Ukwakheka kwekhandlela ekuhwebeni – ukuqhubeka kwethrendi namaphethini okubuyisela emuva

Omunye wemisebenzi eyinhloko yomhwebi oqeqeshiwe ukubikezela inani lempahla esetshenzisiwe. Kulokhu, kukhona amamodeli ezibalo akhethekile acabangela ukuthambekela kwemakethe yamanje, kanye nokuphambuka okungenzeka kusuka kusilinganiso sokuqala. Konke lokhu kuyisisekelo sanoma iyiphi inqubomgomo yokutshala imali elandelanayo. Kodwa futhi abathengisi abaningi basebenzisa ukwakheka kwamakhandlela ekuhwebeni. Ngosizo lwabo, ungakwazi ukubikezela ukuthambekela kwentengo. Futhi okubaluleke kakhulu, asikho isidingo sokusebenzisa amafomula ezibalo ayinkimbinkimbi. Esikhundleni salokho, ukuhlaziya igraphical kusetshenziswa kakhulu, okusheshisa kakhulu ukuthathwa kwezinqumo zomhwebi. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukwakheka kwamakhandlela kungasetshenziswa kokubili ekuthengeni isikhathi esifushane kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali kwesikhathi eside ezimpahleni.

Ukufunda ukwakheka kwamakhandlela

Ngaphambi kokuba uqale ukuqonda ukuthi 
ukwakheka kwamakhandlela kusebenza kanjani kanye nefomu , udinga ukufunda ukuthi “ukufunda” kanjani. Ngokuvamile, ikhandlela ngalinye eshadini liqukethe “iminyango”:

• umugqa oqondile ophezulu ubonisa ithrendi ephezulu, okungukuthi, inani lempahla yesikhathi esishiwo;
• umugqa ovundlile ongaphezulu (unqenqema lukanxande) uwukuvala/ukuvulwa, noma inani eliphezulu ekuqaleni kwesikhathi sokubala;
• umugqa ophansi ovundlile (unqenqema lukanxande) uwukuvula/ukuvala noma inani elincane ekuqaleni kwesikhathi sokubala;
• umugqa oqondile ophansi yinani elincane lempahla.

Ngokuvamile, kunezinhlobonhlobo ezimbili zamakhandlela:

1. “Inkunzi” . Unxande umhlophe noma awugcwalisiwe. Okusho ukuthi, lapho intengo ekuvulweni kwesikhundla yayiphansi kunezindleko zokuvala.
2. “Bhele” . Konke kuphambene ncamashi maqondana ne “bullish”. Okusho ukuthi, izindleko zokuvula isikhundla zaziphakeme kunentengo yokuvala.

Kungaqashelwa ngokushesha ukuthi ishadi elinamakhandlela linikeza umhwebi ongase abe nolwazi oluningi ukuze ahlaziye kunomugqa ovamile owayo noma okhuphukayo. Yingakho abatshalizimali abanolwazi bevame ukusebenzisa ukwakheka kwamakhandlela lapho besebenza namatheminali, afana ne-Metatrader. Umhwebi angasetha isikhathi sokwakheka kwekhandlela ngokubona kwakhe. Kungaba iminithi elingu-1, ihora elingu-1, noma inyanga engu-1. Konke kuncike ngqo kunqubomgomo yakhe yentengo yomuntu ngamunye.

