Yintoni umgca wendlela ekurhwebeni, indlela yokwakha kunye nokusetyenziswa kwintengiso

Yintoni umgca wendlela ekurhwebeni, indlela yokwakha kunye nokusetyenziswa kwintengiso, zeziphi iintlobo ezikhoyo, ukudala imigca yendlela.
Ukurhweba okanye ukurhweba ngeempahla kuya kuthandwa ngakumbi. Kubonakala kumntu okude nokuqonda iimarike zezemali ukuba unokufumana ngokukhawuleza kwaye kakhulu. Ngelo xesha, izenzo ziphazamisekile ngenxa yokungabikho kolwazi malunga nezixhobo zokuhlalutya. Oku kunokukhokelela kwisiphumo esichasene noko bekulindelwe. Ukuqonda imigaqo yokunyusa okuqhubekileyo ekuthengiseni ukutshintshiselana kunokuqalwa ngokuqwalasela indlela elula kunye neqhelekileyo
yohlalutyo lobugcisa – ukwakha umgca wokuhamba.

Trendline: yintoni na kwaye uzobe njani

Umgca womzila yenye yeengcamango ezisisiseko ukuba nawuphi na umrhwebi kufuneka azi. Ukutshintshiselana kwamaxabiso kunye nezalathi azikho isiphithiphithi. Ithobela imithetho ethile. Iintsingiselo ekuhambeni kweenkqubo zibonakala ngokucacileyo kusetyenziswa umboniso womzobo ngokohlobo lomzila. Ukubaluleka kokusetyenziswa ngokuchanekileyo kwesi sixhobo kungenxa yokuba umgca wendlela uya kukuvumela ukuba:

• jonga ngokuchanekileyo ngenqanaba lexabiso lesixhobo semali kwixesha elizayo;
• Yakha ngokufanelekileyo isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba kunye nokusetyenziswa ngokufanelekileyo kwezalathisi zesitokhwe.

Abahlalutyi bajonga umgca wokuhamba njengesona sixhobo esilula esibonisa ukuhamba phambili kwezikhombisi. https://articles.opexflow.com/strategies/trend-v-tradinge.htm

Yintoni ethathelwa ingqalelo xa uceba umgca wokuhamba?

Xa kusenziwa iyelenqe, kubalulekile ukuqwalasela ukuba loluphi uhlobo lomkhwa kwixesha elimiselweyo. Zintathu iindidi zeendlela ezijongwayo:

1. I-uptrend okanye i-uptrend (“bullish”) ibonisa ukunyuka kwemarike.
2. Ukuhla okanye ukuhla (“bearish”) kubonisa ukuhla kweengcaphuno.
3. I- Flat – ukungabikho kwangempela kweenguqu kwindlela yokuziphatha kweemarike (umkhwa). Ngokuhamba kwexesha, izikhombisi zihlala.

Itshathi ibonisa ukuguquguquka kwexabiso rhoqo phezulu (ukukhawuleza) kunye nokuhla (ukulungiswa). Kunzima ukumisela ulwalathiso oluqhelekileyo lokutshintsha kwexabiso. Umgca wokuhamba uboniswa kwitshathi yokutshintsha kwexabiso njengomgca ochanekileyo odibanisa amanqaku aphezulu okanye aphantsi “amakhandlela”. Ngoko ke, ukwakhiwa kunye nokubekwa kwemigca yeendlela kwitshathi ngokuthe ngqo kuxhomekeke kwindlela ngokwayo. Xa uceba, iingongoma ezigqithiseleyo zithathwa njengesiseko – i-maxima okanye i-minima (kuxhomekeke kwindlela yenkqubo). I-extremum kwitshathi ibonisa utshintsho ukusuka kwimpembelelo ukuya kwisilungiso. Umgca uzotywe ngee-extrema ezininzi ezingadibaniyo. Abahlalutyi beengcali bacebisa ukusebenzisa awona maxabiso amancinci nawona makhulu.

Ukunyuka komzila wokuhamba

Umgca ochanekileyo udibanisa i-lows kwi-chart ye-bullish ephezulu kwaye umgca wenkxaso. Ibekwe ngezantsi kwetshathi yesitokhwe. Ukuba amanqaku aseleyo eencopho ezincinci achukumisa lo mgca othe tye, ke abizwa ngokuba yi “bounces”. Ukuba ubuncinane i-3 “i-bounces” idibanisa nomgca ochanekileyo, ngoko inokuthathwa ukwakha i-forecast.

