I-Psychology yokuhweba: kungani abanye abathengisi bephumelela kanti abanye bengaphumeleli?

Lesi sihloko sidalwe ngokusekelwe ochungechungeni lokuthunyelwe okuvela  esiteshini se-OpexBot Telegram , okungezelelwe umbono wombhali kanye nombono we-AI. Namuhla sizoxoxa ngesihloko esibaluleke kakhulu: “izazi zengqondo zokuhweba kanye nomthengisi”, mayelana nemizwelo, intshiseko nokuhaha, izindlela ezahlukene, izibonelo zangempela ezingokoqobo kanye nokufana komlando. Ithiyori encane kanye namaqiniso amaningi athakazelisayo mayelana nendlela i-psychology ekuthinta ngayo (un) impumelelo yomhwebi ku-stock exchange. Ngakho-ke, mayelana ne-psychology yokuhweba, indlela yokususa imizwelo ekuhwebeni, ukwesaba, ukuhaha, uthando kanye nobunye ubuthakathaka bomthengisi.

I-Psychology yokuhweba kanye nengxenye yemizwa yokuhweba ezimakethe

I-psychology yokuhweba idlala indima enkulu emhlabeni wezimakethe zezimali. Uma kuziwa ekuhwebeni, akukhona nje ulwazi lwamakhono nokuhlaziywa kwemakethe, kodwa futhi nekhono lokulawula imizwa yakho. Esinye sezici ezivame kakhulu ezingokwengqondo zokuhweba umthengisi wokugembula . Umhwebi wokugembula umuntu, esikhundleni sendlela enengqondo nehlaziyayo, esekelwe emizweni nasekujabuleni. Ufuna izinzuzo ezisheshayo kanye nenjabulo yezinguquko ezisheshayo emakethe.Kumhwebi wokugembula, imizwa ngokuvamile iba umshayeli oyinhloko wezinqumo zakhe. Angase azizwe ejabule ngenxa yempumelelo, okungaholela ekuzethembeni ngokweqile nasezingozini ezingalawuleki. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, angase abe nokwesaba, ukwethuka nokudumala uma kwenzeka ukwehluleka nokulahlekelwa. Inkinga enkulu yomhwebi wokugembula ukungaqiniseki nokungaguquguquki ekuthathweni kwezinqumo. Esikhundleni sokulandela isu kanye nohlelo oluzwakalayo, umthengisi wokugembula uzosabela emifuleni ehlukahlukene engokomzwelo, engaholela ekulahlekelweni nasekunganeliseki. Nokho, ukunqoba ukuziphatha kokugembula namathonya angokomzwelo kuyisici esibalulekile ekuphumeleleni kokuhweba. Lokhu kudinga ukuthuthukiswa kwamakhono okuzindla nokuzithiba. Umhwebi kufanele aqonde ukuthi imizwelo ithonya izinqumo zakhe futhi afunde ukuyilawula. Lokhu kungafezwa ngezindlela ezihlukahlukene, njengokuhlela imisebenzi yokuhweba ngemithetho ecacile, ukusebenzisa ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka, imikhuba evamile yokuzindla, noma ukubonisana nodokotela wezengqondo. Ukuhweba kuyinqubo edinga ikhono lokucabanga ngendlela enengqondo futhi wenze izinqumo ezinolwazi. Ukuhweba kwengqondo nokuphatha imizwa kudlala indima ebalulekile ekuzuzeni impumelelo emakethe. Umhwebi wokugembula angakwazi ukunqoba imizwa yakhe engemihle futhi abe umthengisi oqaphelayo futhi ophumelelayo uma ezimisele ukutshala isikhathi nomzamo ekuthuthukiseni amakhono akhe okusebenza kwengqondo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_17130” align = “aligncenter” wide = “428”] Ukuhweba kuyinqubo edinga ikhono lokucabanga ngendlela enengqondo futhi wenze izinqumo ezinolwazi. Ukuhweba kwengqondo nokuphatha imizwa kudlala indima ebalulekile ekuzuzeni impumelelo emakethe. Umhwebi wokugembula angakwazi ukunqoba imizwa yakhe engemihle futhi abe umthengisi oqaphelayo futhi ophumelelayo uma ezimisele ukutshala isikhathi nomzamo ekuthuthukiseni amakhono akhe okusebenza kwengqondo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_17130” align = “aligncenter” wide = “428”] Ukuhweba kuyinqubo edinga ikhono lokucabanga ngendlela enengqondo futhi wenze izinqumo ezinolwazi. Ukuhweba kwengqondo nokuphatha imizwa kudlala indima ebalulekile ekuzuzeni impumelelo emakethe. Umhwebi wokugembula angakwazi ukunqoba imizwa yakhe engemihle futhi abe umthengisi oqaphelayo futhi ophumelelayo uma ezimisele ukutshala isikhathi nomzamo ekuthuthukiseni amakhono akhe okusebenza kwengqondo. [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_17130” align = “aligncenter” wide = “428”]Imizwa nothando akubona umngani womhwebi[/ amazwibela]

