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Richard Dennis ndiani uye turtle racing ine chekuita nazvo?
Richard Denis ndiye “mutungamiri wekamba,” “muchinda wegomba,” uyo akaratidza kubva pane zvakaitika kwaari kukuvadza kwemanzwiro mukutengesa. Nzira yekutengeserana ndeyekutenda mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi, kurongeka, kugona kudzidza, kukuvadza kwemanzwiro. Akazvarwa muChicago muna Ndira 1949. Chiitiko chekutanga chaive nebundu. $400 yakakweretwa kubva kuna baba vangu yakabudirira “kubatanidzwa” pamusika wemari. Zvadaro, $ 1.6 zviuru zvakashandurwa kuita $ 1 mamiriyoni pazera remakore makumi maviri nemashanu.Akavamba Drexel Fund, uye pakutanga kwe1980 akanga awana mamiriyoni emadhora 100. Mukukakavadzana neshamwari, chii chinonyanya kukosha mukutengesa: kudzidziswa uye hurongwa, kana manzwiro uye mano ekuzvarwa, akaratidza yekutanga. “Kamba” dzake, vatengesi vatsva, vaiunza purofiti yemadhora mamiriyoni 175 pagore. Muna 1987, mushure meBlack Monday, akarasikirwa ne50% yemidziyo yake neyevatengi vake. Akabvuma kuti akatsauka kubva kune yake zano uye akaita akati wandei manzwiro transaction. Kubva pamusika “nokusingaperi”. Muna 1994 akadzoka, muna 1995-96 kutengesa marobhoti akaunza + 108% uye + 112%. Akavadana “nzira chete yekukunda mumusika wemangwana.”
Turtle zano mumusika wemasheya: basic theory
Richard Denis ‘Turtle Strategy, inozivikanwawo seTrendographics, inzira yekutengesa yakavakirwa pamusimboti wekutevera maitiro emusika. Iri zano rakagadzirwa nemushambadzi ane mukurumbira Richard Denis muma1980s uye rave rimwe remazano anozivikanwa mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi. Pfungwa yekutanga kuseri kwaRichard Denis ‘turtle zano nderekuti maitiro ndiyo inonyanya kunetsa chikamu chekufamba kwemusika, saka mutengesi anofanira kutarisa pakuizivisa nekuitevera. Iyo zano rinoratidza kushandisa akasiyana maturusi uye mitemo kuona maitiro uye mapoinzi ekupinda uye kubuda kubva kumusika.Chimwe chezvakakosha zvechirongwa ndechekushandisa otomatiki sisitimu yekuona yekupinda mumusika nekubuda mapoinzi. Mutengesi anofanirwa kuona kuti ndeapi mamiriro emusika anoonekwa se “maitiro” uye kushandisa iwo mamiriro kusarudza kana achipinda mumusika. Izvi zvinogona kusanganisira kushandiswa kwezviratidzo zvakasiyana-siyana sekufamba mavhareji kana zviratidzo zvesimba remaitiro. Kana mutengesi akazivisa maitiro, anofanirwa kuseta ekupinda nekubuda mapoinzi zvinoenderana nemitemo yeturtle zano. Semuenzaniso, mutengesi anogona kushandisa mitsara yakaputsika kana mamwe masaini ekusimbisa kuti aone kupinda mumusika nekubuda. Imwe yemabhenefiti makuru eiyo Richard Denis turtle zano kupusa kwayo uye pfungwa. Izvi zvinoita kuti zviwanikwe kune vatengesi veese ruzivo mazinga uye zvinogona kubatsira kuvandudza mhedzisiro yekutengesa. Zvisinei, Kufanana nechero zano, Richard Denis’turtle zano haisi mhinduro yepasirese uye haivimbisi purofiti. Vatengesi vanofanirwa kushandisa zano iri mukubatana nemamwe maturusi uye kuongororwa kwemusika kuita sarudzo dzine ruzivo nezve kupinda nekubuda munzvimbo. https://youtu.be/UbeMr6cbcyg?si=UzbPVQ6yGKnS9bzP
Zvinoshanda zvinorehwa uye muono wemunyori wezano rekamba
Richard Denis akaita ongororo apo makore anopfuura gumi purofiti yeboka revatengesi yakasvika mamiriyoni zana nemakumi mashanu. Kuedza kwakapindura mubvunzo: chii chakakosha pakubudirira kwemutengesi? System, kuronga, zano, kuzvidzora? Kana hunhu hwekuzvarwa, zvipo uye intuition?
Iyo turtle strategy ndeye yakavharwa yekutengesa system inobata zvese zvekutengesa
Pfungwa
Iko hakuna nzvimbo yemanzwiro mumusika; kuwirirana uye kuenzanisa kunodiwa. Chigumisiro chakakosha, kwete maitiro. Dzimwe nguva zvisingagoneki zvinogona kuitika, asi iwe unofanirwa kunamatira kune chirongwa zuva nezuva. Zvakakosha kutanga kubva pakukura kwedhipoziti. Strategy kuziva chaizvo pauchatenga kana kutengesa.
Risk management
An approach. Kutevera maitiro , yakafara, nguva yakareba yekubata nzvimbo dzakavhurika, nhamba huru yekurasikirwa kudiki / nhamba diki yemapurofiti makuru. Turtle strategy yakaoma. Uye ine zvinoverengeka zvinopokana. Muchidimbu, Turtle System yakakamurwa kuita zvikamu zviviri: System 1: Yenguva pfupi sisitimu yakavakirwa pamazuva makumi maviri . Mamiriro ekupinda ndeyekubuda kwemazuva makumi maviri epamusoro kana pasi. Kutengeserana kwakasvetuka kana chiratidzo chekare chakabudirira. Sisitimu 2: Yenguva refu sisitimu yakavakirwa pa55-zuva breakout . Nheyo yacho yakafanana, asi data yemazuva makumi mashanu neshanu inotariswa. Iyi nzira yakashandiswa kana zuva re20 rakapotswa nekuda kwezvikonzero zvataurwa pamusoro apa. Asi pfungwa yacho yakasiyana.
Nzira yekamba inotipei?
Imwe yemazano akakosha ndeyekuti iyo yekutengesa system yakakosha. Kana paine zano uye ukanyatso kuomerera pariri, ipapo pachava nepurofiti. Zvikasadaro, njere uye manzwiro achakunda.
Kunyanya kuda uye manzwiro anotungamira mukurasikirwa kwechishuwo chekuzvichengetedza chega chekuwedzera uye kudonhedza depo.
Maererano ne “turtles” pachavo, zvaive zvakafanira kugadzirirwa nhamba huru ye “elks” duku. Izvo zvakaoma mupfungwa. Nhevedzano yekurasikirwa kudiki inogona kuodza mwoyo. Muchirongwa chekamba, kutengeserana kwakawanda kwakabudirira kwakavhara nekumisa kurasikirwa. Asi vaifanira kumirira. Haasi munhu wose akanyatsoomerera kune chirongwa chenguva refu uye akapedzisira ari mutsvuku. Iri idambudziko repfungwa. Mukutengeserana, hunhu hwevanhu nezvatinofarira zvinowanzopesana.