Indlela isalathisi se-MFI sisebenza ngayo, isicwangciso sokurhweba, ukujonga kwitshathi

Isalathisi se-MFI – Isalathiso soFacility Market (I-Market Facilitation Index), iimpawu, ukucwangcisa kwitshathi, ifomula yokubala. I-Market Facilitation Index – esi salathisi sisetyenziselwa ukumisela amandla kunye nobuthathaka bokuhamba kwexabiso. Yaphuhliswa ngumrhwebi kunye nombhali uBill Williams kwaye ichazwe njengomlinganiselo wokusabela kweemarike kwinqanaba elitsha lomthamo.

Yintoni i-MFI Indicator, yintoni intsingiselo yayo, ifomula yokubala

Isalathiso soncedo lwemarike ye-BW MFI sisilathisi sokuguquguquka, injongo yalo kukuqinisekisa ukulungela kwemarike ukutshintsha ixabiso. Kodwa kuphela amaxabiso apheleleyo ewodwa awanamsebenzi kumthengisi, njengoko enganikeli iimpawu ezithile zokurhweba. Kubalulekile njengesixhobo sokuhlalutya ukusebenza kwentshukumo yexabiso elidibanisa umthamo kunye nexabiso.
Umthamo ngumbono obalulekileyo onika umbono wokuba imali ingena kwaye iphuma njani kwi-asethi yemali. Ngumlinganiselo wembuyekezo iyonke yezitokhwe okanye izivumelwano zexesha elizayo. Ibalwa njengenani lilonke lezabelo ezithengiswa ngexesha elithile. Itikiti ngalinye limele urhwebo kwaye libala ukuya kwisixa esipheleleyo sorhwebo. Nangona izabelo ezifanayo zinokuthengiswa kwaye zithengwe izihlandlo ezininzi, umthamo uthathelwa ingqalelo kwintengiselwano nganye. Ngoko ke, ukuba izabelo ze-500 ze-XYZ zithengiwe, zaza zathengiswa, zaphinda zathengwa, zaphinda zithengiswe kwakhona, okubangele amathikithi amane, umthamo urekhodwa njengezabelo ze-2,000.

Kubalulekile! Uhlalutyo lwevolumu bubuchule obusetyenziselwa ukumisela urhwebo olwenziwayo ngokufumanisa ubudlelwane phakathi komthamo kunye namaxabiso. Iingcamango ezimbini eziphambili eziphantsi kokuhlalutya umthamo zithenga umthamo kunye nokuthengisa umthamo.

Abarhwebi baxhomekeke kumthamo njenge-metric engundoqo kuba ikuvumela ukuba wazi inqanaba le-liquidity ye-asethi kunye nokuba kulula kangakanani ukungena okanye ukuphuma kwindawo ekufutshane nexabiso langoku. I-Liquidity yinto ekufuneka uhlale uyinikela ingqalelo xa uthengisa. Imarike engamanzi kakhulu ithathwa njengeyona isebenzayo. Isalathisi se-MFI nguBill Williams sibonisa utshintsho lwexabiso kwi-tick nganye. Inkcazo yesalathisi seMFI:

1. Ukwakhiwa kunye nokutolikwa kwesi salathisi kufana ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI), kunye nokwahlukana kuphela kukuba i- RSI ihambelana kuphela nexabiso. ISalathiso soNcedo lweMarike sithelekisa “imali ephuma kakuhle” kunye “negative cash flow” ukwenza isalathisi esinokuthelekiswa nesenzo sexabiso ukumisela amandla okanye ubuthathaka bendlela.
2. Umlinganiselo wokuhamba kwemali uqhelekile kwi-oscillator ye-MFI . Ukuhamba kwemali kulungile xa ixabiso eliqhelekileyo linyuka (uxinzelelo lokuthenga) kwaye libi xa ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lihla (uxinzelelo lokuthengisa).
3. Umlinganiselo wokuqukuqela kwemali elungileyo kunye nengalunganga emva koko ungeniswa kwifomula ye-RSI ukufumana isalathisi esiguquguqukayo phakathi kwe-0 kunye ne-100.

