Iipateni zokuqhubeka komzila kuhlalutyo lobugcisa

Eyona nto iphambili yorhwebo ziitshati ezibonisa amaxabiso ngokuhamba kwexesha. Ekuboneni kuqala, iitshathi zinokubonakala njengemigca eqhekekileyo engaqhelekanga, ngaphandle kokuxhomekeka, kunye nokuguquguquka kwexabiso akuhleliwe, kodwa akunjalo. Ukuhlalutya iitshathi zombini ngesandla kunye noncedo lwezixhobo ezizodwa zobugcisa ezisekelwe kwimigaqo yezibalo zezibalo kunye nohlalutyo, kunokwenzeka ukuchonga iipateni ezifihliweyo kwiinguqu zexabiso, iindlela zokutshintsha kwazo, kwaye uqikelele ngokusemandleni aphezulu ukuba amaxabiso kwi-stock exchange aya kwenza njani. utshintsho kumzuzu olandelayo, okuvumela ukuba wenze ukuthengiselana okunenzuzo.
Ngokusekelwe kwiminyaka emininzi yamava urhwebo, iingcali empirically kunye nocazululo zachongwa amanani eziliqela kwitshathi, leyo ukuqikelela kunye nokwenzeka eliphezulu enye iinketho kunokwenzeka ukuziphatha itshathi – umzekelo, ukuqhubeka okanye utshintsho umkhwa. Ungahlala uziqonda ngenyaniso yokuba ziyilwe ngokubukhali kwaye zigqame kwitshathi iphela, kwaye zikwaphakathi kwendlela. Kule nqaku, siza kuqwalasela loo manani avela kubo abonisa ukuqhubeka komzila, ekubeni kwaziwa ukuba ukuze uphumelele, umrhwebi kufuneka athengise ngendlela ehamba ngayo. Ukwazi ezi patheni kuya kumvumela ukuba avule ngokuzithemba izikhundla zokuthengisa kumaxabiso aphezulu kunye nomngcipheko omncinci.

Iflegi

Urhweba njani “kwiflegi”

Isalathiso apho umzila uhamba khona unqunywe, ngoko ke kuyimfuneko ukugxila kuphela kwixabiso lobungakanani bexabiso. Ithagethi yexabiso emva kokuba iphethini yenziwe ingabalwa ngokumisela ukuphakama kweflegi. Kukwafanelekile ukuqwalasela ukuba ubungakanani obukhulu beflegi ngokwawo ngokuqhelekileyo abudluli iigzags ezintlanu, emva koko, ngomhla wesihlanu, ixabiso lihamba ngaphaya komzobo.

Wedge

Yakhiwe emva kokutshintshwa kwexabiso elibukhali, ngelixa i-figure efana ne-pennant yenziwe, kodwa ngokwahlukana ukuba unxantathu owenza ukuguquguquka akwenziwanga ngokupheleleyo. Le elementi inothambeka kwicala elichasene nentsingiselo.
Njengamanye amanani achazwe ngasentla, lo unokunyuka nokuhla. Kwimeko yokunyuka kwe-wedge, ine-slope ephezulu, kodwa olu hlobo lomzobo lubonisa ukuqhubeka kwe-downtrend. Kwaye ngokuchaseneyo – ukuba i-wedge ewelayo iyancipha phantsi, ngoko oku kubonisa ukuba intshukumo ephezulu iya kuqhubeka. Ngokwendlela yokurhweba, eli nani liyahluka ngokuxhomekeka kwii-subspecies zayo esijongene nazo: ukunyuka okanye ukuhla.

Ukunyuka kwentengiso ye-wedge.

Kufanelekile ukuqala ukurhweba emva komgca ophantsi we-wedge, obizwa nangokuthi “Inkxaso”, iphukile. Emva koko kuyimfuneko ukuveza indawo yokuthengisa. Beka ilahleko yakho yokuyeka ngaphezulu kwe “resistance”. Kule meko, ukuthatha inzuzo kufuneka ibe mkhulu kunobukhulu bomfanekiso.