Umgembuli ngeke abe umhwebi omuhle, njengoba uthando lubulala amathuba okuphumelela

Umhwebi wokugembula uzolahlekelwa ngezinga eliphezulu lokungenzeka – Yebo. Kungani? Konke kumayelana nengqondo yomdlali. Umgembuli uhlale elwela ukuba semdlalweni, okuwukuzibulala emakethe yesitoko. Ngakho-ke, abathengisi abangochwepheshe abahwebi ngaphezu kwamahora angama-2-3 ngosuku, bachitha isikhathi esisele behlaziya, bebheka futhi befunda imakethe kanye nenkundla yolwazi. “Omunye wemithetho engcono kakhulu okufanele wonke umuntu ayifunde ukungenzi lutho, lutho, kuze kube yilapho kukhona okumele kwenziwe. Abantu abaningi (hhayi ngoba ngizibona ngingcono kunabaningi) bafuna ukuhlala bekhona emdlalweni, bahlale befuna okuthile okwenziwayo. “. – UJim RogersKumgembuli, ukuhweba kuwukuzingela, lapho ecabanga ukuthi ungumzingeli, nakuba kunguye ozingelwayo. I-Ludomaniacs ijwayele ukuba sengozini, futhi ukuhweba kuwumsebenzi obaphushela ngqo kulokhu. Lapha, izinkomba zenzuzo nokulahlekelwa zincike ngokuqondile engozini ethathiwe. Uma ingozi iphezulu, amandla aphezulu, kodwa izimangaliso zingenzeki, ingozi enkulu yokulahlekelwa yikho konke. Umgembuli uhlale ehlushwa imizwa ecacile – ukwesaba, ukuhaha, injabulo. Umhwebi ophumelelayo uyazi ngokucacile uhlelo lwakhe futhi alulungise ngokuqaphela, futhi hhayi ngokusekelwe kudili lokusebenzelana.

Ukuhweba kufanele kube umsebenzi oyisicefe kodwa onenzuzo.

Imakethe ifana nekhasino, umhwebi ufana nomdlali: umgwaqo oya ndawo

Masiqhubeke ngesasasa ekuhwebeni. Indaba yomhwebi u-Omar Geas. Wenza ama-dollar ayizigidi ezingu-1.5 amasheya esebenzisa amandla aphezulu. Ngokuhambisana nokwenyuka kwemali engenayo, inani lokubheja kwezemidlalo, ubusuku bekhasino, abesifazane nezimoto linyukile. Imali engenayo yakhula, kodwa izindleko zakhula ngokushesha nakakhulu. Iphathi yaphela kungalindelekile. Imali nayo. Isambulo esikhulu esivela kule ndaba kwaba ukuvuma kukaGeass: “Ngaqala ngempela ukuphatha imakethe njengekhasino.” “Ngiqala phansi,” kusho uMnu Geas, 25. Unethuba. Umhwebi usebenza ngokungenzeka, futhi umdlali uyafiphala futhi ajabule. Okwamanje.