Downtrend Line

Umgca wakhiwe kwiindawo eziphakamileyo kwitshati ephantsi “ye-bearish” yeenguqu kwiimpawu zemarike. Umgca ochanekileyo ubekwe ngaphezu kwetshathi kwaye ubizwa ngokuba ngumgca wokumelana. Amanqaku e-“bounce” abonisa uzinzo kwindlela ebekiweyo kwixesha elikhethiweyo. Kumcaba, umgca othe tye uthe tye kwaye ubonisa “ukuma” kwimarike kwixesha eliphantsi kovavanyo. Phawula! Ukwakha i-trend line kulula ukusebenza xa usenza. Ukwenza oku, ungasebenzisa idatha yexesha elidlulileyo. I-forecast ilula ukuthelekisa nomfanekiso wangempela wento eyenzekayo, ukuchonga iimpazamo kunye nokulungisa iziphumo zohlalutyo. Imizekelo yolwakhiwo lwemigca yentsingiselo inokubonwa kwividiyo elandelayo. https://youtu.be/ZVrjfyNO-r0 Izakhono ezifunyenweyo kwimizila yeendlela zokwakha ziya kwandisa ukusebenza kakuhle komsebenzi womthengisi kunye nokunciphisa ingozi yokuthengiselana.

Yintoni enokumiselwa kumgca womzila?

Umgca wendlela eyakhiweyo uya kunceda ukumisela ixesha lemeko ezinzileyo yemarike, ngokusekelwe kule nkqubo yezalathisi zilandelayo:

• Umlinganiselo wexesha ubonisa iqondo lokubaluleka komgca owakhiweyo . Ukuba lide ixesha lokuphumla, kokukhona kuphezulu ukuthembeka koqikelelo. Umkhwa ochongiweyo kwitshathi yemihla ngemihla ubonisa inkqubo ezinzileyo kunye nethembekileyo kunendlela yeyure.
• Ubude bexesha bubonisa imeko kwimarike kunye nesimo sengqondo sabahwebi kwinkqubo yokurhweba . Okukhona umgama omde, kokukhona intsingiselo yenkqubo iya kuqhubeka.
• Inani lokuchukumisa lenza ukuba kugwetywe ukuthembeka kwe-forecast forecast . Umgca othe ngqo oneemitha ezintathu okanye ngaphezulu “zokugqabhuka” unika ukhuseleko olukhulu ekwaphuleni umkhwa.
• I-angle yokuthambekela igxininise ingqalelo kumandla omzila . Okukhona uqina umgca othe ngqo, kokukhona umkhondo womelele. Nangona kunjalo, ukuthambeka okuninzi kudala amathuba okubuyela umva kwimarike.

Umgca wokuhamba utshintsha indlela yokuziphatha kwayo xa ixabiso lentengo litshintsha (i-trend breakout).

Yintoni eya kuxela umgca wokuthambekela kwifandesi

Uhlalutyo lwemigca eyakhiweyo lunika ulwazi malunga nokuphindaphinda kweenguqu kumaxabiso e-asethi yemali kunye nethemba elikhoyo. Ngokusekelwe kwidatha efunyenweyo, unokwakha okanye ulungise izenzo kwifandesi. Nge-downtrends kwixesha elide, esinye sezigqibo sinokwenzeka: mhlawumbi ukunciphisa iindleko kunye nokukhenkcela izikhundla ezivulekileyo, okanye (ukuba iimali zikhoyo) zithenge iimpahla. Isisombululo sesibini sidinga indlela ekhethekileyo kwaye siphunyezwa ngesicwangciso somkhwa. Ngomgca wokunyuka okunyukayo, kuyimfuneko ukuthengisa i-asethi okanye ukulungisa izikhundla ezivulekileyo. Ukhetho olunengqiqo lwezenzo, abathathi-nxaxheba kwintengiso yokutshintshiselana bakha umjelo wokuhamba. Kwitshathi, umgca wenkxaso kunye nomgca wokuchasa utsalwa ngaxeshanye, kungakhathaliseki ukuba luhlobo luni lomkhuba. Umboniso womzobo ubonelela ngolwazi olupheleleyo malunga namaxabiso ekunokwenziwa ngawo utshintshiselwano.
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Yintoni ukuguqulwa kweemarike kunye nendlela yokuyibona

