Ikimenyetso cyerekana umurongo (LRI) – ni ubuhe butumwa bwerekana, isesengura ryerekana. Kwisubiraho kumurongo, byitwa umurongo wo kugaruka kumurongo, byahindutse igice cyingenzi cyisesengura rya tekiniki mugihe ucuruza umutungo utandukanye. Mu 1991, yashinzwe na Gilbert Ruff, kuva icyo gihe ikoreshwa cyane mu mbuga zitandukanye. Bitandukanye nibindi bigereranyo, biroroshye gukoresha, bigufasha kubona amakuru afatika, hamwe ushobora gukora ibipimo nyabyo byerekana ibiciro.
Ibisobanuro byerekana umurongo ugaruka
Ikimenyetso cyo gusubira inyuma kigaragaza imvugo ishushanyije. Mubyerekanwe, byerekanwe muburyo bwumuyoboro wakozwe kumurongo ugereranije. Imbere muri bo hari undi murongo ugororotse, uherereye ku ntera imwe uva ku murongo ukabije, yerekana ibiciro ku isoko. Ubugari bwa koridor yashyizweho numucuruzi ukoresheje ikadiri. Umurongo wo hejuru werekana gutandukana kwinshi kubiciro bivuye kumurongo ugaragara, naho umurongo wo hasi werekana agaciro kayo. Iki nigikoresho rusange gishobora gukoreshwa mugihe ukorana numutungo uwo ariwo wose wagurishijwe. Ukoresheje imirongo yaremye, urashobora kumenya imigendekere itandukanye yikiguzi kiriho, ugashiraho umuyoboro wibiciro ku mbonerahamwe, yerekana igipimo ntarengwa, gito na hagati yikiguzi. Ubwa mbere, impuzandengo yumurongo yashushanijwe, ibyo bita “umurongo wo kugaruka”, ukurikije agaciro k’igiciro cyerekezo. Umusozi wacyo uva aho isoko igenda. Nyuma yibyo, icyerekezo kongeramo imirongo ibiri iringaniye igereranya kurwanya no gushyigikira ibiciro mugihe runaka.
Imirongo yerekana umurongo ugaruka:
Kugirango ukore umuyoboro nyawo wo kugurisha, ugomba gushiraho ibipimo. Ibi birashobora gukorwa muminota mike, kuko inzira ntabwo igoye no kubatangiye. Umucuruzi agomba gushyiraho neza ubugari bwumuyoboro.Ibindi bikoresho bifasha gutanga imbonerahamwe yaremye igaragara neza igahinduka byoroshye kubibona neza. Ibi bikorwa ukoresheje Ibikoresho byo Guhagarika Ibara na Trend Line Ibara. Nubufasha bwabo, igenamigambi ryerekanwe, imiyoboro yumurongo nibiciro bishushanyije mumabara amwe. Mu gice cya LR WIDTH, urashobora gushiraho ubunini bwimirongo ibiri ikabije mugushiraho ibyifuzo. Ibipimo bibarwa ukoresheje formula ikurikira:
aho x nigihe cyagenwe cyagenwe na n numubare rusange wibihe. Ukoresheje iyi formula kumurongo ugaruka kumurongo, imbonerahamwe yubatswe ukoresheje icyerekezo. Mugihe utegura, ugomba guhora ukurikiza imyitwarire yuburyo bugezweho.