I-Market Facilitation Index ifaneleke kakhulu ukuchonga ukuguqulwa kwamaxabiso kunye nokugqithisa usebenzisa imiqondiso eyahlukeneyo. Ke, isalathiso esiqwalaselweyo sokuguquguquka sikuvumela ukuba uqonde ukuba intengiso ilulwelo kwaye ingaba abathathi-nxaxheba abohlukeneyo bentengiso bayasebenza. Ukuba umsebenzi weemarike uyancipha, ngoko abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike abasebenzisa isalathisi se-MFI banokubona ukwehla kokusebenza komthamo kunye nokunyakaza kwexabiso.
I-Index Facilitation Index ilula ukubala usebenzisa le fomyula ilandelayo: I-MFI = (Ephakamileyo – Ephantsi) / uMqulu, apho iPhakamileyo lixabiso eliphezulu leseshini yokurhweba, ixabiso eliphantsi lelona xesha lokuthengisa, uMqulu ngumthamo we ixesha elibekiwe.Ezinye iingcali ziqwalasela isalathisi se-BW MFI njengesona salathisi sokuziphatha kweemarike, xa kuthelekiswa nesalathiso samandla esihambelanayo kunye ne-stochastic oscillator.

Iintlobo kunye nokwakhiwa, kunye nokuqatshelwa kwitshathi

Xa icwangciswe kwitshathi, iziphumo zezibalo ze-Market Facilitation Index ziboniswa njenge-histogram ezantsi kwitshathi yexabiso.
Amaxabiso apheleleyo esalathiso amelwe yimivalo, kwaye uthelekiso phakathi kwesalathiso kunye nokutshintsha kwevolumu kuboniswa ngemibala emine eyahlukeneyo, esisiseko sokufunda imiqondiso eyenziwe sisilathisi. Inkcazo yesalathisi se-BW MFI-imiqondiso yokurhweba:

1. Ibha eluhlaza (Green) ibonisa ukuba zombini isalathisi kunye nomthamo uyanda. Oku kubonisa ukuba imarike sele ihamba kwaye abahwebi kufuneka bavule isikhundla kwicala elifanayo njengemarike, ngokulandela umkhwa, kunye nezikhundla ezichaseneyo kufuneka zivaliwe.
2. “I-Fade” ibonisa ukuphela kwendlela, ebonakaliswa yimeko apho zombini isalathisi kunye nemiqulu iyancipha. Ngamanye amazwi, imarike ilahlekelwa ngumdla kwintshukumo yexabiso langoku kwaye ikhangele iimpawu zophuhliso lwexesha elizayo. Le bar ingaphambili lekhefu elikhulu. Abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike kufuneka bajonge nayiphi na imiqondiso yempembelelo eyakhayo, apho kulo mzekelo inokubonakaliswa kwangaphambili ngokuqulunqwa kweebhari ezininzi ezilandelelanayo “eziphelayo”.
3. “Inkohliso” imele ixesha apho isalathisi sonyuka kwaye umthamo uyancipha. Oku kuphakamisa ukuba imarike iqhubela phambili, kodwa ayixhaswanga ngumthamo.Ngenxa yokungabikho komdla kwicala labarhwebi, akukho nkxaso eqinileyo yokunyakaza kwexabiso langoku kunye nokuvulwa kwezikhundla ezintsha. Ngamanye amazwi, ixabiso liyashukuma ngenxa yomzamo weqela elithile labathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike (abarhwebi kunye nabathengisi) lokulawula kunye nokulilawula ngokweminqweno yabo. Urhulumente udla ngokuphela ngokuguqulwa kwexabiso.
4. “I-Squatting” (i-Squat) ibonisa imeko xa isalathisi siwela, kodwa umthamo uyanda. Ngeli xesha, kukho imfazwe phakathi kwe “inkunzi yenkomo” kunye “neebhere”, eya kugqiba ukuba ngubani oya kulawula umkhwa olandelayo. Njengoko abathengisi abaninzi bangena kwimarike, umthamo uyanda, kodwa ekubeni ama-counterparties amabini alinganayo, ixabiso alitshintshi kakhulu. Ekugqibeleni, elinye lamaqela alwayo liya kufumana elinye. Kufanelekile ukunikela ingqalelo ngokusondeleyo kwisalathiso apho ixabiso lihamba khona emva kokuqhekeza le bar.

