Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda

Методы и инструменты анализа

Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda, ndi mitundu yanji yomwe ilipo, kupanga mizere yamayendedwe.
Kugulitsa kapena kugulitsa katundu kukuchulukirachulukira. Zikuwoneka kwa munthu yemwe ali kutali ndi kumvetsetsa misika yachuma kuti mutha kupeza zambiri mwachangu komanso zambiri. Panthawi imodzimodziyo, zochitazo zimakhala zosokoneza chifukwa chosowa chidziwitso chokhudza zida zowunikira. Izi zitha kubweretsa zotsatira zosiyana ndi zomwe timayembekezera. Kudziwa bwino malamulo opititsa patsogolo kutsatsa malonda kutha kuyambika poganizira njira yosavuta komanso yodziwika bwino yowunikira
luso – kupanga mzere wamayendedwe.
Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda

Trendline: ndi chiyani komanso momwe mungajambulire

Mzere wamayendedwe ndi amodzi mwamalingaliro ofunikira omwe amalonda aliyense ayenera kudziwa. Kusinthana kwamitengo ndi zizindikiro sikusokoneza. Imamvera malamulo ena. Zomwe zikuchitika panthawiyi zikuwonekera bwino pogwiritsa ntchito chithunzithunzi chamtundu wamtundu. Kufunika kogwiritsa ntchito bwino chida ichi ndi chifukwa chakuti mzerewu umakupatsani mwayi:

  • yendani moyenera ndi mulingo wamtengo wa chida chandalama mtsogolomo;
  • pangani bwino njira yanu yogulitsira ndikugwiritsa ntchito bwino ma indices.

Ofufuza amaona kuti mzerewu ndi chida chosavuta kwambiri chosonyeza kusuntha kwakukulu kwa zizindikiro. https://articles.opexflow.com/strategies/trend-v-tradinge.htm

Kodi chimaganiziridwa chiyani pokonza mzere wamtundu?

Pokonza chiwembu, ndikofunikira kuganizira za mtundu wanji womwe umakhala mu nthawi yoikika. Mitundu itatu ya mayendedwe amaganiziridwa:

  1. Uptrend kapena uptrend (“bullish”) amawonetsa kukwera pamsika.
  2. Kutsika kapena kutsika (“bearish”) kukuwonetsa kuchepa kwa mawu.
  3. Lathyathyathya – kusowa kwenikweni kwa kusintha kwa khalidwe la msika (mayendedwe). Pakapita nthawi, zizindikiro zimakhala zokhazikika.

Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda Tchatichi chikuwonetsa kusinthasintha kwamitengo kosalekeza mmwamba (kuthamanga) ndi kutsika (kuwongolera). Zimakhala zovuta kudziwa momwe kusintha kwamitengo kumayendera. Mzerewu umasonyezedwa pa tchati cha kusintha kwa mtengo monga mzere wowongoka wogwirizanitsa mfundo zapamwamba kapena zotsika za “zoyikapo nyali”. Choncho, kumanga ndi kuyika kwa mizere yowonetsera pa tchati mwachindunji kumadalira zomwe zikuchitika. Pokonzekera, mfundo zazikulu zimatengedwa ngati maziko – maxima kapena minima (malingana ndi momwe ndondomekoyi ikuyendera). Zowonjezereka pa tchati zikuwonetsa kusintha kuchokera ku chikoka kupita ku kukonza. Mzerewu umakokedwa kudzera mu ma extrema angapo omwe si oyandikana nawo. Akatswiri ofufuza amalangiza kugwiritsa ntchito zing’onozing’ono komanso zazikulu kwambiri.

