Uyini umugqa wethrendi ekuhwebeni, ungakha kanjani futhi usetshenziswe ekuhwebeni

Uyini umugqa wethrendi ekuhwebeni, ukwakha nokusebenzisa ekuhwebeni, yiziphi izinhlobo ezikhona, ukudala imigqa yethrendi.
Ukuhweba noma ukuhweba ngamasheya kuya ngokuya kuduma. Kubonakala kumuntu osekude nokuqonda izimakethe zezimali ukuthi ungazuza kakhulu ngokushesha futhi kakhulu. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, izenzo ziyisiphithiphithi ngenxa yokuntuleka kolwazi mayelana namathuluzi okuhlaziya. Lokhu kungase kuholele kumphumela ophambene nalokho okulindelekile. Ukwazi imithetho yokuphromotha okuqhubekayo ekuhwebeni kokuhwebelana kungaqalwa ngokucabangela indlela elula
nevamile yokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe – ukwakha umugqa wethrendi.

I-Trendline: kuyini nokuthi udweba kanjani

Umugqa wethrendi ungomunye wemiqondo eyisisekelo okufanele noma yimuphi umthengisi ayazi. Ukushintshashintsha kwezintengo nezinkomba akunasiphithiphithi. Ithobela imithetho ethile. Amathrendi ngesikhathi sezinqubo abonakala ngokucacile kusetshenziswa ukumelwa okunemifanekiso ngendlela yomugqa wethrendi. Ukubaluleka kokusetshenziswa okufanele kwaleli thuluzi kungenxa yokuthi umugqa wethrendi uzokuvumela ukuthi:

• zulazula ngendlela efanele ngezinga lentengo lethuluzi lezezimali esikhathini esizayo;
• yakha ngendlela efanele isu lakho lokuhweba ngokusetshenziswa ngempumelelo kwezinkomba zesitoko.

Abahlaziyi babheka umugqa wethrendi njengethuluzi elilula elibonisa ukunyakaza okuhamba phambili kwezinkomba. https://articles.opexflow.com/strategies/trend-v-tradinge.htm

Yini ecatshangwayo lapho kuhlelwa umugqa wethrendi?

Lapho wenza itulo, kubalulekile ukucabangela ukuthi ithrendi ingeyaluphi uhlobo esikhathini esinqunyiwe. Izinhlobo ezintathu zamathrendi ziyacatshangelwa:

1. I-uptrend noma i-uptrend (“bullish”) ibonisa ukukhuphuka kwemakethe.
2. Ukwehla noma phansi (“bearish”) kubonisa ukwehla kwezingcaphuno.
3. I- Flat – ukungabi khona kwangempela kwezinguquko ekuziphatheni kwemakethe (inkambiso). Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, izinkomba zihlala njalo.

Ishadi libonisa ukuguquguquka kwentengo okuqhubekayo phezulu (umfutho) naphansi (ukulungisa). Kunzima ukucacisa isiqondiso esijwayelekile sokushintshwa kwentengo. Umugqa wethrendi uboniswa eshadini lokushintsha kwentengo njengomugqa oqondile oxhuma amaphuzu aphezulu noma aphansi “wezinti zamakhandlela”. Ngakho-ke, ukwakhiwa nokubekwa kwemigqa yethrendi eshadini kuncike ngokuqondile kuthrendi ngokwayo. Lapho uhlela, amaphuzu aphezulu athathwa njengesisekelo – i-maxima noma i-minima (ngokuya ngenkambiso yenqubo). I-extremum eshadini ibonisa inguquko ukusuka kumfutho ukuya ekulungiseni. Umugqa udwetshwa nge-extrema eminingana engasondelene. Abahlaziyi abangochwepheshe bayeluleka ukusebenzisa amanani amancane kakhulu namakhulu kakhulu.

