Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel – Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo

Методы и инструменты анализа

Ulandelelwano lweFibonacci lulandelelwano lwamanani apho ikota nganye elandelayo isixa sezinto ezimbini ezidlulileyo:
1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89, … La manani axhunyiwe. ngenani lobudlelwane obunomdla. Inani ngalinye limalunga ne-1.618 ngokuphindaphinda inani langaphambili. Imeko nganye yokusetyenziswa ihambelana malunga ne-0.618 yezi zilandelayo.

Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo
amanqanaba eFibonacci
Le propati iphawulekayo yokulandelelana kweFibonacci ibonakaliswe kwinani lezixhobo zobugcisa ezisetyenziselwa uhlalutyo lwemarike. Umgaqo-jikelele wokutolika ezi zixhobo kukuba xa ixabiso lisondela kwimigca edwetywe ngoncedo lwabo, umntu kufuneka alindele utshintsho ekuphuhlisweni kwendlela yangoku.

Kuvela ukuba xa uhlalutya imarike, amanqanaba amaninzi asisiseko asetyenziswayo: 0.0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, 76.4%, 100.0%, 161.8%, 261.8% kunye ne-423.6%, eyona nto isebenzayo. apho 61.%.

La manani abonakala eqhelekile anengqiqo eninzi, kwaye makhe sibone ukuba asetyenziswa njani. Iipateni zeFibonacci zisetyenziswe kakuhle ngokubambisana nezinye iipatheni kunye nezalathi. Badla ngokukhomba indlela eqhelekileyo ngakumbi. Ukongezwa kweFibonacci kuya kukunika ixabiso elithile ekujoliswe kulo, kodwa ayinangqiqo ngaphandle kokuba uyazi ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba kuqhawuke. Uvavanyo loqikelelo lwexabiso leFibonacci lufuna ipateni engunxantathu, ukuqinisekiswa komthamo, kunye novavanyo lwendlela yonke. Ngokudibanisa izikhombisi kunye neetshathi kunye nezixhobo ezininzi zeFibonacci ezikhoyo, unokwandisa amathuba akho orhwebo oluyimpumelelo. Khumbula ukuba akukho metric enye ebonisa ukuba yonke into ilungile (ukuba bekukho, besiya kuba zizityebi sonke). Nangona kunjalo, xa izikhombisi ezininzi zikhomba kwicala elinye, unokufumana umbono olungileyo wokuba ixabiso lisingise phi.

Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo
Fibonacci kwi-terminal ye-MetaTrader4
izakhiwo, sikhetha ulwalathiso olunomdla kuthi, esiceba ukusebenza ngalo. I-Volatility kunye nesalathiso setshathi ayinandaba, iziteshi zisebenza ngokulinganayo zombini kunye necala (flat) ukunyakaza kunye ne-directional trend. Ngokuya phezulu, sakha itshaneli ngokusekelwe kumaxabiso aphantsi:
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo I-T-1 kunye ne-T-2 zathathwa njengesiseko sokwakhiwa kwemijelo. Iindawo apho ixabiso lalingenakuwela umjelo liphawulwe ngombala obomvu, kwaye emva kokuvavanya ukuchasana, libuyele kumgca wokwakha. Kwi-downtrend, isalathisi sihlala siphezulu kwitshathi, kodwa kwinqanaba elifanayo, umjelo kufuneka uhanjiswe phantsi ukuze ube ngaphantsi komgca wokwakha.

Uzisebenzisa njani iiChaneli zeFibonacci?

Izicwangciso zokusebenzisa umjelo zinokwahluka, kuya kuba ncinane umngcipheko wokuthenga umyalelo kwicala lendlela yangoku xa umgca wexesha uphuma kumgca apho ukwakhiwa konke kugqitywe. Umyalelo kufuneka uvalwe xa ixabiso lifikelela kwinqanaba kwaye kukho imiqondiso yokuguqulwa kwayo ngokukhawuleza. Kutheni usebenzisa isalathisi sobugcisa kwiqela le-oscillators okanye isicwangciso sokuSebenza kweXabiso ngaphandle kwesalathisi? Inketho yokugqibela ingcono kuba inika ukuchaneka ngakumbi. Ngokuxhomekeke kwisicwangciso sokusetyenziswa, iziteshi aziyi kwahluka kumanqanaba eFibonacci, kodwa zingasetyenziselwa ukunyakaza kwendlela yehlabathi kunye nokuguquguquka okuphezulu. Ingundoqo yesixhobo sokuhlalutya lobugcisa Ishaneli yeFibonacci – ukwakhiwa, ukuchazwa kweziphumo, isicelo esisebenzayo ekuthengiseni: https://youtu.be/izX0GDoupGA

