Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel – Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di Dwuma

Методы и инструменты анализа

Fibonacci ntoatoasoɔ no yɛ akontabuo ntoatoasoɔ a asɛmfua biara a ɛdi hɔ no yɛ mmienu a atwam no nyinaa bom:
1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89, … Saa akontabuo yi wɔ abusuabɔ denam abusuabɔ ahorow bi a ɛyɛ anigye so. Nnɔmba biara bɛyɛ nea edii kan bae no mmɔho 1.618. Nsɛm biara a wɔde di dwuma no ne nea edidi so yi mu bɛyɛ 0.618 hyia.

Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di Dwuma
Fibonacci levels
Saa Fibonacci ntoatoaso no su a ɛyɛ nwonwa yi da adi wɔ mfiridwuma nnwinnade dodow bi a wɔde di dwuma wɔ gua so nhwehwɛmu mu. Nnyinasosɛm titiriw a wɔde kyerɛ nnwinnade yi ase ne sɛ, sɛ bo no bɛn nkyerɛwde a wɔde wɔn mmoa atwe no a, ɛsɛ sɛ obi hwɛ kwan sɛ nsakrae bɛba mprempren tebea no nkɔso mu.

Ɛbɛda adi sɛ sɛ wɔreyɛ gua no mu nhwehwɛmu a, wɔde mfitiaseɛ gyinapɛn ahodoɔ pii di dwuma: 0.0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, 76.4%, 100.0%, 161.8% , 261.8% ne 423.6%, a ɛyɛ adwuma kɛseɛ. a emu 61.%.

Ntease wɔ akontaahyɛde ahorow a ɛte sɛ nea ɛyɛ mpapahwekwa yi mu, na momma yɛnhwɛ sɛnea yɛde bedi dwuma. Ɛyɛ papa sɛ wɔde fibonacci nsusuwii ahorow no di dwuma de ka nsusuwii ne nsɛnkyerɛnne afoforo ho. Wɔtaa twe adwene si ɔkwan a wɔfa so yɛ ade a ɛkɔ akyiri so. Fibonacci ntrɛwmu no bɛma wo bo pɔtee bi a wode asi w’ani so, nanso ntease biara nni mu gye sɛ wunim sɛ ɛbɛyɛ sɛ ɛbɛpaapae. Fibonacci bo akontabuo sɔhwɛ no hwehwɛ sɛ wɔyɛ ahinanan nhwɛsoɔ, dodoɔ a wɔde si so dua, ne nhwehwɛmu a ɛfa sɛdeɛ ɛrekɔ so no nyinaa ho. Ɛdenam nsɛnkyerɛnne ne nhyehyɛe ahorow a wode bɛka Fibonacci nnwinnade pii a ɛwɔ hɔ no ho so no, wubetumi ama hokwan a wowɔ sɛ wubenya aguadi a edi mu no ayɛ kɛse. Kae sɛ metric baako biara nni hɔ a ɛkyerɛ sɛ biribiara yɛ pɛpɛɛpɛ (sɛ ɛwɔ hɔ a, anka yɛn nyinaa bɛyɛ adefoɔ). Nanso, sɛ nsɛnkyerɛnne pii kyerɛ ɔkwan koro no ara so a, wubetumi anya baabi a bo no rekɔ no ho adwene pa.

Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di Dwuma
Fibonacci wɔ MetaTrader4 terminal no mu[/caption adan mu no, yɛpaw akwankyerɛ a ɛyɛ anigye ma yɛn, a yɛayɛ nhyehyɛe sɛ yɛde bɛyɛ adwuma. Volatility ne akwankyerɛ a ɛwɔ chart no mu no ho nhia, akwan no yɛ adwuma yiye pɛpɛɛpɛ wɔ afã (flat) kankyee ne akwankyerɛ su. Ɛnam sɛ yɛrekɔ soro nti, yɛkyekye ɔkwan bi a egyina bo a ɛba fam koraa no so:
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaWɔfaa T-1 ne T-2 sɛ nea wobegyina so ayɛ nsuten. Wɔde kɔkɔɔ hyɛɛ mmeae a bo no ntumi ntwa ɔkwan no agyirae, na bere a wɔsɔɔ hwɛe sɛ ebia ɛko tia no wiei no, ɛsan kɔɔ adansi kwan no so. Wɔ downtrend mu no, indicator no kɔ so tra chart no atifi, nanso wɔ level koro no ara mu no, ɛsɛ sɛ wɔde channel no kɔ fam sɛnea ɛbɛyɛ a ɛbɛba fam wɔ adansi line no ase.

