Kuyini ukuwohloka okungamanga nokuyiqiniso kwezinga ekuhwebeni, amasu okuhweba

Kuyini ukwehla kwezinga ekuhwebeni nokuthi ungakunquma kanjani, ukuthi kubukeka kanjani kumashadi, ukuqubuka kwezinga okungamanga neqiniso. Wonke umuntu okhetha umsebenzi ohlobene nokuthengiselana ngezimali, ukuhweba ezinkundleni zokuxhumana ezikhethekile kanye nokuqashwa kwezohwebo kufanele azi futhi aqonde kahle ukuthi kusho ukuthini ukuwohloka kwezinga. Lo mqondo ufakwe ku-teminology yochwepheshe eyinhloko, okudingekayo kuwo wonke umuntu ohlose ukuthuthukisa ekuhwebeni futhi kancane kancane andise inzuzo.

Kuyini ukuwohloka kwezinga

Abantu abaningi bakhetha ukuhweba besebenzisa ukuphuma kwezinga njengesiqondiso sokuhweba okuphumelelayo. Kumele kukhunjulwe ukuthi indlela enjalo ingase ingabi nanzuzo, ngoba amaphuzu ahlukahlukene nama-nuances kufanele acatshangelwe. Okokuqala, kunconywa ukufunda ukuthi uyini umqondo okukhulunywa ngawo. Akwanele ukumane uqaphele ukuthi intengo isiqala ukweqa izinga lokumelana. Ikhona, isibonelo, kumakhandlela e-bullish. Akufanele uhlehlise ngokushesha isivumelwano (isikhathi eside). Isizathu siwukuthi intengo ingase ihlehle, ibangele ukulahlekelwa. Ukuze ugweme isimo esinjalo, yenza uhlelo lokuhweba noma wenze inzuzo, udinga ukwazi ukuthi yikuphi ukuphuma kwezinga. Umqondo uwukulungisa amanani kwanoma yiliphi izinga. Bese kuba nomnyakazo wayo owengeziwe ubheke ekubhidlikeni. Abaqalayo kumele baqonde lokho kuhlanganiswa kuwukuvalwa kwekhandlela ngemva kwezinga. Ukuqhekeka kungenzeka emazingeni ahlukene (okuvundlile noma mpo) futhi kungaba yi-bearish noma i-bullish (ngezinye izikhathi okubizwa ngokuthi izicupho). Kubukeka kanjena:

Izimpawu nezinhlobo zokuhlukaniswa

Ukutadisha izici, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi ukuhlukana kungaba yiqiniso futhi kungamanga. Njengesici, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi zenzeka ngoba intengo ibamba ngaphansi kwezinga lokumelana okwesikhashana noma iphakama futhi ihlala ngaphezu kwezinga lokusekela. Kamuva, izinga lokumelana liba umugqa ovame ukuphawulwa kumashadi. Ziphinde zisetshenziswe ngokukhuthele ukusetha izindawo zokungena noma amaleveli okulahlekelwa kokuyeka. Uma intengo yamanje inqamula
ezingeni losekelo noma lokumelanafuthi wagqekeza, khona-ke ukuze ugweme ukulahlekelwa, kunconywa ukuvala izikhundla. Ukuphazamiseka kungase kuvame ukuhlotshaniswa nesenzakalo esinjalo ekuhwebeni njengokwanda komsebenzi. Icupha ukukhuphuka kwevolumu okulandelayo uma abanye ababhidi bebonise intshisekelo kuleveli yokukhishwa. https://articles.opexflow.com/analysis-methods-and-tools/podderzhki-i-soprotivleniya-v-tradinge.htm

Yini ebalulekile kumhwebi

Kuyadingeka ukucabangela lokhu, ngoba ukuhweba ngokuwohloka kwezinga kuhlotshaniswa nezingozi. Kubalulekile futhi ukwazi ukuthi uma ivolumu ingaphezu kwesilinganiso, khona-ke kusiza ukuqinisekisa ukuqhuma. Elinye iphuzu elingafanele liphuthelwe ukuthi esimweni lapho ivolumu iphansi, khona-ke izinga lingase lingabonakali ngabanye abahlanganyeli. Leli phuzu libalulekile uma udinga ukubeka ukuhweba, kodwa kulokhu, ingozi yokungena ebomvu iyanda. Uma ukuhlukaniswa kukhuphuka, khona-ke isikhathi esiphathelene nokuhoxiswa kokususa sibalulekile lapha. Kulokhu, intengo nakanjani izohamba ngaphansi kwezinga lokumelana. Elinye iphuzu elibalulekile: lapho ukuwohloka kwehluleka, intengo ikhuphuka futhi. Inkomba ilungisiwe ngaphezu kwezinga lokusekela, ngezansi lapho iphule khona. Lapha ungabona amazinga okusekela nawokumelana eshadini:
Lapha ungakwazi futhi ukubona ngeso lengqondo iqiniso lokuthi ama-breakout ahlotshaniswa nabathengisi abanobubanzi noma amaphethini avela kumashadi. Phakathi kwezidume kakhulu:

