Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni – ukwakhiwa, izicwangciso

Методы и инструменты анализа

Intloko yohlalutyo lobuchwephesha kunye nomfanekiso wamagxa ekurhwebeni – oko kubonakala ngathi, ukucwangcisa kwitshathi, izicwangciso zokurhweba. Ipateni yentloko kunye namagxa iyaziwa kuwo wonke umntu othengisayo. Kudidi lweklasikhi, ke ngoko, kuyimfuneko yokufunda. Kuvela kuye ukuba ukuqhelana nehlabathi leetshathi kunye nohlalutyo lobugcisa luqala, oluyinxalenye ebalulekileyo yohlobo lomsebenzi ochaphazelekayo. Umzobo uvumela ukusebenzisa umzekelo wawo ukuqwalasela iipropati kunye neempawu eziya kubakho kwidigri enye okanye enye kwezinye iipateni ezahlukeneyo, ulwakhiwo kunye neefom ezisetyenziselwa ukurhweba.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangciso

Iyintoni ipateni yentloko namagxa, kwaye yintoni intsingiselo yepateni

Intloko kunye namagxa okanye i-HIP ekurhwebeni ngowona mfanekiso uphambili (i-classic). Inegama elifanayo ngeli xesha le-uptrend. Ukuba iyawa, ke igama liya kutshintsha-intloko kunye namagxa angaphezulu kuya kuvela. Eli nani likwasebenza nakwinguquko. Ukubonakala kwayo kufuneka kutsale ingqalelo, kuba umzobo ubonisa ukuba ngexesha elithile kwakukho ikhefu kwindlela ekhoyo. Ukuzikhethela: ibonisa intshukumo yexabiso enokwenzeka kwelinye icala. I-GUI inamalungu ama-3 xa ijongwe kwigrafu:

  • Igxalaba lasekhohlo.
  • Igxalaba lasekunene.
  • Intloko.

Isetyenziswa ngokukhutheleyo ziingcali ukuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo ukuguqulwa kwendlela. Yamkelekile kwiimarike zenkunzi kunye neebhere. Yile ndlela ekhangeleka ngayo ngokubonakalayo:
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoYandisiwe:
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoUkucutshungulwa ngokukhawuleza kweetshathi ezibangelwayo kunye nokwenza izibikezelo ezichanekileyo, kuyacetyiswa ukuba wazi iimpawu zentloko kunye neepateni zamagxa ekuthengiseni. Gcina ukhumbule ukuba le yipateni yokubuyisela umva. Igama livela ngokuthe ngqo kwimbono ebonakalayo kunye neempawu ezihambelanayo. Ibonakala kwitshathi njengamagxa ama-2 kunye nokwakheka (intloko) phakathi kwawo. Uhlobo oluthile lwepateni lwenza imigca ethile, ethi emva koko ijongwe kwitshathi. Emva koko, ixabiso elihambelanayo lidala isibini esiphezulu. Iya kuba kwindawo ephezulu kunaleyo yayibunjwe kuqala. Emva koko kuyadalwa okwesithathu. I-peculiarity iya kuba yinto ephantsi (phantse kwinqanaba elifanayo nelokuqala), kodwa lingekho phezulu, apho umntu omtsha ekurhwebeni uya kulindela. Ngokufanelekileyo, amanqaku abalulekileyo ama-3 adalwe ekufuneka ukwazi ukuwaphawula kwiitshathi: amagxa (ekhohlo, ekunene) kunye nentloko. Emva kokuba kucacile ukuba yintoni umzobo, zeziphi izikhokelo zayo eziphambili, kufuneka siqhubeke siqwalasela iimpawu. Kuyimfuneko ukuba uzazi, njengoko oku kuya kufuneka ekumiselweni okulandelayo kweyona nzuzo (kwaye ingenanzuzo encinci) yeemeko zokurhweba kunye nokuthengiselana. Isiseko kukuba umzobo wohlalutyo lobugcisa yintloko kunye namagxa, ngokukhawuleza aneempawu ezi-5 eziphambili zokufunda. Iingcali zichonga kwaye zidwelise ngokulandelelana kwazo kwiitshathi ezihambelanayo: ukuba umzobo wohlalutyo lobugcisa yintloko kunye namagxa, ngokukhawuleza aneempawu ezi-5 eziphambili zokufunda. Iingcali zichonga kwaye zidwelise ngokulandelelana kwazo kwiitshathi ezihambelanayo: ukuba umzobo wohlalutyo lobugcisa yintloko kunye namagxa, ngokukhawuleza aneempawu ezi-5 eziphambili zokufunda. Iingcali zichonga kwaye zidwelise ngokulandelelana kwazo kwiitshathi ezihambelanayo:

  • Uptrend.
  • Igxalaba lasekhohlo.
  • Intloko.
  • Igxalaba lasekunene.
  • Umgca wentamo.

Umgca wentamo awuboniswanga ngengozi ekugqibeleni. Ukuvavanya ngokuchanekileyo oko kwenzekayo, kufuneka uqale ubone kwaye ulungise indlela amahlombe kunye nentloko ebonakala ngayo. Kuphela emva kwabo unokuqalisa ukumisela umgca wentamo kwitshathi. Le ndlela inciphisa amathuba okuba neempazamo ngamaxesha amaninzi.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoI-uptrend iya kuba yinxalenye yokuqala yepateni apha. Kule nxalenye, intshukumo yexabiso lexesha elide ibonakala, eqondiswe kwicala elithile. Kwi-90% yamatyala, ipateni ethile inokuchongwa: ixesha elide liqhubeka liqhubeka, kunokwenzeka ukuba liphele.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoIgxalaba lasekhohlo lithetha ukuba ixabiso liqalise ukuhla ukuhla. Kwitshathi, unokulandelela ukubunjwa kwe-rollback. Umrhwebi ufumana umqondiso apha ukuba iphethini ekuthethwa ngayo sele iqalile ukudibanisa. Isici yinto yokuba kulo mzuzu akunakwenzeka ukuthetha ngokuchanekileyo ukuba kuya kubakho utshintsho kwimarike. Isizathu kukuba ukukhatywa kwebhola kwenzeka rhoqo kule ndawo. Intloko iqala ukubonakala xa igxalaba lasekhohlo lenziwe. Ngeli xesha, unokujonga ngokubonakalayo ukuba ixabiso lifikelela njani kubukhulu balo. Intamo nayo ithatha iikhonto. Ukubonakala kwayo kokugqibela kwiitshathi, ukutyunjwa kwegxalaba lasekunene kuyadingeka. Xa uqwalasela, kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba le yindawo ekhethekileyo apho zonke iimpawu ezikhoyo zomfanekiso zixhunyiwe. Abarhwebi basenokuba bajonge uphawu lokuba amandla okuthenga ayaphela. Ngokulandelelana, ixabiso kwixesha elizayo elikufutshane linazo zonke izibonakaliso zokuguqulwa. Ngokukhawuleza emva kokugqitywa kokubunjwa kwegxala lokunene, kukho inani elaneleyo lolwazi kunye nolwazi lokukwazi ukuphawula i-neckline kwitshathi. Ngeli xesha, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuba ipateni yentloko kunye namagxa kwitshathi ayikenziwa ngokupheleleyo. Ingcebiso – kufuneka ithathelwe ingqalelo njengoyilo
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoInto yomgca wentamo iya kubonakala ngokuthe ngqo kwitshathi xa inani lamagxa lifikelela kwi-2. Inqanaba liya kuba yinto ephambili ngalo mzuzu ukuze ukwazi ukungena emarikeni ukuphuka. Iingcali zincoma ukuthatha inkangeleko yale nto njengoluhlobo lomqondiso wokuqulunqwa komda phakathi kwabathengi nabathengisi.

Kutheni le nto yenziwa le pateni?