Kenshi na kenshi, icyerekezo cyo kugaruka kumurongo gikoreshwa nabacuruzi mukubara hejuru no hepfo yimihindagurikire yimikorere yibiciro biriho kumasoko kugirango tumenye neza igihe byunguka kwinjira kumasoko nigihe cyo gufunga ibicuruzwa hamwe na byinshi inyungu kuri bo. Kuri iyi, umurongo wo hagati wumuyoboro washyizweho ukoreshwa, werekana umwanya wo hagati wibiciro. Umurongo wo Kwisubiraho Umurongo – ubucuruzi buke nuburyo bwo kubona icyerekezo cyerekana umurongo: https://youtu.be/cYpN6Cj4D8Y
Gushiraho ibipimo byerekana ubucuruzi
Muri menu, hitamo ikintu
“Shyiramo” , hanyuma igice
“Imiyoboro”
. Bahitamo
“Kwisubiraho kumurongo”. Kubijyanye n’ibikurikiraho, ugomba guhitamo ingingo wifuza ku mbonerahamwe, aho hazubakwa umurongo ugaruka. Indanga irazengurutse hejuru yayo, hanyuma buto y’ibumoso ku mbeba irakanda. Nyuma yibyo, utarekuye urufunguzo, ugomba gukurura kurugero rwifuzwa kurigihe. Nicyiciro cyanyuma cyo kubaka umuyoboro. Nyuma yibyo, ukeneye gusa gushiraho ubugari bwifuzwa kuri yo, muri gahunda ya MT4 iherereye mugice cyagenwe cyagenwe. Gusa itariki yakazi yashyizweho hano, biterwa nigihe cyagenwe cyagenwe. Umukoresha arashobora gukoresha amakuru yumunsi umwe nkigihe cyigihe. Porogaramu izabara ihuriro ryumurongo wo gusubira inyuma hashingiwe ku giciro cyatanzwe mugihe kiri hagati yingingo zombi zerekanwe.
Guhindura intera yagenwe, kanda inshuro ebyiri kumurongo wo hagati hanyuma ukurure icyifuzwa uhereye kumurongo wamuritswe.
Urashobora kwinjiza imitungo yumurongo wubatswe ukanda iburyo-ukanda ahantu hose mumadirishya yimbonerahamwe yibiciro no muri menu yamanutse hitamo ikintu “Urutonde rwibintu”, aho hatoranijwe igice “Kwiyandikisha kumuyoboro”, muri cyo ” Ibiranga “igice cyatoranijwe.
Ikoreshwa gute
Igikoresho nkiki cyashyizweho uyumunsi mubucuruzi bwinshi. Kugirango wongere ku mbonerahamwe, ugomba guhitamo kuva kuri menu. Kugira ngo ukoreshe umurongo ugaruka kumurongo wa MT4, ugomba kubisanga hejuru yidirishya. Kugira ngo ukuremo, ugomba gukanda buto ikurikira ikurikiranye, ukazenguruka hejuru:
- mbere “Shyiramo”;
- hanyuma hitamo “Imiyoboro”;
- hanyuma ukande ahanditse “Linear Regression”.
Nyuma yibyo, porogaramu izakorerwa kuri mudasobwa. Nyuma yo gukora, irashobora gukoreshwa numucuruzi mugushushanya imbonerahamwe izafasha kumenya igiciro cyibiciro kumasoko mugihe runaka. Gushushanya umuyoboro, hitamo intangiriro yicyerekezo hanyuma ukurure icyerekezo kumurongo ukurikira wingenzi. Mugushushanya hejuru no hepfo yibiciro byerekana imbonerahamwe, urashobora gukora umuyoboro wigenga. Muri iki kibazo, umurongo wo hagati uhita ufata umwanya wacyo hagati yumurongo wo hejuru nu munsi ugereranije. Mugihe ugena ingingo zo kwinjira no gusohoka mwisoko, ugomba gukurikiza imikoranire yigiciro numurongo wo hejuru nu munsi. Mugihe ibi bibaye, bivuze ko igiciro cyibiciro kizahinduka vuba. Iyo ihuye n’umurongo wo hagati, bivuze ko igiciro cya impulse gitangiye gushingwa, byerekana gukomeza ibiciro byubu. Mugihe ukora isesengura ryisubiramo, ugomba gukurikirana isenyuka rya koridor yaremye. Iyo igiciro kimennye ubunyangamugayo mu cyerekezo gitandukanye nicyerekezo nyamukuru, bivuze ko muriki gihe icyerekezo cyibiciro kumasoko gishobora guhinduka mugihe cya vuba. Isesengura rishingiye ku kureba uburyo igiciro gikorana n’imirongo itatu ibangikanye ikora koridor. Kuri ubu iyo itangiye gukorana nimbibi zo hepfo cyangwa hejuru yumurongo, ugomba kwitegura kuberako mugihe cya vuba icyerekezo cyibiciro kumasoko gishobora guhinduka cyane. Umucuruzi azakenera gusa kureba uburyo igiciro kizahuza numurongo wububiko wubatswe. Mugihe cyo gukorana hejuru cyangwa hepfo yumuyoboro, ibiciro bizagenda bihinduka mugihe cya vuba. Ibi bizaba byerekana ko mugihe igiciro kigabanutse, ushobora kwinjira mwisoko, kandi mugihe habaye igabanuka, ushobora gusohoka. Urugero rwa koridoro yuzuye aho igiciro gikomeza kuba hasi:
Hasi yumupaka wo hepfo wibipimo bigomba gukoreshwa kugirango winjire mubucuruzi. Muriyi myanya, urashobora gukurikiza inzira kugeza igiciro kigeze kumurongo ntarengwa wo gusubira inyuma.
