Amaphethini wokuqhubeka wethrendi ekuhlaziyeni kobuchwepheshe

Isici esiyinhloko sokuhweba amashadi abonisa amanani ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Uma ubheka nje, amashadi angase abonakale njengemigqa ephukile engahlelekile, ngaphandle kokuncika, futhi ukuguqulwa kwentengo akwenzeki, kodwa akunjalo. Ukuhlaziya amashadi ngesandla nangosizo lwamathuluzi akhethekile obuchwepheshe asekelwe ezimisweni zezibalo nokuhlaziywa kwezibalo, kungenzeka ukuhlonza amaphethini afihliwe ekushintsheni kwentengo, izitayela ekushintsheni kwawo, futhi ubikezele ngamathuba aphezulu ukuthi izintengo zesitoko zizoba kanjani. ushintsho emzuzwini olandelayo, okuvumela ukuthi wenze ukuthengiselana okunenzuzo.
Ngokusekelwe kokuhlangenwe nakho kweminyaka eminingi yokuhweba, ochwepheshe bakhombe ngokomthetho nangokuhlaziya izibalo ezimbalwa eshadini, ezibikezela ngamathuba aphezulu enye yezinketho ezingaba khona zokuziphatha kweshadi – isibonelo, ukuqhubeka noma ushintsho kuthrendi. Ungawabona kaningi ngokuthi aklanywe ngokucijile futhi agqama kulo lonke ishadi, futhi amaphakathi nethrendi. Kulesi sihloko, sizocubungula lezo zibalo ezivela kuzo ezibonisa ukuqhubeka komkhuba, njengoba kwaziwa ukuthi ukuze uphumelele, umhwebi udinga ukuhweba ekuqondeni komkhuba. Ukwazi la maphethini kuzomvumela ukuthi avule ngokuzethemba izikhundla zokuthengisa ngamanani aphezulu ngengozi encane.

Hlaba umkhosi

[i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_13703” align = “aligncenter” wide = “601”]
Umfanekiso “Ifulegi” [/ amazwibela] Umfanekiso wokuqala esizowucabangela ubizwa ngokuthi “Ifulegi” ngenxa yokufana kwawo kwangaphandle. Ifulege livela kuphela ngokuthambekela okuqinile, ngokungafani nezinye izibalo. Isici esisithakaselayo kulo mfanekiso yi-“flagpole” yayo, ebuye ibukeke njenge-flagpole yangempela. Ibonisa isiqondiso senkambiso ekhona. Ingxenye emazombezombe, eboshwe emaphethelweni ngesimo sikanxande, indwangu yefulegi, ifulege ngokwalo, ebonisa ukuma kancane emakethe. “Ifulege” lingaba nethambeka elibi noma eliphozithivu, kuyilapho uma i-flagpole slope iphozithivu, ifulegi ngokwalo linethambeka elibi, futhi ngokuphambene nalokho – uma ukuthambeka “kwefulegi” kuphozithivu, khona-ke i-flagpole slope negative. Njengoba ubona, ukuthambekela okuhle noma okungalungile kweshadi kubonisa ukunyuka noma ukwehla kwentengo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_13942″ align=”
Hlaba umkhosi ngephethini ekuhwebeni[/caption]

Indlela yokuhweba “ngefulegi”