Intloko ephambili kunye neepateni zamagxa yipatheni ye-classic reversal pattern. Imbonakalo ibonisa ukuba ukholo olwalukho ngaphambili lwabathengi kwindlela ekhoyo yokurhweba nakwimarike lunyamalele. Igxalaba lasekunene liyingcebiso kumthengisi, ekubeni i-peak ehlayo kwitshathi eyenziweyo ibonisa inyaniso yokunciphisa umkhwa, ukunyuka kwamathuba okuguqulwa. Asimele silibale ukuba nayiphi na, nokuba intshukumo encinci yexabiso ibonakaliswe ngokukhawuleza kwitshathi, kwaye ngokubanzi ithwala umyalezo othile kubathengi. Ulwazi olubalulekileyo kumthengisi kukuba amandla okuthenga ayaphela. Ngeli xesha, kufuneka uqale ukulungiselela ukujika. Kwenzeka ngenxa yokuba ubume bexabiso obukhoyo bubangela ukuba imarike itshintshe indlela ekhethwe ngayo ngaphambili. Kunye nayo, abathengisi kunye nabathengi banyanzelekile ukuba bahambe. Uphawu oluphambili lwenguqu kwindlela, ekufuneka yenzeke kwixesha elizayo elisondeleyo, kukutshintsha ngokulandelelana okuphezulu kunye nokuhla. Bona, ngokulandelanayo, bavela kwiitshathi. Ngexesha elifanayo, umkhwa wangoku kwingqiqo yobugcisa awunakho ukuphulwa. Oku kuya kuqhubeka kude kube phezulu kunye nomgangatho ophantsi obonakalayo. Kufuneka uthelekise nezo zalathi bezikho ngaphambili. Umzobo usebenza ngenkuthalo ngenxa yotshintsho kwixabiso lexabiso le-uptrend eyenziwe. Olu phawu lubonisa kwaye lubonisa ukuba kuyimfuneko ukubeka iliso ngokuqhubekayo utshintsho oluphezulu kunye nokunyuka kwexabiso lokuhamba. Ukuqulunqwa kwakhona kuthathwa njengento yokuqinisekisa kuphela emva kokuphulwa kwe-neckline. Ngokuqhelekileyo kuqondwa njengokuvala ixabiso elingaphantsi kwinqanaba. Kubalulekile ukukhumbula, ukuba umzobo awunakuqwalaselwa uphelele xa igxalaba lasekunene lenziwe. Le nto igqityiwe kuphela xa ixabiso livala ngaphantsi komgca wentamo. Ukuqinisekisa ukuphuka, ixabiso livalwe ngaphantsi kwenqanaba lentamo. Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangciso

Iimpawu zokubunjwa kwepateni

Ukuqwalasela iimpawu, kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba uphawu lokuqala olubonisa ukubonakala kwepateni yokuguqulwa kukutyunjwa kwezantsi emva kokubunjwa kwentloko. Kwimeko yokuqulunqwa komgangatho ophantsi, ngoko kwi-90% yamatyala ukwehla kokuqina kufuneka kulindeleke. Emva koko, ukubunjwa kwe-GUI kuya kuqala kwitshathi. Kukho imeko xa iincopho ezi-2 zivela kwitshathi, zikhula. Ngelo xesha, i-bottom edalwe emva kokubunjwa kwentloko iphula umgca wendlela ekhoyo ngaphambili. Isenzeko esikwafana neso sisenzo sokuthoba isantya. Kwinqanaba elilandelayo, ukubunjwa kwentloko kugqityiwe. Emva koko, unokulungiselela ngokukhawuleza into yokuba incopho yesithathu iya kuvela. Kwezinye iimeko, ngalo mzuzu, ixabiso linokuvavanya umgca wendlela eyaphukileyo ngaphambili yokuchasana. Intamo yinxalenye ebalulekileyo. Umgca wentamo yimbangela ecacileyo yesidingo sokungena kwimarike. Ukutyumba ubuvila bentamo, kuyafuneka ukuba ukhethe iziseko ezi-2. Eyokuqala iya kuba ngezantsi (eyenziwe ngokukhawuleza ngaphambi kokubunjwa kwentloko) kunye nezantsi, ebonakala ngokukhawuleza emva kokubunjwa kwentloko. Ukutyunjwa kwigrafu, kuya kufuneka ukuba udibanise amanqaku aphantsi kokuqwalaselwa ngomgca omnye. Inokuthi tye (ethe tyaba) okanye ithambekele. Ipateni yentloko kunye namagxa – isikhokelo esipheleleyo: https://youtu.be/dooSwg2pLSQ