Ɔkwan bɛn so na wode Fibonacci Channels bedi dwuma?

Akwan a wɔfa so de ɔkwan no di dwuma no betumi ayɛ soronko, dodow no ara a asiane nnim sɛ wobɛtɔ ahyɛde bi wɔ mprempren su no kwankyerɛ so bere a bere nhyehyɛe no pue fi kwan a wɔfa so wie adansi no nyinaa so no. Ɛsɛ sɛ wɔto ahyɛde no mu bere a bo no adu baabi a ɛfata no na nsɛnkyerɛnne bi wɔ hɔ a ɛkyerɛ sɛ ɛbɛdan no ntɛmntɛm no. Dɛn nti na wode mfiridwuma ho kyerɛwtohɔ a efi oscillators kuw bi mu anaasɛ Price Action nhyehyɛe a enni sɛnkyerɛnne biara di dwuma? Ɔkwan a etwa to no ye efisɛ ɛma wonya nsɛm a ɛyɛ pɛpɛɛpɛ kɛse. Ɛgyina dwumadie nhyehyɛeɛ so no, akwan no rennyɛ soronko wɔ Fibonacci dodoɔ ho, na mmom wɔbɛtumi de adi dwuma ama wiase nyinaa su a ɛrekɔ so ne nsakraeɛ a ɛkorɔn. Mfiridwuma mu nhwehwɛmu adwinnade no mu ade titiriw Fibonacci kwan – adansi, nea efi mu ba no nkyerɛase, mfaso a wɔde di dwuma wɔ aguadi mu: https://youtu.be/izX0GDoupGA

Ɔkyerɛwfo no kwan a ɔfaa so de Fibonacci kwan no di dwuma

Akwan a wɔfa so de Fibonacci kwan no di dwuma no mu biako ne sɛ wɔbɛsɔ ne nsɛnkyerɛnne ahwɛ a ɛnyɛ ntɛm ara, na mmom denam kwan a wɔbɛsakra no so. Sɛ agyapade no wɔ uptrend mu a, Fib channel no rentrɛw nkɔ soro (sɛnea wɔakyerɛ wɔ sidebar a ɛwɔ atifi hɔ no), na mmom ɛbɛkɔ fam, te sɛ nea ɛwɔ downtrend mu. Wɔ saa tebea yi mu no, wɔyɛ adansi no sɛnea bo a ɛkɔ so no bo a ɛboro so no te, a ɛyɛ “mpoano” koro no ara a ɛto nhyehyɛe no adansi ano hye. Sɛ wɔbubu adansi nhama no a, wonya kankyee gyinabea ahorow de si akwankyerɛ a wɔasakra no so dua na ɛkyerɛ bere pɔtee a wɔde ahyɛde ahorow a wɔde bue ano no:
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaFibo kwan a ɛwɔ screenshot no mu no, wɔasi wɔ nsɛntitiriw T-1 ne T-2, wɔde ne tɛtrɛtɛ ahyɛ ɔkwan no tɛtrɛtɛ so – wɔ T-3. Ntrɛwmu a wɔde si dan a nsɛntitiriw no gyina so no ne graph no fã titiriw. Bere a nsakrae bi aba wɔ nneɛma a ɛrekɔ so akyi no, dodow a ɛkyerɛ sɛ wɔayɛ biako no boa ma wohu bere a eye sen biara a ɛsɛ sɛ wohyɛn gua no so:
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaNsensanee a ɛyɛ ahabammono a ɛwɔ screenshot no so no kyerɛ bere a level ahorow no antwam no. Nkuruwankuruwa bruu no ne Fibonacci channel levels no twa, enti mprempren ne bere pa a ɛsɛ sɛ wubue aguadi ahorow de tew ne kɛse so. Enti, sɛ wɔde level no di dwuma yiye a, ebetumi ama aguadi nhyehyɛe biara a ɛyɛ pɛpɛɛpɛ no ayɛ kɛse na ama sɛ wɔkyekyem pɛpɛɛpɛ a, aguadifo no ayɛ sikasɛm mu gua so ɔtopaefo ankasa. Wobetumi de Fibonacci nhyehyeɛ no adi dwuma wɔ akwan a ɛnyɛ vertical nko so, na mmom diagonally nso, sɛdeɛ wɔakyerɛ wɔ mfonini no mu no: [caption id="attachment_312" align="aligncenter" width="443"].
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaDiagonal Fibo