• Ifulegi .
• Ikhanda namahlombe.
• Wedge .
• Unxantathu .

Wonke la maphethini akhiwa lapho intengo ihamba ngendlela ethile. Ngaphansi kwethonya kukhona ukuguqulwa kwamazinga. Angakwazi ukuhamba isikhathi eside noma avale abe mfushane. Lokhu kwenzeka uma intengo idlula ezingeni lokumelana. Uma iphula ngezinga lokusekela, khona-ke izikhundla ezimfushane ziyavulwa futhi izikhundla ezinde zivaliwe.

Kungani ukuqubuka kwenzeka

Udinga ukwazi ukuthi kungani ukuwohloka kwenzeka, yiziphi izici eziwuthintayo. Kulokhu, enye yezinketho kufanele yenzeke. Esimweni sokuqala, abadayisi balwela ngokuzimela ukusetha intengo ngokunyakaza (phezulu noma phansi, kuye ngokuthi isimo). Lapha udinga ukucabangela ukuthi udinga ukuba namandla ukuze ulondoloze amavolumu avele. Ngakho-ke, uma imiqulu ye-bearish inamandla, izinkomba zamanani zizoqala ukwehla. Umkhuba ngeke wakheke. Ukugqashuka kungenzeka futhi lapho abadlali abakhulu bezuza izikhundla. Ngaleyo ndlela bacindezela intengo ukuze banqamule izinga eliphezulu. Ngemva kwalokho, ku-90% yamacala, ukuhweba kuyeka, intengo ibuyela ezikhundleni zayo ezivamile. Le ndlela ivame ukukhethwa ngokunembile ukuze kutholwe inzuzo eqinisekisiwe.

Ukuhlaziywa kokuqhekeka kwangempela

Kuyaziwa ukuthi ukuhweba kunomthelela oqondile ekuqhekekeni kwezinga. Kufanele kukhunjulwe ukuthi ayikho indlela enganikeza isiqinisekiso esiphelele sokuthengiselana okuphumelelayo. Ngesikhathi sokuhlaziya, udinga ukusebenzisa imibono esekelwe ekubonweni kwemakethe. Bakuvumela ukuthi ukwandise ithuba lokulungiswa, okungukuthi, ukuwohloka kwangempela. Kulokhu, intengo izobonisa ukukhula, amavolumu azokhula. Ukuqhuma kwangempela kwenziwa lapho uketshezi lwamazinga obubanzi sebuncane. Isici: kufanele kwenzeke okungenani ikhefu elilodwa elingamanga ukuze imakethe inyukele phezulu.

Ukuhlaziya okuphumayo okungamanga

Okubaluleke kakhulu ngesikhathi sokuhweba ukuwohloka okungamanga kwezinga. Ukuhlaziya kwakhe futhi kulele eqinisweni lokuthi udinga ukuqapha ngokucophelela ukunyakaza okwenzeka emakethe. Intengo izokhombisa ukuthi isimo sizothuthuka kanjani. Endabeni yokuqhuma okungamanga, ungabona ukuthi intengo ithuthuka kanjani ngaphezu kwezinga lokumelana futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo ngaphansi kwezinga lokusekela. Bese cishe ngokushesha ungabona ukuguqulwa. Ukuhlaziywa kubonisa ukuthi ukuqubuka okungamanga kwenzeka emakethe uma kunenombolo enganele yabathengi. Kungase futhi kube khona ukushoda kwabathengisi abazokwazi ukuhlinzeka ngemali eyanele kanye nokunyakaza kwamanani ngokuqondile ekunciphiseni izenzo zabo. Kubukeka kanjena eshadini:

Izenzo zemakethe ngobusuku bangaphambi kokuphuma kwemidlalo

Imakethe kumele yazi ukuthi ingabona kanjani ukuqubuka okungamanga kweleveli, noma okwangempela, nangaphambi kokuba kwenzeke. Lokhu kuyadingeka ukuze ukhethe isu ngesikhathi esifanele, kanye nokulungisa izinkomba zenzuzo noma ukunciphisa amathuba okungena kokubomvu. Emakethe ngokushesha ngaphambi kokuwohloka kweqiniso kokuthengiselana kanye nezicelo zabaphikisi bokunyakaza kuzoba kuncane. Okwenziwayo okukhulu kubheke ekuwohlokeni kwangempela kuhambisa intengo ngendlela ehambisanayo. Lokhu kukhomba ukuthi akukho ukugxambukela. Uma ukuhweba kungenanzuzo, khona-ke umdayisi angaphuma ngaphambi kokuba imakethe ivalwe.

Ukuwohloka kweqiniso namanga – izindlela zokuthola, “dlala” emakethe

Kunezindlela ezahlukahlukene zokunquma ukuthi ukuphuma kweleveli kuyiqiniso (kwangempela) noma kungamanga, okuzokwenzeka maduze nje, kodwa kumele kwenziwe ngaphambi kokuqala kwemicimbi esemqoka endalini. Lolu lwazi luzosiza ukwenza ukuhweba kuzinze, kwandise amathuba okwenza inzuzo. Ukuwohloka okungamanga nokweqiniso, ukuphindaphinda kanye nokugqashuka kwamazinga ekuhwebeni: https://youtu.be/gKd-dYiD3rM

Ukugqashuka kwezinga lokumelana

Kulokhu, isimo semakethe samanje sizokuvumela ukuthi unqume ngesikhathi esifanele kakhulu sokuqaliswa kwesu elinenzuzo. Ezimweni ezingu-90%, kukhombisa ukuthi yini ngempela engenzeka ngesikhathi sendali, kanye nokuthi kungenzeka izenzakalo ezithile ezenzekayo.
Bathonywa izici ezihlukahlukene. Inkomba ebaluleke kakhulu ubukhulu bekhandlela eliphukile. Kulesi sigaba, abadayisi abaningi benza iphutha, elivezwa eqinisweni lokuthi bavula ngokushesha isivumelwano ngemuva kokulungiswa kokumelana nokuwohloka kwayo okulandelayo. Kunconywa enkambisweni yokunaka ukuthi leli khandlela linaluphi usayizi. Endabeni lapho ukuwohloka komugqa wokumelana kuhambisana nekhandlela elinomzimba omncane kakhulu, ohlaba uphawu lwamanani, lokhu kungase kubonise ubuthakathaka bentengo, ukwehluleka kwayo. Kulokhu, akufanele ulinde ukuwohloka, ngoba intengo kungenzeka kakhulu ukuthi igxume noma ime (ingene ekuhlanganiseni).

Ukuhlukana kwezinga lokusekela

Kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi izinga lokusekela liyindawo engaphansi kwentengo yemakethe yamanje. Kule zoni, bonke ababhida abanentshisekelo bazothenga. Kulesi sigaba, kunamathuba amahle okugcina le ndawo ingaphansi kwengcindezi yokuthengisa. Udinga futhi ukucabangela ukuthi ngesikhathi esifanayo, amanani azoqala ukukhuphuka. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, kukhona ukwehla kwengcindezi evela kubathengisi. Isizathu siwukuthi abakwazi ukuhlanganisa ngaphansi kwezinga ukuze baqhubeke behlisa amanani entengo. Kuleli qophelo, amandla asohlangothini lwabathengi.
Ezimweni ezingu-90%, amazinga anjalo anganqunywa ngesikhathi kumashadi amanani. Ngokuhlukana kwezinga lokusekela, singahlulela ukuqedwa kokuthuthukiswa kokuya phezulu. Kumele kukhunjulwe ukuthi uma amanani eqhubeka nokukhuphuka ngemva kwalokhu, khona-ke ukuphindaphinda akunakugwenywa, okulandelwa ukukhuphuka okusha. Uma isimo esifanayo sibonwa, khona-ke singakhuluma ngokugcwele ngokuqhubeka komkhuba okhuphukayo. Uma ngesikhathi esithile kukhona ukuwohloka kwezinga lokusekela, khona-ke ungacabanga mayelana nokuphela kwe-uptrend. Zonke izinguquko zizomakwa emashadini.