Isicwangciso sombhali sokusebenzisa umjelo weFibonacci

Enye yezicwangciso zokusebenzisa itshaneli yeFibonacci kukuvavanya iimpawu zayo ngokukhawuleza, kodwa ngokuguqula isalathiso sokuhamba kwexabiso. Ukuba i-asethi ikwi-uptrend, itshaneli yeFib ayiyi kunwebeka phezulu (njengoko kubonisiwe kwibar yecala engasentla), kodwa iphantsi, ngokungathi ikwi-downtrend. Kule meko, ukwakhiwa kuqhutyelwa ngokwexabiso eligqithiseleyo lokuhamba kwexabiso, okwenza “amanxweme” afanayo anciphisa ukwakhiwa kwetshathi. Xa imigca yokwakha iphukile, amanqanaba okunyakaza afunyenwe ukuqinisekisa utshintsho lwesikhokelo kunye nokumisela ixesha elichanekileyo lemiyalelo yokuvula:
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo Ishaneli yefibo kwi-screenshot yakhiwe kwiindawo ze-T-1 kunye ne-T-2, ububanzi bayo bubekwe kububanzi be-corridor – kwi-T-3. Imigca yokwakha apho amanqaku asekelwe khona yibhanti ephambili yegrafu. Emva kokutshintsha kwendlela, amanqanaba abonisa ukudityaniswa anceda ukumisela elona xesha lilungileyo lokungena emarikeni:
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo Amachaphaza aluhlaza kwi-screenshot abonisa amaxesha amanqanaba angazange adlule. Izangqa eziluhlaza zidibana namanqanaba etshaneli yeFibonacci, ke ngoku lixesha elihle lokuvula urhwebo ukunciphisa ubungakanani. Ngaloo ndlela, ukusetyenziswa okuchanekileyo kwinqanaba kunokunyusa ukuchaneka kwayo nayiphi na inkqubo yokurhweba kwaye wenze umrhwebi oqhelekileyo abe yi-sniper yemakethe yemali yangempela. Ipateni yeFibonacci ingasetyenziswa kutshaneli hayi ngokuthe nkqo kuphela, kodwa nakwidiagonally, njengoko kubonisiwe kumzobo:
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo I-Diagonal Fibo [/ caption] Xa isetyenziswe ngokubambisana neFibonacci Channels, inokubonelela umthengisi ngesiqinisekiso esongezelelweyo sokuba inqanaba lexabiso liya kusebenza njengenkxaso okanye ukuchasana. Imigaqo efanayo kunye nemigaqo iyasebenza kula mijelo njengeesampuli ezithe nkqo. Enye indlela eqhelekileyo esetyenziswa ngabarhwebi kukudibanisa i-diagonal kunye nezikhombisi ze-Fibonacci ezithe nkqo ukufumana iindawo apho zombini zibonisa ukuchasana okubalulekileyo. Oku kungabonisa ukuqhubeka kweyona ndlela iphambili. Isenzo setshaneli ehambelanayo sivumela abarhwebi ukuba baqikelele inkxaso kunye nexabiso lokuchasa. Kukho iindlela ezidibeneyo zokusebenza kunye nomjelo wexabiso kunye neendlela zokuzakha. Enye indlela kukusebenza kuphela kwitshaneli eqinisekisiweyo.

Ijelo elilungelelanisiweyo lijelo eliququzelelwe kumanqaku amabini aphantsi kunye namabini aphezulu. Nangona kunjalo, ekusebenzeni ngokuqhelekileyo kwenzeka ukuba emva kokuqinisekiswa kwayo, umjelo utshintsha indlela.