Izinzuzo eziyinhloko kanye nebubi bamashadi wekhandlela

Inzuzo esobala iwukwaziswa okwengeziwe okubonwayo ukuze kuhlaziywe okwengeziwe. Futhi amakhandlela esikhathini eside angabonisa ukuthambekela kwamanje ngaphandle kwesidingo sokuphendukela ekuhlaziyweni okugcwele kobuchwepheshe. Lokhu kuyiqiniso kuzo zombili izikhundla zesikhathi esifushane nezesikhathi eside. Inzuzo yesibili: ulwazi olutholakala emakhandlelani lwanele ukuhweba kwe-semi-automatic usebenzisa i-
bots. Kodwa kuhlale kunengozi yokugqekeza izikhundla, ngakho-ke ukushiya ukulahleka kokumisa kuyadingeka. Wonke umhwebi udinga ukulungiswa ngokushintsha okungazelelwe kwesimo emakethe evulekile. Futhi okuwukuphela kwe-drawback ephawulekayo ukuntuleka kokushelela kweshadi, okwenza kube nzima ukuvula izikhundla ngokufanele (phezulu noma phansi), ikakhulukazi uma uhweba ngegebe elikhulu. Kodwa abathengisi abaningi baze bakhiphe lokhu kukhipha ngokwengeza lokho okubizwa ngokuthi “isilinganiso esihambayo” kumatheminali abo okukhokha, okubalwa ngokuzenzakalela ngokusekelwe eshadini eliyisisekelo elinamakhilogremu amakhandlela. Lokhu kwenza kube lula ukuhlola ukuthambekela kwesikhathi esiqondile (umthengisi anentshisekelo kukho). Futhi abathengisi abanolwazi baqinisekisa ukuthi abanaso isidingo esikhethekile sokusebenzisa isilinganiso esihambayo. Njengokuthi, ukuba nolwazi olufanele, kubonwa ezingeni lokungazi lutho. Kodwa le nketho ayiseyona eyabaqalayo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_14156” align = “aligncenter” wide = “715”]
Izinhlobo zamaphethini ezithi zekhandlela[/caption]

Izinhlobo zamaphethini ekhandlela

Kufanele kuqashelwe ngokushesha ukuthi amaphethini wekhandlela ahlobene kakhulu nokuhlaziywa kwedatha yezibalo nobuchwepheshe. Ngokufanelekile, azinaki izehlakalo zezinkampani zangaphandle ezithinta inqubomgomo yentengo yezimpahla. Kunamaphethini amaningi, futhi abahwebi bayaqhubeka nokuwaqamba namuhla. Kodwa kulabo abasesesiteji sokufunda, kuzoba usizo ukufunda ezimbalwa ezidume kakhulu:

1. Ikhandlela eligcwele umzimba . Kukhombisa ukuthi ukuthambekela kwe-bullish kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke esikhathini esizayo.
2. Ikhandlela le-bearish eligcwele umzimba . Kubonisa ukuthi ukuqhubeka komkhuba we-bearish kulindeleke esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.
3. Doji . Okungukuthi, lapho kungekho ikhandlela elinjalo, ngoba akukho mehluko phakathi kokuvula nokuvala ngesikhathi sokuphumula. Abatshalizimali abanolwazi batusa ukuyeka noma yikuphi ukuthengiselana ngalesi sikhathi, okungukuthi, uma kungenzeka, ungabambi iqhaza emakethe.
4. I- Hangman . Ibonisa ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kwempahla. Lokhu cishe kuzolandelwa yi-downtrend.

Okunzima kakhulu futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo into eyinhloko ukukhumbula ukuthi yiziphi izibalo ezibonisa ukuthambekela kwe-bullish ne-bearish, futhi lapho ukwakheka khona isimo semakethe esingathathi hlangothi kulindeleke. Umthetho oyinhloko uwukuthi: lapho ukuthambekela kwe-bullish kubonakala, khona-ke ama-oda kufanele avulwe, uma kwenzeka umkhuba we-bearish, kufanele uvaliwe. Lo mthetho uyasebenza nalapho usebenzisa amashadi emigqa. Ngokwemvelo, udinga futhi ukucabangela indawo yekhandlela. Okusho ukuthi, lapho kuyikho ngempela: phezulu noma phansi kokubunjwa. Hhayi njalo, kodwa ngokuvamile lokhu kukhombisa ukuhlehla okubukhali komkhuba. Kodwa lapha sekuvele kunconywa ukucabangela ukuhleleka kwamakhandlela. Isibonelo, uma kuneziqongo zokuphotha ezi-3 ngokulandelana, khona-ke ngamathuba aphezulu lokhu kuzolandelwa yikhanda elishefiwe elishefiwe noma isando se-bearish ehlanekezelwe. Ukuqonda lezi zindlela kuhlale kuhambisana nolwazi.
Kodwa kufanele ngaso sonke isikhathi uqale ngamaphethini alula. Kulula kakhulu ukuzifunda nokuhlaziya. Futhi kamuva – qhubekela ezinhlanganisela ezivamile.