Ukuhlukana kwezinga engilazini

Ukuze wenze inzuzo, noma yiliphi isu lingakhethwa ukwephula izinga ngebhuku le-oda. Kulokhu, amathuluzi afanelekile kanye namavolumu asetshenziswa, okumele akhethwe, agxile esimweni emakethe. Amazinga kufanele ahlukaniseke kalula. Kungaba isilinganiso esithile isikhathi esithile, isibonelo, inyanga. Ukwehlukana kwezinga ebhukwini le-oda kusukela endaweni yokungena kufanele kwenziwe uma kunokuminyana okuphezulu. Kunconywa ukuthi ungene ngaphakathi kwengilazi ngokusho kwaleli qhinga uma cishe u-25% walo uhlala. Uma wenza konke ngokuhambisana nemiyalelo, ungalindela umfutho ozokuvumela ukuba uphume ngokushesha ngenzuzo eqinisekisiwe. Umfutho ungachazwa yinto efana nokuqala kwezitobhi ngemuva kwezinga. Elinye iphuzu elibalulekile ukuthi esimweni lapho kungekho ukunyakaza, isikhundla kufanele sivalwe.

Ulwakha kanjani uhlelo olususelwe ekuqhekekeni kwamazinga

Ukuze wenze lokhu, udinga ukukhumbula ukuthi ngaphansi kokuwohloka kwezinga, kuyisiko ukucabangela ukuvalwa kweseshini yokuhweba ngaphezu kwephezulu, noma ngaphansi kwebanga eliphansi lokuhweba. Intengo bekufanele ibe kuyo phakathi nayo yonke iseshini yokuhweba. Ukuvala kwenza kube nokwenzeka ukuphetha ngokuthi ngesikhathi samanje kukhona abazimisele kakhulu ukuthenga, uma ukuhlukana kukhuphuka, kunabathengisi. Ngokugxila esimweni samanje, ucabangela izici ezizimele kanye nomzuzu wobungozi, ungakhetha isu elilungile futhi usebenze kulo.

Amasu okuhweba

Noma yiliphi isu elikhona lokuhweba elibhekene nesizinda sokuwohloka kwezinga lingaletha inzuzo kumthengisi. Uma ukhetha ukuvula izikhundla, indawo yokungena izoba ncamashi isikhathi sokuhlukaniswa. Ukukhetha indawo yokungena kuncike kokuthi:

• Ithuluzi elikhethiwe.
• izimo ezithile.
• okuthandwa ngumuntu.

Ungazivula noma usebenzise ama-oda okuvula ngokuzenzakalelayo (kulokhu, ungasebenzisa kuphela inani elimisiwe).

Ukubamba nokuvala izikhundla kuyisu lalabo abakhetha ukuhweba kwesikhathi esifushane. Ikunikeza ithuba lokuzuza inzuzo ephezulu.

Kukuphi lapho ongasebenzisa khona ukuhlukaniswa kwamaleveli

I-breakout ingasetshenziswa ekuhwebeni okuthrendayo eziteshini. Kulokhu, ukuphulwa komugqa owehlayo kuzoba isignali yokuqala eyinhloko ekupheleni komkhuba. Futhi kuwuphawu lokuhlehla kwethrendi okungenzeka.

Indlela yokubona ukuhlukana

Ukuhlukaniswa kunqunywa ekuqaleni kokunyakaza kwentengo. Ngokushesha lapho izinguquko kule nkomba zibonwa, amathuba aphezulu okuphuka angahlulelwa.

Izibonelo zeshadi

Isibonelo sokuqhuma okungamanga:
Nansi indlela ukugqashuka kweleveli yosekelo kubukeka ngayo
: Ukugqashuka kwezinga lokumelana
:

Izinzuzo/ububi bokusebenzisa izinhlelo zokuhweba eziphumayo

Okuhle:

1. Inzuzo yezezimali.
2. Ukufunda okusheshayo kwemisebenzi nezici zemakethe yamasheya.
3. Ithuba lokufunda ama-nuances wokunyakaza kwemakethe.

Ama-breakouts akufundisa ukuthi ungathenga kanjani okuphezulu futhi uthengise okuphansi. Ngosizo lwabo, umuntu ufunda ukusebenzisa ngendlela efanele nangesikhathi ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka noma ukuthatha inzuzo. Kulula futhi ukulandela inkambiso ekhona, ukuqonda uhlobo lwezenzakalo eziningi ezenzeka kule ndawo. Ububi obukhulu ukudalwa kwesimo sengqondo esishubile. Ibizwa ngokuthi “saw motion”. Ngenxa yalokho, abathengisi abaningi benza amaphutha aholela ekulahlekelweni kwezohwebo.