Masivavanye uqikelelo lwentshukumo yexabiso kwitshaneli elizayo. Amanqanaba eFibonacci aya kusinceda apha.
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo Umzobo 1 ubonisa intshukumo ephezulu. Kuyo nayiphi na intshukumo yolwalathiso kukho izinto zokulungisa. Ukulungiswa kuhlala kwenzeka kwicala langaphambili kumanqanaba eFibonacci. Amaxesha amaninzi 38.2% okanye 61.8%. Kwaye apha ixabiso liye laguquguquka malunga ne-61.8%.
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo Umzobo we-2 ubonisa itafile yexabiso elifanayo, elibhalwe kuphela. Umsebenzi wethu kukumisela inqaku le-3 njengenqaku lesibini lomda ophezulu wesiteshi esinyukayo. Ukubonisa ngokuchanekileyo isalathiso somjelo, setha amanqaku amancinci kwinqanaba lendlela kwaye uphawule ngenombolo “0” njalo njalo. Dweba la manqaku ngomgca we-02. Kwinqanaba le-1 (inqanaba lokuqala eliphezulu lomda ophezulu wesiteshi esinyukayo), dweba umgca ohambelanayo 0 2. Amanqanaba okubuyisela i-Fibonacci anyuka ngexesha lokubuyisela i-wave 12. Njengoko sele kukhankanyiwe, ukuguqulwa kwenzeka kufuphi namanqanaba eFibonacci. Kwimijelo, amanqaku e-pivot ahlala ekudibaneni kwamanqanaba eFibonacci (100%, 161.8%, ngokungaqhelekanga 261.8%) kunye nomda wesiteshi. Kule meko, ukuguqulwa kwenzeka kufuphi nenqanaba le-161.8%. Ukukhusela i-T / P, kungcono ukubheja kuncinci ukunqanda amanqanaba eFibonacci. Ukumakishwa okunjalo kuya kukuvumela ukuba ungaphoswa yintengiselwano elungileyo xa umjelo ungakaqulunqwa. Imigca esehlayo iphawulwe ngokufanayo. Kufuneka nje ulandele ngokungqongqo imigaqo yokuba ekunyukeni kwemijelo sisebenza kuphela phezulu, kwaye kwimigudu ehlayo – ezantsi. Esinye isicwangciso sokurhweba seFibonacci: https://youtu.be/0BtQeH-XNbQ

Amanqanaba okulungisa asekelwe kwiFibonacci

Olu lolona setyenziso lulula lwamanani eFibonacci. Zisekelwe kwinto yokuba umkhwa ungahlulwa ube ngamacandelo ama-6, kwaye nayiphi na inxalenye iya kuba nexabiso elithile. Ukwakha igridi yeFibonacci (ngamanye amaxesha ebizwa ngokuba ngamanqanaba), kufuneka ufumane intsingiselo ecacileyo okanye ezantsi kwaye utsale igridi ukusuka ekuqaleni ukuya ekugqibeleni.
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo Emva komzila omde, akukhathaliseki ukuba leliphi icala i-pullbacks eya kuyo, kwaye yindlela i-61.8% yokutsalwa emva kwindlela yangaphambili eyenzekayo.
Isixhobo sokuHlalutya koBuchule beFibonacci Channel - Ukwakhiwa kunye nesicelo Esi sisiseko sesicwangciso sokurhweba kwinqanaba leFibonacci. Nazi izivakalisi zesampulu: [iikholamu zegalari = “5” ids = “315,316,317,319,318”] Kodwa kukho amanye amanqanaba ngaphandle kwe-61.8% kunye ne-161.8% yamanqanaba. Abawuthwali mthwalo omninzi, kodwa unokuwatshintsha okanye uwasebenzise njengeethagethi kunye neendawo zokukhangela.

Iinzuzo kunye neengozi zesixhobo seFibonacci

Iinzuzo eziphambili zesalathisi kukukwazi:

  • ukuqikelela inzuzo ekujoliswe kuyo kwaye umise ilahleko ngokuchanekileyo;
  • aphumeze ngokukhawuleza imiyalelo elindileyo;
  • sebenzisa iindlela ezisetyenziswayo kunye neendlela ezichasayo;
  • sebenza nangaliphi na ixesha, phakathi kwemini kunye namaxesha amade.

Izinto ezingalunganga eziphambili zesalathisi:

  • ayifanelekanga iTF encinci;
  • kunzima kakhulu ukwakha izicwangciso ze-algorithmic ngokweFibonacci kunokuba ngokuhambelana nezinye izikhombisi. Ngenxa yoku, kunzima ngakumbi ukuvavanya kwinani elikhulu lezixhobo ukuze ufumane izikhombisi zeFibonacci eziyinyaniso ekurhwebeni;
  • ubunzima ekunqumeni indawo yokuqala (ukuqala kwendlela);
  • ukungasebenzi kwesalathisi kwiiflethi.

Emva kokuhlalutya zonke iingenelo kunye neengxaki, sinokugqiba ukuba iFibonacci ingasetyenziselwa njengendlela eyongezelelweyo yokumisela izikhundla zethu, kodwa njengenye eyongezelelweyo. Musa ukuthenga okanye ukuthengisa i-50%, i-61.8% ngokungaqhelekanga kwaye ulindele iziphumo ezilungileyo zexesha elide – iimarike zinzima kakhulu ukukhokela ixabiso le-Fibonacci enye.

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