Indlela yokusebenzisa, izicwangciso zokurhweba ezisekelwe kwintloko kunye nephethini yamagxa

Izibonakaliso ezifunyenweyo akufanele ziqatshelwe kuphela, kodwa zisetyenziswe kwisicwangciso sokurhweba. Kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuba intloko kunye namagxa yindlela yokubuyisela umva, apho kwi-90% yamatyala ayikho yonke into. Oku kuthetha ukuba kunokubakho ukuphazamiseka okuthile phakathi kwezakhiwo.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoImodeli ivelisa imiqondiso ekufuneka ithathelwe ingqalelo xa ukhetha isicwangciso sokurhweba. Eyokuqala kubo kwenzeka emva kokuba ixabiso liphukile, okwesibini – emva kokubuya kwayo. Unokwenza intengiso. Xa ulungiselela isivumelwano, kufuneka kuthathelwe ingqalelo ukuba ukuthengiswa kokuqala kunokwenziwa ngexesha xa ukubunjwa kwegxalaba lesibini kugqityiwe okanye kwinqanaba xa ixabiso elibhengeziweyo lisondela kwi-neckline ngokusondeleyo. Ixesha lesibini umsebenzi kunye nomfanekiso uqala ngeli xesha xa ixabiso lihamba ukusuka kwincinci ukuya phezulu.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangciso

Indlela yokungena ekuqhekekeni kwe-neckline?

Olu luhlobo lwesibonakaliso sokuba abahwebi kufuneka bavule isivumelwano. Ngeli nqanaba, kufuneka ubone kwaye ulungise umzuzu xa ixabiso liqala ukuphula i-neckline. Kukho iindlela ezi-4 zoku:

  1. Ukusetyenziswa komyalelo wokumisa, osetyenziselwa ukubeka indawo phantsi komgca wentamo.
  2. Lindela ukuvavanywa kwakhona, kwaye emva koko ungene kwimarike.
  3. Ukukhawulezisa isivumelwano de umzobo wenziwe.
  4. Sebenzisa amaxesha amaninzi ukufumana awona mathuba aphezulu okuseta urhwebo.

Nganye yeendlela ifuna ingqalelo enkulu kwiinkcukacha kunye nemeko iyonke.

Ukumisela ilahleko yokuyeka

Ungabeka isitophu ngaphezulu kwegxalaba lasekunene. Oku kuya kukhokelela abanye abathathi-nxaxheba ukuba bakhethe indawo enobundlobongela kunye neqondo eliphezulu lokunokwenzeka. Unako kwakhona ukuyibeka ngaphezu kwinqanaba le-pullback yokugqibela. Enye indlela ibonisa ukuba iveliswa ngaphezu komgca wentamo.

Indlela yokulungisa inzuzo

Kukho iindlela ezininzi kule njongo:

  1. Kufuneka uthathe inzuzo kwinqanaba elikufutshane lenkxaso engundoqo. Itshathi kufuneka ibekwe iliso kwixabiso elomeleleyo.
  2. Ukusebenzisa imilinganiselo yexabiso lokuhamba komgama. Ixabiso lobude bomfanekiso liyavavanywa.
  3. Ukusebenzisa indlela yokumisa umkhondo.

Kwindlela nganye yezi ndlela, kukho ithuba lokwenyani lokuthatha inzuzo enenzuzo.

