Chii chinonzi maitiro mukutengesa, maitiro ekuvaka uye kushandisa mukutengesa

Chii chinonzi maitiro mukutengesa, maitiro ekuvaka uye kushandisa mukutengesa, ndeapi marudzi aripo, kugadzira mitsara yemaitiro.
Kutengeserana kana kutengesa masheya kuri kuramba kuchiwedzera kufarirwa. Zvinoratidzika kune munhu ari kure nekunzwisisa misika yemari kuti iwe unogona kuwana zvakawanda nokukurumidza uye zvakawanda. Panguva imwecheteyo, zviito zvinokanganisa nekuda kwekushaya ruzivo pamusoro pezvishandiso zvekuongorora. Izvi zvinogona kutungamirira kumhedzisiro inopesana nezvainotarisirwa. Kuziva mitemo yekufambira mberi kwekusimudzira mukutengeserana kwekuchinjana kunogona kutangwa nekufunga nzira yakapusa uye yakajairika yekuongorora
kwehunyanzvi – kuvaka mutsara wemaitiro.

Trendline: chii uye sei kudhirowa

Mutsara wemaitiro ndeimwe yemafungiro akakosha ayo chero mutengesi anofanira kuziva. Kuchinjana kwemitengo uye zviratidzo hakuna mhirizhonga. Inoteerera mimwe mitemo. Mafambiro mukufamba kwemaitiro anooneka zvakajeka uchishandisa graphical inomiririra muchimiro chemutsetse mutsara. Kukosha kwekushandiswa chaiko kwechishandiso ichi kunokonzerwa nekuti mutsara wemaitiro unokubvumidza iwe:

• famba nemazvo nechiyero chemutengo chemudziyo wemari mune ramangwana;
• nyatso gadzira yako wega dhizaini nekushandisa kwakanyanya kwema stock indices.

Vanoongorora vanoona mutsara wemaitiro sechishandiso chakareruka chinoratidza kufamba kwakanyanya kwezviratidzo. https://articles.opexflow.com/strategies/trend-v-tradinge.htm

Chii chinocherechedzwa pakuronga mutsara wetrend?

Paunenge uchironga, zvakakosha kufunga kuti ndeupi rudzi rwemaitiro panguva yakatarwa. Mhando nhatu dzemaitiro anotariswa:

1. An uptrend kana uptrend (“bullish”) inoratidza uptrend mumusika.
2. Kudzika kana kudzika (“bearish”) kunoratidza kudzikira kwemakotesheni.
3. Flat – kusavapo kwekuchinja kwemaitiro emusika (maitiro). Nokufamba kwenguva, zviratidzo zvinogara.

Chati inoratidza kuchinja kwemutengo kunoramba kuchikwira kumusoro (kukurumidza) uye pasi (kururamisa). Zvakaoma kuziva hutungamiri huzhinji hwekuchinja kwemutengo. Mutsara wemaitiro unoratidzwa pachati yekuchinja kwemitengo semutsetse wakatwasuka unobatanidza kumusoro kana kuzasi mapoinzi e “makenduru”. Naizvozvo, kuvakwa uye kuiswa kwemitsara yemaitiro pachati zvakananga zvinoenderana nemaitiro acho. Pakuronga, mapoinzi akanyanya anotorwa sehwaro – maxima kana minima (zvinoenderana nemaitiro ekuita). Iyo yakanyanyisa pachati inoratidza shanduko kubva pakufungidzira kuenda pakugadzirisa. Mutsetse unodhirowa kuburikidza neakawanda asiri akatarisana extrema. Vaongorori vehunyanzvi vanopa zano kushandisa zvidiki uye zvakakura zvakanyanya hunhu.

Rising trend line

Mutsara wakatwasuka unobatanidza zvakaderera pane yakakwira bullish chati uye ndiyo mutsara wekutsigira. Inowanikwa pazasi pe stock chart. Kana mapoinzi asara epamusoro pepamusoro akabata mutsetse wakatwasuka uyu, anobva anzi “bounces”. Kana kanenge 3 “bounces” inosangana nemutsara wakatwasuka, saka inogona kutorwa kuvaka fungidziro.

