Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Методы и инструменты анализа

Pennant mu malonda mu kusanthula luso – chomwe chiri, momwe izo zikuwonekera pa tchati, malonda njira.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira Kutha kuzindikira machitidwe aukadaulo kusanasunthe kwamitengo yapadziko lonse lapansi ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zofunika kwambiri
pamalonda a intraday . Mwachiwonekere, ndizosatheka kufotokozera msika molondola kwambiri, koma ngati mutagulitsa nthawi yaitali, mudzatha kutenga mitundu
yosiyanasiyana yomwe imakhala chizindikiro chodziwikiratu cha kayendetsedwe ka mtengo wapadziko lonse. Mutu ndi mapewa, chikho ndi cholembera, ndi pennants ndi zina mwazinthu zomwe amalonda amagwiritsa ntchito kuti azindikire kukwera kapena kutsika kwamitengo. Chifukwa chake, tiyeni tipitilize kuwunikanso mwatsatanetsatane mutuwu.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Ndi mtundu wanji wa pennant, kufotokozera

Pennant ndi mtundu wapadera wa ndondomeko yopitiliza tchati. Ma pennants amafanana ndi ma chart chart chifukwa amakhala ndi mizere yosinthira nthawi yonse yophatikiza. Zimayimira ndondomeko inayake ya khalidwe la tchati, momwe pali kusuntha kwakukulu kwamitengo yamtengo wapatali, pambuyo pake gawo lophatikizana limayamba, ndiyeno kupitirizabe zomwe zilipo. Pennant ndi njira yodziwika bwino yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pakuwunika kwaukadaulo. Chiwerengerochi chimapezeka pafupipafupi pamitengo yamalonda pafupifupi mawiri awiri a ndalama. Chenjerani! Mapangidwe a tchatichi amatenga sabata imodzi mpaka itatu.

Momwe Pennant amawerengera pa tchati

Tchati chilichonse chimakhala ndi mtengo wolosera kwambiri chikakhala ndi mawonekedwe ena. Kwa machitidwe opitilira monga mbendera ndi pennants, kukhalapo kwa chitsanzo palokha kumasonyeza kusuntha kwa msika komwe kungakhale kokulirapo m’tsogolomu. Kuti pennant ikhale yolosera zakuyenda kwamitengo yamtsogolo, mikhalidwe yotsatirayi yamsika ndi zinthu zamitengo ziyenera kupezeka:

  1. Directional price movement . Kusuntha kwamtengo womaliza kapena kuthekera kojambula njira yachibale ndikofunikira kuti pakhale pennant.
  2. Voliyumu . Kutenga nawo mbali ndichinthu chofunikira kwambiri pamsika womwe ukutuluka. Kuchuluka kwachulukidwe panthawi yoyambira mtengo kumawonjezera chitsimikiziro cha kuthekera kwazomwe zikuchitika. Kutsika pang’ono kwa voliyumu panthawi yopanga pennant kungatanthauzidwe ngati chizindikiro chabwino kuti ochita nawo msika sangachoke pamsika, koma ali otanganidwa kufunafuna malo abwino olowera kuti apitilize njira yapitayi.
  3. nthawi . Pennants imatengedwa kuti ndi imodzi mwama chart othamanga kwambiri. Ngati mapangidwewo adatenga nthawi yayitali kwambiri poyerekeza ndi nthawiyo, ndiye kuti kutsimikizika kwake kumakayikira.

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Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira Pennant pamalonda pa tchati[/ mawu]

Nthawi yoyenera kulowa mumsika ndi pamene mtengo umaphwanya mzere wa Pennant, womwe umapanga makona atatu kumbali ya chikhalidwe chake chachikulu chokhudzana ndi mbendera.

Zinthu zomwe zili m’gulu la pennant

Ma Pennants ali ndi zinthu zingapo zofunika zomwe zilipo mosasamala kanthu kalikonse. Zinthu zazikulu za chithunzichi:

  1. Flagpole . Zimayimira zochitika (mmwamba kapena pansi). Uwu ndiye mtunda kuyambira pachiyambi cha kayendetsedwe ka mtengo wolunjika mpaka pamlingo wake waukulu kapena wocheperako.
  2. Triangle . Imakhala ngati ndondomeko ya pennant ndipo imamangidwa pojambula mizere iwiri yosinthika (mizere yotsutsa ndi yothandizira); imodzi imagwirizanitsa kukwera kwamtundu wophatikizana ndipo ina imagwirizanitsa zotsika. Mizere iwiriyi imasinthasintha kuti ipange makona atatu.
  3. Kupendekeka . Zimatanthauzidwa ndi mizere ya makona atatu mogwirizana ndi mbendera. Makona atatu amapendekeka kutsutsana ndi zomwe zikuchitika ndipo amagawidwa ngati bullish kapena bearish, kutengera ngati zomwe zayambazo zakwera kapena pansi.
  4. Rollback . Zimayesedwa powerengera pamwamba kapena pansi pa mbendera kuchokera pamwamba kapena pansi pa pennant yokha. Nthawi zambiri, zida monga ma Fibonacci retracements amagwiritsidwa ntchito molumikizana ndi mapangidwe a pennant kuti adziwe kuthekera ndi kukula kwa kuphulika komwe kungachitike.

Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Pennant kapangidwe kake pakuwunika kwaukadaulo mu malonda, bullish ndi bearish pennant, symmetrical

Chitsanzo pa tchatichi chimayamba ndi mbendera mu mawonekedwe a mndandanda wa makandulo omwe amapita njira yomweyo. Ikhoza kukhala chizolowezi kapena kukwera mtengo kosavuta. Komanso pafupi kuonerera msika atangofika pansi pa azimuth bearish (mmwamba mfundo ya mchitidwe bullish) amatilola kudziwa mapangidwe gawo lomaliza la chitsanzo – symmetrical makona atatu. Onani kuti chitsanzocho chimapangidwa mofulumira. Panthawi imeneyo, pamene mizere iwiri yodutsa pamwamba ndi yotsika ikudutsa mwamphamvu kwa wina ndi mzake, kupanga makona atatu ang’onoang’ono, tikhoza kulankhula bwinobwino za mapangidwe a Vympel.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Mitundu ya Pennant

Pennants ali amitundu iwiri:

ng’ombe pennant

Mtundu wa bullish umapanga pambuyo pakukwera kwakukulu kwamitengo yamasheya. Pambuyo pa nthawi yayitali, amalonda amayesa kutseka malo awo, poganiza kuti kusintha kudzachitika. Mitengo imayamba kuphatikizika pamene amalonda akuyamba kutuluka m’matangadza. Koma panthawi imodzimodziyo, pamene ogula atsopano ayamba kugula katunduyo, zimapangitsa kuti mitengo ikhale yofanana ndi yomwe yapita kale.

kubala pennant

Chitsanzocho chimapangidwa pambuyo pa kutsika kwakukulu kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali. Pambuyo pa nthawi yayitali, amalonda amayesa kutseka malo awo ogulitsa, poganiza kuti kusintha kudzachitika. Mitengo imayamba kuphatikizika pamene amalonda akuyamba kutuluka m’matangadza. Panthawiyi, ogulitsa atsopano amayamba kugulitsa katunduyo, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti mitengo ikhale yofanana ndi yomwe inachitika kale.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Kusiyana kwa mbendera ndi zithunzi zoyandikana nazo

Ndondomeko ya pennant ndi yofanana ndi ndondomeko ya mbendera, kusiyana kokhako ndikuti gawo lophatikizira la pennant limadziwika ndi kusinthana kwa mayendedwe m’malo mofanana. Kusiyanitsa kwakukulu ndi ziwerengero zina zoyandikana – “Symmetrical Triangle”, “Ascending-Descending Triangle” ndi kukula ndi msinkhu. Pennant ndi mawonekedwe ang’onoang’ono komanso nthawi yayitali, yomwe imatsogoleredwa ndi kukwera kwamtengo wapatali kapena kugwa kwakukulu.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Kodi chimagwiritsidwa ntchito bwanji pakuwunika kwaukadaulo?

Mukamachita malonda pogwiritsa ntchito chitsanzo, muyenera kuganizira mfundo zotsatirazi:

  1. Pambuyo pa kusuntha kwakukulu kapena kutsika, mitengo iyenera kupita ku gawo lophatikizana.
  2. Voliyumu yamalonda iyenera kuwonjezereka pakusuntha koyambirira kwa mapangidwe amtunduwu, kutsatiridwa ndi kufooketsa voliyumu ndikuwonjezera voliyumu pakuphulika.
  3. Mitengo iyenera kusunthira mbali imodzi pambuyo pa kuphulika.

Kugulitsa pakusinthana kwa pennant – njira zothandiza ndi zitsanzo zokhala ndi mafotokozedwe ndi mafotokozedwe azithunzi