Umugqa wethrendi okhuphukayo

Ulayini oqondile uxhumanisa okuphansi eshadini elikhuphukayo le-bullish futhi uwumugqa wokusekela. Itholakala ngaphansi kweshadi lesitoko. Uma amaphuzu asele eziqongo ezincane athinta lo mugqa oqondile, abizwa ngokuthi “ama-bounces”. Uma okungenani ama-3 “bounces” axhumene nomugqa oqondile, khona-ke kungathathwa ukuze kwakhiwe isibikezelo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_15770″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”565″]
Umugqa wethrendi phezulu naphansi[/caption]

I-Downtrend Line

Ulayini wakhelwe phezulu eshadini eliphansi elithi “bearish” lezinguquko kuzinkomba zemakethe. Umugqa oqondile utholakala ngaphezu kweshadi futhi ubizwa ngokuthi umugqa wokumelana. Amaphoyinti e-“bounce” abonisa ukuzinza kuthrendi ngesikhathi esikhethiwe. Efulethini, umugqa oqondile uvundlile futhi ubonisa “ukuma” emakethe esikhathini esibuyekezwayo. Qaphela! Ukwakha umugqa wethrendi kulula ukuwenza ngokusebenza. Ukuze wenze lokhu, ungasebenzisa idatha yezikhathi ezedlule. Isibikezelo kulula ukusiqhathanisa nesithombe sangempela salokho okwenzekile, ukuhlonza amaphutha nokulungisa imiphumela yokuhlaziywa. Izibonelo zokwakhiwa kwemigqa ethrendayo zingabonakala kuvidiyo elandelayo. https://youtu.be/ZVrjfyNO-r0 Amakhono atholiwe ekwakheni imigqa yethrendi azokhuphula ukusebenza kahle komsebenzi womhwebi futhi anciphise ubungozi bokuthenga.

Yini enganqunywa kusukela kumugqa wethrendi?

Umugqa wethrendi owakhiwe uzosiza ukunquma ubude besikhathi esizinzile semakethe, ngokusekelwe ohlelweni olulandelayo lwezinkomba:

• Isikali sesikhathi sibonisa izinga lokubaluleka komugqa owakhiwe . Uma isikhawu sesikhathi eside, siphezulu ukuthembeka kwesibikezelo. Ithrendi eshiwo eshadini lansuku zonke ibonisa inqubo ezinzile nethembekile kunethrendi yanjalo ngehora.
• Ubude besikhathi bukhombisa isimo emakethe kanye nesimo sengqondo sabadayisi ngenqubo yokuhweba . Uma umugqa wethrendi umude, maningi amathuba okuba inkambiso yenqubo iqhubeke.
• Inombolo yokuthinta yenza kube nokwenzeka ukwahlulela ukuthembeka kwesibikezelo sethrendi . Umugqa oqondile “onamabhampa” amathathu noma ngaphezulu unikeza isivikelo esikhulu ekunqamukeni kuthrendi.
• I-engeli yokuthambekela igxilisa ukunaka emandleni ethrendi . Lapho umugqa oqondile ujula, ukuqina kwethrendi. Kodwa-ke, ukutsheka okukhulu kudala amathuba okuba kube khona ukuhlehla emakethe.

Umugqa wethrendi ushintsha ukuziphatha kwawo lapho ithrendi yentengo ishintsha (ukugqashuka kwethrendi).

Yini ezotshela umugqa wethrendi endalini

Ukuhlaziywa kwemigqa eyakhiwe kunikeza ulwazi mayelana nemvamisa yezinguquko kumanani ezimpahla zezimali kanye namathemba atholakalayo. Ngokusekelwe kudatha etholiwe, ungakha noma ulungise izenzo endalini. Nge-downtrends esikhathini eside, esinye sezinqumo singenzeka: noma ukunciphisa izindleko futhi umise izikhundla ezivulekile, noma (uma izimali zitholakala) uthenge izimpahla. Isixazululo sesibili sidinga indlela ekhethekile futhi sisetshenziswa ngokusebenzisa isu lokuthambekela. Ngomugqa wethrendi okhuphukayo, kuyadingeka ukuthengisa izimpahla noma ukulungisa izindawo ezivulekile. Ukuze uthole ukukhetha okunengqondo kwezenzo, ababambiqhaza ekuhwebeni ngokushintshanisa bakha isiteshi esithrendayo. Eshadini, ulayini wokusekela kanye nolayini wokumelana zidwetshwa ngesikhathi esisodwa, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi hlobo luni lwethrendi. Ukumelwa kwesithombe kunikeza ulwazi oluphelele mayelana nezintengo okwenziwa ngazo ukuthengiselana.
Isiteshi esithrendayo[/caption]