Sɛ wɔde di dwuma de ka Fibonacci Channels ho a, ebetumi ama aguadifo no anya adanse foforo sɛ bo a ɛwɔ soro no bɛyɛ adwuma sɛ mmoa anaasɛ ɔsɔretia. Nnyinasosɛm ne mmara koro no ara na ɛfa saa akwan yi ho sɛnea ɛfa nhwɛsode a ɛda hɔ ho no. Ɔkwan biako a aguadifo taa fa so ne sɛ wɔbɛka Fibonacci nsɛnkyerɛnne a ɛwɔ anim ne nea ɛda fam abom de ahwehwɛ mmeae a abien no nyinaa kyerɛ sɛ wɔsɔre tia no kɛse. Ebia eyi bɛkyerɛ sɛ su titiriw no kɔ so. Parallel channel adeyɛ ma aguadifo kwan ma wɔhyɛ mmoa ne ɔsɔretia gyinapɛn ahorow ho nkɔm. Akwan a wɔbom fa so ne bo kwan no yɛ adwuma ne akwan a wɔfa so kyekye wɔ hɔ. Ɔkwan biako ne sɛ wɔbɛyɛ ade wɔ ɔkwan a wɔahyɛ no den no nkutoo so.

Ɔkwan a ɛfata yɛ ɔkwan a wɔahyehyɛ wɔ nsɛntitiriw abien a ɛba fam ne abien a ɛkorɔn so. Nanso, wɔ nneyɛe mu no ɛtaa ba sɛ bere a wɔahyɛ no den akyi no, ɔkwan no sesa kwan.

Momma yɛnsɔ bo a ɛkɔ so ho nkɔmhyɛ no nhwɛ wɔ daakye kwan no so. Fibonacci levels bɛboa yɛn wɔ ha.
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaMfonini 1 kyerɛ sɛnea ɛkɔ soro. Wɔ akwankyerɛ kankyee biara mu no, nneɛma bi wɔ hɔ a wɔde teɛteɛ nneɛma mu. Nteɛso taa ba wɔ ɔkwan a atwam no so wɔ Fibonacci dodow mu. Mpɛn pii no 38.2% anaa 61.8%. Na ha na ɛka no sesae bɛyɛ 61.8%.
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaMfonini 2 kyerɛ bo pon koro no ara, a wɔakyerɛw so nkutoo. Yɛn adwuma ne sɛ yɛbɛkyerɛ beae 3 sɛ beae a ɛto so abien wɔ ɔkwan a ɛforo no atifi ano. Sɛ wopɛ sɛ wokyerɛ ɔkwan a ɛkɔ ɔkwan no so yiye a, fa nsɛntitiriw a esua koraa no si ɔkwan no fã no so na fa nɔma “0” ne nea ɛkeka ho hyɛ no agyirae. Fa nsensanee 02 twe saa nsɛntitiriw yi.Wɔ nsɛntitiriw 1 (ɔsoro a edi kan wɔ ɔkwan a ɛforo no atifi hye no), twe nsensanee a ɛne no di nsɛ 0 2. Fibonacci retracement levels increased during retracement wave 12. Sɛnea yɛaka dedaw no, reversals ba wɔ baabi a ɛbɛn Fibonacci levels. Wɔ akwan mu no, pivot points taa wɔ Fibonacci levels (100%, 161.8%, ɛntaa mma 261.8%) ne channel no ano. Wɔ saa tebea yi mu no, nsakrae no bae wɔ baabi a ɛbɛn 161.8%. Sɛnea ɛbɛyɛ a wubenya T/P no, eye sɛ wobɛtow kyakya ketewaa bi na woakwati Fibonacci dodow. Markup a ɛte saa no bɛma woanya nkitahodi pa bere a wonnya nhyehyɛɛ channel no. Wɔahyɛ nsensanee a ɛsiane no agyirae saa ara. Ɛsɛ sɛ wudi mmara no akyi katee ara kwa sɛ wɔ akwan a ɛforo kɔ soro mu no yɛyɛ adwuma kɔ soro nkutoo, na wɔ akwan a ɛsiane so mu – kɔ fam. Fibonacci aguadi ho nhyehyɛe foforo: https://youtu.be/0BtQeH-XNbQ