Ukwakheka kwamakhandlela okujwayelekile okuhweba

Wonke umhwebi unesitayela sakhe sokuhweba. Futhi lokhu kuthonywa nje umbono wabo ngamunye wezitayela. Futhi lapha into ebaluleke kakhulu ukubamba “isigqi” esingeke siphikisane nemikhuba yemakethe eyisisekelo. Okusho ukuthi, udinga ukuthuthukisa isu lakho, ngokuya ngokuthi yiziphi izinto ezizokwenziwa. Isibonelo, abadayisi abaningi bavala ukuhweba kuphela ngemva kokuvela “kwamasosha amathathu amhlophe”. Lena indlela yokonga, kodwa isebenza kuphela ngezimpahla eziguquguqukayo kakhulu zohwebo olufushane. Futhi kunamasu amaningana anjalo amukelwa ngokuvamile ongawasebenzisa ukuze udale eyakho ehlukile:

1. Ukuhlukana phakathi kosuku . Okuvame ukuhlotshaniswa nanoma yiziphi izindaba ezithinta isizinda sokutshalwa kwezimali sayo yonke imakethe. Ihambisana negebe elide phezulu noma phansi. Njengomthetho, lokhu kwenzeka ekuseni, lapho imakethe ivula nje futhi amanani alungiswa. Ibanga lokuhweba ngokwalo lakhiwa ngesikhathi kusuka ngo-9:30 kuya ku-9:50 (GMT). Futhi ngokushesha ngemva kwalokho, kunconywa ukuvula ama-oda, okungukuthi, kusukela cishe ngo-9:50 futhi ngemizuzu engu-20-30 elandelayo. Khona-ke udinga ukwakha inzuzo ehlosiwe (yempahla ngayinye – ngayinye), faka i-oda elizenzakalelayo (yeka). Okuwukuphela kwe-caveat: uma ngemva kuka-11:00 ukuhweba kungabonisi inzuzo, kufanele ucabangele inketho yokuyivala ngenkani, noma ngabe ukulahlekelwa kurekhodiwe.
2. Ukuhweba ngokumelene nokuqubuka. Lapha kubalulekile ukuthi ukwazi ukulungisa lezo ziphazamiso. Lokhu kuvame ukwandulelwa  ukwakheka kwekhandlela lesando.. Akufanele “usabele” ekuqhekekeni ngakunye futhi uvule noma uvale ngokushesha i-oda esimweni esinjalo. Lokhu ezimeni eziningi kugcina ngephesenti lemisebenzi eyimpumelelo engeqile ku-50%. Imithetho evamile yokuhweba kulesi simo: impahla yenza igebe libe phezulu noma phansi ngokuhlukana okusebenzayo. Okulandelayo, udinga ukulinda uhla lokuhweba (kusuka ku-9:30). Uma ngaphambi kuka-10:00 kukhona igebe eliqhubekayo endaweni efanayo, khona-ke ukuhlukana ngeke kuqedwe. Uma kungenjalo, udinga ukwenza isivumelwano esikhathini esisuka ku-9:50 kuya ku-10:10 ngokuphambene (okungukuthi, ngokumelene nokuhlukaniswa). Ukubuyisela kuphezulu, ukwakheka okunjalo kusebenza kahle ikakhulukazi ngezimpahla eziguquguqukayo, okungukuthi, intengo eshintsha kakhulu esikhathini sokuhweba ngasinye. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_13897″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”550″] Isando sekhandlela[/caption]
3. Ibanga lohwebo . Kuyinketho enhle yokuhweba phakathi kuka-11 ekuseni no-2 ntambama. Ngalesi sikhathi, kuyadingeka ukwakha ububanzi obuphezulu naphansi, phakathi kwalokho ukuguquguquka okuyinhloko kwenani kwenzeka. Futhi yilapho ikhandlela liya emngceleni ophansi lapho kufanele uvule isivumelwano. Ukuthengisa kwenziwa “phezulu”. Ungasebenzisa izitobhi ezizenzakalelayo ngokukhipha imali ebanjwayo futhi uzishiyele inzuzo eyamukelekayo.
4. Ukuhlukana ekupheleni kosuku . Isetshenziswa ngesikhathi sokuphumula cishe ngo-14:00 ntambama, okungukuthi, lapho imakethe ivala. I-Volatility iphakama ngokwemvelo ngesikhathi esifanayo. Umsebenzi womhwebi ukulungisa isikhundla lapho intengo “ishiya” uhla lwasekuseni (uhla lwenani). Kusekuqaleni kohwebo olunjalo lapho udinga ukuvula isivumelwano. Kuphinde kunconywe ukubeka ukulahlekelwa kokumiswa ekubuyiselweni kwentengo, ikakhulukazi uma kunobungozi bokulawulwa kwangaphandle kwentengo yempahla (ngokwesibonelo, inkokhelo elandelayo yezinzuzo esimweni sesitoko noma ukulawulwa kokwenziwa kwevelu izimali ngenxa yokungenelela).
5. Ukwakheka ama-tweezers ikhandlela . Elinye isu elidumile. Futhi kuwukuhlukahluka  kokwakheka kwezinti zamakhandlela ezihlehlayo . Isikhathi asibhekwa. “Iqala” kusukela ngesikhathi lapho kukhona amakhandlela amathathu kumkhuba ofanayo nesithunzi eside. Eyokuqala ibonisa, isibonelo, i-uptrend enethunzi elide. Eyesibili iyafana, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo ukuthambekela kwayo akudluli umthunzi wokuqala. Kulokhu, amathuba okuthi ikhandlela lesithathu lihambe ngendlela ehlukile liphezulu kakhulu. Ngokuvumelana nalokho, ungenza ama-oda wokuvula nawokuvala.
6. Inkomishi yokwakheka enekhandlela lesibambo . Ibalwa ngezikhathi ezinde kakhulu, ithatha okungenani amakhandlela ayi-10-15. Ibonisa izinga eliphelele lokumelana nezimakethe. Ukweqa kuleli zinga kukhombisa nje ukuthambekela okuzinzile (ukwanda). Iphethini inhle ekusebenzeni ngezimpahla ezingaguquguquki, okungukuthi, lapho ukuguquguquka kwentengo kungabalulekile. Ngendlela, kunephethini efanayo “yesitsha esihlanekezelwe”. Iphinde ibonise i-downtrend.

