Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni – ukwakhiwa, amasu

Методы и инструменты анализа

Ikhanda lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe kanye namahlombe abonisa ekuhwebeni – ukuthi libukeka kanjani, ukuhlela eshadini, amasu okuhweba. Iphethini yekhanda namahlombe ijwayelekile kuwo wonke umuntu ohwebayo. Kungokwesigaba se-classical, ngakho-ke, kuyadingeka ukuze kufundwe. Kusuka kuye lapho uqala ukujwayelana nezwe lamashadi nokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, okuyingxenye ebalulekile yohlobo lomsebenzi okukhulunywa ngawo. Isibalo sivumela ukusebenzisa isibonelo saso ukucabangela izakhiwo nezici ezizoba khona ngezinga elithile noma kwelinye kwamanye amaphethini ahlukahlukene, izakhiwo namafomu asetshenziswa ekuhwebeni.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu

Iyini iphethini yekhanda namahlombe, futhi iyini incazelo yephethini

Ikhanda namahlombe noma i-HIP ekuhwebeni isibalo esikhulu (sakudala). Inegama elifanayo ngesikhathi se-uptrend. Uma iwa, igama lizoshintsha – kuzovela isibalo “esihlanekezelwe” sekhanda namahlombe. Isibalo sisebenza futhi ekubuyiseleni emuva. Ukubukeka kwayo kufanele kudonse ukunaka, ngoba isibalo sibonisa ukuthi ngesinye isikhathi kwakukhona ikhefu kumkhuba okhona. Ongakukhetha: kukhombisa ukunyakaza kwentengo okungenzeka ngakolunye uhlangothi. I-GUI iqukethe izingxenye ezi-3 uma ibukwa kugrafu:

  • Ihlombe langakwesokunxele.
  • Ihlombe langakwesokudla.
  • Ikhanda.

Isetshenziswa ngochwepheshe ukubikezela ngokunembile ukuhlehla kwethrendi. Kwamukelekile ezimakethe zezinkunzi nebhere. Nansi indlela ebukeka ngayo ngokubukeka:
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Kunwetshiwe:
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Ukucubungula okusheshayo kwamashadi avelayo nokwenza izibikezelo ezinembile, kunconywa ukwazi izici ukuthi iphethini yekhanda namahlombe inazo ekuhwebeni. Khumbula ukuthi lena iphethini yokuhlehla. Igama livela ngokuqondile ekuboneni okubonakalayo kanye nesici esihambisanayo. Ivela eshadini njengamahlombe ama-2 kanye nokwakheka (ikhanda) phakathi kwawo. Uhlobo oluthile lwephethini lwakha imigqa ethile, engabonwa eshadini. Ngemva kwalokho, intengo ehambisanayo idala phezulu kwesibili. Izoba phezulu kunaleyo eyakhiwa kuqala. Bese kudaleka okwesithathu. I-peculiarity izoba yiqiniso lokuthi iphansi (cishe ezingeni elifanayo nelokuqala), kodwa hhayi ngaphezulu, okuyinto umuntu omusha ekuhwebeni azoyilindela. Kanjalo, kwakhiwa amaphuzu abalulekile ama-3 okudingeka ukwazi ukuwamaka emashadini: amahlombe (kwesokunxele, kwesokudla) kanye nekhanda. Ngemva kokuba kucace ukuthi isibalo siyini, yiziphi izinkomba zalo eziyinhloko, kufanele siqhubeke sicabangele izici. Kuyadingeka ukuzazi, njengoba lokhu kuzodingeka ekunqumeni okulandelayo kwezimo ezinenzuzo kakhulu (futhi okungenani ezingenanzuzo) zokuhweba nokuthengiselana. Isisekelo siwukuthi isibalo sokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe siyinhloko namahlombe, okuyinto ngokushesha enezakhiwo eziyinhloko ezingu-5 zokutadisha. Ochwepheshe bayawakhomba futhi bawafake ngokulandelana avela kuwo amashadi ahambisanayo: ukuthi isibalo sokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe yikhanda namahlombe, okuyinto ngokushesha enezakhiwo ezi-5 eziyinhloko zokutadisha. Ochwepheshe bayawakhomba futhi bawafake ngokulandelana avela kuwo amashadi ahambisanayo: ukuthi isibalo sokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe yikhanda namahlombe, okuyinto ngokushesha enezakhiwo ezi-5 eziyinhloko zokutadisha. Ochwepheshe bayawakhomba futhi bawafake ngokulandelana avela kuwo amashadi ahambisanayo:

  • I-uptrend.
  • Ihlombe langakwesokunxele.
  • Ikhanda.
  • Ihlombe langakwesokudla.
  • Umugqa wentamo.

Umugqa wentamo awukhonjiswa ngephutha ekugcineni. Ukuhlola kahle okwenzekayo, okokuqala udinga ukubona futhi ulungise ukuthi amahlombe nekhanda kuvela kanjani. Kuphela ngemva kwabo ungaqala ukunquma umugqa wentamo eshadini. Le ndlela inciphisa amathuba okuba amaphutha izikhathi eziningana.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu I-uptrend izoba yingxenye yokuqala yephethini lapha. Kule ngxenye, ukunyakaza kwentengo yesikhathi eside kubonakala, okuqondiswa endaweni ethile. Ezimweni ezingu-90%, iphethini ethile ingabonakala: uma umkhuba uqhubeka, maningi amathuba okuba iphele.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Ihlombe langakwesokunxele lisho ukuthi intengo isiqalile ukwehla kwayo. Eshadini, ungakwazi ukulandelela ukwakheka kokuhlehlisa. Umhwebi uthola isignali lapha ukuthi iphethini okukhulunywa ngayo isiqalile ukuhlanganisa. Isici yiqiniso lokuthi okwamanje akunakwenzeka ukusho ngokunemba ukuthi kuzoba noshintsho emakethe. Isizathu ukuthi ama-kickbacks ayenzeka kule ndawo njalo. Ikhanda liqala ukuvela lapho ihlombe kwesokunxele seyakhekile. Ngalesi sikhathi, ungakwazi ukubona ukuthi intengo ifinyelela kanjani ekupheleleni kwayo. Intamo nayo ithatha ama-contours. Ngokuvela kwayo kokugcina emashadini, ukuqokwa kwehlombe elingakwesokudla kuyadingeka. Uma ucabangela, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi lena yindawo ekhethekile lapho zonke izici ezitholakalayo zesibalo zixhunywe. Abahwebi bangase babheke uphawu lokuthi amandla okuthenga ayaphela. ngokulandelana, intengo esikhathini esizayo esiseduze inazo zonke izinkomba zokuhlehla. Ngokushesha ngemva kokuqedwa kokubunjwa kwehlombe elingakwesokudla, kukhona inani elanele lolwazi nolwazi oluzokwazi ukumaka umugqa wentamo eshadini. Kuleli qophelo, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuthi iphethini yekhanda namahlombe eshadini ayikakhiwe ngokugcwele. Isincomo – okufanele sibhekwe njengokusalungiswa
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Isici somugqa wentamo sizobonakala ngokuqondile eshadini lapho inani lamahlombe lifinyelela ku-2. Izinga lizoba elibalulekile ngalesi sikhathi ukuze likwazi ukungena emakethe ukuze lihlukaniswe. Ochwepheshe batusa ukuthatha ukubonakala kwalesi sici njengohlobo lwesignali yokwakhiwa komngcele phakathi kwabathengi nabathengisi.

Kungani kwakhiwa le phethini?