Rising trend line

Mzere wowongoka umagwirizanitsa zotsika pa tchati chapamwamba cha bullish ndipo ndi mzere wothandizira. Ili pansi pa tchati cha stock. Ngati mfundo zotsalira za nsonga zazing’ono zikhudza mzere wowongoka, ndiye kuti amatchedwa “bounces”. Ngati osachepera 3 “bounces” akukhudzana ndi mzere wowongoka, ndiye kuti akhoza kutengedwa kuti amange kulosera. [id id mawu = “attach_15770” align = “aligncenter” wide = “565”]
Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda mzere wokwera ndi pansi[/ mawu]

Downtrend Line

Mzerewu umamangidwa pamwamba pa tchati chotsika cha “bearish” cha kusintha kwa zizindikiro za msika. Mzere wowongoka uli pamwamba pa tchati ndipo umatchedwa mzere wotsutsa. Zolemba za “bounce” zikuwonetsa kukhazikika kwa zomwe zikuchitika pa nthawi yosankhidwa. Kwa lathyathyathya, mzere wowongoka ndi wopingasa ndipo umawonetsa “kuyimirira” pamsika munthawi yomwe ikuwunikira. Zindikirani! Kupanga mayendedwe amtundu ndikosavuta kuchita. Kuti muchite izi, mutha kugwiritsa ntchito data yanthawi zakale. Kuneneratu kumakhala kosavuta kufananiza ndi chithunzi chenicheni cha zomwe zinachitika, kuzindikira zolakwika ndi kukonza zotsatira za kusanthula. Zitsanzo za kamangidwe ka mizere yamayendedwe zitha kuwoneka muvidiyo yotsatira. https://youtu.be/ZVrjfyNO-r0 Maluso omwe apezedwa pomanga mizere amawonjezera magwiridwe antchito amalonda ndikuchepetsa kuopsa kwa malonda.

Kodi chingadziwike chiyani kuchokera pamzere wamayendedwe?

Mzere womwe wapangidwa uthandizira kudziwa nthawi yomwe msika umakhala wokhazikika, kutengera zizindikiro zotsatirazi:

  • Kuchuluka kwa nthawi kumawonetsa kuchuluka kwa kufunikira kwa mzere womangidwa . Kutalikirana kwa nthawi, kumapangitsa kudalirika kwa zoloserazo. Zomwe zadziwika pa tchati cha tsiku ndi tsiku zikuwonetsa njira yokhazikika komanso yodalirika kuposa momwe amachitira ola limodzi.
  • Kutalika kumawonetsa momwe zinthu ziliri pamsika komanso momwe amalonda amawonera pakuchita malonda . Kutalikirapo kwa mzerewu, m’pamenenso kuti ndondomekoyi idzapitirirabe.
  • Chiwerengero cha kukhudza kumapangitsa kuti athe kuweruza kudalirika kwa zomwe zikuchitika . Mzere wowongoka wokhala ndi “kudumpha” katatu kapena kuposerapo umapereka chitetezo chokulirapo kuti asadutse njirayo.
  • Mbali ya kupendekera imayang’ana kwambiri mphamvu ya zomwe zikuchitika . Mzere wowongoka ukakwera kwambiri, m’pamenenso mchitidwewo umalimba kwambiri. Komabe, kupendekeka kwambiri kumapangitsa kuti msika usinthe.

Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda Mzerewu umasintha khalidwe lake pamene mtengo wamtengo ukusintha (kutuluka kwa chikhalidwe).
Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda

Zomwe zitiuza zomwe zikuchitika pamsika

Kusanthula kwa mizere yomangidwa kumapereka chidziwitso pafupipafupi kusintha kwa mitengo ya ndalama za ndalama ndi zomwe zilipo. Kutengera zomwe mwalandira, mutha kupanga kapena kukonza zochita pakugulitsa. Ndi kutsika kwa nthawi yayitali, chimodzi mwazosankha ndizotheka: kuchepetsa ndalama ndikuyimitsa malo otseguka, kapena (ngati ndalama zilipo) gulani katundu. Yankho lachiwiri limafuna njira yapadera ndipo likugwiritsidwa ntchito kudzera mu ndondomeko ya chikhalidwe. Ndi mzere wokwera, ndikofunikira kugulitsa katundu kapena kukonza malo otseguka. Kuti asankhe mwanzeru zochita, omwe akuchita nawo malonda amapangira njira yosinthira. Kwa tchati, mzere wothandizira ndi mzere wotsutsa umatengedwa nthawi imodzi, mosasamala kanthu za mtundu wa chikhalidwe. Kuyimilira kwazithunzi kumapereka chidziwitso chonse chamitengo yomwe mungapangire.
Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda Kanema wamakono[/caption]

