Ama-Elliott Waves: ayini nokuthi angawasebenzisa kanjani ekuhwebeni ngokusebenza

Ayini amagagasi e-Elliot ekusebenzeni, izibonelo ze-wave theory, imithetho namasu, izinkomba namashadi, amathuluzi kumatheminali okwakha amagagasi e-Elliot. Izibalo eziningi ekuhwebeni zisekelwe ezingxenyeni zegraphic. Zikuvumela ukuthi ubone zonke izingozi, wenze ukuthengiselana ngesikhathi noma usuke kude nazo ukuze unciphise amathuba okulahlekelwa yimali. Enye yezinhlobonhlobo zezindlela zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe bokuqhafaza kuyindlela ebizwa ngokuthi amagagasi ka-Elliot.

Iyini inkomba futhi iyini incazelo yayo, ingqikithi yokuhlaziywa kwegagasi le-Elliot

Ukuqala ukutadisha ukuhlaziywa kwegagasi lika-Elliott, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi umbono ofanayo wavela emuva ngo-1930. Kusekelwe ekuqondeni ukuthi izintengo ziyakhula ngesikhathi sokuhweba ngemijikelezo ethile. Ahlanganisa amagagasi ashukumisayo nalungisayo. Le ndlela yokuhlaziya yaqala ukusetshenziswa ngenkuthalo emakethe yamasheya kuphela ngawo-1980, lapho kutholwa imiphumela yokusetshenziswa okusebenzayo kwalesi nkomba, okwacaca ngayo ukusebenza kwayo kahle. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_15971” align = “aligncenter” wide = “923”]
Imijikelezo ekuhlaziyweni kwegagasi le-Elliott [/ amazwibela] Manje isisekelo sohlelo lokusebenza ukuziphatha kwabahwebi. Isizathu siwukuthi yizenzo zabo eziholela eqinisweni lokuthi izinguquko ezithile zenzeka emakethe. Ngakho-ke, igagasi elithile lilandelwa ngemva koshintsho noma isenzo ngasinye. Kusuka lapha kungenzeka ukuchaza inkomba efundwayo.

Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Elliot wave kuyindlela enemifanekiso yokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe besimo emakethe yamasheya. Kuwuhlelo oluqhubekayo lwentuthuko nazo zonke izinguquko ezenzekayo. Lokhu kuhlanganisa isimo emphakathini kanye namaqembu awo ngamanye, ezimakethe zezimali, okuhlanganisa ukwakheka nokuqaliswa kwamamodeli okuqashelwa okukhethekile.

Inkomba kufanele ifundwe ngokucophelela, ngoba ngenxa yalokho, ngisho nomthengisi we-novice angakwazi ukuhlola ngokushesha nangokunembile ukuziphatha kwabo bonke abahlanganyeli emakethe ethile. Lokhu kwenziwa ngokutadisha ukunyakaza okuqondile kwamagagasi entengo. Ingqikithi yokuhlaziywa kulokhu ukuthi inkambiso ngayinye ekhona emakethe ngesikhathi esithile inezigaba zayo zesakhiwo. Abizwa ngamagagasi. Ukuhluka kwawo kulele eqinisweni lokuthi aphindaphindwa njalo. Ochwepheshe bahlukanisa izinhlobo ezi-2 zamagagasi:

• I-Pulse.
• Ukulungisa.