#1 Chitsanzo chogwiritsa ntchito njira yokhazikika yogulitsira

Chitsanzo ichi ndi mtundu wa bearish wa pennant pattern pamsika wandalama. Tchati chomwe chili pansipa chikuwonetsa mtengo wa ndalama za Euro-Yen kutengera nthawi ya mphindi 480.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira Kuyambira kumanzere kwa tchati, tikuwona kusuntha kwakuthwa pansi komwe kumapanga mlongoti. Zindikirani momwe kuchuluka kwa ma red bearish makandulo akufananizidwa ndi makandulo obiriwira. Izi zikuwonetsa kusuntha kwamitengo kwamphamvu. Mutha kuwona kuti mapangidwe a pennant adafotokozedwa ndi mizere iwiri yosinthira. Kuphatikiza apo, 50% Fibonacci retracement chart ya Flagpole idakonzedwa. Ngati muyang’anitsitsa, mudzawona kuti pamene pennant inapangidwira, kugwedezeka kwake kwakukulu kunasuntha pang’ono pansi pa mlingo wa 50% wobwereranso musanabwerere kumunsi. Chiyeso chachiwiri cha 50% chobwezera chinachitika patapita nthawi, koma chinakanidwanso kuchokera pamlingo umenewo. Chifukwa chake, zosefera zochokera ku Fibonacci zakonzedwa. Njira zopititsira patsogolo – pennant, triangle, mbendera ndi wedge: https://youtu. be/Ox4jLzrrjIY Choyambitsa cholowera chidzakhala chopuma ndikutseka pansi pa mzere wothandizira wa chitsanzo. Onani kuti kulowa kunali pansi pa mlingo wothandizira. Pamene choyambitsa cholowera chili patali kwambiri ndi malo opumira, ndizomveka kudikirira kukoka komwe kungatheke kuti mupange malonda abwino. Komabe, chiopsezo ndi chakuti palibe chitsimikizo chakuti mtengowo udzabwerera. Pankhaniyi, m’pofunika kuti mutsegule Malo Ochepa pambuyo pa kutsekedwa kutsekedwa (pa kandulo yolakwika, yomwe imazungulira). Cholinga choyamba (Chandamale 1) chinafikiridwa patapita nthawi. Imayimira mtengo wamtengo wofanana ndi 50% wa kutalika kwa flagpole kuchokera pamalo osweka. Ndipo cholinga chachiwiri (Chandamale 2) chimayikidwa pamtengo womwe uli wofanana ndi 100% ya kutalika kwa mbendera yoyezera kuchokera kumalo ophulika. Zindikirani momwe mtengo umafikira pa chandamale chachiwiri,
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

#2 Pfizer LTD Chitsanzo Kugulitsa Ola

Chithunzicho chimawonetsa kusasunthika kwa Pfizer Ltd. Pambuyo pakukwera, mitengo idasamukira ku gawo lophatikizira, ndikupanga Pennant, kenako kuphulika kunayamba, kutsatiridwa ndi kupitiliza kwa uptrend. Mlingo woyimitsa woyimitsa umayikidwa pamalo otsika kwambiri a chitsanzo. Mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa pennants umayikidwa poyesa kutalika koyambirira kwa mbendera mpaka pamene mtengo umatha kuchoka pa pennant.
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira

Ubwino ndi kuipa

Zina mwazabwino za chithunzichi zitha kudziwika:

  1. Zabwino kwa amalonda oyamba kumene chifukwa chosavuta kuzindikira.
  2. Zimagwirizana ndi lamulo la golide la malonda – “kutsegula kokha ndi chikhalidwe.”
  3. Mapangidwe osavuta, zinthu zosavuta kukumbukira zoyambira.

Zina mwazoyipa:

  1. Pali chiopsezo chachikulu chothamangira mu “msampha” ndikugwira kuwonongeka kwabodza.
  2. Sapezeka kawirikawiri.

Zolakwa ndi zoopsa

Zolakwa zambiri pakati pa amalonda ndi “misampha” yomwe amagweramo. Pali chiwerengero chapamwamba cha zolakwika zachitsanzo, monga momwe tawonetsera mu chitsanzo pansipa:
Chithunzi cha Pennant pamalonda: momwe chikuwonekera pa tchati, njira zogulitsira Chitsanzo chimasonyeza kuti kuwonongeka sikunagwire ntchito, kunakhala zabodza. Mzere wa graph unatembenuka ndikuthamangira mmwamba. Chitsanzocho sichinatuluke.

Malingaliro a akatswiri

Malinga ndi “shaki” zamalonda, mwachitsanzo, Carl Icahn, Julian Robertson, pennants ndizosavuta kuzizindikira. Kafukufuku wambiri wawonetsa kuti njira zopititsira patsogolo ndizabwino pakugulitsa masana. Njira zosiyanasiyana zamalonda zogwiritsira ntchito chitsanzochi zimachokera ku kuzindikira kwa pennants, ambiri omwe ali ndi mwayi wopeza phindu. Komabe, mapangidwe a pennant angakhale ovuta kuzindikira mu nthawi yeniyeni, ndipo zochitika zazikulu ndi zophatikizana zimafuna ndalama zambiri kuti mugulitse bwino. Pamapeto pake, zili kwa wochita malonda kusankha ngati angaphatikizepo kugwiritsa ntchito pennants mu ndondomeko ya malonda.

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