I-Algotrader nomthengisi wokugembula: izindlela ezimbili, iziphetho ezimbili

U-Ed Seykota wayengomunye wabokuqala ukusebenzisa lolu hlelo ukuhlola imibono yakhe yokuhweba. Enye yezimpumelelo: Ngenyuse idiphozithi yami kusukela ku-$5,000 kuya ku-$15 million, ngenxa yesistimu yami yekhompyutha yokuhweba ezimakethe zesikhathi esizayo. Lapho ngithuthukisa isu lami lokuhweba, ngithembele kumkhuba wesikhathi eside, ukuhlaziya amamodeli wamanje wesithombe nokukhethwa kwamaphuzu okungena/ukuphuma kokwenziwe. Manje uchitha imizuzu embalwa kuphela ekuhwebeni; irobhothi lenza umsebenzi omningi. U-Ed Seykota: “Beka engozini inani ongakwazi ukukulahlekela futhi elizokwanela ukwenza inzuzo ibe nenjongo kuwe.”Elinye lala marobhothi yi-Opexbot, ukubhaliswa kungenzeka njengamanje. [inkinobho href=”https://opexflow.com/pricing” hide_link=”yebo” background_color=”#d11b1b” color=”#0d0505″ size=”normal” target=”_self”]Ukubhalisa[/inkinobho] Jesse Livermoreizikhathi eziningana wenza ingcebo ngokuhweba ngamasheya futhi walahlekelwa izikhathi eziningi nje. Wawina imali yakhe yokuqala kubhuki ngokubikezela ukukhuphuka noma ukuwa kwamasheya. Kodwa ngilahlekelwe yikho konke ekuhwebeni kwangempela. UJese wenza ingcebo lapho wonke umuntu elahlekelwa yiyo. Ukuphahlazeka kwango-1907 kwamlethela amaRandi ayizigidi ezingu-3. Inkinga ka-1929 yamlethela amaRandi ayizigidi ezingu-100. Kodwa waphinde walahlekelwa yikho konke, wabe esehlukanisa ngoba waqala ukwenza ubucwebe ukuze ahwebe emakethe yamasheya. Wayethanda ukuhlala emkhulu. Ububanzi obungalingani neholo lakhe. Imali ayizange ihlale kuye ngisho ezinkulu. Wazibulala ngo-1940 ngenxa yokucindezeleka okukhulu. UJesse Livermore: “Kunezilima ezenza konke okungalungile ngaso sonke isikhathi. Futhi kukhona izilima ku-Wall Street ezikholelwa ukuthi udinga ukudayisa nsuku zonke. “

Imizwa iyisitha somhwebi

Izinqumo zokuhweba ezenziwa ngemizwa cishe azilungile ngaso sonke isikhathi. Lona umqondo omkhulu engifuna ukuwedlulisela kini namuhla. Abantu bahlale beyi-psychology kanye nemizwa. Lokhu kusho ukuthi abantu bangashintshwa. Yilokhu okwenziwa ngabahwebi abazi ukuzilawula ngokuyinhloko. Laba, ngokuvamile, abahwebi abahweba ngokuqinile ngokwesu, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi kwenzekani (kukhona kuze kufike ku-10-15% wabo). Kuyiqiniso ukuthi lokhu sekuvele kuba yinto yesikhathi esedlule. Abaningi sekuyisikhathi eside besebenzisa ukuhweba kwe-algorithmic ukunciphisa isici somuntu. Ngeshwa, akukenzeki okwamanje ukukukhipha ngokuphelele. Kodwa lokhu okwamanje.Ngingabaluleka ngani labo abangakashintsheli ekuhwebeni okuzenzakalelayo?

IMA! Misa, ungahwebi, uma imicabango ikhanya engqondweni yakho: ukwesaba ukulahlekelwa, akwanele, ngifuna okwengeziwe, ngenzeni, ngiphuthelwe indawo yokungena enenzuzo … kungcono ukuhlala ocingweni kunokuba uphuthelwe. umzuzu wokuqhubeka nokutsheka.