Iphethini eyinhloko yekhanda namahlombe iyiphethini yakudala yokuhlehla. Ukubukeka kukhombisa ukuthi ukholo olukhona lwabathengi enkambweni ekhona ekuhwebeni nasezimakethe selunyamalele. Ihlombe elingakwesokudla liwuphawu lomhwebi, njengoba inani eliphakeme elinciphayo eshadini elidaliwe libonisa iqiniso lokwehla komkhuba, ukwanda kwamathuba okuhlehla. Akufanele sikhohlwe ukuthi noma yikuphi, ngisho nokuhamba kwamanani amancane kubonakala ngokushesha eshadini, futhi kuphethe kakhulu umlayezo othile kwababhidayo. Ulwazi olubalulekile kumthengisi ukuthi amandla okuthenga ayaphela. Kuleli qophelo, kufanele uqale ukulungiselela ukujika. Kwenzeka ngoba ukwakheka kwentengo okukhona kudala ukuthi imakethe iguqule indlela ekhethwe ngaphambilini. Kanye nayo, abathengisi nabathengi baphoqeleka ukuthi bathuthe. Isibonakaliso esiyinhloko soshintsho ekuthambekeni, okufanele kwenzeke esikhathini esizayo esiseduze, ukuguqulwa kwezinga eliphezulu nokwehla okulandelanayo. Bona, ngokulandelana, bavela emashadini. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, umkhuba wamanje ngomqondo wezobuchwepheshe awunakho ukwephulwa. Lokhu kuzoqhubeka kuze kube yilapho ukuphakama okuphansi nokuphansi kubonakala. Udinga ukuqhathanisa nalezo zinkomba ebezikhona ngaphambilini. Isibalo sisebenza ngenkuthalo ngenxa yoshintsho lwesakhiwo samanani se-uptrend eyakhiwe. Lesi sici sibonisa futhi sibonisa ukuthi kuyadingeka ukuqapha ngokuqhubekayo ushintsho lokuphakama nokwehla kokuhamba kwentengo. Ukwakheka kubuye kubhekwe njengento yokuqinisekisa kuphela ngemuva kokuphuka kwe-neckline. Kuvame ukuqondwa njengokuvala intengo ngaphansi kwezinga. Okubalulekile ukukukhumbula, ukuthi isibalo asikwazi ukubhekwa njengesiphelele lapho kwakhiwa ihlombe elingakwesokudla. Lesi sakhi siphelela kuphela lapho intengo ivala ngaphansi komugqa wentamo. Ukuze uqinisekise ukuphuma, intengo ivale ngaphansi kwezinga lentamo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_15211” align = “aligncenter” wide = “713”]
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Ukwahlukaniswa[/caption]

Izici zokwakheka kwephethini

Uma kucatshangelwa izici, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi isibonakaliso sokuqala esibonisa ukubukeka kwephethini yokuhlehla yigama eliphansi ngemuva kokubunjwa kwekhanda. Endabeni yokwakheka kokuthambekela okuphansi, khona-ke ku-90% yamacala ukwehla kokuqina kufanele kulindeleke. Ngemuva kwalokho, ukwakheka kwe-GUI kuzoqala eshadini. Kunesimo lapho iziqongo ezi-2 zivela eshadini, ziyakhula. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, okuphansi okudalwe ngemva kokubunjwa kwekhanda kuphula umugqa wenkambiso ekhona ngaphambili. Isimo esifanayo siwumfutho wokwehlisa ijubane. Esigabeni esilandelayo, ukwakheka kwekhanda kuqediwe. Ngemuva kwalokho, ungalungiselela ngokushesha iqiniso lokuthi kuzovela inani eliphakeme lesithathu. Kwezinye izimo, ngalo mzuzu, intengo ingase ihlole umugqa wethrendi owaphulwa ngaphambilini ukuze uthole ukumelana. Intamo iyingxenye ebalulekile. Umugqa wentamo uyisiqalo esichazayo sesidingo sokungena emakethe. Ukuqoka ubuvila bentamo, kuyadingeka ukuqoka izisekelo ezi-2. Eyokuqala izoba phansi (eyakhelwe ngokushesha ngaphambi kokubunjwa kwekhanda) kanye nephansi, elivela ngokushesha ngemva kokubunjwa kwekhanda. Ngokuqokwa kugrafu, kuyodingeka ukuxhuma amaphuzu acatshangelwayo ngomugqa owodwa. Kungaba iqonde (evundlile) noma ithambekele. Iphethini yekhanda namahlombe – umhlahlandlela ophelele: https://youtu.be/dooSwg2pLSQ