Uma ukuhlaziya igagasi lomfutho kukhethwa ekuhwebeni, khona-ke amaphethini anjalo avame ukuhamba kuthrendi eyinhloko. Esimeni lapho kukhethwa khona umbono wokulungisa, amashadi abonisa ukuzivumelanisa nokunyakaza ngokuqondile ngaphansi kwawo. Kulokhu, isibalo esibalulekile sokuhlaziya sidinga ukunakwa. Ithulwa njengenhlanganisela yegagasi elishukumisayo nelilungisayo. Isibonelo sokuthi ishadi lingabukeka kanjani:
Kuyabonakala lapha ukuthi u-1-5 yizimpawu ezikhombisa ukuthi uhlobo lokwakheka kwe-impulse luvele. Izinhlamvu ezikugrafu zimakwe ukuze kube lula okwengeziwe ekuqondeni ukulungiswa kwesithombe. Uma ulandela i-theory yamagagasi ka-Elliot, kuzocaca ukuthi kuwo wonke ama-trend kunenhlanganisela yama-fives and threes. Lokhu kusho ukuthi kunezinhlanganisela zamamodeli ashukumisayo kanye nokulungisa, ekugcineni akuvumela ukuthi uthole inzuzo enkulu ngesikhathi sokuhweba noma ukugwema ukulahlekelwa. Kukhona futhi imodeli yamagagasi amahlanu yale nkomba. Okubalulekile ukuthi ukunyakaza kwentengo yemakethe kungabonakala eshadini ngendlela yamagagasi angu-5. Ishadi eliyisibonelo libukeka kanje:
Eshadini elizohambisana kuleli cala, kubonakala ngokucacile ukuthi ngaphansi kwegama elithi 1,3 kanye no-5 kukhona amagagasi, okuyiwona anomfutho (imigqa eshadini lokunyakaza okuqondisayo). Iphuzu elilandelayo elibalulekile, elingabuye libonakale eshadini lamagagasi, livezwa eqinisweni lokuthi amagagasi e-2 kanye ne-4 kuleli cala ayalungisa (abanye abadayisi baphinde babhekisele kubo njengama-retracements). Bahamba ngokuphambene, bebonisa isimo samanje emakethe futhi babonise ukuthi yini okudingeka yenziwe ukuze kugwenywe ukulahlekelwa ngesikhathi sokuhweba. Lokhu kungafaniswa nezigxobo kazibuthe – “plus” futhi “minus”. Imodeli enjalo inezakhiwo ezilandelayo, okuthi, ngezinga elifanele lokuqeqeshwa nesipiliyoni, kuzosiza ukuqaphela izikhathi lapho kuphakama izimo ezinenzuzo:

• Igagasi lesi-2 alidluleli esithombeni indawo yokuqala lapho igagasi loku-1 laqala khona ukunyakaza (lokhu akwenzeki futhi akukho ngaphansi kwezimo emakethe).
• Igagasi lesi-3 ngeke libe lelifushane kakhulu elingabonwa eshadini eliwumphumela.
• Okwesine ayifaki isigaba senani esiyingxenye yegagasi lokuqala.

[i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_15975” align = “aligncenter” wide = “556”]
Isilinganiso samagagasi ekuhlaziyweni kwegagasi le-Elliot [/ amazwibela] amamodeli we-Impulse ezikhathini eziningi akheka ukwakheka kwamagagasi angu-5. Amagagasi angu-3 anokwehluka okuhlukile ajwayeleke kakhulu kumaphethini okulungisa. Kudingekile ukunaka iqiniso lokuthi esimweni esinjalo kukhona isici – emjikelezweni owodwa ophelele, izigaba ezi-2 kanye namagagasi amaningi angama-8 angabalwa. Kule nqubo, isigaba sokushayela samagagasi angu-5 siyakhiwa. Emagrafu, ivezwa ngezinombolo. Ngemva kwalokho, isigaba esilandelayo siyavela, esimelelwa amagagasi angu-3 futhi siyalungisa. Ivezwa ngezinhlamvu kumagrafu. Uma isimo sihlangatshezwana nokuthi igagasi 2 lilungisa igagasi elingu-1, amaza ohlamvu alungisa ukulandelana komjikelezo ogcwele (1-5). Kumele kuqashelwe lapha ukuthi umkhuba ngamunye onjalo uzohlala isikhathi esithile. Phakathi nenkathi, wonke amagagasi angu-5 akhiwa. Ngemva kwalokho, kungase kulandele ukulungiswa. Ngezinye izikhathi ayibonwa. Uma ingekho, kuzolandelwa amagagasi angu-2. Zonke ziyi-impulse type. Isakhiwo kuleli cala sizomelelwa amasegimenti ayi-10 ahlukene futhi ahlukaniswe kahle (aqaphelekayo). Kuyathakazelisa ukuthi amagagasi angajwayelekile ochwepheshe ngesikhathi seseshini yokuhweba abonakala ngokuphelele njengokungacabangi. Lokhu kwenzeka ngoba balandela ukunyakaza kwenkambiso ebonisiwe, ebekwe ngaphambili futhi egunyazwe ngumuntu ngokwakhe (umdlali osemakethe). Ngisho namagagasi eshadini kuleli cala azoba ukubonakaliswa kwengxenye yokulungisa yokuhlaziya. https://articles.opexflow.com/trading-training/dlya-nachinayushhix.htm Isakhiwo kuleli cala sizomelelwa amasegimenti ayi-10 ahlukene futhi ahlukaniswe kahle (aqaphelekayo). Kuyathakazelisa ukuthi amagagasi angajwayelekile ochwepheshe ngesikhathi seseshini yokuhweba abonakala ngokuphelele njengokungacabangi. Lokhu kwenzeka ngoba balandela ukunyakaza kwenkambiso ebonisiwe, ebekwe ngaphambili futhi egunyazwe ngumuntu ngokwakhe (umdlali osemakethe). Ngisho namagagasi eshadini kuleli cala azoba ukubonakaliswa kwengxenye yokulungisa yokuhlaziya. https://articles.opexflow.com/trading-training/dlya-nachinayushhix.htm Isakhiwo kuleli cala sizomelelwa amasegimenti ayi-10 ahlukene futhi ahlukaniswe kahle (aqaphelekayo). Kuyathakazelisa ukuthi amagagasi angajwayelekile ochwepheshe ngesikhathi seseshini yokuhweba abonakala ngokuphelele njengokungacabangi. Lokhu kwenzeka ngoba balandela ukunyakaza kwenkambiso ebonisiwe, ebekwe ngaphambili futhi egunyazwe ngumuntu ngokwakhe (umdlali osemakethe). Ngisho namagagasi eshadini kuleli cala azoba ukubonakaliswa kwengxenye yokulungisa yokuhlaziya. https://articles.opexflow.com/trading-training/dlya-nachinayushhix.htm ngoba balandela ukunyakaza kwenkambiso ebonisiwe, ebekwe ngaphambili futhi egunyazwe ngumuntu ngokwakhe (umdlali osemakethe). Ngisho namagagasi eshadini kuleli cala azoba ukubonakaliswa kwengxenye yokulungisa yokuhlaziya. https://articles.opexflow.com/trading-training/dlya-nachinayushhix.htm ngoba balandela ukunyakaza kwenkambiso ebonisiwe, ebekwe ngaphambili futhi egunyazwe ngumuntu ngokwakhe (umdlali osemakethe). Ngisho namagagasi eshadini kuleli cala azoba ukubonakaliswa kwengxenye yokulungisa yokuhlaziya. https://articles.opexflow.com/trading-training/dlya-nachinayushhix.htm