Ukurhweba kwi-wedge ewelayo

Emva kokuba ixabiso liphule kumgca ophezulu, singena kwimarike. Sibeka inzuzo enkulu kunobukhulu be-wedge kwaye sibeke ilahleko yokuyeka ngaphantsi komgca ophantsi.

Unxantathu

Unxantathu ujongeka njengokuguquguquka okugoso ngaphakathi kwekhontolo emile njengonxantathu. Kwiimeko ezininzi, yenziwe ekupheleni kwendlela ephambili. Oonxantathu bayahluka ngokohlobo lokumila kunye namandla omqondiso.

Iintlobo ngokuxhomekeke kwimilo yomfanekiso

Ekunyukeni koonxantathu, i-axis ye-symmetry ine-slope enhle. Kwi-triangles ehlayo, i-axis ye-symmetry inethambeka elibi. Kwiinxantathu ezilinganayo, i-axis ye-symmetry ihambelana ne-axis yexesha, oko kukuthi, ayinayo i-slope. Unxantathu olinganayo luphawu oluqinileyo lokuqhubeka.

Indlela yokuthengisa

Indlela yokurhweba unxantathu ixhomekeke kwindlela ekhoyo. Kwimeko apho unxantathu onyukayo ubonakala kwi-bearish trend, okanye unxantathu ohlayo kwi-bullish enye, i-trend iya kuba namandla aphantsi. Emva koko unxantathu omnye akwanelanga ukuqonda ukuba umkhwa uya kuqhubeka. Kwaye ngokuphambeneyo: umqondiso oqinileyo ubonakala kunye nonxantathu onyukayo kwi-bullish trend kunye nezantsi kwi-bearish. Iipateni ezifanayo ziyaziwa ezazibonwa kwamanye amanani:

1. Ukuba kukho amaza angaphezu kwamahlanu, ixabiso liya kunyuka ngokukhawuleza emva kokuqhambuka.
2. Okukhona uqhambuko lwenzeka, kokukhona umkhwa womelele.

Kwakhona, njengamanani angaphambili, kungcono ukurhweba koonxantathu kuphela xa ukuphulwa kwexabiso kuqinisekisiwe.

uxande olubhilizayo

I-bullish rectangle yipateni yokuqhubela phambili eyenziwa ngeli xesha xa kukho ikhefu ekutshintsheni ixabiso ngexesha lokunyuka okunamandla, kwaye i-oscillates okwethutyana ngaphandle kokuya ngaphaya kwemigca ehambelanayo – ebonisa umda wokuguquguquka. Emva koko, imeko iphinda inyukele phezulu. Kuphantsi kweemeko ezinjalo apho ipateni yokuqhubela phambili yenziwa, eyaziwa ngcono ekurhwebeni njenge “Bullish Rectangle”. Kukho iinguqulelo ezimbini zeerectangles – i-bullish kunye ne-bearish, nangona kunjalo, njengamanye amanani amaninzi. Siza kuqwalasela i-bullish kweli nqaku, kuba luphawu lokuba imeko yangoku inokuqhubeka. Siza kujonga iindlela zokuzichonga, kunye neendlela, izicwangciso kunye namaqhinga angcono kakhulu ukurhweba usebenzisa i-bullish rectangle pattern. Ngenxa yobume bayo obulula, kulula kakhulu ukuyifumana kunye nokuchonga kwitshathi. Makhe sikuxelele ukuba ikhangeleka njani: i-oscillations ngendlela ye-zigzags, eboshwe yi-contour ye-rectangular equlethe imigca emibini ethe tye ejongene nomnye kwaye ihambelana ne-axis yexesha. Ngaphambi nasemva kokuba ixabiso lidityaniswe kuluhlu olubuxande, lenze imitsi ebukhali. Umzobo uqala xa ixabiso liqala ukuguquguquka kuluhlu oluchaziweyo, kwaye luphela xa luqhekeza omnye wemida – enye yemigca.