Isiqondiso lapho umkhuba uya khona kunqunywa, ngakho-ke kuyadingeka ukugxila kuphela ku-quantitative factor of the price. Intengo eqondiwe ngemva kokwakhiwa kwephethini ingabalwa ngokunquma ubude be-flagpole. Kuyafaneleka futhi ukucabangela ukuthi ubukhulu obukhulu befulegi ngokwayo ngokuvamile abudluli ama-zigzag amahlanu, ngemva kwalokho, okwesihlanu, intengo idlula isibalo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_14816” align = “aligncenter” wide = “486”]
Uhweba kanjani “ngefulegi”[/ amazwibela] Izibalo ziqinisekisa ukuthi lesi sibalo sivamise ukuhlobana nokuphuma kwentengo okubukhali. Ukuze ubale ukuthi intengo izoshintsha ngokucijile kangakanani ekuphumeni okuthile, umhwebi angakwazi ukunquma amapharamitha ezinombolo njenge-engeli yefulegi, ukujula kwendwangu kanye nenani lamagagasi abengaphambi kwalo. Ubukhali bomthambeka bulingana namandla okuphuma kwentengo. Umuzwa wokuhweba ubonisa ukuthi iqhinga elingcono kakhulu lokuhweba ngefulegi lingemuva kokuthi ukuqubuka sekuvele kwenzeke. Ngeke sihlale lapha emcabangweni waleli qiniso, khumbula nje lokhu njengomthetho ongasetshenziswa ekusebenzeni.

I-Pennant

Kubukeka njengefulege, kodwa kunomehluko owodwa: “efulegini” amagagasi anqunyelwe ukuma konxande, okungukuthi, isiteshi, kanye ne-pennant – ngesimo sikanxantathu, ukunciphisa ukuphakama kwama-oscillations. ohlangothini oluphambene ne-flagpole. Umehluko wesibili ukuthi ububanzi lapho i-pennant ihamba khona incane kunefulegi, futhi ukukhuphuka kwentengo phambi kwayo kucishe kube yi-perpendicular. Futhi, lesi sibalo sinesici esisodwa esiphawulekayo: isikhathi esifushane esakhiwe ngaso. Kunezinhlobo ezimbili zale phethini: i-bullish pennant kanye ne-bearish pennant.

I-Bullish pennant yokuhweba

Okwamanje lapho intengo ingaphezu kwezinga eliphezulu likanxantathu owenziwe, udinga ukuvula indawo yokuthenga. Ukumisa ukulahlekelwa kufanele kubekwe ngaphansi komugqa ophansi. Thatha inzuzo kumele ibekwe ubude be-flagpole.

Ukuhweba kwe-Bearish pennant

Uma intengo idlula izinga eliphansi le-pennant eyakhiwe, udinga ukuvula indawo yokuthengisa, bese usetha ukulahlekelwa kokuma ngaphesheya komugqa ophezulu bese usetha inzuzo yokuthatha ubude obulingana nobude be-flagpole

I-Wedge

Yakhiwe ngemva kokuguqulwa kwentengo ebukhali, kuyilapho kwakhiwa isibalo esifana ne-pennant, kodwa umehluko wokuthi unxantathu owenza ukushintshashintsha akwakhiwa ngokuphelele. Le elementi inomthambeka obheke ngakumathrendi.
Njengezinye izibalo ezichazwe ngenhla, lena ingase inyuke futhi yehle. Endabeni ye-wedge ekhuphukayo, inomthambeko okhuphukayo, kodwa lolu hlobo lwesibalo lubonisa ukuqhubeka kwe-downtrend. Futhi ngokuphambene nalokho – uma i-wedge ewayo ihlotshiswe phansi, khona-ke lokhu kuyisibonakaliso sokuthi ukunyakaza okuphezulu kuzoqhubeka. Ngokwendlela yokuhweba, lesi sibalo siyahluka kuye ngokuthi i-subspecies yayo esibhekene nayo: ikhuphuka noma yehla.

Ukuhweba okukhuphukayo.

Kuyafaneleka ukuqala ukuhweba ngemuva komugqa ophansi we-wedge, obizwa nangokuthi “Ukusekela”, uphukile. Khona-ke kuyadingeka ukuveza isikhundla sokuthengisa. Beka ukulahlekelwa kwakho kokumisa ngaphezu “kokumelana”. Kulokhu, inzuzo yokuthatha kufanele ibe nkulu kunobukhulu besibalo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_14819″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”451″]
Ukuhweba ngeweji ekhulayo.[/caption]

Ukuhweba nge-wedge ewayo

Ngemva kokuba intengo inqamule emgqeni ophezulu, singena emakethe. Setha inzuzo enkulu kunosayizi we-wedge futhi sibeka ukulahlekelwa kokuma ngaphansi komugqa ophansi.