Indlela yokusebenzisa, ukusetha, amasu okuhweba asekelwe ku-Elliot Waves

I-Quality analytics kanye nezibikezelo ze-Elliot wave zenza kube nokwenzeka ukuqonda ukuthi uma isisombululo esinjalo sisetshenziswa ekusebenzeni, khona-ke kukhona ukusesha amaphuzu okungena ekuhwebeni kokuhweba. Isignali eshiwo kuleli cala ukwakheka kokunyakaza okungalindelekile futhi okunzima ukubikezela. Udinga ukuyilandelela ukusuka endaweni ngokuqondile eshadini (elitholakalayo noma elisanda kuvela ohlelweni lokuhweba), lapho ukuguqulwa kwethrendi kwenzeka khona. Lapha kubalulekile ukucabangela ukuthi uma ukunyakaza okukhuphukayo kuphawulwa, ukungena ezikhundleni kwenziwa kwelinye lamagagasi omfutho. Indlela elondolozayo yokufaka ukuthengiselana okuhlobene nokuhweba, ngokusho kwe-Elliott wave theory, ihlukaniswe yaba i-subspecies emaphakathi kanye efanayo. Uma inketho emaphakathi ikhethelwa ukusetshenziswa, izimo zokuqala zokuvula umsebenzi zizocishe zifane nendlela yokulondoloza. Umehluko wukuthi umyalelo wokuthenga ubekwe ezingeni lapho ukuphela kwegagasi kubonakala khona, okukhonjiswe kumashadi njengo-B. Uma kwenzeka kunesidingo esikhethekile, ukuthengiselana kuvaliwe. Ukuhlaziywa kwegagasi le-Elliott – ukuthi iyini nokuthi iyini, ngokushesha, ngokucacile nangokufanele ekusebenzeni nezibonelo: https://youtu.be/KJJn_r-f8aw Indlela emaphakathi yokungena ezikhundleni isivele ibhekwa njengolaka. Kulele eqinisweni lokuthi ukuhweba kuvulwa ngemuva kokuwohloka komugqa wesignali. Kukholelwa ukuthi isenzakalo esinjalo sibonisa ukuqala kokubunjwa kwephethini elisha lomfutho. Ukuhlaziywa okuhlaziywe kusetshenziswa abadayisi abangochwepheshe. Kuzoba nzima kwabaqalayo ukusebenzisa amasu anjalo. Isizathu siwukuthi ukuhlaziywa kwamagagasi, okulula futhi okuqondakalayo ngokombono, kuvela kunzima kakhulu ukukusebenzisa ekusebenzeni ngaphandle kwesisekelo solwazi olwengeziwe. Amashadi akhiwe ngesikhathi sangempela, ngakho-ke udinga ukwazi ukulandelela isimo kanye nezinguquko emakethe ngokushesha. Ochwepheshe batusa ukuhlanganisa indlela nezinkomba ezengeziwe, njenge-Elliot Waves kanye neFibonacci Waves. Lokhu kuzoboniswa kumashadi kanje: Inkomba eyengeziwe kuleli cala ibonisa isilinganiso segolide samanani ku-dynamics yokuhamba kwabo emakethe.