Downtrend Line

Mutsara wakavakirwa pakakwirira pane yakadzika “bearish” chati yekuchinja mumusika zviratidzo. Mutsara wakatwasuka uri pamusoro pechati uye unonzi mutsara wekupikisa. Iwo “bounce” mapoinzi anoratidza kugadzikana kwemaitiro pane yakasarudzwa nguva yakatarwa. Kune flat, mutsara wakatwasuka wakatwasuka uye unoratidza “kusamira” pamusika panguva iri kuongororwa. Cherechedza! Kuvaka mutsara wemaitiro zviri nyore kushanda mukuita. Kuti uite izvi, unogona kushandisa data yenguva dzakapfuura. Kufanotaura kuri nyore kuenzanisa nemufananidzo chaiwo wezvakaitika, kuona zvikanganiso uye kugadzirisa mhedzisiro yekuongorora. Mienzaniso yekugadzirwa kwemitsara yemaitiro inogona kuonekwa muvhidhiyo inotevera. https://youtu.be/ZVrjfyNO-r0 Unyanzvi hwakawanikwa mukuvaka mafambiro emitsara huchawedzera kushanda kwechiito chemutengesi uye kuderedza njodzi dzekutengesa.

Chii chinogona kutsanangurwa kubva mutsetse wemaitiro?

Iyo yakagadzirwa maitiro mutsara ichabatsira kuona nguva yenzvimbo yakagadzikana yemusika, zvichibva pane inotevera system yezviratidzo:

• Chiyero chenguva chinoratidza chiyero chekukosha kwemutsara wakavakwa . Iyo yakareba nguva yenguva, inowedzera kuvimbika kwekufanotaura. Maitiro anoonekwa pachati yezuva nezuva anoratidza nzira yakagadzikana uye yakavimbika kupfuura maitiro eawa.
• Duration inoratidza mamiriro ezvinhu pamusika uye mafungiro evatengesi kune nzira yekutengesa . Iyo yakareba iyo mutsara wemaitiro, zvakanyanya mukana weiyo nzira inoenderera mberi.
• Nhamba yekubata inoita kuti zvikwanise kutonga kuvimbika kwemaitiro ekufanotaura . Mutsetse wakatwasuka une matatu kana anopfuura “mabhanhire” anopa dziviriro yakakura kubva pakutyora maitiro.
• Kona yekurerekera inotarisa kusimba kwemaitiro . Iyo yakakwira mutsara wakatwasuka, inosimbisa maitiro. Nekudaro, kurerekera kwakawandisa kunoita kuti pave nemukana wekudzokera kumashure mumusika.

Mutsara wemaitiro unoshandura maitiro ayo kana mutengo wemaitiro uchichinja (maitiro ekuputika).

Chii chichaudza mutsara wemaitiro paauction

Kuongororwa kwemitsetse yakagadzirwa inopa ruzivo pamusoro pehuwandu hwekuchinja kwemitengo yezvinhu zvemari uye tarisiro iripo. Zvichienderana nedata rakagamuchirwa, unogona kuvaka kana kugadzirisa zviito paauction. Nekuderera kwenguva refu, imwe yesarudzo inogoneka: kana kuderedza mari uye kuomesa nzvimbo dzakavhurika, kana (kana mari iripo) tenga zvinhu. Yechipiri mhinduro inoda nzira yakakosha uye inoshandiswa kuburikidza nemaitiro maitiro. Iine mutsara unokwira, zvinodikanwa kutengesa zvinhu kana kugadzirisa nzvimbo dzakavhurika. Kune sarudzo ine musoro yezviito, vatori vechikamu mukutengeserana kwekuchinjana vanovaka chiteshi chemaitiro. Kune chati, mutsara wekutsigira uye mutsara wekupikisa unodhirowa panguva imwe chete, pasinei nerudzi rwemaitiro. Iyo graphical inomiririra inopa ruzivo rwakakwana nezvemitengo mukati meiyo matranseks anogona kuitwa.
Trend channel[/caption]

