Ithuluzi Lokuhlaziya Lobuchwepheshe Isiteshi se-Fibonacci – Ukwakhiwa kanye Nesicelo

Ukulandelana kwe-Fibonacci kuwukulandelana kwezinombolo lapho ithemu ngayinye elandelayo iyisamba salezi ezimbili ezedlule:
1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89, … Lezi zibalo zixhunyiwe ngenani lobudlelwano obuthokozisayo. Inombolo ngayinye cishe iphindwe izikhathi ezingu-1.618 kunenombolo yangaphambilini. Icala ngalinye lokusetshenziswa lihambisana cishe nokungu-0.618 kokulandelayo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_307″ align=”aligncenter” width=”696″]
Amazinga e-Fibonacci[/caption] Lesi sici esimangalisayo sokulandelana kwe-Fibonacci sibonakala enanini lamathuluzi obuchwepheshe asetshenziswa ekuhlaziyeni imakethe. Umgomo ojwayelekile wokuhumusha lawa mathuluzi ukuthi lapho intengo isondela emigqeni edwetshwe ngosizo lwabo, umuntu kufanele alindele izinguquko ekuthuthukisweni komkhuba wamanje.

Kuvela ukuthi lapho kuhlaziywa imakethe, kusetshenziswa amazinga amaningana ayisisekelo: 0.0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, 76.4%, 100.0%, 161.8% , 261.8% no-423.6%, asebenzayo kakhulu. okuyi-61.%.

Lezi zinombolo ezibonakala zijwayelekile zenza umqondo omkhulu, futhi ake sibone ukuthi zisetshenziswa kanjani. Amaphethini we-Fibonacci asetshenziswa kangcono ngokuhambisana namanye amaphethini nezinkomba. Bavame ukukhomba indlela evamile. Isandiso se-Fibonacci sizokunikeza inani elithile eliqondiwe, kodwa akunangqondo ngaphandle kokuthi wazi ukuthi kungenzeka ukuqubuka. Ukuhlolwa kwesilinganiso sentengo ye-Fibonacci kudinga iphethini engunxantathu, ukuqinisekiswa kwevolumu, nokuhlolwa kwethrendi iyonke. Ngokuhlanganisa izinkomba namashadi namathuluzi amaningi e-Fibonacci atholakalayo, ungandisa amathuba akho okuhweba okuphumelelayo. Khumbula ukuthi ayikho imethrikhi eyodwa ekhombisa ukuthi yonke into ilungile (ukube ibikhona, besiyoceba sonke). Kodwa-ke, lapho izinkomba eziningi zikhomba ohlangothini olufanayo, ungathola umbono omuhle wokuthi intengo ibheke kuphi. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_306”
Ukwakha isiteshi se-Fibonacci [/ amazwibela] Wonke amasu e-Forex asebenzisa amaphasishi noma amashaneli ukuze anqume amaphethini amanani angamathuluzi asebenza kahle kakhulu. Ukunyakaza kwesithombe kuleli cala kungamelwa njengomfula, futhi iziteshi ezifana namabhange awo, ezikhawulela futhi ziholele lo mfula ngendlela eqinile. Inzuzo yesiteshi se-Fibonacci ngaphezu kwezimbangi ukuthi singasetshenziswa ukuxazulula izinkinga ezimbalwa:

• nquma isikhathi sokulungisa intengo nokuhlanganiswa;
• ukukhomba lapho inkambiso iyonke ishintsha;
• ukubuyekezwa kwezikhathi ezivumayo kakhulu zokuvula ama-oda;

Le nkomba kulula ukuyisebenzisa, kodwa ingathuthukisa kakhulu ukunemba kwanoma yiluphi uhlelo lokuhweba.

Ungasakha kanjani isiteshi se-Fibonacci ku-terminal futhi uwedwa?

Ukuze udale iziteshi ze-Fibonacci kutheminali ye-MetaTrader4, khetha: “Faka” – “Iziteshi” – “Fibonacci”:

izakhiwo, sikhethela isiqondiso esithakazelisayo, esihlela ukusebenza ngaso. Ukuguquguquka kanye nesiqondiso seshadi akunandaba, iziteshi zisebenza ngokulinganayo kokubili ngokunyakaza okusemaceleni (okuyisicaba) kanye nokuthambekela kokuqondisa. Ngethrendi ekhuphukayo, sakha isiteshi ngokusekelwe emananini amancane entengo:
I-T-1 ne-T-2 yathathwa njengesisekelo sokwakhiwa kwamamisele. Izindawo lapho intengo yayingakwazi ukweqa isiteshi yayiphawulwe ngokubomvu, futhi ngemva kokuhlolwa ukumelana, yabuyela emgqeni wokwakha. Ngokwe-downtrend, inkomba ihlala phezulu eshadini, kodwa ezingeni elifanayo, isiteshi kufanele sihanjiswe phansi ukuze sibe ngaphansi komugqa wokwakha.