Kuyini ukuguqulwa kwemakethe nokuthi ungayibona kanjani

Ayikho inqubo eziphatha ngendlela efanayo ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Umugqa wethrendi ubonisa lokhu ngoshintsho ku-monotony – ukuguqulwa. Isibikezelo esifike ngesikhathi sokuhlehla ekuhwebeni sikuvumela ukuthi wehlise ubungozi bakho. Ukuze unqume ukuguqulwa okungaba khona, udinga ukunaka isenzo senani. Ngaphambi kokuhlehla ngemva kwe-downtrend echazwe ngokucacile noma i-uptrend, ushintsho lwentengo yempahla lubonakala lwehla, i.e. i-extremum ngayinye elandelayo (ubuningi noma ubuncane) ihluke kancane kuneyangaphambili. Kulokhu, inhlanganisela yama-impulses nokulungiswa kungakha amaphethini okuhlehla:

• “ikhanda namahlombe”: iziqongo ezintathu, phakathi nendawo ephakeme kancane (ikhanda);
• “ingaphezulu eliphindwe kabili elinomkhawulo ekuphakameni okufanayo”;
• “iphezulu kabili nephezulu yesibili ephakeme kuneyokuqala.”

Ngomugqa wokuthambekela okhuphukayo (imakethe “ye-bullish”), ukuthengisa kufanele kuqalwe ngemuva kokuba intengo yehle ngaphansi komugqa “wentamo” (umugqa oqondile oxhumanisa okuphansi kwamahlombe). Emakethe yebhere, isimo siguqulwa: isibalo siguquliwe, umugqa wentamo uxhuma ukuphakama kwamahlombe. Ngemva kokweqa intengo, ungakwazi ukuthenga impahla.

KUBALULEKILE! Iphethini yekhandlela eshadini iyiphethini yokuhlehla uma yephulwe umugqa wethrendi. Futhi, ungaphambanisi ukuguqulwa noshintsho lwentengo oluyisiphithiphithi.

Izibonelo zokuhlaziywa komugqa wethrendi kanye nokutholwa kokuhlehla lapho uhweba ngezimpahla ezihlukahlukene zingabonakala kuvidiyo engezansi: https://youtu.be/cY6ntEusVj8

Imaphi amasu okuhweba akhiwe ngomugqa wethrendi?

Okulandelayo kungahlukaniswa njengamasu ayimpumelelo emgqeni wethrendi ngaphandle kokusetshenziswa kwezinkomba zesitoko ezengeziwe:

I-Trend Entry Isu

Lapho wakha isu, kuyadingeka ukunquma ukuqala kwethrendi ngokunemba okuphezulu futhi ungene endalini. Lokhu kubaluleke kakhulu ekuthambekeni okuqinile, lapho ukulungiswa kubuthakathaka kakhulu noma kungabikho nhlobo. Ukuhlehla kumkhuba onjalo nakho akunakwenzeka.

Isu lokubuyela emuva

Ukubuyisela emuva noma ukuguqulwa kwentengo yesikhathi esifushane ngokumelene nethrendi kubonakala ngokucacile kumathrendi abuthakathaka. Ukungena endalini kwenzeka ngqo ngesikhathi sokubuyisela emuva. Ngasikhathi sinye, ababhidayo bobabili abane-uptrend kanye ne-downtrend bathola isilinganiso esihle sengozi yomklomelo.
Amasu e-Trendline, amasu angu-4 aphezulu okwenza imali ezimakethe zenkunzi nebhere: https://youtu.be/5_cJFGP0g6o Amathrendi ekuhwebeni kwesitoko abelokhu ekhona. Kubathengisi, ikhono lokwakha imigqa yethrendi ngendlela efanele, ukuyihlaziya, nokusebenzisa idatha etholiwe ukuze kwenziwe imali engenayo ngokusekelwe kuqhinga elithuthukiswe kahle lihlala libalulekile.