Iindlela zokurhweba zeBullish Rectangle

Indlela yokuqala

Ukuvula isivumelwano. Kuyimfuneko ukungena kwimarike ngokukhawuleza emva kokuba ikhandlela livale ngaphezu komda ophezulu, umgca wokumelana. Oko kukuthi, kufuneka ubeke indawo yokuthenga ukuba isivumelwano side. Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kufuneka kubekwe ngaphantsi kwinqanaba lenkxaso, eliboniswa ngumgca ophantsi kwitshathi. Kufuneka ubeke inqanaba lenzuzo ngolu hlobo lulandelayo: thabatha ubude bomzobo kwaye usethe inqanaba lenzuzo kumgama ofanayo ngaphezu kwenqanaba lokumelana (umgca ophezulu).

Indlela yesibini

I-algorithm yezenzo iqala ngendlela efanayo kwindlela yokuqala – kufuneka uqale ulinde de ikhandlela livale kwinqanaba lokumelana, liphule. Emva koko kufuneka uvule umyalelo wokuthenga ngeli xesha xa ixabiso liwela kwinqanaba lokumelana kwaye liqala ukukhula kwakhona (ngalo mzuzu umgca wokumelana ujika ube ngumgca wenkxaso kumfanekiso omtsha wexande). Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kufuneka kubekwe kancinane ngaphantsi komgca wokumelana (omtsha).

Indlela yokumisela inqanaba lenzuzo

Kanye njengokuba kwindlela yokuqala, kuyimfuneko ukuseta inqanaba lenzuzo kumgama wokuphakama komzobo ngaphezu kwenqanaba lokumelana. Uxande olukwinqanaba eliphezulu yipatheni yokuqhubeka ye-uptrend, ebonisa ukuba yintoni enokuthengwa ngenzuzo. Urhwebo olude lunokuvulwa emva kokuba umgca wokuchasa uphukile (ngokwendlela yokuqala yokurhweba), okanye xa ixabiso emva koko linyuka ukusuka kweli nqanaba, liguqule libe ngumgca omtsha wenkxaso (indlela yesibini yokuthengisa kwi-bullish). uxande) Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kufuneka kubekwe phantsi komgca wenkxaso ephantsi (indlela yokuthengisa 1), okanye ngaphantsi komgca wokuchasana ophezulu emva kokuba i-oa ibe ngumgca omtsha wenkxaso (i-bullish rectangle yorhwebo indlela 2). Inqanaba lenzuzo kufuneka libekwe kumgama olingana nobude bomzobo, ngaphezu komgca wokumelana ophezulu. Iipateni zokuqhubeka kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, indlela yokufumana kunye nendlela yokurhweba: https://youtu.be/9p6ThSkgoBM

Ukuqukumbela

Nangona ukukhangela kunye nokurhweba okulandelayo kusetyenziswa le patheni ingentla ingeyosayensi ngqo, kodwa kuphela kwindawo yezibalo zemathematika, enika kuphela uqikelelo oluqikelelweyo lotshintsho lwamaxabiso, kusafanele ukuziqhelanisa nokuzichonga, kuba ngale ndlela uya kufumana iipateni rhoqo, kwaye Ukwazi ukuba zithetha ukuthini kuya kukunceda wenze uqikelelo oluchanekileyo kwaye ufumane elona xabiso liphezulu kurhwebo olunokwenzeka kunye nomngcipheko omncinci. Ngaphezu koko, la manani akakwazi ukukhonza kuphela njengeempawu zokuqhubeka kweendlela, kodwa kwakhona abonise iithagethi zexabiso, elikwabalulekile kumrhwebi osondela kwishishini ngokuqiqa nangokucinga. Ekugqibeleni, ukusetyenziswa kwala manani, ngokweenkcukacha-manani kuzisa iinzuzo ezininzi.