Ungazisebenzisa kanjani iziteshi zeFibonacci?

Amasu okusebenzisa isiteshi angahluka, kuzoba sengozini encane yokuthenga i-oda ngendlela yethrendi yamanje lapho umugqa wesikhathi uphuma emugqeni lapho konke ukwakhiwa kuqedwa khona. I-oda kufanele ivalwe lapho intengo ifinyelela ezingeni futhi kunezimpawu zokuhlehla kwayo ngokushesha. Kungani usebenzise inkomba yobuchwepheshe evela eqenjini lama-oscillator noma isu le-Price Action ngaphandle kwenkomba? Inketho yokugcina ingcono ngoba inikeza ukunemba okwengeziwe. Kuye ngesu lokusebenzisa, iziteshi ngeke zehluke kumazinga e-Fibonacci, kodwa zingasetshenziselwa ukunyakaza kwethrendi yomhlaba wonke kanye nokuguquguquka okuphezulu. Ingqikithi yethuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe Isiteshi seFibonacci – ukwakhiwa, ukuchazwa kwemiphumela, ukusetshenziswa okusebenzayo ekuhwebeni: https://youtu.be/izX0GDoupGA

Isu lombhali lokusebenzisa isiteshi se-Fibonacci

Elinye lamasu okusebenzisa isiteshi seFibonacci ukuhlola izimpawu zayo hhayi ngokushesha, kodwa ngokushintsha isiqondiso sokuhamba kwamanani. Uma impahla iku-uptrend, isiteshi se-Fib ngeke sinwebeke phezulu (njengoba kuboniswe kubha eseceleni ngenhla), kodwa sibe phansi, njengokungathi sisesimweni esiphansi. Kulokhu, ukwakhiwa kwenziwa ngokuvumelana namanani okwedlulele okunyakaza kwentengo, okwenza “ugu” olufanayo olukhawulela ukwakhiwa kweshadi. Lapho imigqa yokwakha iphukile, amazinga okunyakaza ayatholakala ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuguqulwa kwesiqondiso futhi kunqume isikhathi esiqondile semiyalo yokuvula:
Isiteshi se-fibo kusithombe-skrini sakhiwe ngamaphuzu T-1 no-T-2, ububanzi baso busethelwe ububanzi bephaseji – ku-T-3. Imigqa yokwakha lapho amaphuzu asekelwe khona ibhande eliyinhloko legrafu. Ngemuva koshintsho lwethrendi, amaleveli abonisa ukuhlanganiswa asiza ukunquma isikhathi esingcono kakhulu sokungena emakethe:
Amachashazi aluhlaza kusithombe-skrini abonisa izikhathi zamaleveli angazange adlule. Imibuthano eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka ihlangana namazinga wesiteshi se-Fibonacci, ngakho manje isikhathi esihle sokuvula ukuhweba ukuze unciphise usayizi. Ngakho, ukusetshenziswa okulungile kwezinga kungakhuphula ukunemba kwanoma yiluphi uhlelo lokuhweba futhi kwenze umhwebi ojwayelekile abe yi-sniper yemakethe yezezimali yangempela. Iphethini ye-Fibonacci ingasetshenziswa eziteshini hhayi kuphela ngokuma mpo, kodwa futhi ngokudayagonali, njengoba kuboniswe kumdwebo:

Uma isetshenziswa ngokuhambisana neziteshi ze-Fibonacci, inganikeza umthengisi isiqinisekiso esengeziwe sokuthi izinga lentengo lizosebenza njengokusekela noma ukumelana. Izimiso nemithetho efanayo iyasebenza kulawa mashaneli njengamasampula aqondile. Indlela eyodwa evamile esetshenziswa abadayisi iwukuhlanganisa izinkomba ze-Fibonacci ezidayagonali neziqondile ukuze kutholwe izindawo lapho zombili zikhombisa ukumelana okukhulu. Lokhu kungase kubonise ukuqhubeka kokuthambekela okubusayo. Isenzo sesiteshi esihambisanayo sivumela abahwebi ukuthi babikezele amanani okusekelwa nawokumelana. Kunezindlela ezihlangene zokusebenza nesiteshi samanani nezindlela zokuzakha. Enye indlela iwukuthatha isinyathelo esiteshini esiqinisekisiwe kuphela.

Isiteshi esilungisiwe isiteshi esihlelwe ezindaweni ezimbili eziphansi nezimbili eziphezulu. Kodwa-ke, ekusebenzeni ngokuvamile kwenzeka ukuthi ngemva kokuqinisekiswa kwayo, isiteshi sishintsha isiqondiso.

