Iphinikhodi ekuhwebeni – ukuthi ibukeka kanjani eshadini, amasu okuhweba

Iyini i-pin bar, amasu okuhweba ama-pin bar. Ibha yokuphina (ibha yegama eligcwele le-Pinocchio), noma uthi lwekhandlela lasebukhosini, ingenye yamaphethini ekhandlela avame ukuhlehla exwayisa ngokuguqulwa kwethrendi. Leli phethini laqala ukuchazwa nguMartin Pring njengekhandlela elinomzimba omfushane kanye nesithunzi eside esibhekene nokunyakaza kwentengo. Ikhandlela libonakala libikezela isiqondiso sethrendi, kodwa ukuzijwayeza kubonisa ukuthi uma isithunzi salo siside, maningi amathuba okuthi ithrendi ibuyele emuva. U-Pring wadweba isifaniso neqhawe lenganekwane uPinocchio, ikhala lakhe lakhula ngenxa yokukhohlisa.

Isakhiwo Sebha Yephinikhodi Eyisisekelo

Iphethini iqukethe ikhandlela elilodwa elinomthunzi omude (izikhathi ezingu-2-3 ubude kunomzimba), ngaphezu kwalokho, ubude bomthunzi we-pin bar kufanele budlule ubude bezithunzi zawo wonke amakhandlela angomakhelwane. Umzimba wephinikhodi umfushane, isignali ethembeke kakhulu. Ngezinye izikhathi ikhandlela lasebukhosini lingase lingabi nomzimba nhlobo, i.e. intengo yokuvula ilingana nenani lokuvala.
Iphethini inganqunywa kuphela ngemva kokuba ikhandlela livalwe ngokuphelele. Umbala womzimba kufanele uhambisane nomkhuba.

1. Iphinikhodi ye-bearish (isithunzi esiphezulu, umzimba omnyama, omnyama noma obomvu) ubonisa ukwehla kwentengo.
2. Iphinikhodi ye-bullish (isithunzi esiphansi, esimhlophe, esikhanyayo noma esiluhlaza) iyisiginali yokwenyuka kwentengo.

Naphezu kweqiniso lokuthi iphethini ye-pin bar ngokusemthethweni iqukethe ikhandlela elilodwa, lapho uhumusha isignali, kubalulekile ukunaka izinti zamakhandlela ezingomakhelwane, ezibizwa ngokuthi amehlo angakwesokunxele nangakwesokudla. Izici zeso langakwesokunxele:

• ubukhulu (ubuncane) bekhandlela akufanele budlule imingcele yekhala (ikhandlela lasebukhosini);
• ukuvalwa kwekhandlela lasebukhosini akufanele kubhoboze ubukhulu beso.

Izici zeso langakwesokudla:

• iso lesokudla akufanele libe lide kunekhandlela eliphakathi lekhala;
• iso elingakwesokudla kufanele liphule okuphansi (okuphezulu) kwekhandlela lasebukhosini futhi livale ngezansi (ngaphezulu) kwemingcele yalo, liqinisekisa ukuguqulwa komkhuba.

Indlela yokwenza ibha yephinikhodi

Isithombe esingezansi sibonisa ukukhuphuka kwentengo, intengo yayikhuphuka, imakethe yayibuswa ngabathengi. Kwabe sekwehla isidingo. Kubathengisi ababeka ama-oda okuthenga, ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka kwabangelwa, kubahwebi ababeka ama-oda okuthengisa, ama-oda abangelwa. Konke lokhu kwaholela eqinisweni lokuthi ikhandlela eliguquguqukayo lalinomzimba omfushane nesithunzi eside.
Ngemva kwalokho, abathengi, okuye kwabangelwa izitobhi zabo, baqala ukuvula izikhundla ezimfushane. Kube noshintsho
kuthrendi .

Uhweba kanjani iphinikhodi

Iphinikhodi iyiphethini yokubuyisela emuva, okusho ukuthi udinga ukuvula ukuhweba ngokumelene nethrendi (ngokuya kwesilinganiso esilindelekile).
Izitobhi zivame ukubekwa amaphuzu angu-5-10 ngemuva kwesithunzi sephini. Ukusetha inzuzo akulawulwa, ngokuvamile ububanzi bekhandlela lasebukhosini busebenza njengesiqondiso. Ngamasu ahlukene, amaphuzu okuvula izikhundla angahluka, kodwa izinketho ezi-3 zibhekwa njengeziyinhloko:

• ukungena ekuvuleni ikhandlela elilandelayo ngemva kokwakhiwa kwephinikhodi;
• ukungena isikhathi esithile ngemva kokuvulwa kwekhandlela kulandela ibha yephinikhodi , ngoba intengo ingase izame ukuphinda idlule izinga elifanayo;
• ukungena amakhandlela angu-1-2 ngemva kokuvalwa kwe-pin bar ; kulokhu, indawo yokungena izothembeka ngangokunokwenzeka, kodwa umthengisi ulahlekelwa inzuzo engenzeka uma kuqhathaniswa nokuvulwa kwangaphambili kokuthengiselana.

