Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Методы и инструменты анализа

I-Pennant ekuhwebeni ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe – ukuthi iyini, ukuthi ibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhwebaIkhono lokubona amaphethini wobuchwepheshe ngaphambi komnyakazo wentengo yomhlaba wonke kungenye yezinto ezibaluleke kakhulu zokuhweba nge-
intraday . Ngokusobala, akunakwenzeka ukubikezela imakethe ngokunemba okuphelele, kodwa uma uhweba isikhathi eside ngokwanele, uzokwazi ukuthatha
amaphethini ahlukahlukene asebenza njengesignali ecacile yomnyakazo wentengo yomhlaba wonke ozayo. Ikhanda namahlombe, inkomishi nepeni, namaphenathi amanye amaphethini avame kakhulu abahwebi abawasebenzisayo ukukhomba izitayela zentengo ekhuphukayo noma ephansi. Ngakho-ke, ake siqhubekele ekucubunguleni okuningiliziwe kwalesi sihloko.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Hlobo luni lwesibalo se-pennant, incazelo

I-pennant wuhlobo olukhethekile lwephethini yokuqhubeka neshadi. Amaphethini afana namaphethini eshadi lefulegi ngoba anemigqa eguqukayo phakathi naso sonke isikhathi sokuhlanganisa. Imelela iphethini ethile yokuziphatha kweshadi, lapho kukhona ukunyakaza okuphawulekayo kwamanani amasheya, ngemva kwalokho isigaba sokuhlanganisa siqala, bese kuqhubeka ukuqhubeka komkhuba okhona. I-Pennant iyiphethini eyaziwayo esetshenziswa kabanzi ekuhlaziyweni kwezobuchwepheshe. Lesi sibalo sitholakala njalo kumashadi okuhweba cishe wonke amapheya emali. Qaphela! Ukwakheka kwale phethini yeshadi kuthatha isonto elilodwa ukuya kwamathathu.

Indlela iphethini ye-Pennant ibalwa ngayo eshadini

Noma yiliphi ishadi linenani eliphezulu lokubikezela lapho libonisa izici ezithile. Kumaphethini wokuqhubeka afana namafulegi nama-pennants, ukuba khona kwephethini ngokwayo kubonisa umnyakazo wemakethe onamandla amakhulu esikhathini esizayo. Ukuze i-pennant isebenze njengesibikezelo sokuhamba kwentengo kwesikhathi esizayo, izici zemakethe ezilandelayo nezici zesenzo senani kufanele zibe khona:

  1. Ukunyakaza kwentengo okuqondile . Ukunyakaza kwentengo kokugcina noma ikhono lokudweba ithrendi ehlobene kuyisimo esidingekayo sokwakheka kwepennant.
  2. Ivolumu . Ukubamba iqhaza kuyisici esibalulekile semakethe esafufusa. Ivolumu eqhubekayo phakathi nomnyakazo wokuqala wentengo inyusa ukuqinisekiswa kwamathuba okuqhubeka kwethrendi. Ukwehla kancane kwevolumu ngesikhathi sokwakhiwa kwe-pennant kungahunyushwa njengesibonakaliso esihle sokuthi abahlanganyeli bemakethe ngeke bahambe emakethe, kodwa bamatasa befuna indawo yokungena efanelekile ukuze baqhubeke nomkhuba wangaphambilini.
  3. ubude besikhathi . Amaphethini abhekwa njengamaphethini eshadi akha ashesha kakhulu. Uma ukwakheka kuthathe isikhathi eside kakhulu maqondana nenkathi yesikhathi, khona-ke ukuba semthethweni kwakho kuyangabazeka.

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Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhwebaIphethini ye-pennant ekuhwebeni eshadini[/caption]

Isikhathi esifanele sokungena emakethe yilapho inani lephula umugqa we-Pennant, owenza unxantathu obheke kuthrendi yayo eyinhloko ngokuhlobene ne-flagpole.

Izakhi eziyinhloko zesibalo se-pennant

Ama-Pennants anezici eziningana ezibalulekile ezikhona kungakhathaliseki ukuthi yiziphi izimo. Izici eziyinhloko zomfanekiso:

  1. I- Flagpole . Imele ithrendi (phezulu noma phansi). Leli yibanga ukusuka ekuqaleni komnyakazo wentengo eqondisiwe ukuya endaweni yayo ephezulu noma ephansi.
  2. Unxantathu . Isebenza njengohlaka lwepennant futhi yakhiwe ngokudweba imigqa yethrendi eguqukayo emibili (imigqa yokumelana neyokusekela); enye ixhuma ukuphakama kwebanga lokuhlanganisa kanti enye ixhumanisa okuphansi. Imigqa emibili yethrendi iyahlangana ukuze yakhe unxantathu.
  3. Tshekisa . Kuchazwa imigqa yethrendi kanxantathu ngokuhlobene ne-flagpole. Unxantathu utshekisa ngokumelene nethrendi futhi uhlukaniswa njenge-bullish noma i-bearish, kuye ngokuthi ithrendi yokuqala iphezulu noma iphansi.
  4. I- Rollback . Ikalwa ngokubala iphoyinti elingaphezulu noma eliphansi le-flagpole ukusuka phezulu noma endaweni engezansi ye-pennant ngokwayo. Ngokuvamile, amathuluzi afana nokubuyiswa kwe- Fibonacci asetshenziswa ngokuhambisana nokwakheka kwe-pennant ukuze kunqunywe ukuthi kungenzeka yini kanye nosayizi wokuqhuma okungase kube khona.

Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Ukwakhiwa kwephethini ye-Pennant ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe ekuhwebeni, ku-bullish kanye ne-bearish pennant, i-symmetrical

Iphethini eshadini iqala nge-flagpole ngendlela yochungechunge lwamakhandlela ahamba ngendlela efanayo. Kungaba umkhuba noma umfutho wentengo olula. Ukubhekwa okuqhubekayo kwemakethe ngokushesha ngemva kokufinyelela phansi kwe-bearish mkhuba (iphuzu eliphakeme kakhulu lomkhuba we-bullish) kusivumela ukuba sinqume ukwakheka kwengxenye yokugcina yephethini – unxantathu olinganayo. Qaphela ukuthi iphethini yakheka ngokushesha. Ngaleso sikhathi, lapho imigqa emibili edlula ezindaweni eziphakeme neziphansi ihlangana ngokucijile ibheke komunye nomunye, yakha unxantathu omncane, singakhuluma ngokuphepha mayelana nokwakheka kweVympel.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Izinhlobo ze-Pennant

Ama-pennants ayizinhlobo ezimbili:

inkunzi yenkomo

Iphethini ye-bullish yakha ngemuva kokukhuphuka okubukhali kwamanani esitoko. Ngemuva kokukhuphuka okude, abathengisi bazama ukuvala isikhundla sabo, becabanga ukuthi ukuguqulwa kuzokwenzeka. Izintengo ziqala ukuhlangana njengoba abathengisi beqala ukuphuma esitokweni. Kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, lapho abathengi abasha beqala ukuthenga isitoko, kubangela ukuthi amanani aphule ngendlela efanayo ne-uptrend yangaphambilini.

bear pennant

Iphethini yakhiwa ngemva kokwehla okukhulu kwamanani esitoko. Ngemuva kwe-downtrend ende, abathengisi bazama ukuvala izikhundla zabo zokuthengisa, becabanga ukuthi ukuguqulwa kuzokwenzeka. Izintengo ziqala ukuhlangana njengoba abathengisi beqala ukuphuma esitokweni. Ngalesi sikhathi, abathengisi abasha baqala ukuthengisa isitoko, okwenza amanani entengo aphume ngendlela efanayo nangesikhathi se-downtrend yangaphambilini.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Umehluko kufulegi nezibalo eziseduze

Iphethini ye-pennant iyafana nephethini yefulegi, umehluko kuphela ukuthi isigaba sokuhlanganisa sephethini ye-pennant sibonakala ngokuguquka kwemigqa yethrendi kunemigqa yethrendi ehambisanayo. Umehluko omkhulu kwezinye izibalo eziseduze – “Symmetrical Triangle”, “Ascending-Descending Triangle” yi-scope nesikali. I-pennant ifomu elincane kububanzi nobude besikhathi, elandulelwa ukukhuphuka kwentengo okubukhali noma ukwehla okukhulu.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Isetshenziswa kanjani ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe?

Lapho uhweba usebenzisa iphethini, udinga ukucabangela amaphuzu alandelayo:

  1. Ngemuva kokunyakaza okuqinile noma phezulu noma phansi, izintengo kufanele ziye esigabeni sokuhlanganisa.
  2. Ivolumu yokuhweba kufanele ikhuphuke ekunyakazeni kokuqala kwalokhu kwakheka kwephethini, okulandelwa ukuwenza buthaka umthamo bese ukhuphula ivolumu ekuphumeni.
  3. Izintengo kufanele zihambe ziye ohlangothini olufanayo ngemuva kokuqhuma.

Ukuhweba nge-pennant exchange – amasu asebenzayo nezibonelo ezinezincazelo nezincazelo zesithombe