Kumele kukhunjulwe ukuthi ukwakheka namasu ahlukahlukene akusona isiqinisekiso senzuzo ku-oda ngalinye. Lokhu okunye kokuhluka kokubikezela kwethrendi njengengxenye yokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kweshadi. Kodwa ngokuvamile ziyisisekelo se-automated bots yokuhweba. Okusho ukuthi, basebenza ngokulandela uhlelo olungenhla. Ukwakheka kwamakhandlela ekuhwebeni – wonke amaphethini ezibani kuvidiyo eyodwa, ukuqeqeshwa kokuhweba: https://youtu.be/CE2QfmaJCiw

Ukuthobela Iphethini

Futhi, maningi amaphethini anjalo. Umsebenzi womhwebi ukwazi ukuhlola ukwakheka kwamakhandlela ngokwehlukana kwempahla ngayinye asebenza ngayo. Lokhu kukuvumela ukuthi uthuthukise okuhlangenwe nakho ongabikezela ngakho ukunyuka okwengeziwe noma ukwehla kwevelu. Kafushane, ukwakheka kwezinti zamakhandlela kuyithuluzi elilula nelisebenzayo lokuhlola ithrendi ngokushesha. Kodwa ingasetshenziswa kumasu amaningi ayinkimbinkimbi. Zingaphezu kwezinkulungwane eziyi-10 zazo, akunakwenzeka ukuzifundela zonke. Umhwebi udinga nje ukuba nokuqonda okuyisisekelo ukuze akhe ukwakheka kwawo.