Izingcaphuno ezintathu

1. “Kufanele uziphoqe ukuthi ucabangele izimpikiswano eziphikisayo. Ikakhulukazi lapho zibekela inselele imibono oyithandayo.” Lesi sisho esivela ku-Charles Munger sibaluleke kakhulu kumhwebi ose-stock exchange ukwenza imali, hhayi ukudlala imidlalo. Isici esibalulekile okufanele icatshangelwe ngaphambi kokwenza “ibhidi engu-100%”. Kumayelana nekhono lokubheka ukuhweba kwakho ngaphandle. Mayelana nekhono lokuzibekela inselelo futhi uphume ku-paradigm evamile. “Ukukhohlwa amaphutha akho kuyiphutha elibi uma ufuna ukuthuthukisa ukuqonda kwakho. Kusebenza ekuhwebeni – ngaphandle kokuhlaziya nokucabangela impumelelo yakho nokuhluleka kwakho emakethe, ngaphandle kokwenza izinguquko ohlelweni lokuhweba, akufanele ulindele inqubekela phambili ekuhwebeni. . Ngaphandle kokwenza noma yini entsha, awukwazi Kufanele silindele imiphumela emisha.” “Ngithi isimo sengqondo esithile sibaluleke kakhulu kunobuchopho. Udinga ukulawula imizwelo engenangqondo engalawuleki. Umhwebi ongokomzwelo uyinhlekelele emndenini. Emakethe lapho isiphithiphithi sibusa khona, ikhanda elipholile kuphela kanye nesistimu kuzokusiza. ube nenzuzo. Hhayi izinqumo ezingokomzwelo ekhanda elishisayo” . [i-id yamagama-ncazo = “okunamathiselwe_17129″ align=”aligncenter” wide=”600″] Munger kwesokunxele[/caption]

Khumbula umhwebi – inkinga yomzwelo kanye nokululama akusona isikhathi sokuhweba!

Njengoba ngishilo ngenhla, uma uqhutshwa imizwa, kungcono ukuthi ungaqalisi ngisho netheminali. Ngena kwezohwebo kuphela uma usesimweni esilinganiselayo, ikhanda lakho alinawo umcabango ngaphandle komsebenzi. Lokhu kusebenza kukho kokubili isimo sengqondo esibi kanye nokujabula ngokweqile. Uhlelo oluhle lokuhweba, ukuphathwa kwemali okushelelayo nokuqondakalayo, inqwaba yezincwadi ezifundwayo, konke lokhu kuyachitheka uma unesehlukaniso, ukuzalwa kwengane, noma ukuthenga imoto. UDkt. Van Tharp uhlukanise inqubo yokuhweba ngezigaba ezintathu ezithonya abahwebi, ukubaluleka ngokombono wakhe kungokulandelayo: Isu lokuhweba (10%). Ukuphathwa kwezimali (30%). I-Psychology (60%).

Iseluleko sami: hweba kuphela endaweni yokulinganisela ngokomzwelo, noma uthembele yonke into kuma-algorithms futhi ungaphazamisi!

Uma ungayilawuli imizwa yakho, awuyiphathi imali yakho, noma kungani ungafanele ukukhohliswa imibono yesixuku

Yesaba ukutshala imali lapho abanye behaha futhi bethenga yonke into, futhi ngokuphambene nalokho. Lesi yiseluleko esinengqondo kunazo zonke futhi okunzima kakhulu kubantu abaningi ukusilandela. Abantu abaningi baba nobugovu lapho abanye behaha futhi besaba lapho abanye besaba. Ngakho-ke, abatshalizimali abaningi bawela kwimodi yokutshala imali ecindezelekile futhi abakwazanga ukuthenga amasheya ngemuva kokuthi i-Covid-19 iqale ngo-2020. Ngesikhathi sokwethuka okubi kakhulu, amasheya ehle ngo-10% ngosuku. Imakethe yehle ngo-50% ngaphambi kokululama. Bambalwa abantu abafuna ukungena emakethe ezansi, besaba ukuthi imakethe izokwehla kakhulu. Futhi ngemva kwezinyanga ezintathu noma ezine nje, lapho imakethe iqala ukululama, abatshalizimali babuya. Ababe nesibindi sokudlala ngasemzansi bawinile.