Isalathisi seMFI – isalathiso sokuququzelela imarike, yintoni kwaye kutheni, isiphithiphithi sorhwebo AKUKHO ngeencwadi: https://youtu be/nA71Su8pZJU

Izicwangciso kunye nesicelo kwisicwangciso sokurhweba

Ngokungafaniyo nezinye izalathisi ezininzi zobugcisa, i-MFI Market Facilitation Index ayinazo izicwangciso. Ekuphela kwento enokuthi yenziwe ngokwezifiso ngumbala wemivalo (okanye uyishiye njengoko injalo). Ukutolika ngumsebenzi onzima kakhulu, ngenxa yokuba akukho luhlu oluthile lokujonga. Usisebenzisa njani isalathisi se-BW MFI:

1. Isalathiso kunye nomthamo ziyehla – ukunqongophala kwemali kwimarike. Ngoko ke, ukuba i-asethi ikwi-uptrend kwaye i-MFI iyancipha, oku kubonisa ukuba ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka kuya kwenzeka.
2. Isalathisi siphakama, umthamo we-asethi uyancipha – uphawu lokuba isenzo sexabiso asixhaswanga ngumthamo. Ngenxa yoko, i-bearish reversal ingenzeka.
3. Isalathisi siyawa, umthamo ukhula – “iinkunzi” kunye “neebhere” zilwa. Isenokukhokelela ekuqhawukeni kwe-bullish.

Ngokwethiyori, umgaqo wokusebenza ubonakala ulula, kodwa ekusebenzeni akulula ukufumana iimpawu zokurhweba usebenzisa i-MFI. Ngoko ke, kucetyiswa ukuba kusetyenziswe izixhobo ezongezelelweyo – i-RSI kunye
nemilinganiselo ehambayo .
Ngokutsho kweBill Williams, xa zombini i-MFI kunye nokuphakama kwevolumu, kunokubonwa njengomqondiso we-bullish njengomthamo kunye nexabiso lihamba ngendlela efanayo. Xa ivolumu kunye ne-MFI ziwa, luphawu lokuthengisa, njengoko inzala kwi-asethi iyanyamalala. Imeko xa i-MFI iphakama kwaye ivolumu iyawa ibizwa ngokuba “yinkohliso” kwaye ukunyakaza kwexabiso kufuneka kuthathwe ngengqolowa yetyuwa. Kuyafana nakwixesha apho i-MFI iwa kwaye umthamo ukhuphuka.

Ngaba kufuneka ndisebenzise i-Market Facilitation Index kurhwebo?

Ekuqaleni, izikhombisi zokurhweba zazisetyenziswa kuphela kwiimarike zentengiso, kodwa ekuhambeni kwexesha zaqala ukusetyenziswa kwezinye iimarike zemali. Ngaphandle kwento yokuba ezi algorithms zemathematika zisetyenziswa ngokubanzi ngabarhwebi, isicwangciso esihle sotyalo-mali asiqhelekanga ukuba sisekelwe kubo bodwa. Isalathisi se-MFI sithatha imiba elula yesenzo semarike kwaye siyiguqulela kwimimiselo ecacileyo kunye nefutshane enika ingcamango yesenzo semarike. Njenge-RSI, ilinganiswa kwisikali se-0 ukuya kwi-100 kwaye isoloko ibalwa kusetyenziswa iintsuku ezili-14 okanye iintsuku ezingama-30. Umrhwebi we-swing unokukhetha ixesha leentsuku ze-14, ngelixa umtyalo-mali unokukhetha ixesha leentsuku ze-30 (iintsuku ezimbalwa ezisetyenziselwa ukubala, isalathisi esiguqukayo). Xa uhlalutya isalathisi se-MFI, eqinisweni, umntu kufuneka aqale athathele ingqalelo ukungafani phakathi kwesalathisi kunye nokuhamba kwexabiso lesitoko. Zonke izalathisi kuquka i-MFI, ziluncedo ngakumbi xa zisetyenziswa ngokudibeneyo nezinye izixhobo. UBill Williams ngokwakhe ucebise isalathisi seFractals ukongeza.