Indlela yokusebenzisa, amasu okuhweba asekelwe iphethini yekhanda namahlombe

Izimpawu ezitholiwe akufanele zibonwe kuphela, kodwa futhi zisetshenziswe kuhlelo lokuhweba. Kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuthi ikhanda namahlombe kuyiphethini yokuhlehla, okuyinto ku-90% yamacala ayiyona yonke into. Lokhu kusho ukuthi kungase kube khona ukuphazamiseka okuthile phakathi kwezakhiwo.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Imodeli ikhiqiza izimpawu okufanele zicatshangelwe lapho kukhethwa isu lokuhweba. Eyokuqala kubo kwenzeka ngemva kokuba intengo iphukile, okwesibili – ngemva kokubuya kwayo. Ungenza ukuthengisa. Lapho ulungiselela isivumelwano, kufanele kucatshangelwe ukuthi ukudayiswa kokuqala kungenziwa ngesikhathi lapho ukwakheka kwehlombe lesibili kuqediwe noma esiteji lapho intengo ememezelwe isondela emgqeni wentamo ngokuseduze ngangokunokwenzeka. Okwesibili umsebenzi onesibalo uqala ngesikhathi lapho intengo isuka kokuncane iye phezulu.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu

Ungangena kanjani ekuqhekekeni komugqa wentamo?

Lolu uhlobo lwesignali ukuthi abadayisi badinga ukuvula isivumelwano. Kulesi sigaba, udinga ukubona futhi ulungise isikhathi lapho intengo iqala ukwephula i-neckline. Kunezindlela ezi-4 zalokhu:

  1. Ukusetshenziswa kwe-stop order, esetshenziselwa ukubeka isikhundla ngaphansi kwe-neckline.
  2. Linda ukuhlolwa kabusha, bese ungena emakethe.
  3. Sheshisa isivumelwano kuze kube yilapho kwakheka isibalo.
  4. Sebenzisa izikhathi ezimisiwe eziningi ukuze uthole amathuba aphezulu okusethwa kohwebo.

Ngayinye yezindlela idinga ukunakwa okuphezulu emininingwaneni kanye nesimo sisonke.

Ukusetha ukulahlekelwa kokuma

Ungakwazi ukubeka isitobhi ngaphezu kwehlombe elingakwesokudla. Lokhu kuzoholela abanye ababambiqhaza ukuthi bakhethe ukubekwa okunolaka okukhulu okungaba khona izinga eliphezulu lokungenzeka. Ungakwazi futhi ukuyibeka ngaphezu kwezinga le-pullback yokugcina. Enye indlela iphakamisa ukuthi ikhiqizwa ngaphezu komugqa wentamo.

Ilungiswa kanjani inzuzo

Kunezindlela eziningana zale njongo:

  1. Udinga ukuthatha inzuzo ezingeni eliseduze lokusekela elingukhiye. Ishadi lidinga ukuqashelwa ukuthola ukuphinda kwentengo okuqinile.
  2. Ukusebenzisa izilinganiso zebanga lokunyakaza kwentengo. Inani lobude besibalo liyahlolwa.
  3. Ukusebenzisa indlela yokumisa elandelanayo.

Kuzo zonke lezi zindlela, kunethuba langempela lokuthatha inzuzo enenzuzo.