Nteɛso dodow a egyina Fibonacci so

Eyi ne Fibonacci nɔma a wɔde di dwuma a ɛyɛ mmerɛw sen biara. Wogyina nokwasɛm a ɛyɛ sɛ wobetumi akyekyɛ su no mu afã 6, na ɔfã biara benya bo pɔtee bi so. Sɛ wopɛ sɛ wokyekye Fibonacci grid (ɛtɔ da bi a wɔfrɛ no levels) a, ɛsɛ sɛ wohwehwɛ ntease a emu da hɔ a ɛkɔ soro anaa ɛba fam na wotwe grid no fi mfiase kosi awiei.
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaBere tenten akyi no, ɛnyɛ hwee sɛ ɔkwan bɛn so na pullbacks no kɔ, na ɛno ne sɛnea 61.8% pullback a efi kan su no mu no bae.
Mfiridwuma mu Nhwehwɛmu Adwinnade Fibonacci Channel - Ɔdansi ne Nea Wɔde Di DwumaEyi ne Fibonacci level aguadi nhyehyɛe no nnyinaso. Nhwɛsoɔ kasamu bi nie:

Nanso nsɛm foforɔ bi wɔ hɔ a ɛka 61.8% ne 161.8% gyinabea no ho. Wɔnsoa adesoa pii ankasa, nanso wubetumi nso sesa wɔn anaasɛ wode adi dwuma sɛ botae ne mmeae a wɔhwɛ.

Mfaso ne ɔhaw ahorow a ɛwɔ Fibonacci adwinnade no so

Mfaso atitiriw a ɛwɔ sɛnkyerɛnnede no so ne sɛ ebetumi ayɛ:

  • hyɛ mfaso a wɔde asi wɔn ani so ho nkɔm na esiw nneɛma a wɔhwere ano pɛpɛɛpɛ;
  • di ahyɛde ahorow a ɛda so ara wɔ hɔ no ho dwuma ntɛm ara;
  • fa trend ne anti-trend akwan horow di dwuma;
  • yɛ adwuma bere biara, awia mfinimfini ne bere tenten nyinaa.

Nneɛma atitiriw a enye wɔ sɛnkyerɛnnede no ho:

  • ɛnyɛ nea ɛfata ma TF nketewa;
  • ɛyɛ den sɛ wɔbɛkyekyere algorithmic strategies sɛnea Fibonacci kyerɛ sen sɛnea nsɛnkyerɛnne afoforo kyerɛ. Esiane eyi nti, ɛyɛ den kɛse sɛ wɔbɛsɔ nnwinnade dodow bi ahwɛ sɛnea ɛbɛyɛ a wobehu Fibonacci nsɛnkyerɛnne ankasa wɔ aguadi mu;
  • a ɛyɛ den sɛ wobehu baabi a wobefi ase (ade a ɛrekɔ so bi mfiase);
  • mfaso nni so a ɛwɔ sɛnkyerɛnnede no so wɔ flat ahorow so.

Bere a yɛayɛ mfaso ne ɔhaw ahorow no nyinaa mu nhwehwɛmu awie no, yebetumi aka sɛ wobetumi de Fibonacci adi dwuma sɛ ɔkwan foforo a wɔbɛfa so ahu yɛn gyinabea ahorow, nanso sɛ ɔkwan foforo nkutoo. Ntɔ anaa ntɔn 50%, 61.8% a wɔanhyɛ da na hwɛ kwan sɛ ɛbɛba bere tenten mu yiye – gua ahorow no yɛ den dodo sɛ ɛbɛkyerɛ Fibonacci bo biako kwan.

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