Okuhle nokubi

Enye yeengxaki nge-MFI kukuzoba ngokutsha. Oku kuthetha ukuba akukho ngqiqweni ukuvavanya kwidatha yembali okanye ukukhangela kwimbali njengoko oku kuya kukhokelela kulwazi olungachanekanga. Le yinkqubo yendalo xa isalathisi senziwa ngokutsha. Abarhwebi abanamava bayazi ukuba ukuba kukho nayiphi na i-backtests eyenziwa ngelixa usebenzisa isalathisi, kuya kubakho iimpawu zobuxoki. Enye ingxaki kukuba isalathisi somthamo asibonakalisi umthamo wangempela wemarike yonke, kodwa kuphela enikezelwa ngumthengisi. Ngokuqinisekileyo, kukho izinto ezintle zokuba isalathisi sinokubonisa isenzo esikhulu sexabiso elizayo. Abaxhasi bokuhlalutya umthamo bacinga ukuba i-MFI ibe ngumqondiso ohamba phambili. Ngokombono wabo, inika imiqondiso kunye nezilumkiso malunga nokuguqulwa okunokwenzeka. Ngaphambi kokuba wenze isigqibo sokurhweba, i-MFI kufuneka idityaniswe nenye i-oscillator, emva koko ulandelele iipateni zokwahlukana ngevolumu eyomeleleyo. Nje ukuba iipateni zichongiwe, lixesha lokwenza okuthile. Ukwahlukana kwi-oscillator yesibini kuya kunciphisa umngcipheko we-MFI redrawing. Ukuze ugweme ukudideka, kucetyiswa ukuba kusetyenziswe inani elincinci le-oscillators (i-oscillators eninzi ibandakanyeka, iphezulu amathuba okwenza iimpazamo).

Ukusetyenziswa kwe-MFI kwiitheminali ezahlukeneyo

Uninzi lwamaqonga okurhweba afana neMT4, MT5 okanye TradingView inikezela phantse zonke izikhombisi ezinokhetho oluninzi kunye nokwahluka okuzenzekelayo, kwaye i-MFI ayinjalo. I-MetaTrader 4 inesethi yezibonakaliso zokurhweba nguBill Williams, ezifakwe kwizixhobo eziqhelekileyo xa iqonga lilayishwa. Isalathisi se-BW MFI sinokufumaneka phantsi kwesalathisi se “Indicators”, esiza kuvula iwindow ye-MFI, kuquka ikhowudi yombala kunye nomthamo.
Ikhowudi yombala isetyenziswe ngokungagqibekanga, kodwa inokwenziwa ngokwezifiso.
Xa usebenzisa isalathisi, imivalo engaphantsi kwetshathi inemilinganiselo emihle kuphela, ekubeni umda omncinci wesalathisi se-MFI ngu-zero. Abarhwebi banokukhetha ukurhweba ngayo kwiimarike ezithengisiweyo okanye ezithengiwe kakhulu, kodwa kukho umngcipheko obandakanyekayo. Ngenxa yokuba imivalo isekelwe kwivolumu, amanqanaba abonisa ukunyuka okuqinileyo okanye ukunyuka kuxhomekeke ekubeni imarike i-bullish okanye i-bearish. Ukuba umrhwebi unquma kule meko ukuhlola amanqanaba ukusuka kwixesha elidlulileyo, kufuneka adwebe umgca onqamlekileyo kwifestile ye-oscillator. Xa ibha ibonisa ukuba umthamo uwela umgca apho ixabiso liyi-bearish, iinketho zokufowuna zinconywa (imarike ithengiswa ngokugqithiseleyo). Ngokufanelekileyo, faka iinketho kufuneka zithengiswe xa okuchaseneyo kuyinyaniso – ixabiso liyi-bullish, kodwa ibha isekho ngaphezu kwalo mgca.