Kuhlehliswe Ikhanda Namahlombe

Kufanele kukhunjulwe ukuthi iphethini ye-hip ekuhwebeni ingaguqulwa. Kulokhu, iphethini yenziwa ngesikhathi se-bearish trend. Ibonisa ukuguqulwa kwethrendi okungenzeka kube ngu-90%.

Izibonelo ezimbalwa zephethini Yekhanda Namahlombe

Lapha ungabona isibalo esihlanekezelwe. Isimo sikhombisa ukuthi ukuguqulwa kwenzeke. Kubalulekile ukunaka kakhulu izinkomba ukuze kugcinwe inzuzo.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Leli shadi libonisa indawo yokungena efanelekile. Ngemva kwalokho, ungakhetha isu elilandelayo lesenzo.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu Ukunaka okuyinhloko lapha kudonswa esikhathini sokuphuka ngokushesha. Ukunaka intengo kufanele kube phezulu ukuze ukwazi ukuthatha inzuzo.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kwekhanda kanye nephethini yamahlombe ekuhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, amasu

Imithetho Ebalulekile

Izinto eziyisisekelo okufanele uzikhumbule futhi uzisebenzise:

  • Isibalo kufanele sakheke ngemuva kokunyuka kwe-uptrend.
  • Amahlombe awakwazi (futhi akufanele) abe phezulu kunekhanda.
  • Umthambeka womugqa wentamo awukwazi ukuba phansi. Izikhundla zayo ezilungile ziyakhuphuka noma zivundlile.

Ukuthobela le mithetho kuzokuvumela ukuthi uthole inzuzo eqinisekisiwe futhi uyilungise ngesikhathi. Ishadi lingase liqale ngethrendi ye-bullish. Isibalo esicutshungulwayo sizoqala ukwakheka kancane kancane (ngokwemigomo ekhonjiwe). Ngemva kokuchaza imodeli, ungaqala ukuqoka umugqa wentamo (eshadini – umugqa ovundlile). Isikhundla esifushane sivuliwe (ikhandlela livala ngaphansi komugqa). Ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka kufanele kubekwe ngaphezu kwehlombe lesibili.

Isetshenziswa nini i-GUI, futhi ngokuphambene lapho ungayisebenzisi

Kufanele uqale ukusebenzisa isibalo esigabeni sokujwayelana nokuqeqeshwa ekuhwebeni. Uma ukuhweba kuba kukhulu, kungcono ukwenqaba ukusebenzisa isibalo esinjalo. Isizathu siwukuthi amashadi azobonakala kubo bonke abahwebi ngesikhathi esisodwa, okusongela ukulahlekelwa inzuzo.

Izinzuzo nezingozi zokusebenzisa umumo

Izinzuzo zifaka ukukhululeka kokuqonda kanye nekhono lokuhlanganisa ngokushesha ama-nuances. Ukulandelela izinguquko usebenzisa lesi simo nakho akunzima. Futhi ama-pluses: amasiginali ahlukahlukene akuvumela ukuthi uzulazule endaweni yentengo, ufunde mayelana nokuncipha kwemakethe futhi uthathe inzuzo ngesikhathi. I-Minus – abathengisi abanolwazi bazokwazi ukufunda ngokushesha ulwazi olubalulekile futhi bangene ngokushesha emakethe ngenzuzo enkulu. Kukholakala ukuthi amatheminali e-QUIK kanye ne-MetaTrader ayisisekelo futhi alula. Ukuthandwa kwabo okuphezulu kungenxa yokuthi bahlinzeka abathengisi ngazo zonke izici zokuhweba ezidingekayo ezivumela ukuba bathuthukise ngokushesha, bathuthukise futhi benze inzuzo eqinisekisiwe. Isibalo se-GUI kuzo sibonakala ngokucacile. Ukusebenza kukuvumela ukuthi uthwebule izinguquko ngokushesha futhi uzibonise eshadini.

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