Lapho unquma ibha yephini, kubalulekile ukucabangela hhayi isakhiwo sayo kuphela, kodwa futhi nendawo yayo. Iphoyinti lokubhekisela liwukubukeka kwesibani sekhandlela sasebukhosini eduze nemingcele yesiteshi esakhiwe ngamazinga okusekela / ukumelana noma amazinga obuchwepheshe (
Fibonacci , amazinga e-Murray nabanye). Ungawathembi amaphinikhodi akha phakathi nesiteshi.

Amasu okuhweba nge-pin bar

Lapho ukhetha isu lokuhweba usebenzisa iphinikhodi, kunamaphuzu athile abalulekile okufanele uwacabangele:

• ukutholwa kwe-pin bar;
• ukunquma indawo yokungena emakethe;
• ukubeka isitobhi kanye nenzuzo;
• ukuphathwa kwedili.

ezihambayo isilinganiso

Imigqa emibili ye-EMA enesikhathi esingu-200 ingasebenza njengamazinga e-S/R. Iphuzu lokuvula lomsebenzi ukuphindaphinda kwekhandlela lasebukhosini ukusuka kwesilinganiso esiphezulu noma esiphansi esinyakazayo. Izitobhi zisethwe ebangeni lamaphuzu amaningana ukusuka ezindaweni zokuvula noma zokuvala zekhandlela. Ngendlela efanayo, bahweba besebenzisa
ama- Bollinger bands (inguqulo ethuthukisiwe yezilinganiso ezihambayo).

i-oscillator ye-stochastic

Ngosizo lwe-stochastics, kunconywa ukuhweba ngezikhathi ezincane, isibonelo, i-M30. Lapho kuvela iphinikhodi ye-bearish, i-stochastic kufanele ibuyekeze indawo ephezulu futhi ifake indawo ethengiwe ngokweqile, kuphela ngemva kokuthi kuvulwe isikhundla esifushane. Lapho kuvela ibha yephinikhodi ye-bullish, i-stochastic kufanele ibuyekeze okuphansi futhi ifake indawo edalwe ngokweqile, emva kwalokho kuvulwa isikhundla eside.

Ideshibhodi Yebha Yephini

Le nkomba yakhelwe ngokuqondile ukuhlonza amaphinikhodi. Uma ikhandlela lasebukhosini livela eshadini, inkomba iyakhala futhi imaka ikhandlela elihlehlayo ngemzwelo.

Amaphutha okuhweba ngebha yephinikhodi

Ukuphikelela kokulinda ibha yokuphina

Amakhandlela asebukhosini avame ukuvela eshadini, ikakhulukazi kumafreyimu esikhathi amancane. Kodwa ungagxili kakhulu emaphethini angawodwana noma ungase uphuthelwe amanye amathuba anenzuzo eyengeziwe.

Ilinde ukuhlehla kwethrendi enkulu

Amathuba okuthi i-uptrend eqinile ihlehle ngemuva kwephinikhodi ye-bearish awabalulekile. Ukuze kuguqulwe umkhuba omkhulu, kudingeka izizathu ezinamandla kakhulu. ngakho-ke, akufanele uvule ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside ngawo wonke amaphinikhodi.

Ukutolika okufanayo kwephinikhodi ngayinye

Lapho kunqunywa ikhandlela eliphendukayo, zonke izinkomba zibalulekile: ubude besithunzi, ubukhulu nombala womzimba, uhlobo lwamakhandlela angomakhelwane. Isibonelo, ukubonakala kwe-bearish pin bar encane enethunzi elifushane kanye nomzimba omfushane ngemuva kwamakhandlela amakhulu e-bullish kubonisa ukuthi abathengi abalahlekelwanga ukulawula isimo okwamanje, imakethe isanda kumisa.