Akukho nkqubo iziphatha ngendlela efanayo ekuhambeni kwexesha. Umgca wokuhamba ubonisa oku ngotshintsho kwi-monotony – ukuguqulwa. Uqikelelo olusexesheni lokubuyela umva ekurhwebeni kukuvumela ukuba unciphise imingcipheko yakho. Ukumisela ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka, kufuneka ubeke ingqalelo kwisenzo sexabiso. Ngaphambi kokuguqulwa emva kwe-downtrend echazwe ngokucacileyo okanye i-uptrend, utshintsho kwixabiso le-asethi libonakala licotha, okt. i-extremum nganye elandelayo (ubuninzi okanye ubuncinane) yohluka ngokungabalulekanga kuleyo yangaphambili. Kule meko, indibaniselwano yeempembelelo kunye nezilungiso zinokwenza iipateni ezibuyela umva:

• “intloko kunye namagxa”: iincopho ezintathu, umbindi wayo uphezulu kancinci (intloko);
• “umphezulu ophindwe kabini kunye nobuninzi kumphakamo ofanayo”;
• “umphezulu ophindwe kabini kunye nomphezulu wesibini ophezulu kunowokuqala.”

Ngomgca wokunyuka onyukayo (imarike “ye-bullish”), ukuthengiswa kufuneka kuqalwe emva kokuba ixabiso lehla ngaphantsi komgca “wentamo” (umgca ochanekileyo odibanisa iindawo ezisezantsi zamagxa). Kwimarike yebhere, imeko iguqulwa: umzobo uguqulwa, umgca wentamo udibanisa iindawo eziphakamileyo zamagxa. Emva kokugqithisa ixabiso, ungathenga i-asethi.

KUBALULEKILE! Ipateni yekhandlela kwitshathi yipatheni yokubuyisela umva ukuba iphulwe yi-trendline. Kwakhona, musa ukubhidanisa ukuguqulwa kunye notshintsho lwexabiso elincinci elincinci.

Imizekelo yohlalutyo lomgca wendlela kunye nokufunyanwa umva xa uthengisa ii-asethi ezahlukeneyo kunokubonwa kwividiyo engezantsi: https://youtu.be/cY6ntEusVj8

Ziziphi izicwangciso zokurhweba ezakhiwe kunye nomgca wendlela yokwenza?

Oku kulandelayo kunokwahlulwa njengezicwangciso eziyimpumelelo ecaleni kwendlela ngaphandle kokusetyenziswa kwezikhombisi ezongezelelweyo zesitokhwe:

Isicwangciso sokungena esiTrendi

Xa usakha isicwangciso, kuyimfuneko ukumisela ukuqala komkhwa ngokuchaneka okuphezulu kwaye ungene kwifandesi. Oku kubaluleke ngakumbi kwindlela eyomeleleyo, xa ulungiso lubuthathaka kakhulu okanye lungekho. I-Rollbacks kwindlela enjalo nayo ayinakwenzeka.

Iqhinga lokubuyela umva

I-rollback okanye i-short-term price change against the trend ibonakala ngokucacileyo kwiindlela ezibuthathaka. Ukungena kwifandesi kwenzeka ngokuchanekileyo ngexesha lokubuyela umva. Kwangaxeshanye, ababhidi bobabini abane-uptrend kunye ne-downtrend bafumana umngcipheko wokuvuza.
Izicwangciso ze-Trendline, izicwangciso ezi-4 eziphezulu zokwenza imali kwiimarike zenkunzi kunye neebhere: https://youtu.be/5_cJFGP0g6o Iindlela zokurhweba ngesitokhwe bezisoloko zikhona. Kubarhwebi, ukukwazi ukwakha ngokuchanekileyo imigca yeendlela, ukuhlalutya, kunye nokusebenzisa idatha efunyenweyo ukwenzela ukuvelisa ingeniso ngokusekelwe kwisicwangciso esiphuhliswe ngokufanelekileyo sihlala sifanelekile.