Kodi kubweza msika ndi chiyani komanso momwe mungawonere

Palibe ndondomeko yomwe imakhala yofanana pakapita nthawi. Mzere wamayendedwe ukuwonetsa izi ndi kusintha kwa monotony – kusinthika. Kuneneratu kwanthawi yake kwakusintha kwamalonda kumakuthandizani kuti muchepetse zoopsa zanu. Kuti mudziwe kusintha komwe kungathe kuchitika, muyenera kulabadira za mtengo. Asanayambe kusinthika pambuyo pa kutsika kodziwika bwino kapena kuwonjezereka, kusintha kwa mtengo wa katundu kumawoneka kuti kukuchepa, i.e. chilichonse chotsatira (chochuluka kapena chocheperapo) chimasiyana mochepa ndi cham’mbuyomo. Pachifukwa ichi, kuphatikiza kwa zikhumbo ndi kuwongolera kumatha kupanga njira zosinthira:

  • “mutu ndi mapewa”: nsonga zitatu, pakati ndi apamwamba pang’ono (mutu); Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda
  • “pamwamba pawiri ndipamwamba pamtunda womwewo”; Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda
  • “pamwamba pawiri ndi yachiwiri pamwamba kuposa yoyamba.”

Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda Ndi mzere wokwera (msika wa “bullish”), malonda ayenera kuyambika mtengo utatha kutsika pansi pa mzere wa “khosi” (mzere wowongoka womwe umagwirizanitsa pansi pa mapewa). Mumsika wa chimbalangondo, zinthu zimasinthidwa: chiwerengerocho chikutembenuzidwa, mzere wa khosi umagwirizanitsa pamwamba pa mapewa. Mukadutsa mtengowo, mutha kugula katunduyo.

ZOFUNIKA! Choyikapo nyali pa tchati ndi njira yosinthira ngati yathyoledwa ndi mayendedwe. Komanso, musasokoneze kusinthana ndi kusintha kochepa kwamtengo wapatali.

Zitsanzo za kusanthula kwa mayendedwe ndi kuzindikira kobwereranso mukagulitsa zinthu zosiyanasiyana zitha kuwoneka muvidiyo ili pansipa: https://youtu.be/cY6ntEusVj8

Ndi njira ziti zamalonda zomwe zimamangidwa motsatira mzerewu?

Zotsatirazi zitha kuzindikirika ngati njira zopambana pamzere wazomwe zikuchitika popanda kugwiritsa ntchito zizindikiro zowonjezera:

Trend Entry Strategy

Pomanga njira, ndikofunikira kudziwa chiyambi chamayendedwe olondola kwambiri ndikulowa mumsika. Izi ndizofunikira makamaka pamayendedwe amphamvu, pamene kuwongolera kuli kofooka kwambiri kapena kulibe. Zobweza m’njira yotere sizingachitikenso.

Rollback strategy

Kubweza kapena kusintha kwamitengo kwakanthawi kotsutsana ndi zomwe zikuchitika kumawoneka bwino mumayendedwe ofooka. Kulowa mu malonda kumachitika ndendende panthawi yobwezera. Nthawi yomweyo, otsatsa onse omwe ali ndi uptrend ndi downtrend amalandira chiwopsezo chabwino cha mphotho.
Kodi mzere wamayendedwe pamalonda ndi chiyani, momwe mungamangire ndikugwiritsa ntchito pochita malonda Njira za Trendline, njira 4 zapamwamba zopangira ndalama m’misika ya ng’ombe ndi zimbalangondo: https://youtu.be/5_cJFGP0g6o Zomwe zikuchitika pakugulitsa masheya zakhalapo. Kwa amalonda, kuthekera kopanga mizere yolondola molondola, kusanthula, ndikugwiritsa ntchito zomwe zapezeka kuti apeze ndalama potengera njira yopangidwa bwino kumakhalabe kofunikira.

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