Ake sihlole isibikezelo sokunyakaza kwezintengo esiteshini esizayo. Amazinga e-Fibonacci azosisiza lapha.
Umfanekiso 1 ukhombisa umnyakazo oya phezulu. Kunoma yikuphi ukunyakaza okuqondisayo kunezici zokulungisa. Ukulungiswa kuvame ukwenzeka ohlangothini lwangaphambilini emazingeni e-Fibonacci. Ngokuvamile i-38.2% noma i-61.8%. Futhi lapha izindleko zehla cishe ngama-61.8%.
Umfanekiso 2 ubonisa ithebula lentengo elifanayo, elilebulwe kuphela. Umsebenzi wethu ukuqoka iphuzu lesi-3 njengephuzu lesibili lomphetho ongaphezulu wesiteshi esikhuphukayo. Ukuze ubonise kahle isiqondiso sesiteshi, setha amaphuzu amancane engxenyeni yendlela bese uwamaka ngenombolo “0” njalonjalo. Dweba lawa maphuzu ngomugqa 02. Ephuzwini le-1 (ukuphakama kokuqala komngcele ongaphezulu wesiteshi esikhuphukayo), dweba umugqa ofanayo 0 2. Amazinga okubuyisela i-Fibonacci anda ngesikhathi se-wave retracement 12. Njengoba sekushiwo kakade, ukuguqulwa kwenzeka eduze namazinga e-Fibonacci. Eziteshini, amaphoyinti e-pivot avamise ukuba sempambanweni yamazinga e-Fibonacci (100%, 161.8%, akuvamile ukuthi kube ngu-261.8%) onqenqemeni lwesiteshi. Kulokhu, ukuguqulwa kwenzeke eduze nezinga lika-161.8%. Ukuze uvikele i-T/P, kungcono ukubheja okuncane ukuze ugweme amazinga e-Fibonacci. Umaki onjalo uzokuvumela ukuthi ungaphuthelwa okwenziwayo okuhle uma isiteshi singakakhiwa. Imigqa eyehlayo imakwe ngokufanayo. Udinga nje ukulandela ngokuqinile imithetho yokuthi eziteshini ezikhuphukayo sisebenza kuphela phezulu, naseziteshini ezehlayo – phansi. Elinye isu lokuhweba le-Fibonacci: https://youtu.be/0BtQeH-XNbQ

Amaleveli okulungisa asuselwe ku-Fibonacci

Lokhu ukusetshenziswa okulula kwezinombolo ze-Fibonacci. Zisekelwe eqinisweni lokuthi umkhuba ungahlukaniswa ube izingxenye ezingu-6, futhi noma iyiphi ingxenye izoba nenani elithile. Ukuze wakhe igridi ye-Fibonacci (ngezinye izikhathi ebizwa ngokuthi amaleveli), udinga ukuthola ithrendi ecacile noma ephansi futhi uhudule igridi kusukela ekuqaleni kuya ekugcineni.
Ngemuva kwethrendi ende, akunandaba ukuthi ama-pullbacks aya ngakuphi, futhi kwenzeka kanjalo ukuhlehla okungu-61.8% kumkhuba wangaphambilini okwenzeka ngayo.
Lesi yisisekelo sesu lokuhweba lezinga le-Fibonacci. Nansi eminye imisho eyisampula:

Kodwa akhona amanye amazinga ngaphandle kwamazinga angu-61.8% kanye no-161.8%. Awawuthwali ngempela umthwalo omningi, kodwa ungawashintshanisa noma uwasebenzise njengendawo ohlosiwe kanye nezindawo zokuhlola.

Ubuhle nobubi bethuluzi le-Fibonacci

Izinzuzo ezibalulekile zenkomba yikhono loku:

• ukubikezela izinhloso zenzuzo futhi umise ukulahlekelwa ngokunembile;
• khipha ngokushesha imiyalo elindile;
• sebenzisa amasu okuthrendayo nawokulwa nethrendi;
• sebenza nganoma yisiphi isikhathi, phakathi nosuku nangezikhathi ezinde.

Okubi okuyinhloko kwesikhombisi:

• ayifanele i-TF encane;
• kunzima kakhulu ukwakha amasu we-algorithmic ngokusho kwe-Fibonacci kunokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba. Ngenxa yalokhu, kunzima kakhulu ukuhlola inani elikhulu lamathuluzi ukuze uthole izinkomba zangempela ze-Fibonacci ekuhwebeni;
• ubunzima ekunqumeni indawo yokuqala (ukuqala komkhuba);
• ukungasebenzi kwenkomba emafulethini.

Ngemva kokuhlaziya zonke izinzuzo nezingozi, singaphetha ngokuthi i-Fibonacci ingasetshenziswa njengendlela eyengeziwe yokunquma izikhundla zethu, kodwa njengenye eyengeziwe. Ungathengi noma uthengise u-50%, 61.8% nomaphi futhi ulindele imiphumela emihle yesikhathi eside – izimakethe ziyinkimbinkimbi ngokweqile ukuze ziqondise inani elilodwa le-Fibonacci.