Kusetshenziswa nini ukuhlaziywa kwamagagasi, yiziphi izinsimbi, futhi nini akufanele

Ukusetshenziswa kwamagagasi e-Elliot kanye nenkomba eyengeziwe kuyanconywa uma kudingekile ukuze kuzuzwe ukubonwa okubushelelezi kwamagagasi kumashadi. Ungasebenzisa amathuluzi asiza le nqubo. Angasetshenziswa futhi esimweni sokutholwa okuzimele kwamaphethini amagagasi. Isibonelo, kusetshenziswe inkomba ye-EWO. Kuyaphawulwa (kanye nazo zonke ezinye izinhlobo zezinkomba) ekukhethweni kwegagasi. Izinhlobo ezilandelayo zamathuluzi nazo ziyasetshenziswa:

• Elliott Wave Inkomba.
• Elliot.
• WaveProphe.

I-EWO iyithuluzi eliyinkomba yokwenza ukuhlaziya kobuchwepheshe okuqinisekisiwe futhi okunemininingwane eminingi. Ibonisa inqubo eboniswa endaweni ehlukile (isikali) eshadini lentengo. Yakhiwe futhi iboniswe ke ngokusekelwe umehluko. Kumele kuqashelwe ukuthi ithuluzi ngokwalo alisebenzisi imithetho yokuthola amagagasi ngesikhathi sokwakhiwa. Ngasikhathi sinye, ikuvumela ukuthi ubukeke bushelelezi ukuguquguquka okuvela ngenxa yezizathu ezingokwemvelo, ezingabonakala ekusheleleni kwamagrafu. Lesi sici sikuvumela ukuthi uhlukanise ngokucacile amagagasi ngamanye futhi ulandelele zonke izinguquko. Uma indawo ephakathi kwamaphuzu aphansi naphakeme kakhulu ibonakala, khona-ke lesi siqondiso sihambisana nokunyakaza okuya phezulu kwegagasi. Uma ngesikhathi esifanayo inkomba ilele endaweni engenhla, leyo ebonisa umugqa onguziro, khona-ke kukhona igagasi elikhuphukayo elikhuphukayo eshadini. Esimeni lapho ingxenye engaphezulu nephansi iqondana negagasi eliqondiswe phansi, inkomba iphinde ibe ngaphansi komugqa onguziro, bese isigaba siqondana negagasi elibheke phansi elilungisayo. Uma izimo zingalandelwa, ngakho-ke akunconywa ukusebenzisa inqubo enjalo, ngoba ungangena ekulahlekelweni.

Izinzuzo nezingozi zokuhlaziywa kwe-Elliot Wave

Izinzuzo kanye nokubi nakho kudinga ukucatshangelwa ngokucophelela ngaphambi kokusebenzisa ithiyori. Ochwepheshe bazoba kanjena:

1. Ingasetshenziswa ngezikhathi ezahlukene .
2. Amagrafu akhombisa isithombe esikhulu.
3. Ngosizo lwamagagasi, awukwazi ukwakha amaqhinga kuphela, kodwa futhi nesu lokuhweba.
4. Amagagasi akuvumela ukuthi unqume ubukhona bomkhuba wangempela, ozobe usudayiswa.
5. Zikuvumela ukuthi wenze isibikezelo sokuguquguquka kwentengo okungenzeka.

https://articles.opexflow.com/trading-training/time-frame.htm Kukhona futhi nokubi okufanele kucatshangelwe:

• Amagrafu angabonwa ngokuzithoba.
• Kunohlelo oluyinkimbinkimbi lwemithetho.
• Kuthatha isikhathi ukuhlola izici ngokugcwele.

Kufanele futhi kuqashelwe ukuthi uma umhwebi engenalo ulwazi olufanele, lokhu kungaholela ekulahlekelweni kokuhweba. Ngokuvamile, ukunyakaza okuphumayo okungalawuleki kungabonwa ngemva kokunqwabelana phansi kwendawo. Esinye isibonelo samagagasi: isibalo sakhiwe eshadini, elibizwa ngokuthi ”
Ikhanda namahlombe “. Futhi, izakhi zethiyori zingalandelwa uma isibalo sakhiwe esilingana nokuphakama “kwekhanda” kusukela emgqeni “wentanyeni”.