Unxantathu

Unxantathu ubukeka njengokuguquguquka kwamazombezombe ngaphakathi kwekhontolomu emise okonxantathu. Ezimweni eziningi, kwakhiwa ekupheleni komkhuba oyinhloko. Onxantathu bayahluka ngohlobo lomumo namandla esignali.

Izinhlobo kuye ngesimo somfanekiso

Konxantathu abakhuphukayo, i-axis of symmetry inomthambeka omuhle. Konxantathu abehlayo, i-axis of symmetry inethambeka elibi. Konxantathu abalinganayo, i-axis of symmetry ihambisana ne-axis yesikhathi, okungukuthi, ayinawo umthambeko. Unxantathu we-symmetrical inkomba eqinile yokuqhubeka kwethrendi. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_13867″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”323″]
Unxantathu okhuphukayo nowehlayo[/caption]

Indlela yokuhweba

Indlela yokuhweba unxantathu incike kumkhuba okhona. Esimweni lapho unxantathu okhuphukayo uvela ku-bearish mkhuba, noma unxantathu owehlayo ku-bullish, khona-ke umkhuba uzoba namandla aphansi. Khona-ke unxantathu owodwa akwanele ukuqonda ukuthi umkhuba uzoqhubeka. Futhi ngokuphambene nalokho: isignali enamandla ivela nonxantathu okhuphukayo kuthrendi ye-bullish kanye neyokwehlayo kweyibhishi. Amaphethini afanayo ayaziwa abonakale kwezinye izibalo:

1. Uma kukhona amagagasi angaphezu kwamahlanu, intengo cishe izokhuphuka ngokushesha ngemva kokuqhuma.
2. Lapho ukuqubuka kwenzeka kusenesikhathi, kulapho umkhuba uqina khona.

Futhi, njengezibalo zangaphambilini, kungcono ukuhweba ngonxantathu kuphela lapho ukwephulwa kwentengo sekuqinisekisiwe.

i-bullish unxande

I-bullish rectangle iyiphethini yokuqhubeka yethrendi eyakhiwa ngesikhathi lapho kuba khona ikhefu ekushintsheni kwentengo ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka okuqinile, futhi ibuye ihlehle isikhashana ngaphandle kokudlula imigqa ehambisanayo – ekhombisa umkhawulo wokuguquguquka. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_14812” align = “aligncenter” wide = “478”]
Unxande oyi-Bullish[/caption] Ngemva kwalokho, ithrendi iyakhuphuka futhi. Kungaphansi kwezimo ezinjalo lapho kwakheka khona iphethini yokuqhubeka kwethrendi, eyaziwa kangcono ekuhwebeni njengokuthi “Unxande We-Bullish”. Kunezinguqulo ezimbili zama-rectangles – i-bullish ne-bearish, noma kunjalo, njengezinye izibalo eziningi. Sizocubungula i-bullish kulesi sihloko, ngoba kuwuphawu lokuthi umkhuba wamanje uzoqhubeka. Sizobheka izindlela zokuzihlonza, kanye nezindlela, amasu namaqhinga angcono kakhulu okuhwebelana kusetshenziswa iphethini yonxande ye-bullish. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_14100” align = “aligncenter” wide = “533”]
Unxande oyi-bullish ekuhwebeni[/caption] Ngenxa yokuma kwawo okulula, kulula kakhulu ukuwuthola nokuwukhomba eshadini. Ake sikutshele ukuthi ibukeka kanjani: ama-oscillations ngendlela yama-zigzag, aboshwe i-contour engunxande equkethe imigqa emibili eqondile ebhekene nomunye futhi ehambisana ne-eksisi yesikhathi. Ngaphambi nangemuva kwentengo ehlanganiswe kububanzi obunjengonxande, yenze ukweqa okubukhali. Isibalo siqala lapho intengo iqala ukuguquguquka ebangeni elishiwo, futhi iphele lapho igqashuka komunye wemikhawulo – omunye wemigqa.