Ibyiza n’ibibi byo gukoresha
Kwisubiramo kumurongo bifatwa nkimwe mubipimo byoroshye kandi bitanga icyizere kubucuruzi. Nubufasha bwayo, urashobora guhora umenya neza impinduka zigenda zihinduka kumasoko, icyerekezo n’imbaraga kugirango ubone umwanya wo gutanga raporo kubyahindutse. Ingaruka yicyo gikoresho nuko nyuma yumurongo ufunze, ugomba kongera gushushanya imbonerahamwe. Mugihe cyo gusobanura ibimenyetso byakiriwe, ni ngombwa kuzirikana ingingo nyinshi:
- kuzamuka k’umurongo ku mbonerahamwe bisobanura kuzamuka, kandi kugabanuka kwayo byerekana ko kumanuka bizatsinda mugihe cya vuba;
- mugihe agaciro kongeye kugaruka kumupaka washyizweho ugereranije nicyerekezo, umuntu agomba kwitegura gusubira inyuma; mubihe bitandukanye, umuntu agomba gutegereza ko ibiciro bizamuka;
- kwanga ikiguzi kuva kumurongo kuruhande bigufasha kubara kuberako inzira yashyizweho izakomeza urugendo rwayo.
Ibiranga gukoresha umurongo ugaruka
Iki nigikoresho rusange gikwiye gukoreshwa mubice bitandukanye byubucuruzi:
- mu gihanga ;
- igorofa;
- mu bucuruzi bwo hagati;
- kugena icyerekezo cyerekezo.
Ihame ryibanze ryerekana umurongo ni uko igiciro kizahinduka muburyo bwo gusubira inyuma ubwabwo. Igikoresho nkiki kigufasha gufunga no gufungura ubucuruzi, mugihe wibutse ko udashobora gucuruza kurwanya icyerekezo kigezweho. Kwisubiramo kumurongo byahujwe neza nibindi bikoresho umucuruzi akoresha, ashingiye ku ngamba zubucuruzi zikoreshwa, ubwoko bwubucuruzi, ibyo ukunda: Stochastic, Bollinger nibindi bikoresho bikoreshwa nu mucuruzi. Ibintu bifatika byerekana umurongo ugaragara Kwisubiraho byemezwa nuko ikora hashingiwe ku mibare yihariye y’imibare, bityo uruhare rwibintu bifatika mubucuruzi bikagabanuka. Muri icyo gihe, bigomba kumvikana ko kugirango ubone amakuru yukuri agufasha gufata icyemezo kitarimo amakosa, ukeneye gukoresha ibikoresho byisesengura bya tekinike hamwe nibipimo. Nubufasha bwabo, bizashoboka gukuraho urusaku rutari rukenewe no kumenya neza aho winjirira nogusohoka. Gushiraho igikoresho nkiki no kugikoresha kukazi biroroshye niba ukurikiza amabwiriza yasobanuwe haruguru.