Chii chinonzi reversal yemusika uye kuti ungaiona sei

Hapana maitiro anoita zvakafanana munguva refu. Mutsara wemaitiro unoratidza izvi nekuchinja mune monotony – kudzoreredza. Kufanotaura kwakakodzera kwekuchinja kwekutengeserana kunobvumira iwe kuderedza njodzi dzako. Kuti uone kutendeuka kunogona kuitika, unofanirwa kubhadhara kune chiito chemutengo. Pamberi pekudzokera shure mushure mekunyatsotsanangurwa downtrend kana uptrend, kuchinja kwemutengo weasset kunoratidzika kunonoka, i.e. chimwe nechimwe chinotevera chekupedzisira (chikuru kana chishoma) chinosiyana zvishoma kubva kune yapfuura. Muchiitiko ichi, kusanganiswa kwemafungiro uye kugadzirisa kunogona kuumba maitiro ekudzokera shure:

• “musoro nemapfudzi”: nhongonya nhatu, pakati payo pakakwirira zvishoma (musoro);
• “top kaviri nepamusoro pahurefu hwakafanana”;
• “top kaviri neyechipiri kumusoro kumusoro kupfuura yekutanga.”

Nekukwira kwemaitiro (“bullish” market), kutengesa kunofanira kutanga mushure mokunge mutengo unodonha pasi pe “mutsipa” mutsara (mutsara wakarurama unobatanidza pasi pemapfudzi). Mumusika webheya, mamiriro acho anodzoserwa shure: mufananidzo wacho unopindurwa, mutsara wemutsipa unobatanidza kukwirira kwemapfudzi. Mushure mekudarika mutengo, unogona kutenga asset.

ZVINOKOSHA! Chigadziko chekenduru pachati chidzoreso chekudzokera shure kana chatyorwa nemutsetse. Zvakare, usavhiringe kudzoserwa nekuchinja kudiki kwemutengo.

Mienzaniso yekuongorora mutsara uye kudzoserwa kunoonekwa kana uchitengesa akasiyana midziyo inogona kuoneka muvhidhiyo pazasi: https://youtu.be/cY6ntEusVj8

Ndeapi marongero ekutengesa anovakwa pamwe chete nemaitiro mutsara?

Aya anotevera anogona kusiyaniswa seakabudirira nzira pamwe chete nemaitiro mutsara pasina kushandisa ekuwedzera stock zviratidzo:

Trend Entry Strategy

Paunenge uchigadzira zano, zvinodikanwa kuti uone kutanga kwemaitiro ane hunyoro hwepamusoro uye kupinda muauction. Izvi zvinonyanya kukosha mumaitiro akasimba, apo kururamisa kwakanyanyisa kana kunenge kusipo. Rollbacks mune yakadaro maitiro zvakare haagoneki.

Rollback strategy

A rollback kana pfupi-nguva mutengo kuchinja kunopesana nemaitiro anooneka zvakajeka muutera maitiro. Kupinda muauction kunoitika chaizvo panguva yekudzoka. Panguva imwecheteyo, vatengesi vese vane uptrend uye downtrend vanogamuchira yakanaka njodzi-kune-mubairo chiyero.
Trendline marongero, mana emhando yepamusoro nzira dzekuita mari mumisika yenzombe nebheya: https://youtu.be/5_cJFGP0g6o Mafambiro ekutengesa kwemasheya agara aripo. Kune vatengesi, kugona kuvaka nemazvo mitsara yemaitiro, kuiongorora, uye kushandisa iyo data yakawanikwa kuitira kuti iwane mari inoenderana neyakagadzirwa zano inoramba yakakosha.