Intloko namagxa abuyiselwe umva

Kufuneka kukhunjulwe engqondweni ukuba iphethini ye-hip ekurhwebeni ingaguqulwa. Kule meko, iphethini yenziwe ngexesha le-bearish trend. Ibonisa ukuguqulwa kwendlela enokwenzeka ngama-90%.

Imizekelo embalwa yepateni yeNtloko kunye namagxa

Apha unokubona umfanekiso oguqulweyo. Imeko ibonisa ukuba ukuguqulwa kwenzekile. Kubalulekile ukuhlawula ingqalelo kwiimpawu ukwenzela ukugcina inzuzo.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoLe tshathi ibonisa eyona ndawo yokungena. Emva koko, unokukhetha isicwangciso esilandelayo sokusebenza.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangcisoIngqwalasela ephambili apha itsalwa kumzuzu wokuphuka ngokukhawuleza. Ingqalelo kwixabiso kufuneka ibe phezulu ukuze ukwazi ukuthatha inzuzo.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha lwentloko kunye neepatheni zamagxa ekurhwebeni - ukwakhiwa, izicwangciso

Imithetho engundoqo

Izinto ezisisiseko ekufuneka uzikhumbule kwaye uzisebenzise:

  • Umzobo kufuneka wakhe emva kokunyuka.
  • Amagxa akakwazi (kwaye akufanele) abe phezulu kunentloko.
  • I-slope yomgca wentamo ayikwazi ukuhla. Iindawo zayo ezizezona ziphezulu zinyuka okanye zithe tye.

Ukuthotyelwa kwale migaqo kuya kukuvumela ukuba ufumane inzuzo eqinisekisiweyo kwaye uyilungise ngexesha elifanelekileyo. Itshathi inokuqala nge-bullish trend. Inani eliphantsi koqwalaselo liya kuqala ukumila (ngokwemigaqo ebonisiweyo). Emva kokuchaza imodeli, ungaqala ukutyumba umgca wentamo (kwitshathi – umgca othe tye). Isikhundla esifutshane sivulekile (ikhandlela livala ngaphantsi komgca). Ilahleko yokuyeka kufuneka ibekwe ngaphezu kwegxalaba lesibini.

Kusetyenziswa nini i-GUI, kwaye ngokuphendukileyo xa ungayenzi

Kufuneka uqale ukusebenzisa umzobo kwinqanaba lokuziqhelanisa noqeqesho ekurhwebeni. Ukuba urhwebo luba lukhulu, ke kungcono ukwenqaba ukusebenzisa umzobo onjalo. Isizathu kukuba iitshathi ziya kubonakala kubo bonke abahwebi kanye kanye, ezisongela ukulahlekelwa yinzuzo.

Iinzuzo kunye neengozi zokusebenzisa imilo

Iinzuzo ziquka ukulula kokuqonda kunye nokukwazi ukulinganisa ngokukhawuleza ama-nuances. Ukulandelela utshintsho usebenzisa le milo nako akukho nzima. Kwakhona i-pluses: iimpawu ezahlukeneyo ezikuvumela ukuba uhambe kwindawo yexabiso, ufunde malunga nokunciphisa imarike kwaye uthathe inzuzo ngexesha elifanelekileyo. I-Minus – abahwebi abanamava baya kukwazi ukufunda ngokukhawuleza ulwazi olubalulekileyo kwaye bangene ngokukhawuleza kwimarike ngenzuzo enkulu. Kukholelwa ukuba i-QUIK kunye ne-MetaTrader terminals zisisiseko kwaye zifanelekile. Ukuthandwa kwabo okuphezulu kubangelwa kukuba babonelela abarhwebi ngazo zonke iimpawu eziyimfuneko zokurhweba ezivumela ukuba baphuhlise ngokukhawuleza, baphucule kwaye benze inzuzo eqinisekisiweyo. Umzobo we-GUI kubo ubonwa ngokucacileyo. Ukusebenza kukuvumela ukuba ubambe ngokukhawuleza utshintsho kwaye ubonise kwitshathi.

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