#1 Isibonelo usebenzisa isu elijwayelekile lokuhweba

Lesi sibonelo siyinguqulo ye-bearish yephethini ye-pennant emakethe yemali. Ishadi elingezansi libonisa isenzo sentengo sokubhanqwa kohlobo lwemali ye-Euro-Yen ngokusekelwe esikhathini esiyimizuzu engama-480.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhwebaUkuqala ohlangothini lwesobunxele lweshadi, sibona ukunyakaza okucijile okuya phansi okwakha isigxobo sefulegi. Qaphela ukuthi likhulu kangakanani iphesenti lamakhandlela e-bearish abomvu uma liqhathaniswa namakhandlela aluhlaza. Lokhu kukhombisa ukunyakaza kwentengo okunamandla. Ungabona ukuthi ukwakheka kwe-pennant kuchazwe ngemigqa emibili eguqukayo yethrendi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kwahlelwa ishadi lokubuyisela i-Fibonacci elingu-50% leFlagpole. Uma ubhekisisa kahle, uzobona ukuthi njengoba i-pennant yakheka, ukushwibeka kwayo okwedlulele kwanyakaza ngaphansi nje kwezinga lokubuyiswa kwe-50% ngaphambi kokubuyela phansi. Ukuhlolwa kwesibili kwezinga lokuphinda kulandelelwe okungu-50% kwenzeke esikhathini esithile kamuva, kodwa kwaphinde kwenqatshwa kulelo zinga. Ngakho-ke, isihlungi esisekelwe ku-Fibonacci senziwe. Amaphethini okuqhubeka okuthrendayo – i-pennant, unxantathu, ifulegi ne-wedge: https://youtu. be/Ox4jLzrrjIY Isiqalisi sokufaka sizoba yikhefu futhi sivale ngaphansi komugqa wokusekela wephethini. Qaphela ukuthi okufakiwe bekungaphansi kwezinga lokusekela. Lapho i-trigger yokungena iyibanga elibalulekile ukusuka endaweni yokuphumula, kunengqondo ukulinda ukudonsa okungenzeka ukuze wenze ukuhweba okungcono. Nokho, ingozi iwukuthi asikho isiqiniseko sokuthi intengo izobuya. Kulokhu, kuyadingeka ukuvula isikhundla esifushane ngemuva kokuvalwa kokuqhekeka (ekhandlela elibi, elizungezwe). Ithagethi yokuqala (Ithagethi 1) ifinyelelwe esikhathini esithile ngemva kokungena. Imele inani lentengo elilingana no-50% wobude be-flagpole ukusuka endaweni yokuphuma. Futhi okuhlosiwe kwesibili (Ithagethi 2) isethwe ngentengo elingana no-100% wobude be-flagpole elinganiswa kusukela endaweni yokuphuma. Qaphela ukuthi intengo ifinyelela kanjani ekuhlosweni kwesibili,
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

#2 Pfizer LTD Isibonelo Sokuhweba Ngehora

Isibonelo esingezansi sibonisa ukwakheka kwephethini eshadini lehora le-Pfizer Ltd. Ngemuva kokukhuphuka kwezintengo, izintengo zidlulele esigabeni sokuhlanganisa, zakha i-Pennant, kwase kuqala ukuqhuma, okulandelwa ukuqhubeka kokukhuphuka. Izinga lokulahlekelwa kokuma libekwe endaweni ephansi kakhulu yephethini. Intengo ehlosiwe yama-pennants isethwa ngokulinganisa ubude bokuqala be-flagpole kuze kufike endaweni lapho intengo ihlukana khona ne-pennant.
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Ubuhle nobubi

Phakathi kwezinzuzo zalo mfanekiso kungaphawulwa:

  1. Ilungele abahwebi abasaqalayo njengoba iphethini kulula ukuyibona.
  2. Ihambisana nomthetho wegolide wokuhweba – “vula kuphela ngomkhuba.”
  3. Ukwakheka okulula, izakhi ezilula zokukhumbula izinto eziyisisekelo.

Phakathi kokubi:

  1. Kukhona ingozi enkulu yokungena “ocupheni” futhi ubambe ukuphuka okungamanga.
  2. Akuvamile ukutholakala.

Amaphutha kanye nezingozi

Amaphutha avame kakhulu phakathi kwabadayisi “izicupho” abawela kuzo. Kunezinga eliphezulu lamaphozithizi amanga ephethini, njengoba kukhonjisiwe esibonelweni esingezansi:
Isibalo se-Pennant ekuhwebeni: ukuthi sibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhwebaIsibonelo sibonisa ukuthi ukuhlukaniswa akusebenzanga, kuvele kungamanga. Ijika legrafu laphenduka lakhuphuka ngokushesha. Iphethini ayizange iphume.

Umbono wochwepheshe

Ngokusho “koshaka” bokuhweba, isibonelo, uCarl Icahn, uJulian Robertson, ama-pennants angamaphethini eshadi abonakala kalula. Ucwaningo oluningi lubonise ukuthi amaphethini okuqhubeka alungele ukuhweba ngosuku. Amasu ahlukahlukene okuhweba usebenzisa leli phethini asekelwe ekuqapheliseni ama-pennants, amaningi awo anethuba elikhulu lokwenza inzuzo. Kodwa-ke, ukwakheka kwe-pennant kungaba nzima ukukubona ngesikhathi sangempela, futhi amathrendi amakhulu nobubanzi bokuhlanganiswa kudinga imali enkulu ukuze kuhwetshwe ngendlela efanele. Ekugcineni, kukumthengisi ukuthi anqume ukuthi afake noma angafaki ukusetshenziswa kwama-pennants ohlelweni lokuhweba.

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