezantsi ubonisa ukwenziwa kwepateni kwitshathi yeyure yePfizer Ltd. Emva kokunyuka, amaxabiso afudukela kwisigaba sokudityaniswa, esenza iPennant, kwaye emva koko kwaqala ukuqhambuka, kulandelwa kukuqhubela phambili kokunyuka. Inqanaba lokulahlekelwa kokuyeka libekwe kwindawo ephantsi yepateni. Ixabiso elijoliswe kuyo kwiipennants libekwe ngokulinganisa ubude bokuqala beflegi ukuya kwindawo apho ixabiso liphuma khona kwi-pennant.

Okuhle nokubi

Phakathi kweenzuzo zalo mzobo kunokuqatshelwa:

1. Ilungele abarhwebi abasaqalayo njengoko ipateni kulula ukuyiqonda.
2. Ihambelana nomgaqo wegolide wokurhweba – “vula kuphela kunye nomkhwa.”
3. Ukwakheka okulula, izinto ezilula zokukhumbula iziseko.

Phakathi kwezinto ezimbi:

1. Kukho umngcipheko omkhulu wokungena “emgibeni” kwaye ubambe ukuphuka kwamanga.
2. Ayifane ifumaneke.

Iimpazamo kunye nobungozi

Iimpazamo eziqhelekileyo phakathi kwabahwebi “yimigibe” abawela kuyo. Kukho inqanaba eliphezulu lobuxoki bepateni, njengoko kuboniswe kumzekelo ongezantsi:
Umzekelo ubonisa ukuba ukuchithwa akuzange kusebenze, kwavela ukuba buxoki. Ijika legrafu lajika lakhawuleza lanyuka. Ipateni ayizange iphume.

Uluvo lwengcali

Ngokutsho “kookrebe” bokurhweba, umzekelo, uCarl Icahn, uJulian Robertson, iipennants ziyakwazi ukuchongwa ngokulula iipateni zeetshathi. Izifundo ezininzi zibonise ukuba iipateni zokuqhubeka zifanelekile kurhwebo lwemini. Izicwangciso ezahlukeneyo zokurhweba usebenzisa le pateni zisekelwe ekuqaphelisweni kweepennants, ezininzi zazo zinethuba eliphezulu lokwenza inzuzo. Nangona kunjalo, ukubunjwa kwe-pennant kunokuba nzima ukuqaphela ngexesha lokwenyani, kwaye iintsingiselo ezinkulu kunye noluhlu lokudityaniswa lufuna inkunzi enkulu ukurhweba ngokufanelekileyo. Ekugqibeleni, kumthengisi ukuba athathe isigqibo sokuba okanye angafaki ukusetyenziswa kweepennants kwisicwangciso sokurhweba.