Amaphinikhodi amanga

Njenganoma iyiphi enye iphethini, amaphinikhodi anganikeza amasiginali angamanga angaholeli ekushintsheni kwentengo. Izikhonkwane ezingamanga zibukeka njengezikhonkwane zangempela, ngaphandle kwezinto ezimbili:

• izikhonkwane ezingamanga zivela phakathi nesiteshi, kude kakhulu namazinga okusekela/ukumelana;
• isithunzi asithinti ama-lows adlule (highs).

Izindlela zangempela zokuhweba ngephethini yebha yephini – isu lokuhweba ngebha yephini: https://youtu.be/bdwpJEya0qI

Izikhonkwane eziningi ezilandelanayo

Sihlaziye amasu okuhweba ngephinikhodi eyodwa. Kodwa kuthiwani uma ishadi lakha izikhonkwane eziningana zilandelana?

Amaphinikhodi amabili

I-Double Pin Bar iyiphethini evamile eyakha eduze kwamazinga e-S/R. Ukubonakala kwebha yesibili efanayo kuyisiqinisekiso esengeziwe sokushintsha kwentengo.

Imigoqo emi-4 ilandelana

Ngezinye izikhathi izimo zokushintshana zangempela zixaka ngisho nabahwebi abathuthukile. Lesi simo senzeka ngomhlaka-01/24/2014, lapho amaphinikhodi ama-4 alandelanayo akheka eshadini le-EURUSD, izikhonkwane ezimbili zokuqala zaba yi-bullish kanti ezimbili zesibili zaba yi-bearish.
Ishadi elingenhla libonisa ukuthi ukwakheka kwama-pin bars angu-4 kwandulelwa ibha enkulu ye-bullish, okusho ukuthi ngaleso sikhathi izinkunzi zazigcina isimo silawulwa. Ukubonakala kwemigoqo emibili ye-bearish, elandelwa yi-bullish emibili, kufana kakhulu nomzamo ohlulekile wamabhere ukuze aphinde athole izikhundla zawo. Ngemva kokwakhiwa kwebha yesibili ye-bullish, okuqinisekisa lokhu kucabanga, abaningi bavula izikhundla zokuthenga futhi ekugcineni balahlekelwa ukulahlekelwa. Likuphi iphutha? Kungani ipheya yokuqala yezikhonkwane ze-bearish yasebenza?

1. Okokuqala, izikhonkwane ze-bearish zinokusekelwa okuqinile okuvela kulayini wokumelana we-Fibonacci we-50%.
2. Okwesibili, uma sishintsha isikhathi sibe ngu-H1, sizobona ukwehla okucacile. Kulokhu, amathuba okuhlehla mancane kakhulu.

Ukukhetha iphinikhodi engcono kakhulu

Elula futhi engenasizotha uma uqala nje, amasu okuhweba ama-pin bar anama-nuances amaningi. Amakhandlela asebukhosini avela eshadini kaningi futhi udinga ukufunda ukuthi ungathola kanjani izikhathi zokuhweba ezinenzuzo kakhulu. Cabanga ngesibonelo sokukhetha ibha yokuphina ehamba phambili eshadini elingezansi.
Siyabona ukuthi ku-downtrend, kwakhiwa ikhandlela elikhulu le-bearish, okusho ukuthi abathengisi balawula imakethe. Amakhandlela amancane alandelayo abonisa imizamo yabathengi yokubuyisela isimo esivuna bona, intengo ayishintshi kakhulu, ishadi liya eceleni. Ngalesi sikhathi, kunzima ukunquma ukuthi izikhundla zizoqina bani. Eshadini elilandelayo, sibona ukubonakala kwamakhandlela amakhulu ama-bearish, ngakho-ke, amabhere aqinise izikhundla zawo. Siyaqaphela ukuthi zonke izenzo zenzeka ngendlela ephansi, ngakho-ke silindele ukuvalelisa kuye ezingeni.
Kulesi simo, kunezinketho ezimbili zokuvula ukuhweba:

• ukubeka i-oda elilindile;
• ukungena ekuvaleni kwekhandlela.

Isikhathi sibonisa ukuthi ukucabanga kwethu kuvele kunembile – kwakhiwa iphinikhodi ye-bearish. Ukucabangela zonke izimo zokwakhiwa kwephini (i-downtrend, ukubusa kwamabhere, ukuthembela ezingeni le-S / R), akungabazeki ngokuthembeka kwayo.
Inzuzo enkulu yokuhweba ngamaphinikhodi ukuguquguquka. Ungakwazi ukunquma ukwethembeka kwaleli phethini usebenzisa cishe noma iyiphi inkomba, kanye njengomphumela wokuhlaziywa kwemakethe okungeyona inkomba kumasu we-Price Action.