Izindlela Zokuhweba Zonxande We-Bullish

Indlela yokuqala

Ukuvula isivumelwano. Kuyadingeka ukungena emakethe ngokushesha ngemuva kokuba ikhandlela livale ngaphezu komkhawulo ongaphezulu, umugqa wokumelana. Okusho ukuthi, kufanele ubeke indawo yokuthenga uma isivumelwano siside. Ukumisa ukulahlekelwa kufanele kubekwe ngaphansi nje kwezinga lokusekela, eliboniswa umugqa ophansi eshadini. Udinga ukusetha izinga lenzuzo ngale ndlela elandelayo: thatha ukuphakama kwesibalo bese usetha izinga lenzuzo ebangeni elifanayo ngaphezu kwezinga lokumelana (umugqa ophezulu).

Indlela yesibili

I-algorithm yezenzo iqala ngendlela efanayo nendlela yokuqala – kufanele uqale ulinde kuze kube yilapho ikhandlela livala ezingeni lokumelana, ukuliphula. Khona-ke udinga ukuvula i-oda lokuthenga ngesikhathi lapho intengo iwela ezingeni lokumelana futhi iqala ukukhula futhi (ngalo mzuzu umugqa wokumelana uphenduka umugqa wokusekela wesibalo esisha esingunxande). Ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa kufanele kubekwe kancane ngaphansi komugqa wokumelana (okusha).

Indlela yokusetha izinga lenzuzo

Njengendlela yokuqala, kuyadingeka ukusetha izinga lenzuzo ebangeni lokuphakama kwesibalo ngaphezu kwezinga lokumelana. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_14728” align = “aligncenter” wide = “700”]
Unxande ekuhwebeni[/caption] Unxande obubhizi iyiphethini yokuqhubeka ye-uptrend, ebonisa lokho okungathengwa ngenzuzo. Ukuhweba okude kungavulwa ngemuva kokwephulwa komugqa wokumelana (ngokwendlela yokuqala yokuhweba), noma lapho intengo ngemuva kwalokho nayo igxuma kusuka kuleli zinga, iguqule umugqa omusha wokusekela (indlela yesibili yokuhweba ku-bullish). unxande) Ukumisa ukulahlekelwa kufanele kubekwe ngaphansi komugqa wokusekela ophansi (indlela yokuhweba 1), noma ngaphansi komugqa wokumelana ophezulu ngemuva kokuthi i-oa ibe umugqa omusha wokusekela (indlela yokuhweba engunxande 2). Izinga lenzuzo kufanele libekwe ebangeni elilingana nokuphakama kwesibalo, ngaphezu komugqa wokumelana ongaphezulu. Amaphethini okuqhubeka okuthrendayo ekuhlaziyweni kobuchwepheshe, ukuthi utholakala kanjani nokuthi uhweba kanjani: https://youtu.be/9p6ThSkgoBM

Isiphetho

Yize ukusesha nokuhweba okulandelayo kusetshenziswa amaphethini angenhla kungeyona isayensi eqondile, kodwa kuyingxenye yezibalo kuphela yezibalo, enikeza kuphela izibikezelo ezilinganiselwe zezinguquko zentengo, kusafanele ukuzijwayeza ukuzikhomba, ngoba ngale ndlela uzothola amaphethini kaningi, futhi Ukwazi ukuthi asho ukuthini kuzokusiza wenze izibikezelo ezifanele futhi uthole inani eliningi kusuka ekuhwebeni okunethuba eliphakeme kakhulu kanye nengozi encane kakhulu. Ngaphezu kwalokho, lezi zibalo azikwazi ukusebenza kuphela njengezimpawu zokuqhubeka komkhuba, kodwa futhi zibonise izinhloso zamanani, okubalulekile futhi kumthengisi osondela ebhizinisini ngokunengqondo nangokucabangela. Ekugcineni, ukusetshenziswa kwalezi zibalo, ngokwezibalo kuletha izinzuzo ezengeziwe.